Foreign involvement in the Russian invasion of Ukraine: Difference between revisions
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{{2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine infobox}} |
{{2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine infobox}} |
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The UK's Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies<ref name= rusiNov2022 >Zabrodskyi et al. [https://static.rusi.org/359-SR-Ukraine-Preliminary-Lessons-Feb-July-2022-web-final.pdf (30 Nov 2022) Preliminary Lessons in Conventional Warfighting from Russia's Invasion of Ukraine: February–July 2022] </ref> has identified the importance of the dispersal of Ukraine's forces, the firepower of Ukraine, and the stockpiles of [[materiel]] available to Ukraine in the face of the invasion.<ref name= econNov2022 >The Economist [https://www.economist.com/europe/2022/11/30/what-is-the-war-in-ukraine-teaching-western-armies? (30 Nov 2023) What is the war in Ukraine teaching Western armies?]</ref> {{anchor|Findings of Royal United Services Institute}}The findings of the [[Royal United Services Institute]] report are<ref name= rusiNov2022 /> |
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# The Russian military is largely subordinated to the [[Intelligence agencies of Russia|special services]] of Russia (the [[Federal Security Service (Russia)|FSB]], [[Main Directorate of Special Programs of the President of the Russian Federation|GUSP]], [[Foreign Intelligence Service (Russia)|SVR]], [[Federal Protective Service (Russia)|FSO]], and the [[GRU (Russian Federation)|GRU]]— but see [[Silovik]]i.) |
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# The Russian force-generation model neglects the [[non-commissioned officer]]s |
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# There is a culture of reinforcing failed orders unless those orders are directly changed at higher levels |
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# The Russian system incentivises a dishonest reporting culture |
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# The Russian processes for identifying friend from foe are inadequate, leading to [[fratricide]]. This forces capabilities that should reinforce each other to operate sequentially, instead. |
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"The [[Institute for the Study of War]] (ISW) has said that Russia has not shown the capacity to sustain multiple major offensive operations at once".<ref name= iswRussia1offensiveOnly >Ukrayinska Pravda [https://www.yahoo.com/news/russia-no-capacity-sustain-multiple-033039140.html (4 Feb 2023) Russia has no capacity to sustain multiple major offensives ISW] "the ISW report: |
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*A Russian decisive offensive operation is unlikely to target the city of Zaporizhzhia from the western Donetsk–Zaporizhzhia frontline. |
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*Russian forces have not shown the capacity to sustain multiple simultaneous large-scale offensive operations that would be necessary to reach the administrative borders of Donetsk Oblast and seize the city of Zaporizhzhia.<!-- |
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*The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) has launched a series of efforts to restructure and consolidate the mismatched blend of irregular forces supporting Russia's war in Ukraine into Russia's conventional military forces. |
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*The Russian MoD's decision to undertake significant structural reform while preparing for a major offensive in eastern Ukraine likely represents an effort by Russian Chief of the General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov to complete reforms while he has Russian President Vladimir Putin's often fleeting favour. |
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*Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is overcompensating for his declining influence by continuing to frame himself as the sole victor in the Bakhmut area. |
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*Russian and Ukrainian officials exchanged 63 Russian prisoners of war for 116 Ukrainian prisoners of war. |
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*Russian forces conducted limited offensive operations northwest of Svatove and continued offensive operations around Kreminna. |
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*They also continued offensive operations around Bakhmut and Vuhledar but have slowed the pace of their offensives along the western outskirts of Donetsk City. |
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*Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian military assets in the east (left) bank in Kherson Oblast. |
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*Russian authorities are attempting to reinvigorate force generation efforts by drawing from broader pools of manpower-->".</ref><ref name= Ru97pct >Ben Watson & Jennifer Hlad [https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/02/the-d-brief-february-15-2023/382976/ (15 Feb 2023) Today's D Brief: Russia using 97% of its army for Ukraine, UK says;..]</ref> |
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<ref name= rosgvardiaNeeded >Reporting from Ukraine [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NuYwwREjjWY (9 Mar 2023) Russian Marines RIOT AND REFUSE TO FIGHT] War in Ukraine Explained— For [[Vuhledar]] Russian 155th and 40th Naval infantry brigades are now merged into one brigade, indicating severe losses; the 155th had been replenished by conscripts 7 times. [[Rosgvardia]] was called in to restore discipline.</ref><ref name=400thousandContractors >Ukrayinska Pravda [https://news.yahoo.com/russian-army-replenished-400-000-032206330.html (15 Mar 2023) Russian army to be replenished with 400,000 new contract service personnel] starting 1 Apr 2023</ref>{{efn|name= randProjection |1= In February 2023, given that sufficient materiel for a decisive result depends on industrial capacity, which takes time to develop, a [[RAND Corporation|RAND]] briefing projects a violent battle in several months, and a return to a grinding war of attrition.<ref name= frozen >Sydney J. Freedberg, Jr. [https://breakingdefense.com/2023/02/rand-experts-fear-stalemate-frozen-conflict-in-ukraine/ (3 Feb 2023) RAND experts fear stalemate, 'frozen conflict' in Ukraine]</ref><ref name= rusi12345example >Isabel Van Brugen [https://www.newsweek.com/wagner-group-bakhmut-tactical-pause-ukraine-1786847 (10 Mar 2023) Wagner Forces Taking 'Tactical Pause' in Bakhmut—ISW] exemplar for RUSI findings 1..5</ref><ref name= rosgvardiaNeeded /><ref name= euDefense >Nathalie Tocci, ''Texas National Security Review'' [https://tnsr.org/2023/01/the-paradox-of-europes-defense-moment/ (Winter 2022/2023) The Paradox of Europe's Defense Moment] '''Vol 6''' (Issue 1)</ref><ref name= unwillingUnable >John R. Deni [https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2023/02/what-tanks-ukraine-tell-us-about-america-pacific/382682/ (7 Feb 2023) What Tanks in Ukraine Tell Us About America in the Pacific] "U.S. hopes that Europe can take care of itself appear to be farfetched".</ref><ref name= cancianYearLater >Mark Cancian, CSIS [https://breakingdefense.com/2023/02/a-year-into-ukraine-looking-back-at-5-prewar-predictions/ (22 Feb 2023) A year into Ukraine, looking back at 5 prewar predictions] 1) "Are tanks obsolete? ; 2) "Is cyber a game changer? ; 3) "Are helicopter operations viable? ; 4) "Are amphibious assaults still possible? ; 5) "Will artillery dominate the modern battlefield? .—Mark Cancian, CSIS</ref><ref name= ukraineHasChangedWar >Peter W Singer [https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2023/02/what-ukraine-has-changed-about-war/383216/ (22 Feb 2023) One Year In: What Are The Lessons from Ukraine For The Future Of War?] 1) take x, add AI; 2) a volunteer cyber army; 3) the first [[internet of Things]] attack; 4) unmanned [[Intelligence, surveillance, target acquisition, and reconnaissance#ISR (Intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance)|ISR]] for [[open-source intelligence]] (OSINT); 5) "disrupted everything from [[energy market]]s to [[supply chain]]s"</ref><ref name= whatUSlearned >Barry McCaffrey [https://www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/watch/what-the-ukraine-military-needs-going-forward-163999813723 (24 Feb 2023) What the Ukraine military needs going forward] "Ret. Gen. Barry McCaffrey and Adm. James Stavridis discuss the military lessons from the Ukraine war and what the Ukraine military needs for 2023"</ref>}}<ref name= ironAiia >Richard Iron CMG OBE, Australian Institute of International Affairs [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pqZFi0jNZdI (4 May 2023) A Strategic Analysis of the Russo-Ukraine War]</ref> |
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<ref name= hodgesInterview >Frankly Fukuyama (Francis Fukuyama) [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dsXNJlH-4iM (22 May 2023) Why Ukraine Will Win: Interview with Gen. Ben Hodges] video clip 33:14</ref><!--ref name= >[]</ref--> |
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== Foreign military sales and aid to Ukraine == |
== Foreign military sales and aid to Ukraine == |
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{{Main list|List of military aid to Ukraine during the Russo-Ukrainian War}} |
{{Main list|List of military aid to Ukraine during the Russo-Ukrainian War}} |
Revision as of 00:33, 6 June 2023
On 24 February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine in a major escalation of the Russo-Ukrainian War, which began in 2014.
