The suburbs are having a major moment in commercial real estate. And no, I'm not talking about grandma's sleepy cul-de-sac. I'm talking about vibrant, thriving communities where people actually want to live, work, and play. Here’s how things are changing: → Millennials are leaving coastal cities in droves in search of higher quality of life at a lower price → US urban cores saw a net loss of 1.92M people in the past three years alone → Midwest cities like Columbus, Indianapolis and Louisville are all gaining residents and businesses To meet this demographic shift, restaurants, bars, cultural hotspots and offices are popping up far beyond downtown cores. This is a major sea change in America’s demographic distribution. And it's creating massive opportunities for savvy real estate investors. The key is to follow the money - and the people. Look for suburbs with strong job growth, rising incomes, and an influx of younger residents. My firm, Sentinel Net Lease, is investing in the Midwest, South, and Mountain West. All of which are the beneficiaries of the decline of cities like LA, NYC, and SF. Our thesis is that the sentiment around commercial real estate doesn’t account for this shift. The reality is you can scoop up properties with serious appreciation potential. The smart money is betting big on the ‘burbs. Those who recognize this shift and adapt their strategies accordingly stand to reap generous rewards. Demographics are destiny. And right now, they're pointing towards a very bright future for suburban real estate. If you want to learn more, shoot me a DM. — Do you agree that this demographic shift is a major indicator of opportunity? Or are you holding out hope that major metro downtowns are going to bounce back soon?
I love reading your posts Dennis, I learn some things and am reminded of a lot of important things I know but have to spend more time on. I feel that a lot of towns that are 300,000-500,000 people in very affordable markets will grow as downtowns are renovated and thrive. What are your thoughts on Davenport, IA? I know you leased out a huge office campus in Quad Cities. Was it the Woodmen of the World building?
Great article but my mind couldn’t help it after I read Demographics are destiny.. https://www.google.com/search?q=back+to+the+future+destiny&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-us&client=safari#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:3fc01ef2,vid:PqKmb7SSpTE,st:0
I’m on the same page with you Dennis!! All my CRE investments are in the “burbs” and I have been very happy with the results.
Yes! Thanks for sharing Dennis Cisterna!
Good insight!
Great insight Dennis, that is exactly why we focus on areas within the "Pathway of Progress" in Florida
Go get ‘em!
Demographics are the single largest driver of real estate demand. Shifts in demographics are the leading indicator-way ahead of interest rates, labor or inflation statistics. Research and prediction have to consider jobs and their effects on subject's location before anything else-in my opinion.