Bitcoin Investor Tools: Stock-to-Flow Model - Explained What Is Stock To Flow (S2F)? Stock to flow is a forecasting tool for Bitcoin price. It creates a line on the chart above that shows an estimated price level based on the number of bitcoins available in the market relative to the amount being produced (mined) each year. The score on the stock to flow line is the forecasted price for bitcoin at that particular time. By hovering your cursor over the line on the chart, you can see the forecasted price. To date, it has broadly forecasted price correctly as $BTC price has followed the stock to flow line. As the amount of bitcoins to be mined reduces over time, the stock to flow number (s2f ratio) increases, as supply coming onto the market is reducing. That is why this model is forecasting that the price of Bitcoin will increase in the future. Can You Explain That In More Detail? The stock-to-flow model treats Bitcoin as being comparable to commodities and precious metals such as gold, silver, or platinum. These are known as 'store of value' commodities because they retain value over long time frames due to their relative scarcity. It is difficult to significantly increase their supply. For example, the process of searching for gold and then mining it is expensive and requires time and resources. Bitcoin is similar because it is also scarce. In fact, it is the first-ever scarce digital object to exist! There are a limited number of coins in existence and it will take a lot of electricity and computing effort to mine the 2 million outstanding coins still to be mined. Therefore the supply rate is consistently low. Why Is Stock-To-Flow (S2F) Useful For Bitcoin Investors And Traders? It is useful because it can be used as a forecasting tool to identify where the price of Bitcoin may go in the future. There are many other indicators that also forecast the price of Bitcoin, this particular tool focuses on the supply schedule of Bitcoin. Learn more at Bitcoin Magazine Pro! #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #BitcoinInvesting #CryptoTrading #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentTools #BTC #Blockchain #PricePrediction #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #StockToFlow #BitcoinInsights #Scarcity #MarketForecasting
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An idea whose time has come cannot be stopped! Join Bitcoin Magazine and your fellow Bitcoiners in Amsterdam, Abu Dhabi, Asia & Las Vegas for the biggest annual celebration of Bitcoin in the world. Amsterdam, October 9-10, 2024, Abu Dhabi, December 9-10, 2024, Asia, TBD 2025, Las Vegas May 27-29th, 2025 💥 Grab your early bird tickets 🎟️ Don't miss out!
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Scott W Lee
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Ted Stevenot
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Updates
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Machankura w/ Kgothatso Ngako Dive deep into the challenges and opportunities of #Bitcoin adoption in Africa, exploring concepts of sovereignty, circular economies, and the role of entrepreneurs in driving prosperity. This talk offers a unique perspective on making Bitcoin accessible to all, highlighting the importance of understanding local contexts and leveraging existing technologies to create impactful solutions. Speaker: Kgothatso Ngako - Machankura https://lnkd.in/gpCBU2Qp #BitcoinInAfrica #Sovereignty #CircularEconomy #Entrepreneurship #BitcoinAdoption #FinancialInclusion #AfricaRising #CryptoInAfrica #LocalSolutions #TechForGood #Machankura #BitcoinInnovation #DigitalEconomy #CryptoEntrepreneurs
Machankura w/ Kgothatso Ngako
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Check out the latest speakers list for Bitcoin Amsterdam! The future of #bitcoin starts here 🔥 Link: https://lnkd.in/gtT5S2pS
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Lesson 2: Who Is In Charge Of #Bitcoin? So, who is in charge of Bitcoin? This is one of the first questions bitcoin newbies often ask. Naturally, this question pops up as a concern over trust: Who is at the top of the Bitcoin ladder? Is this a scam? And here's the simple answer: Bitcoin isn't controlled by any one country, entity, or person. It's decentralized, meaning it can't be corrupted or controlled — and that's a beautiful thing. Why Do We Need Decentralization? Perhaps the most important aspect of Bitcoin is its decentralization; this is the principal difference that separates Bitcoin from the central banking system we're currently used to. Inherently, our worldwide banking system is centralized because our money is controlled and distributed by the government. We call this money "fiat" — originating from the latin word meaning: "a determination by authority." When you have a centralized fiat currency like the US dollar (the current global reserve currency), you are coerced into a financial system that can change the rules at any time. You are subjected to the big banking system that charges you overdraft fees, requires minimum balances, and lends your money out to other people only to pay you less than 1% in annual interest. And while big banks in the United States have healthy competition and therefore have incentives to offer better, freer services to consumers, many countries around the world don't offer this privilege. In fact, many banks overseas actually charge their consumers to keep their money in the bank. What is this highway robbery? You might as well keep all your cash under your mattress. As much as we like to joke about this, the use of physical, insecure piggy banks are a reality for over a billion people around the world who remain unbanked. Financial services create expensive barriers like fees, minimums, and identification requirements that don't allow people to participate fairly in it. Additionally, not everyone has access to a competently secured and insured central banking system; they must participate in the one handed to them by their government, no matter how unstable or corrupt it is. Read more: https://lnkd.in/gxTEkwgf #Bitcoin #Decentralization #CryptoEducation #FinancialFreedom #Cryptocurrency #Blockchain #FiatCurrency #BankingRevolution #FinancialInclusion #DigitalCurrency #TrustlessSystem #EconomicEmpowerment #Unbanked #GlobalFinance #BitcoinBasics