Russian invasion of Ukraine | |||||||
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Part of the Russo-Ukrainian War (outline) | |||||||
![]() Map of Ukraine as of 23 August 2024 (details): Continuously controlled by Ukraine
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Belligerents | |||||||
Supported by:![]() |
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Commanders and leaders | |||||||
Units involved | |||||||
Order of battle | Order of battle | ||||||
Strength | |||||||
Pre-invasion at border: 169,000–190,000[d][4][5][6] Pre-invasion total: 900,000 military[7] 554,000 paramilitary[7] In February 2023: 300,000+ active personnel in Ukraine[8] In June 2024: 700,000 active personnel in the area[9] |
Pre-invasion total: 196,600 military[10] 102,000 paramilitary[10] July 2022 total: up to 700,000[11] September 2023 total: over 800,000[12] | ||||||
Casualties and losses | |||||||
Reports vary widely, see § Casualties for details. | |||||||
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Foreign military sales and aid to Ukraine
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/50/Countries_supplying_military_equipment_to_Ukraine_during_the_2022_Russian_invasion.svg/300px-Countries_supplying_military_equipment_to_Ukraine_during_the_2022_Russian_invasion.svg.png)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/28/Countries_supplying_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_2022_Russian_invasion.svg/300px-Countries_supplying_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_2022_Russian_invasion.svg.png)
Although Ukraine is not a member of NATO and does not have any military alliance with the United States or with any NATO nation,[13] the Kiel Institute has tracked $84.2 billion from the 40 countries and the European Union in financial, humanitarian, and military aid to Ukraine from 24 January to 3 August 2022.[14] NATO is coordinating and assisting member states in providing billions of dollars in military equipment and financial aid to Ukraine.[15] The United States has provided the most military assistance, having provided $29.3 billion from February 2022 through 3 February 2023,[16] with a cumulative $38 billion as of 25 May 2023.[17] Many NATO members and allies, such as Germany[e] and Sweden, have reversed past policies against providing offensive military aid in order to support Ukraine. The European Union for the first time in its history supplied lethal arms and has provided €3.1 billion to Ukraine.[19] Bulgaria, a major manufacturer of Soviet-pattern weapons, has covertly supplied more than €2 billion worth of arms and ammunition to Ukraine, including a third of the ammunition needed by the Ukrainian military in the critical early phase of the invasion; Bulgaria also provides fuel supplies and has, at times, covered 40% of the fuel needs of the Ukrainian armed forces.[20]
Between 2014 and 2021, the UK, US, EU, and NATO provided mostly non-lethal military aid to Ukraine.[21] Lethal military support was initially limited. The US began to sell weapons including Javelin anti-tank missiles starting in 2018,[21] and Ukraine agreed to purchase TB2 combat drones from Turkey in 2019.[22] Russia built up equipment and troops on Ukraine's borders in January 2022. In response, the US worked with other NATO member states to transfer US-produced weapons to Ukraine.[23] The UK also began to supply Ukraine with NLAW and Javelin anti-tank weapons.[24] After the invasion, NATO member states including Germany agreed to supply weapons, but NATO as an organisation did not.[25][26][27] NATO and its members also refused to send troops into Ukraine, or to establish a no fly-zone, lest this spark a larger-scale war,[28][29] a decision some labelled appeasement.[30][31]
Aid via drawdown from existing stocks
On 26 February 2022, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced $350 million in lethal military assistance, including anti-armor and anti-aircraft systems.[32][33] The next day the EU stated that it would purchase €450 million (US$502 million) in lethal assistance and an additional €50 million ($56 million) in non-lethal supplies for Ukraine, with Poland handling distribution.[34][35] During the first week of the invasion, NATO member states supplied more than 17,000 anti-tank weapons to Ukraine;[36] by mid-March, the number was estimated to be more than 20,000.[37] In three tranches agreed in February, March and April 2022, the European Union committed to €1.5 billion to support the capabilities and resilience of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the protection of the Ukrainian civilian population, under the purview of the European Peace Facility line.[38]
As of 11 April 2022, Ukraine had been provided with approximately 25,000 anti-air and 60,000 anti-tank weapon systems by the US and its allies.[39] The following day, Russia reportedly received anti-tank missiles and RPGs from Iran, supplied through undercover networks via Iraq.[40] On 19 April 2022, Romania announced a planned reform to the government decree that regulates the export of military weapons and national defence products to provide these weapons not only to NATO allies but also to Ukraine.[41] The Ministry of Defense developed the draft decree stating that the reason behind this decision was Russia's aggression against Ukraine.[42] However, on 27 April Defense Minister Vasile Dincu said that his plan had been discontinued.[43] On 26 April 2022, the US convened a conference in which representatives of more than 40 countries[f] met at the Ramstein Air Base to discuss military support for Ukraine.[46] On 28 April 2022, US President Biden asked Congress for an additional $33 billion to assist Ukraine, including $20 billion to provide weapons to Ukraine.[47] On 5 May, Ukraine's Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal announced that Ukraine had received more than $12 billion worth of weapons and financial aid from Western countries since the start of Russia's invasion on 24 February.[48] On 10 May, the House passed legislation that would provide $40 billion in new aid to Ukraine.[49] After the legislation was approved by the Senate, Biden signed the legislation on 21 May.[50][51]
On 30 May 2022, French Foreign Minister Catherine Colonna announced the provision to Ukraine of additional CAESAR self-propelled howitzer systems,[52] mounted on the Renault Sherpa 5 6×6 chassis. On 25 May, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valerii Zaluzhnyi said that the first batch was already on the front lines fighting the invader.[53] On 10 June, the AFU demonstrated the combat systems to representatives from the press; by that date the Ukrainian gunners possessed 18 CAESAR units.[54][55] On 31 May 2022, the White House informed the press that the US would be supplying HIMARS multiple launch rocket systems to Ukraine.[56] Some analysts had said HIMARS could be a "game-changer" in the war.[57][58] Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl stated that the US would be able to send more systems as the fighting evolves.[59][60]
On 10 June 2022, an official from the Ukrainian military said that they were using 5,000 to 6,000 artillery rounds a day and would then be using 155-calibre NATO standard shells because all their Soviet-era guns had been destroyed. The official said the Russians had transformed the war into an artillery duel focused on the southeast of the country.[61] On 12 June, a Ukrainian Presidential advisor put on Twitter a list of weapons that Ukraine needed to achieve "heavy weapons parity". The top item was "1000 howitzers caliber 155 mm".[62] Ukraine claimed it had enough 155mm ammunition but lacked the artillery to use it. According to Oryxspioenkop only 250 howitzers have been promised or delivered.[63] On 13 June, a Deutsche Welle correspondent said that the Ukrainian supply of Soviet-era ammunition had been exhausted and all they had was a dwindling supply obtained from friendly ex-Soviet countries.[64] In June 2022 Germany declassified its list of military aid to Ukraine.[65] As of July 2022, CNN reported on American recent declassified intel suggested that Iranians have given Shahed 129 UAV combat drones to Russian forces.[66][67]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg/38px-Wikisource-logo.svg.png)
For the 16 US-supplied HIMARS systems in Ukraine (2 August 2022), the US was providing more munitions (additional HIMARS rocket pods in monthly installments, as well as more 155-mm howitzer shells) at a cost of $550 million for the 17th Presidential drawdown package.[68] The 18th US presidential drawdown package was released (8 Aug 2022), a $1 billion package including additional HIMARS rocket pods, 75,000 rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition, 20 120mm mortar systems and 20,000 rounds of 120mm mortar ammunition, National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS),[g][69][70] 1000 Javelins and hundreds of AT4 anti-tank weapons, 50 armored medical treatment vehicles, Claymore mines, C4 explosives, and medical supplies.[71] The 19th US presidential drawdown package (19 Aug 2022) was a $775 million package, which included additional HIMARS rocket pods, 16 105mm howitzers with 36,000 artillery rounds (this supplements the UK's past contributions of 105mm howitzers), 1000 anti-armor Javelins, 2000 anti-armor rounds for the Swedish Carl Gustaf 8.4 cm recoilless rifle, 1,500 tube-launched, optically tracked, wire-guided anti-tank missiles (BGM-71 TOWs), additional AGM-88 HARM air-launched[72]: 4:17 anti-radiation missiles that home on radar sites, 15 ScanEagle UAVs (to guide Ukrainian artillery), 40 mine flail vehicles to clear out minefields, 50 HMMWVs, tactical secure communication systems, demolition munitions, night vision devices, thermal imagery systems, optics, and laser rangefinders.[73][74] The packages since 2021 totaled $10.7 billion by 19 August 2022.[75][71]
In September 2022, 800 combat drones manufactured by the Taiwanese DronesVision were transferred to Ukraine through Poland.[76][77] In November 2022, United Kingdom announced they were donating three former Royal Navy and Royal Air Force Sea King's to Ukraine.[78]
The Institute for the Study of War has assessed that the need for Western supplies was apparent in June 2022, and that, if commitments had been made and preparations for delivery had been made at that time, Ukraine would have been ready to deploy the materiel in November or December 2022. Western nations committed to the delivery of tanks in January 2023. Ukraine was unable to take advantage of Russian military depletion and disorganisation following the successful Kharkiv and Kherson counter-offensives in late 2022, due in significant part to the need to conserve limited stocks of Soviet equipment and the absence of an expectation of Western replacements. This delay allowed Russia to reorganise and reinforce its armed forces, potentially prolonging the war.[79]
United States' Ukraine security assistance package
On 24 August 2022, US President Biden announced aid for longer-term requirements by Ukraine to the amount of $3 billion, the largest aid package since the beginning of the Russian invasion. The money was released from a congressional funding source (Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative — USAI) to allow the US government to procure weapons from industry, including NASAMS air defense units, Puma drones and Vampire counter-drone missiles.[80][81] The Vampire contract was not yet let as of November 2022, with delivery to Ukraine after mid-2023.[82] The longer-term deliveries of materiel will include six additional NASAMS air defense units and their attendant rounds (for a total of eight units);[g][83] up to 245,000 155mm howitzer shells; up to 65,000 120mm mortar rounds; up to 24 counter-battery radars, and the attendant training, maintenance, and sustainment.[84] By 24 August 2022 US aid since January 2021 exceeded $13.5 billion.[85] By August 2022, the United Kingdom had provided military aid to the value of £2.3bn ($2.8bn). This included three M270 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems, some 5,000 NLAW anti-tank missiles, "hundreds" of Brimstone missiles, 120 armoured vehicles including Mastiff Protected Patrol Vehicles, and heavy-lift drones.[86] Additionally, 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers were in an intensive 120-day infantry training course at four bases in Britain, delivered by a multi-national team of trainers.[87]
On 8 September 2022, US secretary of state Blinken announced $2 billion in aid to Ukraine and eighteen partners in the defence industrial base.[88] In addition US secretary of defense Austin announced the 20th drawdown package —up to $675 million for Ukraine military aid at the 5th Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting in Germany, as well as discussion of initiatives for the respective industrial bases of the Defense Contact Group, in order to defend Ukraine's sovereign territory for the long haul.[89][90] On 28 September William LaPlante, US under-secretary of defense for acquisition and sustainment (USD (A&S)) met in Brussels with 40 counterparts in the Ukraine Defense Contact Group. On the agenda was the identification of industrial suppliers of replacement materiel such as gun barrels, ball bearings, steel casings, and microchips, without which the existing military aid will eventually cease to function due to heavy use on the battlefield.[91] LaPlante later noted that a policy of "interoperability, but interchangeability, with multiple plants in multiple countries making identical items" will have a deterrent effect on the adversaries of those countries, as well as on the adversaries of Ukraine.[92] Arms suppliers from Eastern Europe were also arming Ukraine using Ukraine Defense Contacts.[93] On 15 September 2022, US President Biden announced his 21st drawdown package, worth $600 million in military aid to Ukraine in light of the 2022 Kharkiv counteroffensive.[94] On 28 September 2022, the US department of defense announced a USAI (Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative) package worth up to $1.1 billion, which will purchase 18 additional HIMARS systems and their associated rockets from vendors in the future.[95] By 28 September 16 HIMARS systems drawn from the US and an additional 10 equivalent systems from the allies were in service in Ukraine. This USAI package was also to include 150 Humvees (HMMWVs), 150 tactical vehicles, 20 multi-mission radars, explosive ordnance disposal equipment, body armor and tactical secure communications systems, surveillance systems and optics.[95] Training for Ukrainian troops, maintenance, and sustainment were included in this long-term package, totaling $16.2 billion in aid since the beginning of the 2022 invasion.[95]
