Dr Richard Diston’s Post

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'Thinkbait', not 'clickbait'. Autistic. No idiots.

Okay, risk data nerds. Pay close attention. You lot think that qualitative risk management approaches are 'better' than heat maps. You listen to statistics people who write books about 'security' when they know fuck all about it. I often refer to the usual 1-5 'risk assessment' as the Peppa Pig approach, because that is pretty much the audience for it and the level of thinking behind the people who use it. That said, it has a lot more utility than a bunch of random numbers you pulled out of your ass, ran through a Monte Carlo simulation and now 'think' you have a 'scientific' approach. 🤣 FAIR? False Assumptions Interpreted Randomly, more like. If you like data, here's some for you. In England in September 2021, the biggest underlying cause of death was dementia and Alzheimers (11.2%). That was followed by heart disease. Is that useful to you? Does knowing the numbers tell you what you need to do or how exposed you are? I’m guessing not. They’re just numbers. Until they’re YOU. With a big enough data population, any event becomes not only probable but regular. A statistician can work out the odds of a punch in the mouth affecting a million statisticians. It's different when it's their nose on the receiving end. There are 8 billion people on the planet. That means that there should be 8000 people experiencing 'one in a million' events every single day. That's 2.9 million 'one in a million' events every year. That is precisely the difference between fucking about with irrelevant maths models and the reality of security protection. The focus is on you, not what 'might' happen. Deal with possibility. Ignore probability. You might even start doing the job you are paying for instead of playing 'kick the can' with the consequences. Read these books as a starter. https://lnkd.in/ezHJC72q

Real Security Management

Real Security Management

realsecuritydoctor.thrivecart.com

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