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Collective Traffic Prediction with Partially Observed Traffic History using Location-Based Social Media

Published: 24 October 2016 Publication History

Abstract

Traffic prediction has become an important and active research topic in the last decade. Existing solutions mainly focus on exploiting the past and current traffic data, collected from various kinds of sensors, such as loop detectors, GPS devices, etc. In real-world road systems, only a small fraction of the road segments are deployed with sensors. For all the other road segments without sensors or historical traffic data, previous methods may no longer work. In this paper, we propose to use location-based social media, which captures a much larger area of the road systems than deployed sensors, to predict the traffic conditions. A simple but effective method called CTP is proposed to incorporate location-based social media semantics into the learning process. CTP also exploits complex dependencies among different regions to improve the prediction performances through collective inference. Empirical studies using traffic data and tweets collected in Los Angeles area demonstrate the effectiveness of CTP.

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    CIKM '16: Proceedings of the 25th ACM International on Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
    October 2016
    2566 pages
    ISBN:9781450340731
    DOI:10.1145/2983323
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    Published: 24 October 2016

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    Author Tags

    1. collective inference
    2. data mining
    3. social media
    4. traffic prediction

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    October 24 - 28, 2016
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