On 20 February 2023, during an unexpected visit to Kyiv, US President Biden announced a $half-billion aid package for Ukraine,[96] including artillery ammunition, more FGM-148 Javelins, and howitzers.[97][98][99]
Lend-Lease for Ukraine
On 1 October 2022 Lend-Lease for Ukraine came into effect.[h] A proposal to administer US security assistance as part of EUCOM is under consideration at the Pentagon.[101] This plan would systematise the services currently being provided to Ukraine on an ad hoc basis, and would provide a long-term vehicle for countering Russian plans under the provisions of the Lend-Lease act, and for coordinating Allied aid for Ukraine's defense with Ukrainian requests at a single point of contact in Wiesbaden, Germany.[101][102]
On 4 October 2022 the 22nd Presidential drawdown from US stocks to Ukraine, $625 million in security assistance, included a tailored package: 4 more HIMARS systems and their associated rockets; 16 more M777 155mm howitzers and 75,000 155mm rounds; 500 M982 Excalibur precision-guided 155mm rounds; 1,000 155mm rounds of remote anti-armor mine systems; 16 more 105mm M119 howitzers; 30,000 120 mm mortar rounds; 200 mine-resistant, ambush-protected vehicles (MRAPs); 200,000 rounds of small arms ammunition; and Claymore mines. The package responds to current Ukrainian ammunition consumption rates during their latest offensives; more aid is forthcoming according to Laura Cooper, a US DoD deputy assistant secretary of defense.[103] So far, the security assistance has totalled $16.8 billion to Ukraine.[103]
On 14 October 2022 the 23rd Presidential drawdown from US stocks provided Ukraine $725 million in security assistance, including additional rounds for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS); 23,000 155mm howitzer rounds; 500 precision-guided 155mm artillery rounds; 5,000 155mm rounds of Remote Anti-Armor Mine (RAAM) Systems; 5,000 anti-tank weapons; High-speed Anti-radiation missiles (HARMs); more than 200 High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWVs); small arms and more than 2,000,000 rounds of small arms ammunition; and medical supplies.[104] So far, the security assistance has totalled $18.2 billion to Ukraine since January 2021.[104]
On 3 February 2023 a Presidential drawdown package was announced.[105] The package includes: Additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems; Additional 155mm artillery rounds; Additional 120mm mortar rounds; 190 heavy machine guns with thermal imagery sights and associated ammunition to counter unmanned aerial systems; 181 Mine Resistant Ambush Protected vehicles; 250 Javelin anti-armor systems; 2,000 anti-armor rockets; Claymore anti-personnel munitions; Demolitions munitions; Cold weather gear, helmets and other field equipment. On 31 January 2023 Reuters had previously reported that more than $400 million in materiel was allocated by US Presidential drawdown authority (officially announced 3 February 2023), including a new weapon, the §GLSDB available under USAI.[106] [107]
Proposal for a Kyiv Security Compact
In September 2022, former NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen delivered a proposal for a long lasting Kyiv Security Compact to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, on legally binding security guarantees for Ukraine from a coalition of Western countries to bolster its ability to fend off Russian attacks through extensive joint training, the provision of advanced defense weapons systems, and support to develop the country's own defense industrial base.[108]
Aid in construction of a missile defence system
Missile defence of Ukraine was arriving piecemeal;[i] in Brussels on 12 October 2022, US Army General Mark Milley suggested to the Ukraine Defense Contact Group[f] that the allies of Ukraine "chip in to help Ukraine rebuild and sustain an integrated air and missile defense system" from the contributed air and missile defence system materiel.[111] Specifically, Ukraine would need to link together and integrate their existing materiel and radars with "command and control and communication systems".[111][112]: 15:15 [113]: minute 20:25 [j] See §Ukraine's air and missile defence
On 12 October 2022 German Defence Minister Christine Lambrecht announced that an IRIS-T air defence system had arrived in Ukraine, with three more forthcoming in 2023.[115] On 28 October 2022 the Pentagon announced the 24th Presidential drawdown of materiel worth $275 million; the security assistance has totalled $18.5 billion to Ukraine since January 2021.[116] The aid included 500 Excalibur precision-guided 155mm artillery rounds, 2000 155mm remote anti-armor mine systems, more than 1,300 anti-armor weapons, more than 2.75 million rounds of small arms ammunition, more HIMARS rockets, 125 Humvees, and four satellite communications antennas for Ukraine's command and control systems, as well as training for operation of the NASAMS units.[g] Two NASAMS units arrived in Ukraine on 7 November 2022.[116][117][k]
Security Assistance Group Ukraine (SAGU)
By 21 July 2022, the EUCOM Control Center-Ukraine/International Donor Coordination Centre (ECCU/IDCC) a joint cell formed in March 2022 had trained 1,500 Ukrainian Armed Forces members on coalition-donated equipment.[120] By 4 November 2022, the equipment shipments, and training measures of the Ukraine Contact Group had become repeatable enough to systematise in a Security Assistance Group Ukraine (SAGU), based in Wiesbaden, Germany.[102][121][122]
On 4 November 2022 the Pentagon announced a $400 million USAI security assistance package to refurbish 45 T-72 tanks from the Czech Republic with "advanced optics, communications and armor packages";[123] in addition 1,100 Phoenix Ghost tactical unmanned aerial systems (UASs), and "40 armored riverine boats" were in the package.[123] The combined additional aid amounted to 90 more T-72s by year-end 2022, plus 250 M1117 Armored Security Vehicles furnished for the first time, as well as the refurbished HAWK missiles from the Czech Republic, which will serve on the HAWK launchers from Spain. On 10 November, the $400 million aid announcement was clarified: 4 Stinger-based air defense AN/TWQ-1 Avengers, to counter the Iranian drones, were provided to Ukraine for the first time, as well as additional HIMARS rockets, 10,000 mortar rounds, thousands of 155mm howitzer rounds, 400 grenade launchers, 100 Humvees, 20 million rounds of small arms ammunition, and cold-weather gear.[124] So far, the 20 HIMARS launchers drawn from US stocks are still in service; hundreds of T-72s have already been provided by Poland and other nations; the USAI security assistance has totalled $18.9 billion to Ukraine since January 2021.[125]
On 15 November 2022 the US White House Office of Management and Budget asked Congress for an additional $38 billion in fiscal year 2023 in aid for Ukraine.[126] The supplemental funding request included $21.7 billion in security assistance, $14.5 billion in US State department sources and USAID sources to be provided to Ukraine's government, humanitarian relief, and global food security, as well as a $900 million request for the Department of Health and Human Services, to "provide standard assistance health care and support services to Ukrainian parolees"; in addition a $626 million Energy Department request would aid nuclear security at the power plant in Zaporizhzhia.[126] In addition the US White House is requesting that Congress grant $7 billion in additional presidential drawdown authority from existing Defense department materiel.[126] Were Congress to grant this fourth request, the total aid to Ukraine would be $104 billion in less than a year.[126]
On 17 November 2022, it was reported that Israel approved the transfer of weapons systems with Israeli parts, via NATO countries including the UK. These include advanced fire-control and electro-optic systems. It also agreed to buy strategic materials for the Ukrainian armed forces.[127]
On 23 November 2022 the Pentagon announced its 26th drawdown package of up to $400 million in aid.[128] The aid consisted of more HIMARS rockets, more high-speed anti-radiation missiles (AGM-88 HARMs), 200 precision-guided 155mm artillery M982 Excalibur rounds, 150 heavy machine guns to shoot down drones, additional NASAMS missiles for air defense, 150 Humvees, over 100 additional light tactical vehicles, over 200 electrical generators, 20 million rounds of small arms ammunition, and spare parts for 105mm howitzers.[128]
On 9 December 2022 the Pentagon announced the US president had authorized the 27th drawdown package of up to $275 million in aid to Ukraine for additional HIMARS rockets, 80,000 155mm artillery rounds, counter-unmanned aerial systems (counter-UASs), counter air defense equipment, HMMWVs (Humvees) Ambulances and medical equipment, nearly 150 generators, and field equipment.[129]
On 21 December 2022 Antony Blinken of the US State department announced the 28th drawdown of aid for Ukraine, a $1 billion package consisting of a Patriot missile battery;[l] in addition the Pentagon announced $850 million of security assistance for Ukraine under its Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative. Training in the use of these Patriot missiles will be required for Ukraine's troops.[130][131][132] The materiel also included JDAM kits[133] for Precision aerial munitions. Additional aid from the drawdown included: additional ammunition for HIMARS High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems; 500 precision-guided 155mm artillery rounds; 10 120mm mortar systems and 10,000 120mm mortar rounds; 10 82mm mortar systems; 10 60mm mortar systems; 37 Cougar Mine Resistant Ambush Protected vehicles (MRAPs); 120 High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (Humvees); Six armored utility trucks; High-speed anti-radiation missiles; 2,700 grenade launchers and small arms; Claymore anti-personnel munitions; Demolition munitions and equipment; Night vision devices and optics; Tactical secure communications systems; and Body armor and other field equipment. The USAI (from industry rather than from United States Department of Defense stocks) will be: 45,000 152mm artillery rounds; 20,000 122mm artillery rounds; 50,000 122mm GRAD rockets; 100,000 rounds of 125mm tank ammunition; and Satellite communications terminals and services; Funding for training, maintenance and sustainment.[134][l]
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On 6 January 2023 Chancellor Scholz, and President Biden announced the contribution of Marder, and Bradley armoured fighting vehicles from Germany, and the US respectively;[136] President Macron had announced France's contribution of AMX-10 RC armoured fighting vehicles two days earlier.[137] About 50 Bradley Fighting Vehicles were in the US drawdown package; several dozen AMX-10s were available from France. The 29th US drawdown amounted to $2.85 billion in aid;[136] in addition the US aid package provided $200 million in foreign military financing for Ukraine.[138][139] The Bradley package included 50 MRAPs, 138 Humvees, 500 TOW missiles, and 250,000 rounds of 25mm ammunition.[138] The US also announced the contribution of 18 Paladin self-propelled 155mm howitzers for the first time[138] as well as 100 additional M113 armored personnel carriers[140] and 70,000 additional 155mm howitzer rounds. The package included 4,000 Zuni rockets, to be fired from Ukrainian aircraft, as well as RIM-7 missiles modified to be fired from Ukrainian Buk launchers.[141][142] Scholz also announced that a German Patriot missile battery would go to Ukraine (a billion dollar package)[132][143] as well as 40 Marder vehicles.[144] On 17 January 2023 Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte announced he would send Patriot missile launchers to Ukraine, the third such country to donate Patriots;[145] two launchers arrived in April 2023.[146]
Swiss blocks on military exports to Ukraine
In mid 2022, Switzerland vetoed Denmark's request to send Swiss made Piranha III armoured vehicles to Ukraine. Switzerland requires countries that purchase Swiss arms to request permission to re-export them.[147] Switzerland has also vetoed multiple German requests to donate tank munitions to Ukraine.[148][149] Poland's,[150] Spain's[151][152] and other countries' requests have also been vetoed by Switzerland.
Additional military provisions for Ukraine
On 17 October 2022 the European Union approved €500 million ($486 million) in weapons for Ukraine,[153] and a two-year training mission under the command of Vice Admiral Hervé Bléjean (France) for 15,000 Ukrainian troops, initially.[153] The training, at the "individual, collective and specialized" levels would be held in Germany and Poland, and would be open to other nations as well. The planned training cost would be nearly €107 million.[153] The EU is doubling the training commitment to 30,000 troops.[154] See § Training in combined arms operations.
