Pamangaluku ning yatu
Ing Pamangaluku ning yatu (Global warming king Ingles) ya pin ing pamagtas ning karaniwan temperatura ning angin ampong dayatmalat king Yatu manibat anyang tawling dake ning ka19 a dilanwa o siglu (late 19th century) ampo ing palage dang pamitaglus na niti king paintungulan. Manibat anyang mumuna nang dake ning ka20ng dilanwa, ing mitatas 0.8 °C, ing mean a temperatura king babo o balat ning yatu, at milyari ing metung a katlu ning pamagtas manibat kanitang 1980.[1] Alang duda o kapikakunwan a malino ing pamangaluku o pangapali ning sistema ning klima, at maygit lang 90% a siguradu deng siyentipikung ing manimunang magdala kaniti ya pin ing daragul a konsentrasyun da reng greenhouse gas a ibat kareng aktibidad ning tau, alimbawa ing pamanyilab kareng fossil a panangab (fossil fuels) ampo ing pamanyira kareng kakewan o kagubatan.[2][3][4][5] Kikilalanan da la reng pamanigaral a reti deng pambangsang akademya ning syensya da reng anggang manimunang bangsang industrialisadu.[6][A]
Misampulung (summarized) la reng pamagtantsa king ulma ning klima (climate model) king 2007 Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) ning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Agpang kaniti, lalu pang mitas ing temperatura king babo ning yatung Link title1.1 to 2.9 °C (2 to 5.2 °F) para king pekamababang emissions scenario ampong Link title2.4 to 6.4 °C (4.3 to 11.5 °F) para king karelang pekamatas.[7] Ibat pamiyaliwa da reng tantsang deti king pamangamit kareng pamiyaliwa king pamangamit kareng ulma o modelung miayaliwa panga-sensitibu king sukad da reng greenhouse gas.[8][9]
Agpang king AR4, maging aliwa-liwa ing pamagtas temperatura o pamangaluku ampo reng aliwang pamagbayu king kareng balang labwad king mabilug a yatu.[10] Kayabe la kareng epektu king pamagtas ning temperatura deng pamagtas ning pamipatag o lebel ning dayatmalat, ampo ing pamagbayu ning sukad ampong pamirake ning uran at aliwang uri ning presipitasyu, at mapalyaring ing pamaglapad da reng subtropical a desyertu.[11]
Notes
[mag-edit | alilan ya ing pikuwanan]- ^ The 2001 joint statement was signed by the national academies of science of Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, the Caribbean, the People's Republic of China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, Malaysia, New Zealand, Sweden, and the UK.[12] The 2005 statement added Japan, Russia, and the U.S. The 2007 statement added Mexico and South Africa. The Network of African Science Academies, and the Polish Academy of Sciences have issued separate statements. Professional scientific societies include American Astronomical Society, American Chemical Society, American Geophysical Union, American Institute of Physics, American Meteorological Society, American Physical Society, American Quaternary Association, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences, Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, European Academy of Sciences and Arts, European Geosciences Union, European Science Foundation, Geological Society of America, Geological Society of Australia, Geological Society of London-Stratigraphy Commission, InterAcademy Council, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, International Union for Quaternary Research, National Association of Geoscience Teachers, National Research Council (US), Royal Meteorological Society, and World Meteorological Organization.
