Dr. Michael Hasenstab, CIO at Franklin Templeton, critiques the market's fixation on the Fed's interest rate cuts, urging a shift toward overlooked opportunities, especially in thriving #emergingmarkets post-COVID. Watch the full panel from #FIIPRIORITY in #Rio: https://lnkd.in/dwBWRRiy
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“We think there’s a good chance the Fed can engineer a soft landing, but it’s not guaranteed." A look at investor sentiment shows that while sentiment hasn’t reached euphoric levels yet, there are clear signs that plenty of optimism has already been baked into markets. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Investment Strategist BeiChen Lin, CFA, CPA and Sophie Antal-Gilbert, Head of AIS Portfolio & Business Consulting, discussed the outlook for U.S. first-quarter earnings season. They also chatted about how this year’s anticipated U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts could impact the real estate market and provided an update on their assessment of markets. USA: https://lnkd.in/ez_n4sDY Canada: https://lnkd.in/eFxrN6hm APAC: https://lnkd.in/edyZFTwF
Market Week in Review | Russell Investments
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Chart from Charles Schwab showing how intermediate term bonds tend to outperform short term bonds after the peak in the Fed Funds Rate in tightening cycles. This is due to the potential for capital appreciation as rates move lower. #shorttermbonds #intermediatetermbonds
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📈 Markets were in a state of euphoria as Chair Powell and the FOMC began contemplating cuts. The December FOMC meeting disrupted last year's narratives, shifting focus from potential firming to considering the timing of cuts. Lots of great insights in our latest @Harbor Lookout with @Jake Schurmeier, Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager. #HarborLookout
In the latest @Harbor Lookout, Jake Schurmeier, Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager, breaks down some key FOMC meeting insights. 🎯 Key Messages: • The dot plot suggested a single cut in 2024, contrary to investors' expectations of two cuts. • Chair Powell hinted at the unlikelihood of another hike, prompting discussions on the appropriate time for rate reductions. • With improvements in the supply side of the economy, the FOMC sees progress in inflation across goods, housing, and non-housing services. Check out this @Harbor Lookout for more insights! #HarborLookout
Harbor Lookout
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As the second quarter gets underway, Goldman Sachs Ayco’s Immanuel Tan details economic and market themes we’ll be watching, including updated expectations for Fed rate cuts, continued US economic resilience, inflation headwinds for the bond market and better-than-expected profit margins in early Q1 earnings reports.
Monthly Spotlight | May 2024
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Markets have seen volatility pick up considerably over the past few days. Read our latest thoughts as to why in the is week's Market Recap. #fedpolicy #interestrates #recession #labormarket https://lnkd.in/gPGPN4j6
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“The tone of trading we are seeing today is in line with a technical correction, but the market is going to have to watch things carefully in the coming days and weeks.” Adam Farstrup, Head of Multi-Asset, Americas, spoke with MarketWatch about the challenges #investors are facing due to heightened market volatility and growing concerns over a potential recession. Read the article here: https://lnkd.in/eWWWi2ze
How bond investors are coping with recession anxiety and extreme volatility
marketwatch.com
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Reminder: when you can’t see the forest for the trees it’s impossible to tell if you’re out of the woods yet. 2024 is off to a strong start. My next article, out later this week focuses on the significance of the #sp500 closing above 5,000 for the first time.
Commonwealth Financial Network CIO, W. Bradford McMillan, CFA, CFP®, looks back at markets in January and examines what might happen to interest rates in February in his latest Market Thoughts video. Don’t miss Brad’s insights: https://bit.ly/494vcFC #markets #interestrates #january2024
Market Thoughts for February 2024 [Video]
blog.commonwealth.com
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“The Fed is going to stop raising rates. We expect, call it the summer of this year, the Fed will start to cut rates. A lot of that is already priced into the back end of the curve, so it's really the front end of the curve where we think that there's an opportunity right now,” said our ETF Portfolio Manager and the Head of Distribution for US Wealth, Ward Bortz on Charles Schwab Network. Check out the full interview to hear Ward’s outlook for the U.S. economy this year, how to position your fixed income portfolio, and more: https://bit.ly/3u5Tccj
Expect 100 BPS Of Fed Cuts In 2024 | The Watch List| Schwab Network
schwabnetwork.com
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Is the glass half full or half empty? This question is particularly relevant as we navigate the current investment environment, which is exceptionally challenging due to prolonged higher interest rates impacting the performance of various assets. I think you have to play defensively today and assume rates will not only stay higher, but the odds of a black swan event are probably higher than anyone can imagine, given the geopolitical risk and other factors. The bright side? A record amount of liquidity is on the sidelines, acting as a market floor and safety net. Additionally, the fed has the ability to provide a backstop if we start to experience a tougher economic environment given its aggressive stance to rate hikes and managing the balance sheet over the last 24 months. Buckle up, as I expect the next 12 months to be an interesting ride, especially in commercial real estate. Stay proactive and be ready to pivot. "Be prepared to adjust and improvise. Success is the result of constant adaptability." – Confucius Peachtree Group Peachtree Group Credit Jared Schlosser Brian Waldman Jatin Desai Michael Harper Daniel Siegel Jordan Kellerman Brent LeBlanc Bloomberg Jessica Menton Alexandra Semenova Natalia Kniazhevich Abigail Doolittle #federalreserve #powell #cre #commercialrealestate https://lnkd.in/ghJk3dqs
The Market Is Blowing Off What the Fed Is Saying About Rates
bloomberg.com
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Bearish Reversal patterns are becoming increasingly abundant in the equity market. Not to mention, recession risks are starting to peak. Check out the charts. For most it would appear that the #FOMC announcement about 3 rate cuts put the market at ease. But when we look closer, there are major reasons to be cautious. 1) The S&P500 index is forming the apex of a rising wedge pattern that began last October. A traditional bearish reversal pattern 2) The #RSI is making a lower high with each peak in the S&P500 index. This is considered to be a bearish divergence. 3) Federal Reserve Bank of New York recession risk modes peak over the next two months to the highest levels seen since 1982. Click the link in the comments to see all the charts and how to position your portfolio. #SPX500 #TechnicalAnalysis #Markets
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