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The '''2022 Illinois gubernatorial election''' took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the [[governor of Illinois]], concurrently with the [[2022 Illinois elections|2022 Illinois general election]]. Gubernatorial candidates ran on [[Ticket (election)|tickets]] with candidates for [[Lieutenant Governor of Illinois|lieutenant governor]]. The incumbent governor and lieutenant governor, first-term Democrats [[J. B. Pritzker]] and [[Juliana Stratton]], sought reelection together against Republican nominees Illinois State Senator [[Darren Bailey]] and his running mate [[Stephanie Trussell]].
The '''2022 Illinois gubernatorial election''' took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the [[governor of Illinois]], concurrently with the [[2022 Illinois elections|2022 Illinois general election]]. Gubernatorial candidates ran on [[Ticket (election)|tickets]] with candidates for [[Lieutenant Governor of Illinois|lieutenant governor]]. The incumbent governor and lieutenant governor, first-term Democrats [[J. B. Pritzker]] and [[Juliana Stratton]], sought reelection together against Republican nominees Illinois State Senator [[Darren Bailey]] and his running mate [[Stephanie Trussell]].


In the general election, Pritzker won re-election with 54.6% of the vote, roughly the same percentage that he won in [[2018 Illinois gubernatorial election|2018]]. Prtizker's victory was once again the result a strong performance in the [[Chicago metropolitan area]]—containing a majority of the state's population—winning a lopsided victory in strongly Democratic [[Cook County, Illinois|Cook County]], the home of [[Chicago]], as well as winning all but one of the neighboring [[collar counties]]. However, Bailey improved upon former Republican governor [[Bruce Rauner]]'s performance in 2018 by just under 4%, largely due to the absence of a strong third-party conservative candidate that appeared in 2018. Subsequently, Bailey was able to flip the counties of [[Alexander County, Illinois|Alexander]], [[Fulton County, Illinois|Fulton]], [[Jackson County, Illinois|Jackson]], [[Knox County, Illinois|Knox]], and [[Winnebago County, Illinois|Winnebago]] which Pritzker previously won, while Pritzker managed to flip [[McLean County, Illinois|McLean]] county, marking the first time since [[1948 Illinois gubernatorial election|1948]] that it has voted for a Democrat in a gubernatorial election.
In the general election, Pritzker won re-election with 54.6% of the vote, 0.1% better that he won in [[2018 Illinois gubernatorial election|2018]]. This was the best raw percentage of the vote received by a Democrat for governor since [[1960 Illinois gubernatorial election|1960]]. The overall margin of victory in 2022 was a 12% win while in 2018 Pritzker won by 15.7%, which is a 3.7% decrease for Pritzker. Prtizker's victory was once again the result a strong performance in the [[Chicago metropolitan area]]—containing a majority of the state's population—winning a lopsided victory in strongly Democratic [[Cook County, Illinois|Cook County]], the home of [[Chicago]], as well as winning all but one of the neighboring [[collar counties]]. However, Bailey improved upon former Republican governor [[Bruce Rauner]]'s performance in 2018 by just under 4%, largely due to the absence of a strong third-party conservative candidate that appeared in 2018. Subsequently, Bailey was able to flip the counties of [[Alexander County, Illinois|Alexander]], [[Fulton County, Illinois|Fulton]], [[Jackson County, Illinois|Jackson]], [[Knox County, Illinois|Knox]], and [[Winnebago County, Illinois|Winnebago]] which Pritzker previously won, while Pritzker managed to flip [[McLean County, Illinois|McLean]] county, marking the first time since [[1948 Illinois gubernatorial election|1948]] that it has voted for a Democrat in a gubernatorial election.


Pritzker was the first Illinois governor to serve a full term and get reelected for a second since [[Rod Blagojevich]] in [[2006 Illinois gubernatorial election|2006]]. If Pritzker serves the entirety of his term, he would become the first Democratic governor in the state's history to serve two full four-year terms, as every other Democrat governor was either impeached, died or resigned before finishing their second term.
Pritzker was the first Illinois governor to serve a full term and get reelected for a second since [[Rod Blagojevich]] in [[2006 Illinois gubernatorial election|2006]]. If Pritzker serves the entirety of his term, he would become the first Democratic governor in the state's history to serve two full four-year terms, as every other Democrat governor had either been impeached, died or resigned before finishing their second term.


==Election information==
==Election information==

Revision as of 19:12, 27 November 2022

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.
2022 Illinois gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
Nominee J. B. Pritzker Darren Bailey
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Juliana Stratton Stephanie Trussell
Popular vote 2,199,208 1,717,374
Percentage 54.6% 42.6%
County results
Pritzker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Bailey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

J. B. Pritzker
Democratic

Elected Governor

J. B. Pritzker
Democratic

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The 2022 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Illinois, concurrently with the 2022 Illinois general election. Gubernatorial candidates ran on tickets with candidates for lieutenant governor. The incumbent governor and lieutenant governor, first-term Democrats J. B. Pritzker and Juliana Stratton, sought reelection together against Republican nominees Illinois State Senator Darren Bailey and his running mate Stephanie Trussell.

