2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election
The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana , including the cities of Missoula , Kalispell , Bozeman and Butte . The incumbent is Republican Ryan Zinke , who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022.[ 1] He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester , but chose not to do so.[ 2]
Eliminated in primary
edit
Mary Todd, innkeeper and candidate for this district in 2022 [ 4]
Ryan Zinke
Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Mary Todd (R)
$87,253[ a]
$67,177
$20,075
Ryan Zinke (R)
$5,752,008
$3,341,562
$2,520,494
Source: Federal Election Commission [ 9]
Monica Tranel
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Monica Tranel (D)
$2,340,724
$826,277
$1,524,332
Source: Federal Election Commission [ 9]
Dennis Hayes, remodeling contractor[ 4]
Eliminated in primary
edit
Ernie Noble, construction worker[ 4]
2024 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide , including the cities of Billings , Great Falls and Helena . The incumbent is Republican Matt Rosendale , who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022.[ 1] He announced in February 2024 that he would run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester , but dropped out of the race one week later.[ 29] On March 8, 2024, Rosendale announced that he would not be seeking any office in 2024.[ 30]
Eliminated in primary
edit
Elsie Arntzen
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Ken Bogner
Executive Branch officials
Troy Downing
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Elsie Arntzen (R)
$871,444[ b]
$805,097
$66,347
Kenneth Bogner (R)
$54,359
$43,425
$10,933
Troy Downing (R)
$1,818,816[ c]
$1,383,494
$435,322
Ric Holden (R)
$49,248[ d]
$46,540
$2,708
Joel Krautter (R)
$76,533[ e]
$67,136
$9,397
Denny Rehberg (R)
$601,991[ f]
$453,928
$148,063
Stacy Zinn (R)
$41,460
$3,091
$38,369
Source: Federal Election Commission [ 42]
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ g]
Margin of error
Elsie Arntzen
Kenneth Bogner
Troy Downing
Ric Holden
Denny Rehberg
Stacy Zinn
Other
Undecided
Cygnal (R) [ A]
May 8–9, 2024
410 (LV)
± 4.8%
5%
4%
28%
2%
12%
8%
3%[ h]
40%
Guidant Polling & Strategy [ B]
April 14–17, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
10%
–
38%
–
26%
–
–
27%
Cygnal (R) [ A]
April 15–16, 2024
415 (LV)
± 4.8%
7%
4%
21%
1%
11%
3%
3%[ i]
51%
Moore Information [ C]
February 1, 2024
500 (LV)
–
5%
3%
16%
2%
26%
2%
9%[ j]
37%
Results by county: 20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Eliminated in primary
edit
Ming Cabrera, salesman[ 43]
Kevin Hamm, IT consultant[ 44]
Steve Held, actor and rancher[ 4]
Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Ming Cabrera (D)
$60,007[ k]
$41,424
$18,582
Kevin Hamm (D)
$62,689
$57,628
$5,061
Steve Held (D)
$86,570[ l]
$67,945
$18,624
Source: Federal Election Commission [ 42]
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
^ $76,300 of this total was self-funded by Todd
^ $750,000 of this total was self-funded by Arntzen
^ $1,050,000 of this total was self-funded by Downing
^ $32,072 of this total was self-funded by Holden
^ $6,240 of this total was self-funded by Krautter
^ $450,000 of this total was self-funded by Rehberg
^ Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Joel Krautter with 2%; Kyle Austin with 1%; Ed Walker with 0%
^ Joel Krautter with 2%; Kyle Austin with 1; Ed Walker with 0%
^ Joel Krautter and Ed Walker with 1%; "Other" with 7%
^ $2,740 of this total was self-funded by Cabrera
^ $45,000 of this total was self-funded by Held
Partisan clients
^ a b This poll was sponsored by Elect Principled Veterans Fund, which supports Downing's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by Downing's campaign
^ This poll was sponsored by supporters of Rehberg's campaign
^ a b "2022 National House Vote Tracker" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved December 29, 2023 .
^ Warren, Bradley (July 5, 2023). "Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate" . Nonstop Local—ABC FOX . There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement.
^ a b Corrin, Noah; Warren, Bradley (July 10, 2023). "Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress" . KTMF . Retrieved July 10, 2023 . Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race.
^ a b c d e f "Federal Primary 2024" . Montana Secretary of State. January 11, 2024.
^ Buffington, Posie (March 22, 2024). "Former Pres. Trump endorses Zinke for re-election in Montana's District 1 congressional race" . NonStop Local . Retrieved March 22, 2024 .
^ "2024 Endorsed Candidates" . boltonpac.com . Retrieved June 4, 2024 .
^ "- AIPAC Political Portal" . candidates.aipacpac.org . Retrieved May 13, 2024 .
^ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Montana" . NRA-PVF . Retrieved May 13, 2024 .
^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Montana 1st" . fec.gov . Federal Election Commission . Retrieved February 2, 2024 .
^ "Elect Democratic Women Endorses Monica Tranel in Montana's 1st Congressional District" . Elect Democratic Women . August 3, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023 .
^ a b c "NewDem Action Fund Announces New Red-to-Blue Candidate Endorsement Slate" . NewDem Action Fund . October 26, 2023. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023 .
^ a b Sagner, Denali (July 13, 2023). "Tranel Hones in on Montana's 'Purple DNA' at Kalispell Launch Event" . Flathead Beacon . Retrieved August 15, 2023 .
^ Montanan, Daily (July 11, 2023). "Tranel announces another bid for Congress" . The Missoula Current News - Daily News in Missoula Montana . Retrieved August 15, 2023 .
^ "Democrats launch their first slate of challengers in the fight for the House majority" . NBC News . January 29, 2024. Retrieved January 29, 2024 .
^ Schneider, Elena (February 8, 2024). "Pro-Israel group wades into several contested Democratic primaries" . Politico . Retrieved February 8, 2024 .
^ Chou, Lauren (September 27, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Monica Tranel for Montana's 1st Congressional District" . EMILYs List . Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023 .
^ "Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters" . Jewish Democratic Council of America . March 28, 2023.
^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New U.S. House Endorsements" . League of Conservation Voters . Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 28, 2023 .
^ NCPSSM. "National Seniors' Group Proudly Endorses Tester, Tranel in Montana" . NCPSSM . Retrieved June 24, 2024 .
^ "2024 Federal Endorsements" . NOW PAC . Retrieved February 5, 2024 .
^ "New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024" . www.plannedparenthoodaction.org . Retrieved February 15, 2024 .
^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House" . Reproductive Freedom for All . October 24, 2023. Archived from the original on October 24, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023 .
^ a b "Our Recommended Candidates" . Education Votes . Retrieved May 13, 2024 .
^ a b "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved February 3, 2023 .
^ a b "First 2024 House Ratings" . Inside Elections . Retrieved March 10, 2023 .
^ a b "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up" . Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
^ a b "Election Ratings" . Elections Daily . September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023 .
^ a b "2024 House Forecast" . November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023 .
^ Mutnick, Ally; Beavers, Olivia; Everett, Burgess (February 15, 2024). "Rosendale drops Montana Senate bid" . Politico .
^ a b Schnell, Mychael (March 8, 2024). "Rosendale drops reelection bid, will retire at end of term" . The Hill . Retrieved March 8, 2024 .
^ "Troy Downing announces campaign for Congress" . KTVQ . November 1, 2023. Retrieved November 1, 2023 .
^ West, Bowen (February 12, 2024). "Arntzen announces run for Congress" . NBC News . Retrieved February 15, 2024 .
^ Warren, Bradley; Corrin, Noah (January 9, 2024). "Montana State Senator Ken Bogner announces run for U.S. Congress" . KULR-TV . Retrieved January 9, 2024 .
^ a b Murray, David (September 25, 2023). "Holden joins growing field in run to represent eastern House District" . Great Falls Tribune . Retrieved September 25, 2023 .
^ Lutey, Tom (February 21, 2024). "Denny Rehberg launches U.S. House campaign" . Billings Gazette . Retrieved February 21, 2024 .
^ Buffington, Posie (November 6, 2023). "Stacy Zinn announces run for Montana congressional district two" . KULR8. Retrieved November 20, 2023 .
^ a b c d e f Ambarian, Jonathon (April 11, 2024). "Endorsements come in for Montana eastern district primary, some big players still on the sideline" . KTVH-DT . Retrieved April 11, 2024 .
^ Roth, Samantha-Jo (April 3, 2024). "Freedom Caucus chairman endorses Republican in crowded primary for Rosendale House seat - Washington Examiner" . The Washington Examiner . Retrieved April 11, 2024 .
^ "Big Win and Nine New Endorsements" . House Freedom Fund . Retrieved May 8, 2024 .
^ Gorman, Reese (April 12, 2024). "Trump endorses Downing for U.S. House race" . NBC Montana . Retrieved June 3, 2024 .
^ "Endorsements" . With Honor Fund II . Retrieved May 13, 2024 .
^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Montana 2nd" . fec.gov . Federal Election Commission . Retrieved February 2, 2024 .
^ Ragar, Shaylee (September 6, 2023). "Another Democrat joins Montana's eastern district U.S. House race" . Montana Public Radio . Retrieved September 6, 2023 .
^ Ehrlick, Darrell (May 16, 2023). "Hamm announces bid for Congress" . Daily Montanan.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates