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Here we go again. After yesterday’s news that US job openings fell to a three-year low in April, the data fueled the incentive for the bond market to reassess the view that the Federal Reserve will...
After a huge down move that began in December 2021, the long bonds or TLT have had a few shallow short-covering rallies, but not much more than that. The “higher-for-longer” for interest rates...
When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. But this time has been different, or so it...
A ‘fair-value’ estimate of the US 10-year Treasury yield was steady in April while the market level for the benchmark rate continued to rise well above the theoretical level. But trading...
The stock market keeps on pushing higher despite. Against this backdrop, investors should exercise caution due to high valuations and market cyclicality. Bonds offer attractive returns and can reduce...
The below is Briefing.com’s weekly economic data table. April ’24 PPI and April ’24 CPI are due out Tuesday, May 14th, and Wednesday, May 15th, respectively.Shelter or OER (owners...
Government bond yields and interest rates have been rising all around the world. And investors aren’t quite sure what to make of it.Perhaps there is some complacency that has set in after years...
Bonds are continuing to rally into a fantastic bull trap. Here is the /ZB: The easier-to-trade instrument TLT is obviously sporting the same pattern. We’re just about to close that gap, which...
Bonds issued by companies with a credit rating of BB or lower by S&P or Fitch, or Ba or lower by Moody's (NYSE:MCO), are considered junk bonds.Junk bonds, or high-yield bonds because the interest...
Bowing to recent data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened.The Treasury market has been effectively...
The market continues to price the US 10-year Treasury yield well above its estimated “fair value,” based on the average of three models run by CapitalSpectator.com.Yesterday’s...
The fundamental outlook for bonds remains questionable at best. The leading indicators of growth and inflation for 2024 suggest both dynamics could put upside pressure on yields. Sentiment toward...
The bond market has struggled to fully recover from the Federal Reserve’s aggressive run of interest-rate hikes in 2022-2023, but pockets of strength remain conspicuous. Within the fixed-income...
The 10-year treasury bond yield is very closely watched by banks, consumers, and active investors. It is used as a measuring stick for interest rates on loans, bond auctions, etc. When the...
With the FOMC meeting announcement this coming Wednesday, March 29th, 2024, and Wall Street and the investment community still talking about potential interest rate cuts, it can’t be helped but...