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{{see also|2020 United States Senate elections}}{{Short description|none}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2020}} |
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{{use American English|date=November 2020}} |
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{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi |
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| country = Mississippi |
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| flag_image = Bicentennial Banner of Mississippi.svg |
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| type = presidential |
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| ongoing = no |
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| previous_election = 2018 United States Senate special election in Mississippi |
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| previous_year = 2018 (special) |
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| next_election = 2026 United States Senate election in Mississippi |
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| next_year = 2026 |
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| election_date = November 3, 2020 |
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| image1 = [[File:Official headshot of US Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith.jpg|x150px]] |
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| nominee1 = '''[[Cindy Hyde-Smith]]''' |
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| party1 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote1 = '''709,539''' |
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| percentage1 = '''54.11%''' |
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| image2 = [[File:Mike_Espy_20120223-OCE-RBN-1281_(cropped_2) (cropped).jpg|x150px]] |
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| nominee2 = [[Mike Espy]] |
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| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote2 = 578,806 |
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| percentage2 = 44.13% |
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| map_image = {{switcher |[[File:2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi results map by county.svg|250px]] |County results |[[File:2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi election results by congressional district.svg |250px]] |Congressional district results |[[File:2020 MS Senate.svg |250px]] |Precinct results |default=1}} |
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| map_size = 250px |
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| map_caption = '''Hyde-Smith:''' {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80-90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br/> '''Espy:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996E2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674DE|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584CDE|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933E5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br />'''Tie:''' {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}} |
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| title = U.S. Senator |
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| before_election = [[Cindy Hyde-Smith]] |
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| before_party = [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] |
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| after_election = [[Cindy Hyde-Smith]] |
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| after_party = [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] |
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| turnout = 60.4% {{Increase}} |
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}} |
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{{Elections in Mississippi}} |
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The '''2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi''' was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the [[United States Senate]] to represent the [[Mississippi|State of Mississippi]], concurrently with the [[2020 United States presidential election|2020 U.S. presidential election]], as well as [[2020 United States Senate elections|other elections]] to the United States Senate, [[2020 United States House of Representatives elections|elections]] to the [[United States House of Representatives]] and various [[2020 United States elections|state and local elections]]. |
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Incumbent [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] Senator [[Cindy Hyde-Smith]] won reelection to a full term against [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] nominee [[Mike Espy]], in a rematch of the [[2018 United States Senate special election in Mississippi|2018 special election]]. Despite being outspent nearly four to one,<ref>{{Cite web|title=Mississippi Senate 2020 Race|url=https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2020&id=MSS1|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210421142343/https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2020&id=MSS1|archive-date=2021-04-21| publisher=[[OpenSecrets]]}}</ref> Hyde-Smith won by a ten-point margin; however, she underperformed Republican president [[Donald Trump]] in the concurrent [[2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi|presidential election]] by around 6 points. |
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==Republican primary== |
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===Candidates=== |
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====Nominee==== |
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*[[Cindy Hyde-Smith]], incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S8MS00261/|title=HYDE-SMITH, CINDY – Candidate overview|website=FEC.gov}}</ref> |
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====Declined==== |
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*Gerard Gibert, businessman and vice chairman of the Mississippi Lottery Board<ref>{{cite news|last1=Lange|first1=Alan|title=Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/05/22/say-it-aint-so-time-to-talk-about-the-2020-senate-race-already/|publisher=Y'all Politics|date=May 22, 2019|access-date=May 23, 2019}}</ref> |
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*[[Chris McDaniel]], incumbent state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018<ref name="McClatchy">{{cite news|last1=Douglas|first1=William|last2=Glueck|first2=Katie|title=Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon|url=https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/midterms/article222320205.html|newspaper=McClatchy|date=November 28, 2018|access-date=November 30, 2018}}</ref> |
