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An Application of Machine Learning Technique in Forecasting Crop Disease

Published: 21 January 2020 Publication History

Abstract

In the recent years, Big Data Analytics and Machine Learning techniques are playing an increasingly key role in the agriculture sector in order to tackle the increasing challenges due to the climate changes which are causing serious damage production. The analysis of environmental, climatic and cultural factors allows to establish the irrigation and nutritional needs of crops, forecast crop disease, improve crop yield, as well as improve the quantity and the quality of agricultural output while using less input. Potato late blight is considered one of the most devasting disease world over, including Sardinia. Unexpected epidemics can result in significant economic and yield losses. In this paper, we describe the test conducted using the DSS LANDS in order to predict potato late blight disease in Sardinia. The object of the study was to investigate if regional weather variables could be used to predict potato late blight risk in southern Sardinia using a Machine Learning approach. The disease severity is predicted using Feed-forward Neural Network and Support Vector Machine Classification based on meteorological parameters provided by ARPAS weather stations. The prediction accuracy for ANN was 96% and for SVM Classification was 98%.

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cover image ACM Other conferences
ICBDR '19: Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Big Data Research
November 2019
192 pages
ISBN:9781450372015
DOI:10.1145/3372454
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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  • Shandong Univ.: Shandong University
  • The University of Versailles Saint-Quentin: The University of Versailles Saint-Quentin, Versailles, France

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 21 January 2020

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Author Tags

  1. Artificial Neural Network
  2. Big Data Analytics
  3. Decision Support System
  4. Forecasting models
  5. Support Vector Classification

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