In the general election, Pritzker won re-election with 54.6% of the vote, 0.1% better that he won in 2018. This was the best raw percentage of the vote received by a Democrat for governor since 1960. The overall margin of victory in 2022 was a 12% win while in 2018 Pritzker won by 15.7%, which is a 3.7% decrease for Pritzker. Prtizker's victory was once again the result a strong performance in the Chicago metropolitan area—containing a majority of the state's population—winning a lopsided victory in strongly Democratic Cook County, the home of Chicago, as well as winning all but one of the neighboring collar counties. However, Bailey improved upon former Republican governor Bruce Rauner's performance in 2018 by just under 4%, largely due to the absence of a strong third-party conservative candidate that appeared in 2018. Subsequently, Bailey was able to flip the counties of Alexander, Fulton, Jackson, Knox, and Winnebago which Pritzker previously won, while Pritzker managed to flip McLean county, marking the first time since 1948 that it has voted for a Democrat in a gubernatorial election.

Pritzker was the first Illinois governor to serve a full term and get reelected for a second since Rod Blagojevich in 2006. If Pritzker serves the entirety of his term, he would become the first Democratic governor in the state's history to serve two full four-year terms, as every other Democrat governor had either been impeached, died or resigned before finishing their second term.

Election information

The primaries and general elections will coincide with those for federal congressional races, the state's U.S. Senate race, and those for other state offices. The election will be part of the 2022 Illinois elections.

The primary election was held on June 28.[1] The general election was held on November 8, 2022.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Beverly Miles, U.S. Army veteran, registered nurse and activist[3]
    • Running mate: Karla Shaw[4]

Endorsements

J. B. Pritzker
Organizations
Newspapers
Labor unions

Results

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Pritzker—>90%
  •   Pritzker—80–90%
  •   Pritzker—70–80%
  •   Pritzker—60–70%
  •   Pritzker—50–60%
Democratic primary results[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic
810,989 91.88%
Democratic
  • Beverly Miles
  • Karla Shaw
 71,704 8.12%
Total votes 882,693 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Removed from ballot

Declined

Endorsements

Darren Bailey
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
  • Illinois Family Action[36]
  • Illinois Federation for Right to Life[37]
  • Illinois Citizens for Life[37]
Richard Irvin
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Attorneys
Statewide officeholders
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Labor unions
Gary Rabine
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Local officials
Paul Schimpf
Newspapers
Jesse Sullivan
State legislators
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Darren
Bailey 		Richard
Irvin 		Gary
Rabine 		Paul
Schimpf 		Max
Solomon 		Jesse
Sullivan 		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics June 6–13, 2022 June 15, 2022 35.0% 18.5% 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 11.5% 22.0% Bailey +16.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Darren
Bailey 		Richard
Irvin 		Gary
Rabine 		Paul
Schimpf 		Max
Solomon 		Jesse
Sullivan 		Other Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R) June 24, 2022 518 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 13% 9% 3% 1% 17% – 20%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[A] June 20–22, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 14% 7% 4% <1% 17% 1%[c] 18%
Remington Research Group (R)[B] June 14–15, 2022 889 (LV) ± 3.0% 27% 13% 8% 6% 3% 27% – 26%
The Trafalgar Group (R) June 10–13, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 2.9% 38% 20% 8% 5% 1% 12% – 16%
Ogden & Fry (R) June 11–12, 2022 662 (LV) ± 3.9% 31% 17% 8% 3% 1% 11% – 30%
Public Policy Polling (D) June 6–7, 2022 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 32% 17% 6% 4% 2% 11% – 27%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[A] June 1–2, 2022 600 (LV) ± 3.5% 27% 20% 12% 3% – 13% – 24%
1892 Polling (R)[C] May 24–25, 2022 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 25% 31% 8% 2% 1% 11% – 22%
Emerson College May 6–8, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 20% 24% 8% 2% 2% 7% – 37%
Cor Strategies (R) April 29 – May 2, 2022 671 (LV) ± 3.8% 21% 33% 7% 2% 3% 10% – 25%
Cor Strategies (R)[D] April 18–21, 2022 536 (LV) ± 4.2% 13% 30% 4% 1% 2% 9% 2%[d] 38%
Cor Strategies (R)[D] ~February 11, 2022 – (LV) – 23% 10% 6% 5% 1% 11% – 44%
Ogden & Fry (R) October 3–4, 2021 404 (LV) ± 5.0% 33% – 5% 3% – 6% 3% 49%

