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days until the 2024 general election
Tuesday, November 5
This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ...
3 days ago · State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
1 day ago · 40%. 50%. Nov. 2. 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. Days before the election, the polls show an extremely tight race — with neither Donald Trump nor Kamala ...
1 day ago · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 8 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 2 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 37 out of 100.
- G. Elliott Morris
1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 Nov. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.0% Trump 46.8% Nov. 2, 2024 leader Nov. 2, 2024 leader Harris Harris +1.2. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE.
2 days ago · 2024 election guide: Presidential candidates, polls, primaries and caucuses, voter information and results for November 5, 2024
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Which presidential election polls are used in 2024?
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What is a national polling average?
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How has the presidential race changed in national polls since January?
5 days ago · What’s changed: We’re a week out from Election Day and our average still shows an incredibly tight race. Vice President Kamala Harris has held her leads nationally and in Michigan, but her ...