Pistons vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 26

  • The Kings are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDDT | NSCA

The Detroit Pistons visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Pistons vs Kings Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 16-13 against the spread, while the Kings are 10-19 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+5.5 -115O 227.5 -110+165
Sacramento Kings -5.5 -105U 227.5 -110-200

Kings vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Kings.

Kings vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 73 games (+19.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 away games (+18.94 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 away games (+12.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+11.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.43 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+12.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 84 games (+7.57 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 16-13 (+1.7 Units / 5.15% ROI).

  • 13-17 against the Moneyline (+0.95 Units / 2.76% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.15% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -13.94% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 10-19 (-10.9 Units / -33.03% ROI).

  • 13-17 against the Moneyline (-18.9 Units / -26.69% ROI)
  • 14-16 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)
  • 16-14 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 86 games (-46.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 83 games (-31.38 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-25.66 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.47 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-19.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-26.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 60 games (-17.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 54 games (-15.78 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 56 games (-14.87 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 62 games (-14.07 Units / -20% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons are 19-102 (.157) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons are 18-57 (.240) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Kings are winless (0-16) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .094

The Kings are 2-11 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .282

The Kings were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,359 assists/ 1,522 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,317 assists/ 1,415 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons had an eFG% of 53% last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings are shooting 31% from three (143/466) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings averaged 14.6 second chance points per game (1,197 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (402 turnovers/30 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.9 steals per game (208 steals/30 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Pistons have averaged 6.6 steals per game (739 steals/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 steals per game (339 steals/53 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have allowed 5.5 second chance points per game (618 points/112 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have allowed 11.5 second chance points per game (1,284 points/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1


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