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Who’s ahead in all?

An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 2, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 2-3
1,211LV
Oct. 2-3
1,211LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Sept. 30-Oct. 3
2,965LV
Sept. 30-Oct. 3
2,965LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even

Oct. 1, 2024

President: general election, New Hampshire, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 1-2
2,104LV
Oct. 1-2
2,104LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

44%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

West

0%
44%
TrumpHarris+7

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 25-Oct. 2
1,000LV
Sept. 25-Oct. 2
1,000LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1

President: general election, New Jersey, 2024

Sept. 4-Oct. 2
400LV
Sept. 4-Oct. 2
400LV
Harris
56%
Harris
56%

Harris

56%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+12

Sept. 30, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 29-Oct. 1
1,261LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
1,261LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

West

0%
46%
TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
1,463RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
1,463RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
1,000LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
1,000LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Sept. 27-Oct. 1
1,514RV
Sept. 27-Oct. 1
1,514RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Sept. 27-Oct. 1
1,294LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 1
1,294LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Sept. 23-Oct. 1
1,001LV
Sept. 23-Oct. 1
1,001LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+5

President: general election, Nebraska, 2024

Sept. 27-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 1
400LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+11

Sept. 29, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 30
709LV
Sept. 30
709LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

2%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

Kishore

0%

Terry

0%

West

0%
47%
TrumpEven
Sept. 30
709LV
Sept. 30
709LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Sept. 28-30
1,086LV
Sept. 28-30
1,086LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 29-30
800LV
Sept. 29-30
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 29-30
800LV
Sept. 29-30
800LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 29-30
800LV
Sept. 29-30
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 29-30
800LV
Sept. 29-30
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, North Dakota, 2024

Sept. 28-30
500LV
Sept. 28-30
500LV
Harris
32%
Harris
32%

Harris

32%

Trump

59%

Oliver

1%
59%
TrumpTrump+27

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 28-30
1,079LV
Sept. 28-30
1,079LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, New York, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 4-30
400LV
Sept. 4-30
400LV
Harris
61%
Harris
61%

Harris

61%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Harris+21

President: general election, Indiana, 2024

Aug. 28-Sept. 30
400LV
Aug. 28-Sept. 30
400LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+14

President: general election, Ohio, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug. 28-Sept. 30
400LV
Aug. 28-Sept. 30
400LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+7

Sept. 28, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 28-29
1,616LV
Sept. 28-29
1,616LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

1%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpHarris+2
Sept. 27-29
11,381LV
Sept. 27-29
11,381LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 27-29
888RV
Sept. 27-29
888RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Sept. 27-29
837LV
Sept. 27-29
837LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+4

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 28-29
800LV
Sept. 28-29
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Even
Sept. 27-29
816RV
Sept. 27-29
816RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Sept. 26-29
1,090LV
Sept. 26-29
1,090LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+2

President: general election, Alaska, 2024

Sept. 27-29
1,182LV
Sept. 27-29
1,182LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

52%

Kennedy

6%
52%
TrumpTrump+9

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 26-29
500LV
Sept. 26-29
500LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+2

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 25-29
1,001RV
Sept. 25-29
1,001RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3
Sept. 25-29
1,001LV
Sept. 25-29
1,001LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Sept. 25-29
953LV
Sept. 25-29
953LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Sept. 25-29
953LV
Sept. 25-29
953LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%

Terry

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+2
Sept. 20-29
589LV
Sept. 20-29
589LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Sept. 20-29
814RV
Sept. 20-29
814RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 25-29
942LV
Sept. 25-29
942LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+5
Sept. 25-29
942LV
Sept. 25-29
942LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

50%

Oliver

1%

West

1%

De la Cruz

1%

Stein

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+6

President: general election, South Carolina, 2024

Sept. 21-29
1,068LV
Sept. 21-29
1,068LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+10

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Aug. 29-Sept. 29
400LV
Aug. 29-Sept. 29
400LV
Harris
52%
Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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