On 11 January 2023 Poland announced that it would provide a company of 12 Leopard 2 tanks[m] to Ukraine;[155] on 14 January 2023 the United Kingdom announced that it would give 14 Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine[156] (compare to the § 4 November 2022 entry in which 90 T-72 tanks were being refurbished by Czech suppliers, with estimated delivery by year-end 2022). Lt. Gen. (Retired) Ben Hodges assessed the contributions up to January 2023 as the equivalent of an armoured brigade.[157][n] Hodges projects that an armoured division is the goal;[158][159][o] the 11 January aid being 26 Czech Dana M2 self-propelled howitzers, 18 US Paladin self-propelled howitzers, 30 UK AS-90 self-propelled guns, several dozen French AMX-10 RC armoured reconnaissance vehicles, 40 German Marder infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs), 50 US Bradley IFVs,[p] the aforementioned 14 Challenger 2 tanks and 12 Leopard 2 tanks, and the 90 T-72 tanks to augment the tanks which Ukraine already possesses.[162]: min 2:32 The eighth meeting[163][164] of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group gathered at Ramstein, Germany on 18–20 January 2023, where the new German defence minister was introduced to the group.[165] Nine countries have pledged support:[166][167][168]
- Canada: "200 Canadian APCs to Ukraine"; National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System (NASAMS), 39 other armoured support vehicles; various anti-tank weapons, M777 howitzers. (ranked 5th by materiel volume behind Poland, Germany, the U.K., and the U.S.)[169]
- Czech Republic: increase industrial production for large-calibre munitions, howitzers, and armored personnel carriers[166]
- Denmark: training for Ukrainian soldiers in the amount of €600 million (euros)[166]
- Estonia: Tens of 155mm FH-70 and 122 mm D-30 howitzers; thousands of 155mm artillery ammunition rounds, with support vehicles; hundreds of Carl-Gustaf M2 anti-tank grenade launchers with ammunition rounds, (€113 million euro value); training for Ukrainian soldiers[166]
- Latvia: Tens of MANPADS Stingers; two M-17 helicopters; tens of UAVs; spare parts for M109 howitzers; training for 2,000 Ukrainian soldiers[166]
- Lithuania: Support package worth €125 million euros; two Mi-8 helicopters (€85 million euros); counter-drones, optics, thermo-visual devices, and drones (€40 million); A donation to UK international fund for heavy weaponry (€2 million euros)[166]
- Poland: S-60 anti-aircraft guns with 70,000 pieces of ammunition; already donated 42 infantry fighting vehicles; training packages for two mechanized battalions; more 155mm Krab howitzers and various types of ammunition[166]
- Slovakia: Increase production of howitzers, de-mining equipment and ammunition; training for Ukrainian soldiers[166]
- The UK's largest aid package thus far includes the 14 Challenger 2 tanks, 30 AS-90 self-propelled guns, Bulldog armoured personnel carriers, breachers, bridgelayers, dozens of drones, 100,000 artillery rounds, more Starstreak air defense missiles, more GMLRS ammunition, 600 Brimstone anti-tank munitions, and training for Ukrainian troops to operate this materiel.[170]
- US additional contribution as pre-announced 19 January 2023: $2.5 billion more in aid —90 Stryker armored personnel carriers (announced for the first time), 59 more Bradley IFVs (for more than 109 IFVs in January 2023) as well as[p]
- °More rockets for National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS); °Eight Avenger air defense systems; °295,000 25mm rounds for Bradley IFVs; °53 MRAPs; °350 Humvees; °20,000 155mm artillery rounds;[q] °600 precision guided munitions; °95,000 105mm artillery rounds; °11,800 120mm mortar rounds; °additional GMLRS (for HIMARS); °12 ammunition support vehicles; °6 command post vehicles; °22 tactical vehicles to tow weapons; °additional High-speed Anti-radiation missiles (HARMs); °2,000 anti-armor rockets; °More than 3 million rounds of small arms ammunition; °Demolition equipment for obstacle clearing; °Claymore mines; °Night vision devices; °Spare parts and other field equipment[173][174][p][164]
- Germany: see § Germany's entry in the list of foreign aid to Ukraine during the Russo-Ukrainian War[175][167]
- France: 12 more Caesar truck-mounted artillery guns from Nexter (2 February 2023)[176]
Additional tanks for Ukraine
Maneuver warfare is an alternative to the January 2022 attrition warfare in the invasion of Ukraine,[177][178] and battle tanks can prosecute this strategy.[r] Although Poland and Finland have separately agreed to send Ukraine 12 Leopard 2 tanks each,[179] Germany must agree to license their transfer.[180][181][182] US Secretary Austin has met with Germany's Defence Minister Pistorius on securing Leopard 2 tanks for Ukraine.[180][168] As of 22 January 2023 Germany will not block the export of Leopard 2 tanks by other contact group nations.[183][o]
On 20 January 2023 the Netherlands offered F-16s[184][185] as well as Leopard 2s.[184] The offers are conditional on mutual agreement by multiple nations;[168] Germany will not block the export of Leopard 2s (by Poland, Finland,[179] Denmark,[183] Netherlands)[184] to Ukraine.[183] Poland has requested approval to export Leopard 2s to Ukraine.[186] On 25 January 2023 the US agreed to send tanks to Ukraine under the auspices of the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI) in a $400 million package; 31 M1 Abrams tanks (an entire Ukraine tank battalion),[187] and 8 M88 Recovery Vehicles (for rescuing mired tanks)[188] will not arrive in Ukraine for months.[189][190][191][192][s] Germany has also agreed to send over a dozen Leopard 2s to Ukraine, and will support the donation with ammunition and training in Germany. Germany has agreed to approve the reexport of Leopard 2s from other nations to Ukraine.[196][197][198] The goal is to send 80 Leopard 2s to Ukraine.[199] By 25 January 2023 the list of nations willing to send tanks to Ukraine had grown (France—Leclercs, UK—14 Challenger 2s, US—31 Abrams M1A2,[200][s] Canada—4 Leopard 2s,[201] Germany— 112 Leopard 2s (eventually 2 battalions (some 88 tanks) plus 14 2A6s immediately),[202] Poland—14 Leopard 2A4s, Finland—14 Leopard 2 A4/A6s, Denmark—6 Leopard 2A5/A7s, Netherlands—18 Leopard 2A6s, Norway—8 Leopard 2A4s, Portugal—4 Leopard 2A6s, and Spain— 20-53 Leopard 2A4s (20 are in good condition, the remainder need repair) respectively).[203][204] On 23 February Finland announced its contribution will include 3 pieces of Leopard 2 mine clearing tanks built in Leopard 2A4 platform.[205]
On 7 February 2023 the European community determined that industrial manufacturers hold 178 Leopard 1 tanks which could be refurbished and provided to Ukraine,[206] with 20-25 Leopard 1A5 tanks available in the upcoming months of 2023. The remainder could be delivered in 2024, assuming that Germany, the Netherlands, and Denmark fund them.[207][206][t]
On 24 February 2023 Poland delivered 4 Leopard 2A4 tanks to Ukraine,[208][209] 10 more are to arrive by 9 March 2023;[210] Sweden has announced it intends to donate up to 10 Leopard 2A5 tanks.[208] When marshaled, the contributions from Poland, Canada, Norway, and Spain suffice to field a battalion of Leopard 2A4s.[211] Poland is also giving Ukraine 60 PT-91 tanks.[212][s] On 22 April 2023 6 Leopard 2A4s and 20 heavy armored transport vehicles were enroute from Spain to Ukraine; the sea-borne part of the route would take 6 days.[213] Spain also trained 40 tank crew members and 15 mechanics from Ukraine.[213] On 20 April 2023 Netherlands and Denmark announced a joint contribution of 14 restored Leopard 2A4 tanks to Ukraine for early 2024.[214] Over the next year Ukraine will receiving 85 2A4s.[207]
As of 21 April 2023 the coalition had provided more than 230 tanks, and more than 1550 armoured vehicles.[214]
Training in combined arms operations
Battalion-level training in combined arms[p][u] maneuver for Ukraine is underway.[216][187] By summer 2023 2,000 Ukrainian soldiers would be trained in France; in Poland 150 additional French instructors would augment training of 600 Ukrainian soldiers per month (up from 280 soldiers per month).[176] Similar training is coming from Canada,[v] Denmark, Estonia, Latvia, Poland, Slovakia, Germany, the UK, and the US. The EU is doubling its training commitment to 30,000 troops.[154] In February 2023 a battalion of Ukrainian troops completed five weeks of unit training in combined arms in Germany.[218][219][161] See: Small unit tactics. Training of the experienced Ukrainian tankers could take as little as a third to a half the time needed for conscripted troops, estimates Lt. Gen. (Retired) Ben Hodges.[219][220] In order to reach the Ready state, maintenance of the donated Leopard 2s is going to take weeks.[220][221] All told, the troops could be ready by early spring 2023.[220][m][u][r] [223]
The noncommissioned officer (NCO) is key[224]: finding number 2 to Ukrainian military successes against Russia, according to Senior Enlisted Advisor to the Chairman Ramón "CZ" Colón-López;[225] Ukrainian training began using three service-specific NCO training centers after 2014.[225]
As of February 2023 the US is planning a HIMARS training center in Europe.[226] One method could be to train the soldiers to emphasise more maneuver: to shape the battlefield with fires, and to then maneuver, which might lessen the need for as much ammunition and fires.[107]
US troops have trained more than 7,000 Ukrainian soldiers as of 31 March 2023;[227] overall, 26 nations are currently training more than 11,000 Ukrainian soldiers.[227] As of 21 April 2023 more than 11,000 Ukrainian soldiers are in training or have finished courses in Germany; an additional 2,250 Ukrainian soldiers (4 motorized infantry battalions) are undertaking combined-arms training in Germany.[214] As of 21 April 2023 the US has trained 7 mechanized Ukrainian battalions: 3 Stryker fighting vehicle battalions, 3 Bradley fighting vehicle battalions, and 1 motorized infantry battalion.[228] As of 21 April 2023 another motorized infantry battalion has arrived in Germany for training. In addition, an armored battalion of 31 M1A1 Abrams tanks arrived in Germany in mid-May.[229] The tanks are for training a Ukraine tank battalion (250 soldiers);[195] these tanks will not be going to Ukraine; rather another 31 M1A1s are being refurbished for Ukraine, to arrive in Ukraine by the fall of 2023.[228][s]
Ukraine's air and missile defence
Ukraine's air and missile defence, summary— as of 14 February 2023: to help better defend against Russia's missile attacks, Ukraine's air defense capabilities include equipment to integrate Western air defense launchers, missiles and radars with Ukraine's air defense systems; 4 air surveillance radars; 2 Patriot batteries;[146] [132][230][231] HAWK air defense launchers; Satellite communications terminals and services; IRIS-T systems from Germany; a medium-range SAMP/T from France; Ukraine's S-300s and MANPADs (including Starstreaks and FIM-92 Stingers); AN/TPQ-36 and AN/TPQ-53 radars already in Ukraine's inventory as Counter-battery radars; NASAMS systems (at least 3, with 6 more coming); AN/TWQ-1 Avengers; 340 heavy machine guns with thermal imagery sights and associated ammunition to shoot down the Shahed drones.
On 2 February 2023, France and Ukraine announced a complete medium-range air defense system[176] (an Aster 30 Block 1NT SAMP/T system)[232] On 3 February 2023, concurrently with a $400 million drawdown package, additional air and missile defence capability for Ukraine was announced by USAI (Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative) authority;[105][16][81] the package authorised up to $1.725 billion in materiel. Under USAI, the DOD will provide Ukraine with: Two HAWK air defense[131] firing units; Anti-aircraft guns and ammunition; Equipment to integrate Western air defense launchers, missiles and radars with Ukraine's air defense systems; Equipment to sustain Ukraine's existing air defense capabilities; Air defense generators; Counter-unmanned aerial systems; Four air surveillance radars; 20 counter-mortar radars; Spare parts for counter-artillery radars; Puma unmanned aerial systems; Precision-guided rockets; Secure communications equipment; Medical supplies; Funding for training, maintenance, and sustainment.[105] [233] By 3 February 2023 US aid to Ukraine since January 2021 exceeded $29.3 billion;[16] since 2014 US aid to Ukraine has exceeded $32 billion.[16] The French industrial aid to Ukraine's air defense is funded by a €200 million line designed by France for this purpose, having drawn half the fund so far.[176]
A new weapon, the Ground Launched Small Diameter Bomb (GLSDB) was proposed for Ukraine in November 2022.[234] GLSDB has a range of 150 km (93 miles) and is funded by USAI.[106][235] As the $2.17 billion package includes a USAI component, that USAI component is not immediately available.[235]
Canada and seventeen European nations have agreed to share intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) data which is to be gathered by satellites under the Allied Persistent Surveillance from Space Initiative (APSS).[236] A letter of intent for APSS was signed in Brussels on 15 February 2023; APSS begins operations in 2025.[236] The US National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA) and the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) had urged commercial satellite firms to provide ISR data to Ukraine.[236][237]
On 24 February 2023 the US Department of Defense announced a USAI package for Ukraine worth $2 billion: additional Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS), as well as counter-UASs (counter-drones); additional HIMARS ammunition; additional 155mm artillery ammunition; Mine clearing equipment; Secure communications support equipment; and Funding for training, maintenance, and sustainment.[238] This signifies the beginning of a contracting process with the US defense industrial base rather than the previous drawdowns from materiel stocks.[238] The US and multiple European nations are providing §training in combined arms operations for Ukraine, in order to better use the aid being supplied in the future.
On 17 March 2023 the European Defence Agency agreed to sponsor the EU countries, as well as Norway in a cooperative agreement to provide one million 155mm artillery shells to Ukraine.[239] In December 2022 NATO planning for the western flank of the NATO alliance had 8 battlegroup-sized Rapid Reaction Forces stationed in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria (listed north to south).[240] NATO planners alerted the member nations that up to 300,000 troups could be deployed to the western flank, in a 30-day period.[241]
On 20 March 2023 the Pentagon announced its 34th drawdown for Ukraine since August 2021, valued at up to $350 million, including HIMARS rockets, 155mm artillery shells, and 25mm rounds.[242]
On 4 April 2023 the Pentagon announced up to $500 million in aid to Ukraine: °Additional munitions for Patriot air defense systems; °Additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems; °Artillery rounds: 155 mm and 105 mm. °Mortar rounds: 120 mm. °Tank ammunition: 120 mm and 105 mm. °Ammunition: 25 mm. °Tube-launched, optically-tracked, wire-guided missiles. °About 400 grenade launchers and 200,000 rounds of ammunition. °Tactical vehicles to recover equipment: 11. °Heavy fuel tankers: 61. °Heavy equipment transport: 10 trucks and 10 trailers. °Testing and diagnostic equipment to support vehicle maintenance and repair. °Spare parts and other field equipment.[243]
In addition, $2.1 billion in USAI for Ukraine included: °Additional munitions for °National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems. °Nine counter-unmanned serial system 30 mm gun trucks. °Mobile counter-unmanned aircraft system, or C-UAS, laser-guided rocket systems: 10. °Three air surveillance radars. °Anti-aircraft ammunition: 30 mm and 23 mm. °Artillery rounds: 130 mm and 122 mm. °Grad rockets: 122 mm. °Rocket launchers and ammunition. °Mortar systems: 120 mm and 81 mm. °Mortar rounds: 120 mm, 81 mm, and 60 mm. °Tank ammunition: 120 mm. °Javelin anti-armor systems. °Anti-armor rockets. °Precision aerial munitions. °About 3,600 small arms and more than 23,000,000 rounds of small-arms ammunition. °Seven tactical vehicles to recover equipment. °Eight heavy fuel tankers and 105 fuel trailers. °Armored bridging systems. °Four logistics support vehicles. °Trucks and 10 trailers to transport heavy equipment. °Secure communications equipment. °Satellite communications terminals and services, and °Funding for training, maintenance and sustainment.[243]
By 19 April 2023 another $325 million in aid was heading to Ukraine, including °additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems; °155mm and °105mm artillery rounds; °tube-launched, optically-tracked wire-guided missiles for the U.S.-provided Bradley armored fighting vehicles; °AT-4 anti-armor weapon systems; °anti-tank mines; °demolition munitions for obstacle clearing; °over 9 million rounds of small arms ammunition; °four logistics support vehicles; and °precision aerial munitions,[231]
On 3 May 2023 US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced the 37th drawdown package for Ukraine of up to $300 million in materiel.[244] The package had been reported by Associated Press.[245][246] The package includes °Additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS); °155mm Howitzers; °155mm artillery rounds; °120mm, 81mm, and 60mm mortar rounds; °Tube-Launched, Optically-Tracked, Wire-Guided (TOW) missiles; °AT-4 and Carl Gustaf anti-armor weapon systems; °Hydra-70 aircraft rockets; °Small arms and small arms ammunition; °Demolition munitions for obstacle clearing; °Trucks and trailers to transport heavy equipment; °Testing and diagnostic equipment to support vehicle maintenance and repair; and °Spare parts and other field equipment.[247] [245] An air-to-ground munition, the Hydra 70 70mm air-launched rocket was donated for the first time.[248]
On 9 May 2023 the Pentagon announced a new USAI package for Ukraine; under USAI, the materiel will not arrive in Ukraine as quickly as that of a Presidential drawdown from DoD stocks; instead, up to $1.2 billion in contracts between DoD (US Department of Defense) and its defense vendors are being arranged for future delivery to Ukraine.[249] This support is intended to bolster Ukraine's air defense,[249] as well as to augment the artillery stocks.[w]
On 11 May 2023 the UK announced its contribution of Storm Shadow cruise missiles.[263][264]
On 14 May 2023 Germany announced the contribution of €2.7 billion ($2.95 billion, which doubles its contribution since the beginning of the invasion of 24 February 2022) in aid to Ukraine, including °30 Leopard 1A5 main battle tanks, °20 armored infantry fighting vehicles, °four IRIS-T SLM air defense systems, °100 armored fighting vehicles, and °200 drones.[265] On 31 May 2023 the US announced the 39th presidential drawdown package, worth up to $300 million.[266] The aid consists of additional missiles for the Patriot air defense systems, Avenger air defense systems, Stinger antiaircraft systems and AIM-7 missiles for air defense.[266]
On 1 June 2023 The Pentagon announced that the Department of Defense will buy Starlink satellite services for Ukraine's communications network.[267] SpaceX had until then been providing Ukrainians and the country's military with Starlink internet service through private donations and under a separate contract with a U.S. foreign aid agency.[267]
Fighter jets for Ukraine
Poland has announced its MiG-29 fighter jets will transfer to Ukraine (one will be retained for a military museum in Poland).[268] Four MiGs are being transferred immediately; the remainder were being refurbished before their transfer,[269] On 17 March 2023 Slovakia agreed to give Ukraine its MiG-29 fighter jets.[270] All 13 had arrived by 17 April 2023.[271]
On 20 January 2023 the Netherlands proposed donating F-16s to Ukraine;[184] this would require US permission.[272] By 19 May 2023 the coalition agreed to train Ukrainian pilots on F-16 simulators in Europe.[272] This would allow the Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark, and Norway to donate F-16s to Ukraine, eventually.[272] At the G-7 summit in Hiroshima Japan on 20 May 2023, US president Biden announced that the United States would also train Ukrainian pilots to fly F-16s.[273] Poland, Denmark, the Netherlands, Belgium, Norway, and the US are in the planning stage for the F-16 training.[274]
Ten F-16s will cost $1 billion, and their sustaiment will cost another $1 billion.[275] By 25 May 2023 the nations of the UDCG had donated $65 billion to Ukraine's defense.[275][17]
Support for Russia
Materiel to Russia from Iran
Amirabad Port in Iran has been identified as a source of materiel, shipped across the Caspian sea northward to the Port of Astrakhan. The Musa Jalil and the Begey, which are flagged as Russian ships, carried 200 containers of materiel to Russia, in a €140 million cash transaction, from 10 January 2023, arriving in the port of Astrakhan on 2 February 2023.[276][277][278]
Foreign military involvement
For Ukraine
Although NATO and the EU have publicly taken a strict policy of "no boots on the ground" in Ukraine,[279] the United States has significantly increased the secret involvement of special operations military and CIA operatives in support of Ukrainian forces since the beginning of the invasion.[159] In addition, Ukraine has actively sought volunteers from other countries. On 1 March, Ukraine temporarily lifted visa requirements for foreign volunteers who wished to join the fight against Russian forces. The move came after Zelenskyy created the International Legion of Territorial Defense of Ukraine and called on volunteers to "join the defence of Ukraine, Europe and the world".[280] The U.S. also assisted Ukraine with military planning, including war-gaming counteroffensive options.[281]
Ted Galen Carpenter wrote in his book Beyond Nato: Staying out of Europe's Wars, "NATO's development would lead to war. The world is now paying the cost for the arrogance of the US and NATO. He said, analysts committed to a US foreign policy of realism and restraint had warned that insisting on expanding the most powerful military alliance in history toward another major power will not end well given the Cold War between the United States and Russia."[282] The Guardian reported, Russia points out having dissolved its military alliance under the Warsaw Pact, asks the West to do the same, while many Russians know NATO as a remnant of the Cold War, which is inherently directed against their country.[283] According to Al Jazeera, the United States, as the self-appointed world policeman, is blamed for interfering in the internal affairs of other countries under various pretexts, in and around Russia and China. The report states, critics accuse the United States and NATO of having dual policies against aggression, occupation, and violation of international law, one for allies and the other for others Where Great powers engage other states in proxy wars for their own benefits, regardless of the cost it.[clarification needed][284]
Ukraine's foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba stated that as of 6 March, approximately 20,000 foreign nationals from 52 countries have volunteered to fight.[285] Most of these volunteers joined the newly created International Legion of Territorial Defense of Ukraine.[285] On 9 June, the Donetsk People's Republic sentenced three foreign volunteers to death. Two of them were British citizens and one was a Moroccan national.[286][287] The foreign prisoners were later released.[288]
In April 2023, classified documents on Western Special Forces involvement were leaked online. According to the document, dated 23 March, the UK has the largest contingent of special forces in Ukraine (50), followed by fellow NATO states Latvia (17), France (15), the US (14) and the Netherlands (1). [289][290] [291] The document does not say where the forces are located or what they are doing. Pentagon officials are quoted as saying the documents are real. US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said the Department of Justice had opened a criminal investigation to find the source of the leak. [292]
For Russia
On 3 March, Russian Defence Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov warned that mercenaries are not entitled to protection under the Geneva Conventions, and captured foreign fighters would not be considered prisoners of war, but prosecuted as criminals.[293] Shortly thereafter, however, on 11 March, Moscow announced that 16,000 volunteers from the Middle East were ready to join other pro-Russian foreign fighters alongside the Donbas separatists.[294] A video uploaded online showed armed Central African paramilitaries preparing to fight in Ukraine with Russian troops.[295]
On 21 October, a White House press release stated that Iranian troops were in Crimea assisting Russia in launching drone attacks against civilians and civilian infrastructure.[296] On 24 November Ukrainian officials said the military had killed ten Iranians and would target any further Iranian military presence in Ukraine.[297]
Foreign sanctions
Western countries and others imposed limited sanctions on Russia when it recognised Donbas as an independent nation. When the attack began, many other countries applied sanctions intended to devastate the Russian economy.[298] The sanctions targeted individuals, banks, businesses, monetary exchanges, bank transfers, exports, and imports.[299][300] The sanctions cut major Russian banks from SWIFT, the global messaging network for international payments, but left some limited accessibility to ensure the continued ability to pay for gas shipments.[301] Sanctions also included asset freezes on the Russian Central Bank, which holds $630 billion in foreign-exchange reserves,[302] to prevent it from offsetting the impact of sanctions[303][304] and froze the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline.[305] By 1 March, total Russian assets frozen by sanctions amounted to $1 trillion.[306]
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Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), warned that the conflict posed a substantial economic risk both regionally and internationally. The IMF could help other countries affected, she said, in addition to the $2.2 billion loan package for Ukraine. David Malpass, president of the World Bank Group, warned of far-reaching economic and social effects, and reported that the bank was preparing options for significant economic and fiscal support to Ukraine and the region.[307]