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*Josh Randle, former president of the [[Miss America|Miss America Organization]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Ganucheau |first1=Adam |title=Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary |url=https://mississippitoday.org/2019/11/12/former-miss-america-pageant-leader-mulls-sen-hyde-smith-challenge-in-2020-gop-primary/ |website=Mississippi Today |access-date=November 15, 2019 |date=November 12, 2019}}</ref> |
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===Endorsements=== |
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{{Endorsements box |
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|title=Cindy Hyde-Smith |
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|list= |
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;Organizations |
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* [[Maggie's List]]<ref name="autogenerated3">{{Cite web|url=http://maggieslist.org/candidates/2020-candidates|title=2020 Candidates|website=maggieslist.org}}</ref> |
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}} |
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===Results=== |
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{{Election box begin no change |
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| title = Republican primary results<ref name="MSGOP">{{cite web|work=MS GOP|url=https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2020-Republican-Primary.aspx|access-date=June 3, 2020|date=June 3, 2020|title=2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results|archive-date=August 14, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200814231549/https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2020-Republican-Primary.aspx|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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}} |
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{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
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| candidate = [[Cindy Hyde-Smith]] (incumbent) |
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| party = Republican Party (United States) |
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| votes = 235,463 |
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| percentage = 100.0% |
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}} |
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{{Election box total no change |
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| votes = 235,463 |
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| percentage = 100.0% |
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}} |
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{{Election box end}} |
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==Democratic primary== |
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===Candidates=== |
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====Nominee==== |
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*[[Mike Espy]], former [[United States Secretary of Agriculture]], former [[United States House of Representatives|U.S. representative]] for [[Mississippi's 2nd congressional district]], and nominee for [[United States Senate|U.S. Senate]] in [[2018 United States Senate special election in Mississippi|2018]]<ref name="McClatchy"/><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S8MS00287/|title=ESPY, MICHAEL – Candidate overview|website=FEC.gov}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi |url=https://www.phillytrib.com/news/elections/democrat-mike-espy-starts-us-senate-bid-in-mississippi/article_3f286171-2dbc-5180-b6ad-ef87b82f8875.html |website=The Philadelphia Tribune |date=November 15, 2019 |language=en}}</ref> |
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====Eliminated in primary==== |
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*Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in [[2018 United States Senate special election in Mississippi|2018]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/00f4303f2c38388fa163e9a406d433de|title=Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate|date=2020-01-10|website=AP NEWS|access-date=2020-02-13}}</ref> |
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*Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018<ref>{{cite web|last=Ulmer|first=Sarah|url=https://www.yallpolitics.com/2019/06/17/unique-candidate-jensen-bohren-announces-candidacy-for-2020-u-s-senate-run/|title=Unique candidate Jensen Bohren announces candidacy for 2020 U.S. Senate run|date=June 17, 2019|access-date=June 17, 2019}}</ref> |
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====Declined==== |
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*[[J. P. Hughes Jr.]], state representative and candidate for [[Lieutenant Governor of Mississippi]] in 2019<ref name="Wishlist">{{cite web |last1=Singiser |first1=Steve |title=Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours? |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/2/17/1832410/-Here-s-our-ultimate-Democratic-wishlist-for-Senate-in-2020-Who-s-on-yours |website=Daily Kos |access-date=19 February 2019}}</ref> |
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* [[Brandon Presley]], member of the [[Mississippi Public Service Commission]]<ref name="Wishlist" /> |
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=== Endorsements === |
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{{Endorsements box |
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|title=Mike Espy |
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|list= |
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;Organizations |
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* [[Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee|DSCC]]<ref name=autogenerated2>{{cite web| title=DSCC Endorses Mike Espy in Mississippi Senate Race| url=https://www.dscc.org/press-release/dscc-endorses-mike-espy-in-mississippi-senate-race/|date=November 13, 2019}}</ref> |
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* Flip the Senate<ref name=autogenerated1>{{Cite web|url=https://www.howweflipthesenate.com/candidates|title=Our Candidates|website=Flip the Senate|access-date=March 10, 2020}}</ref> |
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* [[Human Rights Campaign]]<ref name=autogenerated4>{{cite web|last1=Acosta|first1=Lucas|title=HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.hrc.org/blog/hrc-endorses-mike-espy-for-u.s.-senate|website=Human Rights Campaign|language=en|date=March 4, 2020}}</ref> |
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}} |
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=== Results === |
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[[File:2020MSSEND.svg|thumb|150px|Results by county |
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{{collapsible list |
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|title={{legend|#7996e2|Espy}} |
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|{{legend|#0d0956|≥90%}} |
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|{{legend|#3933e5|80–90%}} |
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|{{legend|#584cde|70–80%}} |
