Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework
Festschrift in honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric methods and applications, 2014•Springer
We develop a cointegrating nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model in
which short-and long-run nonlinearities are introduced via positive and negative partial sum
decompositions of the explanatory variables. We demonstrate that the model is estimable by
OLS and that reliable long-run inference can be achieved by bounds-testing regardless of
the integration orders of the variables. Furthermore, we derive asymmetric dynamic
multipliers that graphically depict the traverse between the short-and the long-run. The …
which short-and long-run nonlinearities are introduced via positive and negative partial sum
decompositions of the explanatory variables. We demonstrate that the model is estimable by
OLS and that reliable long-run inference can be achieved by bounds-testing regardless of
the integration orders of the variables. Furthermore, we derive asymmetric dynamic
multipliers that graphically depict the traverse between the short-and the long-run. The …
Abstract
We develop a cointegrating nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model in which short- and long-run nonlinearities are introduced via positive and negative partial sum decompositions of the explanatory variables. We demonstrate that the model is estimable by OLS and that reliable long-run inference can be achieved by bounds-testing regardless of the integration orders of the variables. Furthermore, we derive asymmetric dynamic multipliers that graphically depict the traverse between the short- and the long-run. The salient features of the model are illustrated using the example of the nonlinear unemployment-output relationship in the US, Canada and Japan.
Springer