Economic sanctions affected Russia from the first day of the invasion, with its stock market falling by up to 39% (RTS Index). The Russian ruble fell to record lows, and Russians rushed to exchange currency.[308][309][310] Stock exchanges in Moscow and Saint Petersburg closed until at least 18 March,[311] the longest closure in Russia's history.[312] On 26 February, S&P Global Ratings downgraded the Russian government credit rating to "junk", causing funds that require investment-grade bonds to dump Russian debt, making further borrowing very difficult for Russia.[313] On 11 April, S&P Global placed Russia under "selective default" on its foreign debt for insisting on payments in rubles.[314] Dozens of corporations, including Unilever, McDonald's, Coca-Cola, Starbucks, Hermès, Chanel, and Prada ceased trading in Russia.[315]
On 24 March, Joe Biden's administration issued an executive order that barred the sale of Russian gold reserves by US citizens; other G7 leaders took similar action.[316] Gold has been one of Russia's major avenues to protect its economy from the impact of the sanctions imposed since the 2014 annexation of Crimea.[317] In April 2022, Russia supplied 45% of EU's natural gas imports, earning $900 million a day.[318] Russia is the world's largest exporter of natural gas,[319] grains, and fertilisers, and among the world's largest suppliers of crude oil, coal, steel and metals,[320] including palladium, platinum, gold, cobalt, nickel, and aluminium.[321][322]
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Countries on Russia's "Unfriendly Countries List". Countries and territories on the list have imposed or joined sanctions against Russia.[323]
In May 2022, the European Commission proposed a ban on oil imports from Russia.[324] With European policy-makers deciding to replace Russian fossil fuel imports with other fossil fuels imports and European coal energy production,[325][326] as well as due to Russia being "a key supplier" of materials used for "clean energy technologies", the reactions to the war may also have an overall negative impact on the climate emissions pathway.[327] Due to the sanctions imposed on Russia, Moscow is now looking to capitalise on alternative trade routes as the country has practically broken all logistic corridors for trade.[328]
The Russia–EU gas dispute flared up in March 2022.[329] On 14 June, Russia's Gazprom announced that it would be slashing gas flow via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, due to what it claimed to be Siemens' failure to return on time compressor units that had been sent off to Canada for repair. The explanation was challenged by Germany's energy regulator.[330]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/8b/Sanctions_against_Russia_and_Belarus_2022.svg/250px-Sanctions_against_Russia_and_Belarus_2022.svg.png)
On 17 June, President Putin spoke to investors at St. Petersburg International Economic Forum about economic sanctions, saying that "the economic blitzkrieg against Russia had no chance of succeeding from the very beginning". He further claimed that the sanctions would hurt the countries imposing them more than they would hurt Russia, calling the restrictions "mad and thoughtless". He said to the investors: "Invest here. It's safer in your own house. Those who didn't want to listen to this have lost millions abroad".[333]
In response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Estonia has removed a remaining Soviet era monument from a square in Narva.[334] After its removal Estonia was subject to "the most extensive cyberattack" since the 2007 cyberattacks on Estonia.[335]
On 25 August 2022, President Zelensky thanked President Biden for the $3 billion USAI security aid package (24 August 2022), as well as the $3 billion World Bank financial aid package for Ukraine.[336] On 2 September, President Biden requested $13.7 billion "for equipment, intelligence support and direct budgetary support" to Ukraine from Congress.[337][338]
In January 2023, the US imposed sanctions on the Wagner Group, which is owned by Russian Oligarch Yevgeny Prigozhin, having close ties to Vladimir Putin. The expanded sanctions also targeted related companies and individuals, who were involved in the mercenary activities concerning Ukraine.[339] In February 2023, the US urged the UAE and Egypt to push the military leaders of Libya and Sudan to end their association with the Wagner Group. In Libya, the mercenary firm was assisting the UAE-backed military commander Khalifa Haftar. Besides, the UAE was the main funder of Wagner Group in Libya.[340] [341] The Russian private military firm had been involved in several African and Middle Eastern nations like Sudan, Libya, Mali, Syria, and the Central African Republic, where it deployed thousands of operatives.[340]
Oleg Deripaska warned in March 2023 that Russia could run out of money by 2024;[342] In 2022 Russia ran a $34 billion budget deficit.[343] The Russian National Wealth Fund is funding the war at the rate of $8 to $9 billion per month, which could exhaust its liquid funds by year-end of 2023.[344] This would affect the retirement pension system of Russia.[344][345] In March 2023, Chinese president Xi Jinping and President Putin met in Moscow and agreed to cooperate over a wide range of business, and economic issues, such as payment in local currencies (viz., Yuan or Rubles).[346][347]
Foreign condemnation and protest
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/57/Protest_of_Russians_in_the_Czech_Republic_against_the_war_in_Ukraine.png/220px-Protest_of_Russians_in_the_Czech_Republic_against_the_war_in_Ukraine.png)
The invasion received widespread international condemnation and protests occurred around the world. On 2 March, the United Nations General Assembly passed UNGA resolution ES-11/1 condemning the invasion and demanding a full withdrawal of Russian forces.[348] The International Court of Justice ordered Russia to suspend military operations, and the Council of Europe expelled Russia. Many countries imposed sanctions on Russia, which have affected the economies of Russia and the world[349] and provided humanitarian and military aid to Ukraine.[25] The International Criminal Court opened an investigation into crimes against humanity in Ukraine since 2013, as well as war crimes in the 2022 invasion.[350]
See also
- Outline of the Russo-Ukrainian War
- Belarusian involvement in the Russian invasion of Ukraine
- China during the Russo-Ukrainian War
Notes
- ^ a b The Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic were Russian-controlled puppet states, having declared their independence from Ukraine in May 2014. In 2022 they received international recognition from each other, Russia, Syria and North Korea, and some other partially recognised states. On 30 September 2022, after a referendum, Russia declared it had formally annexed both entities.
- ^ Russian forces were permitted to stage part of the invasion from Belarusian territory.[1][2] Belarusian territory has also been used to launch missiles into Ukraine.[3]
- ^ See § Foreign involvement for more details.
- ^ Including military, paramilitary, and 34,000 separatist militias.
- ^ Germany had previously refused to send any kind of military equipment to a crisis zone.[18]
- ^ a b Denoted the Ukraine Contact Group[44][45][46] and later, the Ukraine Defense Contact Group.
- ^ a b c The first NASAMS is coming to Ukraine (17 October 2022), now that NASAMS training is nearly complete.
- ^ First day of the fiscal year of the US government.[100]
- ^ After the 8 October § Crimean Bridge explosion Ukraine suffered widespread missile attacks (10 October 2022).[109] Russia made over 190 strikes in 12 days.[110][111]
- ^ On 31 October 2022 Ukraine intercepted 45 missiles out of 55 fired.[114]
- ^ As of 16 November 2022 the NASAMS had a 100% kill rate against their targets.[118][112][119]
- ^ a b #Ukraine's air and missile defence system options include: MIM-104 Patriot battery, HAWKs, NASAMS, Iris-T, Thales air defence [131][135][132]
- ^ a b The US Abrams' lightest tanks weigh in at 60 tons, some 15 tons heavier than the weight limits of European roads and bridges. The latest Abrams versions are 74 tons. European rivers are wider than the span of Joint Assault Bridges. Thus specialized bridging operations must be designed by military engineers, case-by-case. Rasputitsa will defeat even the indigenous European armour. Thus military campaigns in Europe are dependent on individual weather conditions.
- ^ In US terms, an §Armored brigade combat team (ABCT). Note that by US Army doctrine 45 armed § M113s as well as Humvees and supply trucks for refuel and re-armament would be included. An ABCT would consist of two armored battalions (at 58 tanks apiece), as well as an infantry battalion, and a reconnaissance squadron. This organization would support § combined arms maneuver.
- ^ a b Compare to Ukraine's request for 300 tanks.[160]
- ^ a b c d In combined arms armour and infantry do not fight alone; rather armour, infantry, artillery, logistics, aviation, and reconnaissance operate in concert, each branch working to support and protect the other branches,[161] as a combined team of teams, by US Army doctrine.
- ^ By early September 2022 the US had given 126 M777 howitzer cannons and over 800,000 rounds of 155mm ammunition for them.[171] By January 2023 the US had donated 250,000 more 155mm shells to Ukraine. The US is producing 14,000 155mm shells monthly and plans to increase production to 90,000 shells per month by 2025.[172]
- ^ a b "How would you use the tanks?": Four factors on 21st century warfare— MG Chip Chapman: Control of the air, shock action, surprise, and offensive reconnaissance [222]: 2:35
- ^ a b c d The US is attempting to get Abrams tanks to Ukraine earlier, perhaps by August 2023.[193][194][195]
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
randProjection
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b The precise role of tanks is manoeuvre: moving rapidly, supported by infantry, artillery, and air cover/air defense —Hamish de Bretton Gordon[215]
- ^ Canada has been training Ukraine's troops since 2016.[217]: min 3:15
- ^ For example 155mm Howitzer shells are to be manufactured in much greater quantities in the coming months and years[250][251][252][253][254][255][256][257][258] to augment both Ukraine's and DoD's future stocks of ammunition; but contracts for GMLRS, HIMARS, improved Stingers, Javelins,[259] etc. are being let.[260][261][262]
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The Ukraine Contact Group was convened at Ramstein Air Base in Germany
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"interoperability, but interchangeability" will enable "surge requests" for Ukraine
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4 hour Ukraine Defense Contact Group, 7th meeting, with 50 nations 47:21
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The White House in October said it would expedite the delivery of two [National Advanced Surface to Air Missile] Systems.
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The department also announced the creation of a new security headquarters in Germany that will handle weapons shipments and personnel training. It will be called the Security Assistance Group Ukraine, or SAGU.
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the Netherlands [refurbish] another 45 Czech T-72 tanks for a total of 90. Other NATO countries, including Poland, have already donated hundreds of older T-72s. The latest U.S. aid package also [...] upgrade[s] a number of American Hawk air defense missiles [to] complement the Hawk launchers Spain recently committed [...] The package also included [...] 250 M1117 armored vehicles [...] as well as 40 riverine boats, and 1,100 Phoenix Ghost drones.
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- ^ Antony Blinken, Secretary of State (21 December 2022) $1.85 Billion in Additional U.S. Military Assistance, Including the First Transfer of Patriot Air Defense System
- ^ a b c Ryan McBeth (Sep 2022) How Air Defense Works - Featuring the MIM-104 Patriot A MIM-104 Patriot battery, descended from HAWKs, is made up of 1) Engagement Control Station, 2) AN/MPQ-65 radar, 3) antenna mast group, 4) ICC —battalion which connects to AWACS, 5) EPP, and 6) M90x launching station. Soldiers require MOSs— TCO:14A; TCA:14E; Other MOSs 14H; 14T; Tactical operations 140A, 140K. PAC-2 missiles use proximity fuses. PAC-3 missiles are Hit to Kill. PAC3-MSE is newest generation interceptor.
- ^ a b c d Sean Murphy, AP (21 Mar 2023) Ukrainian soldiers near finish of Patriot missile training in Oklahoma 65 Ukrainian Soldiers, Fort Sill
- ^ Chris Gordon (21 December 2022) Biden Gives Ukraine Patriot System, JDAMs, as Zelenskyy Visits U.S. Joint Direct Attack Munitions
- ^ David Vergun, DOD News (21 December 2022) Ukraine Getting Patriot Battery, Other Defense Weapons
- ^ Andrew Salerno-Garthwaite (22 Dec 2022) Patriot missiles to Ukraine: US regaining escalation dominance?
- ^ a b Baldor, Lolita C.; Lee, Matthew (6 January 2023). "US to send Ukraine dozens of Bradleys in $2.85B aid package".