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}} |
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{{collapsible list |
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|title={{legend|#51c2c2|Bartee}} |
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|{{legend|#51c2c2|50–60%}} |
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}} |
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]] |
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{{Election box begin no change |
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| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="MSDEM">{{cite web|work=MS DEMS|url=https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2020-Democratic-Primary.aspx|access-date=June 3, 2020|date=June 3, 2020|title=2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results|archive-date=April 18, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200418042035/https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2020-Democratic-Primary.aspx|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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}} |
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{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
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| candidate = [[Mike Espy]] |
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| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| votes =250,496 |
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| percentage =93.12% |
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}} |
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{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| candidate = Tobey Bartee |
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| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| votes =11,148 |
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| percentage =4.14% |
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}} |
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{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| candidate = Jensen Bohren |
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| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| votes =7,345 |
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| percentage =2.74% |
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}} |
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{{Election box total no change |
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| votes =268,989 |
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| percentage = 100.0% |
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}} |
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{{Election box end}} |
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==Other candidates == |
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===Libertarian Party=== |
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====Nominee==== |
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*Jimmy Edwards<ref>{{cite news |url=https://fox11online.com/news/connect-to-congress/espy-wins-mississippi-us-senate-primary-setting-up-rematch-with-hyde-smith |access-date=May 13, 2020 |date=Mar 11, 2020 |first=Emily |last=Pettus |title=Espy wins Mississippi US Senate primary, setting up rematch with Hyde-Smith |agency=Associated Press}}</ref> |
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==General election== |
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===Predictions=== |
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{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
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!Source |
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!Ranking |
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!As of |
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|- |
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| align=left | [[The Cook Political Report]]<ref name="Cook PR">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020 | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/230641 |website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=March 11, 2021}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} |
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|October 29, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align=left | [[Inside Elections]]<ref name="Inside Elections">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Ratings | url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-october-28-2020 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=March 11, 2021}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} |
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|October 28, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align=left | [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref name="Sabato's Crystal Ball">{{cite web | title=2020 Senate race ratings | url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=March 12, 2021}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} |
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| November 2, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[Daily Kos]]<ref name="Daily Kos">{{Cite web |url=https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2020/office/senate | website=Daily Kos Elections|title=2020 Senate Race Ratings | access-date=March 13, 2021}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} |
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| October 30, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[Politico]]<ref name="Politico">{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |publisher=[[Politico]]}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} |
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|November 2, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[RealClearPolitics|RCP]]<ref name="RCP">{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map.html|title=Battle for the Senate 2020|date=October 23, 2020 |publisher=[[RealClearPolitics|RCP]]}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} |
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|October 23, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[Decision desk|DDHQ]]<ref name="DDHQ">{{Cite web |date=September 2, 2020 |title=2020 Senate Elections Model|url= https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate|access-date=September 2, 2020 |publisher=[[Decision desk|Decision Desk HQ]]}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} |
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|November 3, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[FiveThirtyEight|538]]<ref>{{Cite web | last1=Silver | first1=Nate | title=Forecasting the race for the Senate | url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/ | website=[[FiveThirtyEight]] | access-date=September 18, 2020 | date=September 18, 2020}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} |