- ^ Earth has already experienced almost 1/2 of the 2.0Expression error: Unrecognized word "f".Expression error: Unrecognized word "f". Expression error: Unrecognized word "f". (
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- Invalid output type {4}="1", in {{Convert|Template:Uncomma||F-change|1|...}}. ) described in the Cancun Agreement. In the last 100 years, Earth's average surface temperature increased by about 0.8Expression error: Unrecognized word "f".Expression error: Unrecognized word "f". Expression error: Unrecognized word "f". (
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- Invalid output type {4}="1", in {{Convert|Template:Uncomma||F-change|1|...}}. ) with about two thirds of the increase occurring over just the last three decades.[1] - ^ Note that the greenhouse effect produces an average worldwide temperature increase of about Template:Convert/0/AonSoff (
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- Invalid output type {4}="", in {{Convert|Template:Uncomma|0|0||...}}. ) compared to black body predictions without the greenhouse effect, not an average surface temperature of Template:Convert/0/AonSoff (
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- Invalid output type {4}="", in {{Convert|Template:Uncomma|0|0||...}}. ). The average worldwide surface temperature is about Template:Convert/0/AonSoff (
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- Invalid output type {4}="", in {{Convert|Template:Uncomma|0|0||...}}. ). [13]
- ^ In the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, published in 2007, this attribution is given a probability of greater than 90%, based on expert judgement.[14] According to the US National Research Council Report – Understanding and Responding to Climate Change – published in 2008, "[most] scientists agree that the warming in recent decades has been caused primarily by human activities that have increased the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere."[15]
Citations
[mag-edit | alilan ya ing pikuwanan]- ↑ 1.0 1.1 (2011) America's Climate Choices. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press. ISBN 978-0-309-14585-5. “The average temperature of the Earth’s surface increased by about 1.4 °F (0.8 °C) over the past 100 years, with about 1 °F (0.6 °C) of this warming occurring over just the past three decades”
- ↑ "Malino at alang duda ing pamangaluku o pangapali ning sistema ning klima, at iti makalto king pamagumasid king pamagtas ning average a temperatura ning angin ampong oseanu o dayatmalat, ing maleparan a pangalaso ning nyebe ampong yelu, ampo ing pamagtas ning lebel ning dayatmalat." ("Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice and rising global average sea level.") IPCC, Synthesis Report Archived Nobyembri 2, 2018 at the Wayback Machine, Section 1.1: Observations of climate change Archived Agostu 4, 2018 at the Wayback Machine, in IPCC AR4 SYR 2007.
- ↑ "Three different approaches are used to describe uncertainties each with a distinct form of language. * * * Where uncertainty in specific outcomes is assessed using expert judgment and statistical analysis of a body of evidence (e.g. observations or model results), then the following likelihood ranges are used to express the assessed probability of occurrence: virtually certain >99%; extremely likely >95%; very likely >90%; likely >66%;......" IPCC, Synthesis Report Archived Nobyembri 2, 2018 at the Wayback Machine, Treatment of Uncertainty Archived Marsu 9, 2013 at the Wayback Machine, in IPCC AR4 SYR 2007.
- ↑ IPCC, Synthesis Report Archived Nobyembri 2, 2018 at the Wayback Machine, Section 2.4: Attribution of climate change Archived Nobyembri 3, 2018 at the Wayback Machine, in IPCC AR4 SYR 2007.
- ↑ America's Climate Choices: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change; National Research Council (2010). Advancing the Science of Climate Change. Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press. ISBN 0-309-14588-0. “(p1) ... there is a strong, credible body of evidence, based on multiple lines of research, documenting that climate is changing and that these changes are in large part caused by human activities. While much remains to be learned, the core phenomenon, scientific questions, and hypotheses have been examined thoroughly and have stood firm in the face of serious scientific debate and careful evaluation of alternative explanations. * * * (p21-22) Some scientific conclusions or theories have been so thoroughly examined and tested, and supported by so many independent observations and results, that their likelihood of subsequently being found to be wrong is vanishingly small. Such conclusions and theories are then regarded as settled facts. This is the case for the conclusions that the Earth system is warming and that much of this warming is very likely due to human activities.”
- ↑ Joint Science Academies' Statement (PDF). Archived from the original on 9 September 2013. Retrieved on 9 August 2010.
- ↑ Meehl et al., Chap. 10: Global Climate Projections Archived Abril 15, 2016 at the Wayback Machine, Sec. 10.ES: Mean Temperature Archived Nobyembri 16, 2011 at the Wayback Machine, in IPCC AR4 WG1 2007.
- ↑ Schneider Von Deimling, Thomas (2006). "Climate sensitivity estimated from ensemble simulations of glacial climate". Climate Dynamics. Template:Citeseerx.