- ^ CLEA CAULCUTT (4 January 2023) Macron promises to send first Western tanks to Ukraine
- ^ a b c Jim Garamone, DoD News (6 Jan 2023) U.S. $3 Billion Military Package to Ukraine Looks to Change Battlefield Dynamics
- ^ TIM MARTIN and CHRISTINA MACKENZIE (6 Jan 2023) From Washington, Berlin and Paris, a sudden influx of armor bound for Ukraine
- ^ DOD presidential drawdown announcement (6 Jan 2023) More Than $3 Billion in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine
- ^ Chris Gordon (6 Jan 2023) New Air Weapons in Massive $3 Billion Aid Package
- ^ Doug G. Ware (6 Jan 2023) Pentagon says $3B in new Ukraine aid will ‘change dynamic’ in fight with Russia
- ^ Ashley Roque (5 Jan 2023) Biden OKs sending Bradley Fighting Vehicles to Ukraine
- ^ Nadine Schmitt, CNN (6 January 2023) Germany will deliver 40 Marder armored vehicles to Ukraine
- ^ AAMER MADHANI and MIKE CORDER (17 Jan 2023) Netherlands says it will send Patriot assistance to Ukraine
- ^ a b Stijn Mitzer and Joost Oliemans (9 Sep 2022) Going Dutch Revisited: Dutch Military Aid To Ukraine 2 Launchers arrived Apr 2023
- ^ "Swiss veto Danish request to send armoured vehicles to Ukraine". Reuters. 1 June 2022. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
- ^ "Swiss again reject German request to re-export Swiss ammunition to Ukraine". Reuters. 3 November 2022. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
- ^ "Swiss veto German request to re-export tank ammunition to Ukraine". Reuters. 26 April 2022. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
- ^ "Neutral Swiss rule out arms deliveries to Poland". Reuters. 21 March 2022. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
- ^ "Switzerland 'blocks weapons exports' from Spain to Ukraine". SWI swissinfo.ch. 11 January 2023. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
- ^ "Switzerland blocks Spanish arms for Ukraine". Switzerland Times. 11 January 2023. Retrieved 11 January 2023.
- ^ a b c Associated Press (17 October 2022). "EU approves $486 million for Ukraine, plus training mission". Defence News.
- ^ a b Tim Martin (3 Feb 2023) European Union to double military training for Ukraine, lines up new sanctions package
- ^ Roque, Ashley; Martin, Tim (11 January 2023). "Ukraine gets its tanks: Poland sending Leopard 2, and other nations may follow".
- ^ Sario, Federica di (14 January 2023). "UK agrees to send Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine". Politico Europe.
- ^ Times Radio (8 Jan 2023) Ukraine receives its 'armoured brigade' for the next phase of its counteroffensive Lt. Gen. (Retired) Ben Hodges
- ^ Jeff Schogol (17 Jan 2023) Ukraine finally getting Western tanks
- ^ a b Risen, James; Klippenstein, Ken (5 October 2022). "The CIA Thought Putin Would Quickly Conquer Ukraine. Why Did They Get It So Wrong?". The Intercept. Retrieved 10 October 2022.
- ^ (25 Jan 2023) Vladimir Putin on ‘back foot’ with US, Germany and other allies sending tanks to Ukraine, says Rishi Sunak An armoured division with 2 armoured brigades being roughly 300 tanks.
- ^ a b Tanmay Kadam (17 Feb 2023) US Abrams 'Significantly Outperforms' All Russian Tanks; Puts Our Military At A Disadvantage – Top Russian Expert
- ^ CNN (19 January 2023) Former CIA director: US is sending 'unhelpful message' to allies David Petraeus interview: $24.8 billion in aid from US
- ^ DoD (17 Jan 2023) Secretary of Defense, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Travel to Germany for Ukraine Defense Contact Group Meetings
- ^ a b LARA SELIGMAN and PAUL MCLEARY (18 Jan 2023) U.S. prepping major military package for Ukraine "Friday's announcement is expected to include Stryker vehicles, but not tanks".
- ^ Christina MacKenzie (17 Jan 2023) New German defense minister, relative outsider, pledges 'strong' military for what 'lies ahead' Boris Pistorius
- ^ a b c d e f g h Eve Brennan and Lindsay Isaac in London, CNN (19 Jan 2023) 9 European countries pledge further weapon donations to Ukraine ahead of key Friday meeting
- ^ a b Reuters (19 Jan 2023) Several Countries to Announce Sending Leopard Tanks to Ukraine - Lithuania 100s —Anusauskas
- ^ a b c Joe Gould and Sebastian Sprenger (20 Jan 2023) Ukraine's allies fail to reach breakthrough on sending new tanks the "German defense ministry is evaluating how many Leopards Berlin could deliver". —Pistorius
- ^ Ben Watson (18 Jan 2023) ...200 Canadian APCs to Ukraine;...
- ^ Joe Gould (18 January 2023) The West doubles down on aiding Ukraine with heavy weapons
- ^ Michael Peck (13 Sep 2022) The US has given Ukraine nearly 1 million 155mm artillery shells. Now it's looking for US companies to build more of them.
- ^ Charles R. Davis (24 Jan 2023) Ukraine is burning through artillery shells. Now the US is increasing production by 500%. 90,000 155mm howitzer shells per month
- ^ Patrick Tucker (19 Jan 2023) US, Allies Push Armor and Rockets Into Ukraine
- ^ Oren Liebermann (19 Jan 2023) Biden administration announces new $2.5 billion security aid package for Ukraine more than $5.5 billion in Jan 2023
- ^ Rob Schmitz (20 Jan 2023) Germany signals it hasn't ruled out sending Leopard tanks to Ukraine
- ^ a b c d Christina MacKenzie (2 Feb 2023) What Ukraine wants from France: Munitions, training, air defense and, maybe, fighter jets?
- ^ "Ukraine war in maps: Tracking the Russian invasion". BBC News. 20 March 2022. Retrieved 20 March 2022.
- ^ "Russia's Protracted War in Ukraine".
- ^ a b Frank Hofmann, Deutsche Welle (19 Jan 2023) Western leaders set to upgrade military aid for Ukraine
- ^ a b Jim Garamone, DOD News (18 January 2023) Austin Arrives in Germany Focused on Efforts to Help Ukraine
- ^ Max Hunder and Madeline Chambers (19 January 2023) Nato allies pledge more arms for Ukraine, Germany holds out on tanks
- ^ Jake Epstein (19 January 2023) Poland says it might go rogue and send German-made Leopard tanks to Ukraine without Berlin's approval
- ^ a b c Andrew Meldrum (22 January 2023) Minister: Germany won't block Poland giving Ukraine tanks
- ^ a b c d Jon Jackson (20 Jan 2023) Ukraine May Get 'Huge Add' to Military That Could Level Russia's Advances
- ^ Col. Maximilian Bremer and Kelly Grieco (25 January 2023) Air defense upgrades, not F-16s, are a winning strategy for Ukraine
- ^ Antonia Mortonsen (24 Jan 2023) Poland requests German approval to send Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine
- ^ a b David Vergun, DOD News (25 Jan 2023) Biden Announces Abrams Tanks to be Delivered to Ukraine
- ^ Kyle Mizokami (6 Feb 20230) How M88 Hercules Vehicles Will Keep Abrams Tanks Out of Russia's Grip
- ^ Ashley Roque (25 Jan 2023) Abrams to rumble into Ukraine: US joins Germany's vow to send Kyiv tanks
- ^ Ashley Roque and Sydney J. Freedberg, Jr. (24 Jan 2023) Pentagon opens door for M1 Abrams tank deliveries to Ukraine in coming years
- ^ Lolita Baldor and Mathew Lee (25 Jan 2023) In reversal, US poised to approve Abrams tanks for Ukraine
- ^ Marcus Weisgerber (25 Jan 2023) US Army Readies Ukraine Abrams Tank Options For Policymakers
- ^ Jen Judson (23 Feb 2023) Tanks might not reach Ukraine this year, US Army secretary says GD would remanufacture Abrams for Ukraine no sooner than year-end 2023
- ^ Jen Judson (8 Mar 2023) US Army is moving to get tanks to Ukraine 'as quickly as possible' —7th ASA(ALT) Doug Bush
- ^ a b Joe Gould and Jen Judson (21 Mar 2023) US to fast-track Abrams tanks for Ukraine by choosing older version
- ^ APA (25 Jan 2023) Germany set to approve Leopards for Ukraine, as U.S. promises M1 tanks
- ^ Marcel Plichta (25 Jan 2023) Swarm of Tanks Is Just the Start of Putin's New Nightmare
- ^ Nathalie Tocci (Winter 2022/2023) The Paradox of Europe's Defense Moment Texas National Security Review Vol 6, (Iss 1)
- ^ Politico (25 Jan 2023) European allies will send about 80 Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine
- ^ Ashley Roque and Sydney J. Freedberg, Jr. (27 Jan 2023) What, where, how: After the Abrams-for-Ukraine announcement, a host of questions "In picking the precise type of M1 tank to send, the US must choose between giving Ukraine the best tech possible and risking the capture of secrets by Russia".
- ^ Zimonjic, Peter (26 January 2023). "Canada to send 4 combat-ready Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine in the coming weeks". CBC News. Retrieved 27 January 2023.
- ^ The Washington Post (25 Jan 2023) What Tanks Will Ukraine Get, and Why Does It Want Them?
- ^ TCM Clips (26 Jan 2023) Ukraine vs Russia Update - USA Sending Tanks - Putin Attacks
- ^ The New Voice of Ukraine (27 Jan 2023) Six advantages. What will Leopard 2, Abrams, and Challenger 2 change for Ukraine? Ukraine's evaluation
- ^ "Suomi luovuttaa Ukrainalle kolme Leopard 2 -raivausvaunua: "Etulinjan vehkeitä – varma taistelukentän työjuhta"". mtvuutiset.fi (in Finnish). 23 February 2023. Retrieved 24 February 2023.
- ^ a b Sebastian Sprenger (7 February 2023) European coalition to give refurbished Leopard 1 tanks to Ukraine
- ^ a b David Axe (23 Apr 2023) Those Leopard 1 Tanks Ukraine Is Getting Won A Lopsided Victory In Bosnia In 1994. But The Battle Easily Could’ve Gone The Other Way. Leopard 1A5s begin arriving in Ukraine next month. The 1A5 optics are the same as the 2A4 optics. 1A5s have accurate gunnery, even at night. 1A5 has 105mm rifled main gun. 2A4 has 120mm smoothbore main gun.
- ^ a b Tim Martin (24 February 2023) Polish Leopard 2 tanks arrive in Ukraine as Sweden announces more to come
- ^ David Axe (9 Mar 2023) The Ukrainian 4th Tank Brigade Was Running Out Of Tanks. Then It Got Leopard 2s.
- ^ (9 March 2023) Poland transfers 10 more Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine
- ^ The New Voice of Ukraine (15 Feb 2023) Poland sends 10 more Leopard tanks to Ukraine battalion of Leopard 2A4s= Poland: 14; Canada & Norway: 8; Spain: 6
- ^ The New Voice of Ukraine (24 February 2023) Poland to transfer 60 PT-91 Twardy tanks to Ukraine, says Polish PM "PT-91 Twardy is a Polish tank designed on the basis of the T-72M1 tank. It has its own DRAWA fire control system and ERAWA dynamic protection".
- ^ a b Al Goodman, Duarte Mendonca and Heather Chen, CNN (23 Apr 2023) Spanish Leopard 2 tanks are on their way to Ukraine, defense minister confirms 4 addition Leopard 2A4s are to be refurbished as soon as possible.