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|November 2, 2020 |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[The Economist|Economist]]<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 2, 2020 |title=Forecasting the US elections |url=https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/senate |access-date=March 13, 2021 |publisher=[[The Economist]]}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} |
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|November 2, 2020 |
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|} |
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===Endorsements=== |
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{{Endorsements box |
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|title=Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) |
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|list= |
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;Executive Branch officials |
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* [[Donald Trump]], 45th president of the United States (2017-2021)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://mississippitoday.org/2020/10/21/trump-endorses-cindy-hyde-smith-in-mississippi-senate-race/|title=Trump endorses Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi Senate race|date= 21 October 2020|author=Geoff Pender|website=Mississippi Today}}</ref> |
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;Organizations |
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* [[Campaign for Working Families]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.cwfpac.com/endorsedcandidates|title=Campaign for Working Families Endorsed Candidates}}</ref> |
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* [[Huck PAC]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.huckpac.com/ms/|title=Mississippi|website=www.huckpac.com|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201027003721/https://www.huckpac.com/ms/|archive-date=October 27, 2020|url-status=usurped}}</ref> |
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* [[Maggie's List]]<ref name="autogenerated3"/> |
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* [[Political Victory Fund|NRA Political Victory Fund]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/mississippi/|title=NRA-PVF | Grades | Mississippi|website=NRA-PVF|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201027140201/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/mississippi/|archive-date=October 27, 2020|url-status=usurped}}</ref> |
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* [[Susan B. Anthony List]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.sba-list.org/election-hq|title=2020 Election HQ|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201101092218/https://www.sba-list.org/election-hq|archive-date=November 1, 2020|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
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* [[United States Chamber of Commerce]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://yallpolitics.com/2020/06/30/u-s-chamber-of-commerce-endorses-sen-cindy-hyde-smith-for-mssen/|title=U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate|website=www.yallpolitics.com|date=June 30, 2020 |quote=Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.}}</ref> |
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}} |
Revision as of 22:18, 14 March 2024
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Turnout | 60.4% | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
Hyde-Smith: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90% Espy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Mississippi |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith won reelection to a full term against Democratic nominee Mike Espy, in a rematch of the 2018 special election. Despite being outspent nearly four to one,[1] Hyde-Smith won by a ten-point margin; however, she underperformed Republican president Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by around 6 points.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Cindy Hyde-Smith, incumbent U.S. senator[2]
Declined
- Gerard Gibert, businessman and vice chairman of the Mississippi Lottery Board[3]
- Chris McDaniel, incumbent state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018[4]
- Josh Randle, former president of the Miss America Organization[5]
Endorsements
Cindy Hyde-Smith
- Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) | 235,463 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 235,463 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Espy, former United States Secretary of Agriculture, former U.S. representative for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[4][8][9]
Eliminated in primary
- Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[10]
- Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[11]
Declined
- J. P. Hughes Jr., state representative and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Mississippi in 2019[12]
- Brandon Presley, member of the Mississippi Public Service Commission[12]
Endorsements
Mike Espy
- Organizations
- DSCC[13]
- Flip the Senate[14]
- Human Rights Campaign[15]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Espy | 250,496 | 93.12% | |
Democratic | Tobey Bartee | 11,148 | 4.14% | |
Democratic | Jensen Bohren | 7,345 | 2.74% | |
Total votes | 268,989 | 100.0% |
Other candidates
Libertarian Party
Nominee
- Jimmy Edwards[17]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[18] | Likely R | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[19] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[21] | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
Politico[22] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[23] | Lean R | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[24] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
538[25] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[26] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017-2021)[27]
- Organizations
- ^ "Mississippi Senate 2020 Race". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on April 21, 2021.
- ^ "HYDE-SMITH, CINDY – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ Lange, Alan (May 22, 2019). "Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved May 23, 2019.
- ^ a b Douglas, William; Glueck, Katie (November 28, 2018). "Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon". McClatchy. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ Ganucheau, Adam (November 12, 2019). "Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary". Mississippi Today. Retrieved November 15, 2019.
- ^ a b "2020 Candidates". maggieslist.org.
- ^ "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
- ^ "ESPY, MICHAEL – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ "Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi". The Philadelphia Tribune. November 15, 2019.
- ^ "Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate". AP NEWS. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
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Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.