Results

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Bailey—>90%
  •   Bailey—80–90%
  •   Bailey—70–80%
  •   Bailey—60–70%
  •   Bailey—50–60%
  •   Bailey—40–50%
  •   Sullivan—50–60%
  •   Schimpf—40–50%
Republican primary results[9][49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
458,102 57.48%
Republican
  • Jesse Sullivan
  • Kathleen Murphy
 125,094 15.70%
Republican
119,592 15.00%
Republican
  • Gary Rabine
  • Aaron Del Mar
 52,194 6.55%
Republican
34,676 4.35%
Republican
  • Max Solomon
  • Latasha H. Fields
 7,371 0.92%
Total votes 797,029 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Scott Schluter, veteran, diesel technician, and chair of the Southern Illinois Libertarian Party[50]
    • Running mate: John Phillips[51]

Withdrew

  • Jon Stewart, former professional wrestler and candidate in 2018[52]

Other parties and independents

Independents

Declared but never filed

Removed from ballot

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[55] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[56] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] Safe D June 29, 2022
Politico[58] Likely D April 1, 2022
RCP[59] Lean D October 26, 2022
Fox News[60] Solid D August 22, 2022
538[61] Solid D June 30, 2022

Endorsements

J. B. Pritzker (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Darren Bailey (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
  • Illinois Family Action[36]
  • Illinois Federation for Right to Life[37]
  • Illinois Citizens for Life[37]
  • Illinois Fraternal Order of Police[81]
  • A Brotherhood Aimed Towards Education of Illinois[82]

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker (D) 		Darren
Bailey (R) 		Scott
Schluter (L) 		Other Undecided
Victory Research (R) November 5–7, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 42% 5% – 4%
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 56% 37% 2% – 5%
Civiqs October 22–25, 2022 659 (LV) ± 4.3% 56% 39% – 3%[e] 1%
Emerson College October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 41% 3% 2%[f] 4%
52% 42% 3% 3%[g] –
Osage Research (R)[E] October 13–15, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% 4% – 10%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 10–11, 2022 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 34% 8% – 9%
Research America October 5–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 28% 6% 4%[h] 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[A] September 25–27, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 45% – – 5%
48% 40% 3% – 8%
Emerson College September 21–23, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 36% – 5%[i] 8%
Osage Research (R)[E] September 8–10, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 37% 8% – 13%
Victory Research (R) August 30 – September 1, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 36% 2% – 15%
Victory Geek (D) August 25–28, 2022 512 (LV) ± 4.3% 56% 38% – – 6%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[A] August, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 38% 3% – 10%
52% 42% – – 6%
Victory Research (R) July 17–19, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 49% 39% 2% – 10%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[A] June 20–21, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 43% – – 7%
Victory Research (R) January 18–20, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 55% 27% – – 17%
Hypothetical polling
J. B. Pritzker vs. Richard Irvin
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker (D) 		Richard
Irvin (R) 		Undecided
Victory Research (R) January 18–20, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 53% 22% 25%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Gary Rabine
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker (D) 		Gary
Rabine (R) 		Undecided
Victory Research (R) January 18–20, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 52% 28% 19%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Paul Schimpf
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker (D) 		Paul
Schimpf (R) 		Undecided
Victory Research (R) January 18–20, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 56% 22% 22%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Jesse Sullivan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker (D) 		Jesse
Sullivan (R) 		Undecided
Victory Research (R) January 18–20, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 53% 22% 25%
J. B. Pritzker vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Victory Geek (D) November 8–10, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 41% 10%
J. B. Pritzker vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		J. B.
Pritzker (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Victory Research (R) July 17–19, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 47% 6%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[A] June 20–21, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 3%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[A] June 20–21, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 44% 10%

Debates

2022 Illinois gubernatorial debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee

 W  Withdrawn

J. B. Pritzker Darren Bailey
October 6, 2022 Illinois State University Youtube P P
October 18, 2022 NewsNation Youtube P P

Results

2022 Illinois gubernatorial election[83]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
2,199,079 54.60% −0.13%
Republican
1,717,284 42.60% +3.97%
Libertarian
  • Scott Schluter
  • John Phillips
 112,366 2.80% +0.40%
Total votes 4,028,729 100.0%
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Johnson with 1%, Smith with <1%
  4. ^ Johnson with 2%
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  8. ^ "Other" with 0%; "None" with 4%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g This poll was sponsored by People Who Play by the Rules PAC, which supports Bailey
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Sullivan's campaign
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Irvin's camapign
  4. ^ a b Poll conducted for an undisclosed client
  5. ^ a b Poll conducted for Bailey's campaign.

References

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  66. ^ "Illinois quick hits: Lightfoot endorses Pritzker; Groupon to lay off 500 workers".
  67. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Governor J.B. Pritzker and Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton of Illinois for Reelection".
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  75. ^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved October 29, 2022.
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Official campaign websites
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