- ^ a b c Rachel Cohen (21 April 2023) US to start training Ukrainian troops on Abrams tanks within weeks
- ^ Times Radio (26 Jan 2023) Russia has 'no capability to do manoeuvre warfare'
- ^ Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (21 Jan 2023) New Package Of Military Aid Gives Ukraine Ready-To-Use Equipment, Pentagon Spokesman Says
- ^ Times Radio (27 Feb 2023) Russia surprised by 'vigour, competence and skill of Ukraine's military' Canada's humanitarian laws are governed by Royal prerogative
- ^ Meghann Myers (17 February 2023) Ukrainian battalion completes first combined-arms training in Germany
- ^ a b David Brennan (14 Mar 2023) Ukraine Leopard 2 Tankers Finish NATO Training Ahead of Spring Push 40 crew members, 15 mechanics are back in Ukraine.
- ^ a b c Sydney J. Freedberg, Jr. (23 Jan 2023) Ukrainian troops could fight with Leopard 2s by early spring: Experts
- ^ Franz Stefan-Gady (25 Jan 2023) Will Leopard 2 tanks actually boost Ukraine's battlefield chances?
- ^ Times Radio (26 January 2023) Ukraine's new tanks can 'flow like water through Russian lines' —MG Chip Chapman
- ^ CNN (6 Feb 2023) CNN gets access to NATO exercise mimicking war with Russia 44 tanks Leopard 2s and Challenger 2s; FARPs
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
rusiNov2022
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Jim Garamone, DOD News (28 Feb 2023) NCOs Key to Ukrainian Military Successes Against Russia
- ^ Carla Babb (8 Feb 2023) Exclusive: US Planning HIMARS Training Center in Europe, General Tells VOA 18 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems were sold to Poland, along with GMLRS's, ATACMS for $10 billion.
- ^ a b Ben Watson and Jennifer Hlad (31 March 2023) Overall, 26 allied nations are currently training more than 11,000 Ukrainian soldiers
- ^ a b Sam Skove (21 Apr 2023) 11,000 Ukrainians Have Had at Least Some US Training As Spring Offensive Looms
- ^ Joseph Clark, DOD News (15 May 2023) Ukrainian Tank Crews, Maintainers to Begin Training on U.S. M1 Abrams in Germany Soon
- ^ Adam Pemble (19 April 2023) Ukraine: US-made Patriot guided missile systems arrive
- ^ a b Lara Seligman (19 April 2023) Biden preparing to send fresh shipment of ammo, missiles to Ukraine
- ^ Tim Martin (14 Feb 2023) 11 countries to give tanks to Ukraine, as Kyiv is 'contemplating' spring offensive: US "Ukraine will integrate recent commitments of armored vehicles, infantry fighting vehicles and tanks with fires that achieve the effect of synchronized ground maneuver" —CJCS Gen. Mark Milley
- ^ David Ignatius, Washington Post Live (30 January 2023) Transcript: The Politics of War and Leadership with Gen. David Petraeus. Gen. David Petraeus mentions "Small Diameter Bomb", the Kerch Bridge, and the § weaknesses of the Russian military
- ^ Joe Saballa (29 Nov 2022) Ukraine Poised to Become First Operator of 150-Kilometer Precision Bomb
- ^ a b Joe Gould (3 February 2023) US pledges longer-range ‘small-diameter bomb’ for Ukraine
- ^ a b c Theresa Hitchens (15 Feb 2023) Spurred by Ukraine war, 18 Western countries plan to share remote sensing data
- Vivienne Machi (16 Feb 2023) NATO members line up to join new space-based data collection effort Machi left out Portugal, but included US
- ^ Sydney J Freedberg (17 Mar 2023) Ukraine and industry show how Europe can jump ahead on JADC2, ex-generals say commercial capabilities are pointing out a way to implement a partial 'JADC2' for Ukraine
- ^ a b DoD (24 February 2023) Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine $2 billion USAI
- ^ Andrew Gray, Reuters (17 Mar 2023) EU countries to sign agreement to buy shells for Ukraine
- ^ NATO HQ (14 Dec 2022) NATO’s multinational battlegroup in Bulgaria reaches full capability
- ^ Ukrayinska Pravda (18 Mar 2023) NATO considering deployment of up to 300,000 troops on border with Russia
- ^ BG Pat Ryder USAF (21 Mar 2023) Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder Holds an On-Camera Press Briefing Separately from the drawdown, M1A1 Abrams tanks are to be delivered to Ukraine, as built up from hulls via USAI
- ^ a b David Vergun, DOD News (4 Apr 2023) Large Quantity of Defensive Munitions Earmarked for Ukraine
- ^ Joseph Clark, DOD News (3 May 2023) DOD Announces Latest Security Assistance Package for Ukraine
- ^ a b Lolita C. Baldor, AP and Matthew Lee, AP (2 May 2023) US to send Ukraine $300 million in military aid
- ^ Eastern Herald News Room (3 May 2023) US To Send New $300 Million Military Aid Package To Ukraine
- ^ Jennifer Hansler and Betsy Klein, CNN (3 May 2023) The US announced a new $300 million security assistance package for Ukraine. Here's what is in it
- ^ Mike Stone and Patricia Zengerle, Reuters (2 May 2023) New U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine to Include Air-Launched Rockets -Sources
- ^ a b Brigadier General Pat Ryder, Pentagon Press Secretary (9 May 2023) Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder Holds a Press Briefing
- ^ Military Times (13 Feb 2023) Go inside the plant making artillery rounds for U.S. and Ukrainian armies video of 155mm howitzer production at Scranton plant
- ^ AP Video (19 Apr 2023) U.S. ramps up making artillery shells for Ukraine available on YouTube 8Jp60vga6SE
- ^ MARCUS WEISGERBER (25 JANUARY 2023) Expect Big Replenishment Orders Soon, Army Tells Industry
- ^ CAITLIN M. KENNEY (19 Jan 2023) Army May Consider Buying Weapons Parts in Advance to Avoid Delays "The service should look at weapons buying 'in a nonlinear way', Army Chief of Staff Gen. James McConville said"
- ^ Elizabeth Howe (17 Nov 2022) Army Preps for 'Contested Logistics', Works to Boost Arms Production
- ^ U.S. Army Public Affairs (8 Dec 2022) Army contract actions to increase 155 mm artillery shell body capacity
- ^ John A. Tirpak (8 Feb 2023) For Defense Industry to Surge Production, Here’s What It Needs, Leaders Tell Congress Eric Fanning
- ^ MARCUS WEISGERBER (8 February 2023) Memo Details Effort to Boost Production of Weapons Sent to Ukraine LaPlante "Pentagon's top buyer offers a 'targeted list' of weapons to help solve a problem decades in the making"
- ^ Joe Gould, Bryant Harris, Sebastian Sprenger and Tom Kington (13 Feb 2023) When will the war in Ukraine end? Experts offer their predictions.
- ^ Joe Gould (9 May 2022) Lockheed, aiming to double Javelin production, seeks supply chain 'crank up'
- ^ Matthew Wheaton, Joint Munitions Command, Public and Congressional Affairs (7 February 2023) Secretary of the Army discusses modernization efforts during SCAAP visit
- ^ Joe Gould (8 February 2023) Lawmakers worry about weapons makers’ ability to meet demand
- ^ Joe Gould (7 Nov 2022) Congress poised to back multiyear weapons purchases, LaPlante says
- ^ Andrew Chuter Ukraine gets British long-range missiles ahead of counteroffensive. Defense News. 11 May 2023.
- ^ Aaron Mehta and Ruben Johnson (16 May 2023) Armed with Storm Shadow, Ukraine could 'starve' Russian front lines of logistics, leadership
- ^ Christopher F. Schuetze, The New York Times (14 May 2023) Germany Announces Its Biggest Military Aid Package Yet for Ukraine p.A1
- ^ a b Joseph Clark, DOD News (31 May 2023) DOD Announces New Security Assistance Package for Ukraine
- ^ a b Stone, Mike; Roulette, Joey (1 June 2023). "SpaceX's Starlink wins Pentagon contract for satellite services to Ukraine". Reuters. Retrieved 1 June 2023.
- ^ Deutsche Welle (16 Mar 2023) Poland to transfer MiG-29 jets to Ukraine within days 20 MiG-29s
- ^ Antonia Mortensen and Duarte Mendonca (16 Mar 2023) Poland will transfer 4 MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine in the coming days, Polish president says
- ^ AP (17 Mar 2023) Slovakia Agrees To Give Ukraine Fleet Of Soviet Warplanes 13 MiG-29s
- ^ AP (17 Apr 2023) Slovakia gives Ukraine remaining 9 of 13 promised warplanes
- ^ a b c Ashley Rocque (19 May 2023) US greenlights F-16 fighter jet training for Ukrainian pilots in Europe
- ^ Matthew Sedacca (20 May 2023) Sending F-16s to Ukraine carries 'enormous risks', Russian official said
- ^ Lolita C. Baldor and Tara Copp, Associated Press (25 May 2023) Austin hopes F-16 training for Ukrainian pilots will begin in weeks
- ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
12thUdcg25May2023
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- ^ Ben Watson (8 Mar 2023) Chinese military officials are worried about Starlink satellites almost as much as they worry about Javelin missiles
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Advancing 84km south through Zaporizhia province to Melitopol would suffice, says General Zaluzhny, because it would put HIMARS launchers within range of Russian supply lines to the peninsula, making the enemy's positions untenable. Ukrainian officials say that this approach was discussed and war-gamed earlier in the year with General Mark Milley, America's top soldier and Lieutenant-General Chris Donahue, commander of America's 18th Airborne Corps, which co-ordinated Western training and equipment for Ukraine until recently.
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The General Assembly ... [d]eplores in the strongest terms the aggression by the Russian Federation against Ukraine in violation of Article 2 (4) of the Charter
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Further reading
- Derix, Steven (2022). Zelensky: Ukraine's President and His Country. Canbury. ASIN B0B24B6HP3.
- D'Anieri, Paul (31 October 2019). Ukraine and Russia: From Civilized Divorce to Uncivil War. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-1-108-48609-5 – via Google Books.
- Marples, David R., ed. (2022). The War in Ukraine's Donbas: Origins, Contexts, and the Future. Central European University Press. ISBN 978-9633865972.
- Menon, Rajan; Rumer, Eugene B. (6 February 2015). Conflict in Ukraine: The Unwinding of the Post-Cold War Order. MIT Press. ISBN 978-0-262-53629-5. OCLC 1029335958 – via Google Books.
- Schwirtz, Michael; Troianovski, Anton; Al-Hlou, Yousur; Froliak, Masha; Entous, Adam; Gibbons-Neff, Thomas (16 December 2022). "Putin's War: The Inside Story of a Catastrophe". The New York Times.
- Smith, Christopher M. (15 March 2022). Ukraine's Revolt, Russia's Revenge. Brookings Institution Press. ISBN 978-0-8157-3925-8. OCLC 1287616684 – via Google Books.
- Watling, Jack; Reynolds, Nick (22 April 2022). Operation Z: The Death Throes of an Imperial Delusion (PDF) (Report). Royal United Services Institute.
- Wood, Elizabeth A.; Pomeranz, William E.; Merry, E. Wayne; Trudolyubov, Maxim (15 December 2015). Roots of Russia's War in Ukraine. Columbia University Press. ISBN 978-0-231-80138-6. OCLC 1008637056 – via Google Books.