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Novel methods for estimating the instantaneous and overall COVID-19 case fatality risk among care home residents in England

Fig 2

Comparing the methods.

Top left: cohort versus forward. Top right: cohort versus backward. Bottom left: Cohort versus shifted backward. Bottom right: Forward versus shifted backward. Dashed lines indicate the 95% confidence intervals of the daily CFR estimates. In the shifted backward results, we shift the daily estimates to 10 days prior, reflecting the average delay from testing positive to death.

Fig 2

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010554.g002