Seth Borko

Is the U.S. Economy Stronger Than We Think? At Yale's recent CEO Caucus, 84% of top CEOs expressed optimism, predicting a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. Surprisingly, 81% were taken aback by the economy’s resilience, despite widespread pessimism in public polls. With inflation dropping and unemployment at historic lows, real wages are growing, and GDP surpassed expectations. CEOs agree: the economy is outperforming the gloomy forecasts. What’s your take on that? Source: https://bit.ly/47Sds0i

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Today, I published LVS Advisory's Q3 2024 investor letter which discusses our recent investment performance and an investment in Medpace $MEDP. https://lnkd.in/e67V2EZh

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Spurred on by the market volatility we saw in early August, I wrote down some thoughts on navigating market turbulance. We all know that market volatility varies through time, but translating volatility into more intuitive measures can still surprise. For example, the variation in US stock market returns in Q1 2020 (just one quarter) was equivalent to 2.5 average years! Find out more in the paper. https://lnkd.in/eM6idPrR Variation of US stock market returns and volatility

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Macquarie Group today announced the offer of a new Additional Tier 1 capital instrument, Macquarie Group Capital Notes 7 (ASX:MQGPG), to raise $1 billion with the ability to raise more or less (Offer). The Offer includes a Reinvestment Offer for Eligible Macquarie Group Capital Notes 3 Holders (ASX:MQGPC). Shaw and Partners is pleased to be appointed as Joint Lead Manager to the Offer. The Margin is expected to be between 2.65% and 2.85% per annum and will be determined through the bookbuild. Distributions are non-cumulative and are expected to be paid quarterly in arrears, subject to the satisfaction of the Distribution Payment Conditions, which include that payment of Distributions are within the absolute discretion of Macquarie. The Distribution Payment Dates are 15 March, 15 June, 15 September and 15 December. The first Distribution is scheduled to be paid on 16 December 2024. Macquarie Capital Notes are Callable at MQG’s option on 15 December 2031, 15 June 2032 or 15 December 2032 (first approximately 7.25 years), or following a Tax or Regulatory Event. Macquarie Capital Notes 7 will Mandatorily Convert into Ordinary Shares on 15 December 2034 (subject to certain conditions), unless they are converted, Redeemed or Resold earlier. This offer is restricted to Australian Resident Wholesale clients (Sophisticated or Professional) and clients that receive personal financial product advice from a financial adviser to acquire Macquarie Group Capital Notes 7. For more information, please contact your Shaw and Partners adviser. The issuer of the securities is Macquarie Group Limited ABN 94 122 169 279. Offers of the securities will be made in (or accompanied by) a copy of the disclosure document, available at Macquarie Group Capital Notes 7 Prospectus - 19 Aug 2024 and you should consider the disclosure document carefully before deciding whether to acquire the securities. To acquire securities under the offer investors will need to complete an application form accompanying the disclosure document. For more information, please contact your Shaw and Partners Adviser.

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Listen to David B. Golub on the latest Fiftyfaces podcast with Aoifinn Devitt, where he speaks about how Golub Capital has built its competitive advantages over the last 30 years and the importance of culture to the Firm’s continued success: https://okt.to/JiTvQr #privatecredit #leadership #podcast

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