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Numerical estimation of new COVID-19 positive cases using time series analysis by machine learning

Published: 09 November 2021 Publication History

Abstract

As described herein, we propose a method to make more accurate predictions based on COVID-19 positive case data from Tokyo, which are provided as open data. Our proposed method uses prediction results of related variables to infer an objective function. Prediction of the number of infected people in Tokyo based on this method yielded better correlation between the predicted results and the actual number of COVID-19 positive cases than prediction of the number of infected people. Results also showed better correlation between prediction results and the actual number of COVID-19 positive cases than prediction based on the number of infected cases alone, indicating that our prediction method provides higher accuracy.

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  1. Numerical estimation of new COVID-19 positive cases using time series analysis by machine learning

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    MEDES '21: Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Management of Digital EcoSystems
    November 2021
    181 pages
    ISBN:9781450383141
    DOI:10.1145/3444757
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    Published: 09 November 2021

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    Author Tags

    1. AWS
    2. COVID-19
    3. positive test forecast
    4. time series forecast

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