Amberdata

Unlocking Profit: Developing and Backtesting Winning ETH Trading Strategies 🛠️ The report explores how on-chain data, such as stablecoin issuance and Uniswap pool activity, can generate profitable Ethereum (ETH) trading signals. It highlights Amberdata's role in simplifying blockchain data analysis and presents various tested strategies, including a Z-score strategy that performed well in bearish and sideways markets. However, strategies based on correlations between stablecoin issuance and ETH price showed poor results, emphasizing the challenges of oversimplified assumptions. The report underscores the importance of rigorous testing and thoughtful methodology when developing trading strategies leveraging blockchain data. Learn more in this Q4 report ⬇️ https://hubs.la/Q02V9k-g0

⭐ Bitcoin Surges To Fresh High Above $76,000 After Trump Secures Victory In a recent Forbes Crypto article, Greg Magadini, CFA, Director of Derivatives at Amberdata, offered his perspective. “Looking at dealer positioning for options on Deribit, we see the market is heavily positioned for Bitcoin to settle between $80k-$90k by EOY,” he stated. “The options market is pricing in only a 7% chance of being above $100,000 by the EOY,” Magadini added. Read the full article by Charles Lloyd Bovaird II: https://lnkd.in/gTAEX2_h

The Impact of Bitcoin ETF Flows on Market Dynamics Understanding the Impact of Bitcoin ETF Flows on the Crypto Market ♻️ Bitcoin ETFs are making a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market by allowing institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without holding it directly. This unique financial tool is driving large capital movements, shaping liquidity, and influencing Bitcoin’s price dynamics. With major inflows and outflows, Bitcoin ETFs have become a powerful driver in the crypto space, impacting both market stability and volatility. Amberdata provides institutional investors with actionable insights into these movements using advanced blockchain network analytics. AmberLens: Analyzing Market Liquidity Through ETF Flows 🔎 Amberdata's platform, AmberLens, is essential for investors who want to understand how Bitcoin ETF flows affect market liquidity. High ETF inflows increase liquidity, enabling smoother transactions and stabilizing prices by making it easier for large trades to occur with minimal slippage. Conversely, large outflows can tighten liquidity, leading to greater volatility and larger price swings. AmberLens provides real-time data that allows investors to track these flows, helping them optimize their trading strategies during both market upswings and downturns. Decoding Market Sentiment with Bitcoin ETF Data 📊 Bitcoin ETF flows also provide insights into market sentiment. Consistent inflows typically signal bullish sentiment, as investors expect prices to rise, while outflows often indicate bearish sentiment or profit-taking. By tracking these flows alongside other metrics such as Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL), investors can decode shifts in market sentiment and make timely decisions. AmberLens combines Bitcoin ETF data with on-chain metrics to help investors anticipate market trends, reduce risks, and refine their trading strategies. Empowering Institutional Strategies with AmberLens 🧠 For institutions looking to make informed, data-driven decisions, AmberLens offers a comprehensive view of ETF flows and liquidity dynamics. By integrating ETF flow data with additional market indicators, AmberLens equips investors with the insights needed to optimize their portfolios, time their trades effectively, and enhance overall performance. Explore AmberLens to unlock its powerful analytics and elevate your approach to cryptocurrency investment. Learn more about AmberLens: https://lnkd.in/gbsMX_Kn

BTC Net Unrealized Profit / Loss (NUPL) Yesterday #Bitcoin was trending in Optimism/Anxiety with NUPL sitting at 0.512 Where is BTC trending today? View and utilize the free AmberLens tools here: https://lnkd.in/espw5avX

Bitcoin Price Has Become Intertwined with U.S. Election: Crypto Executives 🪢 ⛳️ Post-Election Bitcoin Price Likely Tied to Whoever Wins Recently quoted from our weekly newsletter, Greg Magadini, CFA, Director of Derivatives at Amberdata, told Cryptopolitan that depending on who wins the election, the Bitcoin price could receive a spike in either direction, “with a +1.5-Sigma, $6,000 to $8,000 price range, as a result of the post-election price reaction.” “Therefore, major price levels are $60,000, Kamala wins dip, or a $75,000/$77,000 a Trump win that brings spot right back to the all-time highs, then through them, as election enthusiasm breaks the high seen last week,” he said. Read the full article: https://lnkd.in/gAbJzdrn

BTC ATM vol accelerates in to election day 🇺🇸 Latest data 👉 https://lnkd.in/euJTxaSA Deribit. Always Open.

U.S. Presidential Election Special 📢 Join Greg Magadini, CFA, Director of Derivatives at Amberdata on a CoinDesk X space for an in-depth analysis of how the U.S. Presidential Election could impact Bitcoin markets. They are set to explore price volatility and policy shifts! Tune in ⤵️ https://lnkd.in/gY5VgdCg

Bitcoin Traders Wary of Price Drop in U.S. Election Week, CME Group Options Show 📖 Options trading on the leading exchange Deribit also show a broader bullish outlook with a largely neutral bias for this week, according to data source Amberdata. The 25-delta risk reversals show barely a difference between pricing for calls and puts expiring this week. The sentiment is decisively bullish from the Nov. 15 expiry and beyond. H/t to Omkar Godbole at CoinDesk for the write-up! Read the full article here: https://lnkd.in/gXiXwtvu

This Week’s Market Outlook: #Election, #FOMC, & BTC #Volatility This week is shaping up to be huge for the markets! 🌐 The U.S. election is in full swing. The FOMC will announce its rate decision on Thursday, with Powell’s press conference to follow. Expect high volatility across asset classes. Last week, markets initially rallied but reversed alongside changing election polls. 🗳️ Tracking polls and prediction markets offered valuable insights for those looking to trade around the election. Can we expect a similar trend this week? 👀 Economic data: Mixed Signals 🚦 The Fed’s favorite inflation measure, the PCE, job growth, and GDP data painted a cautiously optimistic picture. Fed expected to cut rates by 0.25% to keep inflation near its 2% target, as the labor market cools. 📉 BTC & Election Volatility 📈 As Trump’s odds surged last week, BTC tested all-time highs. With the odds back around 50/50, BTC has pulled back slightly, mirroring other election-sensitive assets. The options market is pricing in high volatility around election day. 7-day Volatility Risk Premium (VRP) is currently at +34% points, signaling traders expect a strong reaction to election results. Will BTC see the $6k-$8k post-election price swing? 🔑 Key BTC levels post-election: $60k (Dip on Kamala win) $75k-$77k (Trump win & potential ATH breakout) Either way, expect a 1.5-Sigma reaction – no surprises, but still significant volatility. ⚡ Trading Setup 📊 NOV29 contracts offer potential upside plays on a Trump win. Trading the 80k/90k call spread with a 10-to-1 payout on Deribit could be worth watching for those prepared for post-election volatility. Buckle up! This week’s events are likely to set the tone for both traditional and #crypto markets heading into year-end. 🚀 #Bitcoin #USElection Including insights from Deribit, Derive (formerly Lyra Foundation), Opyn, & Paradigm! Read the full weekly AD Derivatives Newsletter in the first comment:

🚰 Bitcoin (BTC) ETF Flows BlackRock's #IBIT had an ATH inflow of $874M in just 1 day. Altogether the Net Inflows surpassed $896M. View #BTC and #ETH's ETF flows on AmberLens in the first comment: