Kelly Yuste’s Post

As we approach the Republican primary, a pivotal question emerges: What is the correct interpretation of national polls regarding Donald Trump (and for a moment, let's ignore the accumulative nature of the Republican primary)? a) If the election were held *today*, what would be the probability of Donald Trump winning? b) How likely is Donald Trump to win on the *actual election date*? As the election draws near, it's an opportune time to revisit the fascinating debate (somewhat personal at times) between Nassim Taleb and Nate Silver from 2020, nicely summarized here: https://lnkd.in/eNWpeSpd By the way, the correct answer (as of Jan 1, 2023) for a) is 61.2%, while for b) it is 1/N (or something close to it, reflecting the 'unknown unknowns' and their ability to materialize before the elections), where N is the number of active candidates.

Your vote in the primary election taking place on July 30th is important, as this election will determine the next Gilbert Town Mayor. If you wait until the general election in November, you will have missed your chance to vote for mayor and town council. As only 2 candidates are running, there will be one candidate with a majority vote in the primary and will therefore be declared elected after the primary election. Local voting is more than a civic duty, but a powerful way to shape Gilbert's future and make sure your voice on issues that impact you are being heard. Every vote counts. Read more about the importance of this election at https://lnkd.in/gJCqjERQ. #thechamberis #gilbertaz #gilbertchamber #gilberttownmayor #vote #2024candidates #primaryelection

Today marks the UK 2024 General Election, and this is just a reminder to prioritise voting today. Your vote is your power, so let’s stand up for equality and justice by voting in the UK national election. Let’s work together to change today’s circumstances and build a safer future for everyone 💛 🗳️ p.s. remember to check your ID is suitable before you go! Topics: GeneralElection, Vote, GeneralElection2024

If you see voting as a privilege, then you’re making a big mistake. We are living in a world where very few take this act seriously. Today, standing in the booth and casting my vote in the MP elections felt different. It made me think about all those who fought hard so we could have a say in our future. It made me realize: > Each vote is a voice that contributes to the collective decision-making process. > It's a chance to have a say in who will lead us and shape policies that impact us all. > Voting is a way to honor the sacrifices of those who fought for our democratic rights. By exercising our right to vote, we ensure that the government is held accountable and represents the people's will. For those who say, it doesn’t matter whom you vote or that it’s all a setup: remember, every vote counts, and the outcomes of elections hinge on a handful of votes. We can transform each of our states and our country only by standing together. Jai Hind 🇮🇳

Please vote again🙏🙏🙏 The election opens on December 14th. ———————————————————————————————— Dear Mr Sivapalan,Hope this e-mail finds you well.Kindly note that the voting period of the election for Secretary of Group - 01.01 - Clinical Problems is now over, however a clear winner was not identified.As per our rules and regulations, a candidate needs to have 50% or over of votes in order to be elected, which was not the case in these elections. In such a case, the two candidates with the highest votes will stand for the second round of voting. Kindly note that you are one of the top two candidates who will run in the second round of voting.The second round of voting will start on December 14th, 2023, and will last for slightly over three weeks until January 7th, 2024.The results will be announced on January 9th, 2024.

United States presidential election system The process of electing the President of the United States is outlined in the U.S. Constitution, specifically in Article II, Section 1. The system is known as the Electoral College, and it involves a series of steps: https://lnkd.in/gvBZitgw

You need to be clear the November 2024 election is in no way a normal or typical election. The United States is in the midst of a civil revolution being conducted through criminal Trump and what was the Republican Party by christofascist White supremacist, militatant male dominant insurrectionists, who are supported by about a third of the voter population. If they win, the United States will become something you will not recognize or want to be involved in. So forget about partisan politics. You must vote only for Democrats, not because they are perfect but simply because they still support democracy and the MAGAt Republican Party does not. That is what this election is about: democracy v. authoritarianism. Period.

Three weeks to go until the general election! We've compiled a list of the most frequently asked questions that cover topics such as guidance for colleges in the pre-election period, how to support student voter registration and more. https://lnkd.in/eyyTC7j2

We recently completed a successful complex one-day election for a UN agency in London. This was the 4th time in a row we have been instrumental in organising and executing these elections, which take place every 2 years. Without knowing exactly who, in advance, will be standing for election, our system is sufficiently flexible to allow for 3 rounds of voting. The first round might be that hundreds of electors can vote for up to 10 of 11 candidates, the second round might be voting for 15 of 20 candidates, and the 3rd round might be voting for 20 of 27 candidates. We can assist in preparing ballot papers, scanning of OMR ballot papers, real time projector display of voting chart as each paper is scanned, display of spoiled or invalid ballots, and Excel results output. We can even bring a 'hot standby' system, just in case. In every case, our work has passed the judgment of independent scrutineers. We hope other organisations will 'elect' to use our services ... sorry ... couldn't resist ... 😉