- ↑ Meehl et al., Chap. 10: Global Climate Projections Archived Abril 15, 2016 at the Wayback Machine, Section 10.5: Quantifying the Range of Climate Change, in IPCC AR4 WG1 2007.
- ↑ Solomon et al., Technical Summary, Section TS.5.3: Regional-Scale Projections, in IPCC AR4 WG1 2007.
- ↑
Lu, Jian; Vechhi, Gabriel A.; Reichler, Thomas (2007). "Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming" (PDF). Geophysical Research Letters 34 (6): L06805. doi: . Archived from the original. You must specify the date the archive was made using the
|archivedate=
parameter. http://www.atmos.berkeley.edu/~jchiang/Class/Spr07/Geog257/Week10/Lu_Hadley06.pdf. - ↑ Kirby, Alex (17 May 2001). "Science academies back Kyoto", BBC News. Retrieved on 27 July 2011.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ IPCC, Synthesis Report Summary for Policymakers Archived Marsu 9, 2013 at the Wayback Machine, Introduction Archived Marsu 9, 2013 at the Wayback Machine, in IPCC AR4 SYR 2007.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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Dalerayan
[mag-edit | alilan ya ing pikuwanan]- IEA (2009), World Energy Outlook 2009, Paris, France: International Energy Agency (IEA), ISBN 978-92-64-06130-9, http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/media/weowebsite/2009/WEO2009.pdf
- IPCC AR4 SYR (2007), Core Writing Team; Pachauri, R.K; and Reisinger, A., ed., Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report, Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, ISBN 92-9169-122-4, http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/contents.html
- IPCC AR4 WG1 (2007), Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M.; Chen, Z.; Marquis, M.; Averyt, K.B.; Tignor, M.; and Miller, H.L., ed., Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, ISBN 978-0-521-88009-1, http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/contents.html (pb: Template:ISBNT)
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- Research
- NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies – Global change research
- NOAA State of the Climate Report – U.S. and global monthly state of the climate reports
- Climate Change at the National Academies Archived Mayu 2, 2015 at the Wayback Machine – repository for reports
- Nature Reports Climate Change – free-access web resource
- Met Office: Climate change – UK National Weather Service
- Global Science and Technology Sources on the Internet – commented list
- Educational Global Climate Modelling Archived Marsu 23, 2015 at the Wayback Machine (EdGCM) – research-quality climate change simulator
- DISCOVER Archived Abril 4, 2013 at the Wayback Machine – satellite-based ocean and climate data since 1979 from NASA
- Global Warming Art – collection of figures and images
- Climate & Development Knowledge Network, run by an alliance of organisations that include PwC and ODI
- Educational
- What Is Global Warming? – by National Geographic
- Global Climate Change Indicators – from NOAA
- NOAA Climate Services – from NOAA
- Global Warming Frequently Asked Questions – from NOAA
- Understanding Climate Change – Frequently Asked Questions Archived Marsu 5, 2009 at the Wayback Machine – from UCAR
- Global Warming: Center for Global Studies at the University of Illinois Archived Mayu 8, 2012 at the Wayback Machine
- Global Climate Change: NASA's Eyes on the Earth – from NASA's JPL and Caltech
- OurWorld 2.0 – from the United Nations University
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions – business and politics
- Best Effort Global Warming Trajectories – Wolfram Demonstrations Project – by Harvey Lam
- Koshland Science Museum – Global Warming Facts and Our Future – graphical introduction from National Academy of Sciences
- Climate Change: Coral Reefs on the Edge Archived Juniu 14, 2010 at the Wayback Machine – A video presentation by Prof. Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, University of Auckland
- Climate Change Indicators in the United States Report by United States Environmental Protection Agency, 80 pp.
- Global Warming
- Video on the effects of global warming on St. Lawrence Island in the Bering Sea
- The World Bank - Climate Change - A 4 Degree Warmer World - We must and can avoid it (Infographic)