China Observers in Central and Eastern Europe (CHOICE)’s Post

In case you missed it, I spoke last week with Kara Němečková from China Observers in Central and Eastern Europe (CHOICE) about Xi’s visit to #Europe and relations between #China and #France 🇪🇺🇨🇳🇫🇷 👉 Strategic ambiguity is paying off for France with China. A bit less for confused European partners. 👉 If China has nothing to offer to Europe this year, the conclusion of so many bilateral agreements makes it a success for France. 👉 Europeanising a bilateral visit is about building credibility and coherence, but also leveraging China. 👉 The consequences of the Hungary visit will be seen at the European Council when difficult decisions will have to be take on China. 👉 The objective of visiting Serbia on the day of the bombing of the Chinese Embassy were clear a clear message to NATO. You want to hear more, put on your running shoes or your hiking boots and listen to our discussion 👇👇👇

🎧 LISTEN | While the United States should accept that Thailand is not strategically closely aligned with Washington, Thailand can still play a crucial role as an important U.S. partner, says Amb. Scot Marciel, our Oksenberg-Rohlen Fellow. Marciel joined the US-Asia Institute's Asia Unscripted podcast to discuss Thailand’s foreign policy and the shifting dynamics of U.S.-Thai relations > https://lnkd.in/gp8Bavec #thailand #usthailandrelations #asean

Michael Schuman and I joined Eric Olander 欧瑞克 and Cobus van Staden at the China-Global South Podcast to discuss our recent Atlantic Council Global China Hub report, China’s Middle East policy shift from “hedging” to “wedging”, and what it tells us about #China's response to the escalating situation in the #MiddleEast: https://lnkd.in/dNt5ZM29

🇨🇳 China, China, China. Recent escalating tensions in the South China Sea highlight that there is no consensus in the region over how the Southeast Asian bloc's 11 member states are responding to the rapidly changing geopolitical environment. Although the US says that there is no expectation for nation states to choose, underlying rhetoric is sometimes perceived as an either/or dilemma. This is another great episode of The China Global South Project. Eric Olander 欧瑞克 and the founder of ASEAN Wonk newsletter, Prasanth Parmeswaran, provide a thought-provoking deep dive into these Southeast Asian nations caught in the middle of US/China tension. Expectations need to be managed if headway is to be made with supply chain options outside of China. It very well could be a “both/and equation rather than an either/or.” #china #supplychainmanagement #nationalsecurity #ASEAN #internationalcooperation https://lnkd.in/eUYPdtjj

Chris Johnson on whether or not Xi Jinping has a preferred US candidate for President: “I think the fundamental thing to understand is that, you know, Xi Jinping made a conclusion some time ago, and certainly reinforced in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and so on and so forth, which is that, to some degree, it doesn't really matter who's in the White House. The United States is out to block China's rise, to deny it. It's what it perceives as its rightful place as a leading world power. The technological and other things necessary to facilitate that rise and to ensure China's economy remains strong. So, the approach is set, from China's point of view, which is this is a deep and structural conflict, which our system will ultimately win. And so then it's all about the window dressing at that point.” Listen here: https://lnkd.in/gRFA_98q

Pivot what pivot? The story of the US Pivot to the Asia Pacific region. A fascinating discussion.

A selection of my #Taiwan relate analysis including policy papers, videos, podcasts etc. Themes include: 1. Taiwan Talks: #US and #Australia Announce Drone Partnership (November 2, 2023). 2. Taiwan Talks: US-#China relations, Blinken’s visit, Taiwan and the #IndoPacific 3. Taiwan Talks: #AUKUS, Tech Cooperation, #Japan-Taiwan (June 3, 2023). 4. ABC News Interview: Beijing sanctions Pelosi over Taiwan visit 5. CNBC News Interview: Taiwan is at the top of the agenda for Bidens administration (May 30, 2023) 6. CNBC Interview: The G7, Japan, China, and Challenges (May 13, 2023). Webinar: Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific 7. Indo-Pacific Visions Vodcast: Japan’s Free and Open Indo-Pacific (June 20, 2022).8. Webinar on Maritime Security in Indo-Pacific (March 10, 2023, The Japan Forum on International Relations). 8. Taiwan Talks: Significance of Partnerships for the Philippines, the United States, Japan, and Australia https://lnkd.in/gMnhwU8t

How Russia Views China: A Conversation with Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor Center for Strategic & International Studies 26 Sept 2024 ChinaPower In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor joins us to discuss the evolving relationship between Russia and China. Dr. Kendall-Taylor discusses the broader geopolitical factors driving Russia’s desire to strengthen ties with China. She analyzes Russia’s increasing dependence on China in the context of its war in Ukraine, and recent reports that China may be providing lethal aid to Russia. Dr. Kendall-Taylor also explores the dynamics between Putin and Xi, highlighting how their close relationship shapes the strategic coordination between the two countries. Finally, Dr. Kendall-Taylor addresses potential challenges for Europe and the United States in responding to this growing alignment.

Interesting article on a little understood but important subject by Amit Kumar.

https://lnkd.in/dXi4wsmu Dear All, in our latest 'Around the world in 20 minutes' podcast we look at the perils and advantages of using historical analogies (Subtitled: No, Neo-cons, not every crisis is Munich). Like using heavy machinery after a whisky this can be a very dangerous proposition; if the analogy is wrong the analysis and the policy that follows from it is bound to be as well. However, when used responsibly (and when actually knowing that applied history is the absolute key to world-class political risk analysis) analogies can yield creative and cutting-edge insights. For example, ignore the caterwauling about us being in a pre-World War II situation now. Rather, the Indo-Pacific is in real peril of being in a pre-1914 situation. To get the world right now, one simply must know about more than Munich and Vietnam; our age is a time of intellectual seriousness where knowledge (so debased at universities as we have seen) is the once and future greatest gift. Enjoy.