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Bitcoin Investor Tools: Pi Cycle Top Indicator - Explained Indicator Overview The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs within 3 days. It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2. Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA, not the number of days. For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking. It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number. It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. However, in this instance, it does so with a high degree of accuracy over Bitcoin's adoption phase of growth. Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool The Pi Cycle Top Indicator forecasts the cycle top of Bitcoin’s market cycles. It attempts to predict the point where Bitcoin price will peak before pulling back. It does this on major high time frames and has picked the absolute tops of Bitcoin’s major price moves throughout most of its history. How It Can Be Used Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter-term moving average, which is the 111-day moving average, has reached an x2 multiple of the 350-day moving average. Historically, it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin around this time in Bitcoin's price cycles. It is also worth noting that this indicator has worked during Bitcoin's adoption growth phase, the first 15 years or so of Bitcoin's life. With the launch of Bitcoin ETF's and Bitcoin's increased integration into the global financial system, this indicator may cease to be relevant at some point in this new market structure. Learn more at Bitcoin Magazine Pro! #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #BitcoinInvesting #CryptoTrading #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentTools #BTC #Blockchain #PricePrediction #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #BitcoinInsights #PiCycleTop #MarketCycles #CryptoIndicators
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Michael Saylor Deep Session at #Bitcoin 2024 In this illuminating discussion from the private Deep Sessions that are held in the Deep Backstage at the Bitcoin Conference for Whale Pass holders, Michael Saylor and Bill Miller, CFA unpack the seismic shifts occurring in the Bitcoin world. From unprecedented political endorsements to potential changes in US financial policy, Saylor explains why these developments matter. He outlines the three pillars necessary for institutional adoption and how they could propel Bitcoin to new heights. Speakers: Bill Miller and Michael Saylor https://lnkd.in/gRVGPDfm #Bitcoin2024 #MichaelSaylor #InstitutionalAdoption #CryptoPolicy #BitcoinConference #WhalePass #FinancialPolicy #BitcoinInsights #CryptoInnovation #BlockchainLeadership
Michael Saylor Deep Session at Bitcoin 2024
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Become a #Bitcoin Amsterdam Sponsor or Exhibitor. Where business meets bitcoin, October 9-10, in Westergas 🚀 Learn more 👇 https://lnkd.in/gYSj9DVZ
Partners | Bitcoin Amsterdam
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Lesson 1: Magic Internet Money On January 3, 2009, a pseudonymous genius named Satoshi Nakamoto officially invented Bitcoin. Whoever this mystery person or group is, they managed to create the world's first cryptocurrency that would soon change everything as we know it. Formally defined, Bitcoin (capital “B”) is a global, borderless, decentralized protocol that enables the peer-to-peer exchange of the bitcoin currency (lowercase “b”), which has a fixed maximum supply and a known, decreasing issuance rate. While Bitcoin may appear as magical, it doesn’t aim to do anything innovative — rather, it offers an improved alternative to the existing inequitable, inaccessible, and inflationary financial system. By open-sourcing finance, we are taking a system so complex and indecipherable that it locks out nearly two billion people worldwide, and turning it into a transparent, permission-less network that anyone can be a part of. Read more: https://lnkd.in/gN6nK_mH #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #SatoshiNakamoto #MagicInternetMoney #Blockchain #Decentralization #FinancialRevolution #OpenSourceFinance #PeerToPeer #CryptoEducation #BitcoinProtocol #FinancialInclusion #DigitalCurrency
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Bitcoin Investor Tools: MVRV Z-Score - Explained Indicator Overview MVRV Z-Score is a bitcoin chart that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where Bitcoin is extremely over or undervalued relative to its 'fair value'. It uses three metrics: 1. Market Value (black line): The current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation. This is like market cap in traditional markets i.e. share price multiplied by number of shares. 2. Realized Value (blue line): Rather than taking the current price of Bitcoin, Realized Value takes the price of each Bitcoin when it was last moved i.e. the last time it was sent from one wallet to another wallet. It then adds up all those individual prices and takes an average of them. It then multiplies that average price by the total number of coins in circulation. In doing so, it strips out the short term market sentiment that we have within the Market Value metric. It can therefore be seen as a more 'true' long term measure of Bitcoin value which Market Value moves above and below depending on the market sentiment at the time. 3. Z-score (orange line): A standard deviation test that pulls out the extremes in the data between market value and realized value. How It Can Be Used The MVRV Z-score has historically been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realized value. These periods are highlighted by the z-score (orange line) entering the pink box and indicates the top of market cycles. It has been able to pick the market high of each cycle to within two weeks. It also shows when market value is far below realized value, highlighted by z-score entering the green box. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns. Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool MVRV Z-Score bitcoin chart is useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where Bitcoin price may need to pull back when MVRV Z-score enters the upper red band, and also when $BTC price may rally after spending time in the lower green band. Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks. Learn more at Bitcoin Magazine Pro #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #BitcoinInvesting #CryptoTrading #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentTools #BTC #Blockchain #PricePrediction #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #BlockchainAnalysis #MVRVZScore #BitcoinInsights #MarketCycles
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Making Bitcoin More Private With CISA w/ Jameson Lopp, Craig Raw & Fabian Jahr Delve into the world of Cross-Input Signature Aggregation (CISA) with our expert panel from Sparrow Wallet, Bitcoin Core, and Casa. This discussion illuminates how CISA could revolutionize Bitcoin transactions by enhancing privacy and reducing fees. Uncover the technical aspects of half and full signature aggregation and understand their potential impact on the Bitcoin network. Speakers: Craig Raw - Sparrow Wallet, Fabian Jahr - Brink, Jameson Lopp - Casa Watch: https://lnkd.in/gmVxZ3BG #BitcoinPrivacy #CISA #CrossInputSignatureAggregation #BitcoinCore #SparrowWallet #Casa #BitcoinSecurity #CryptoPrivacy #BlockchainTechnology #BitcoinFees #Cryptocurrency #TechInnovation #DigitalPrivacy #BitcoinNetwork #CryptoSecurity #Bitcoin
Making Bitcoin More Private With CISA w/ Jameson Lopp, Craig Raw & Fabian Jahr
https://www.youtube.com/