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The magic number eighteen plus or minus three: a study of software technology maturation

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William E. RiddleAuthors Info & Claims

ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes, Volume 9, Issue 2

Pages 21 - 37

https://doi.org/10.1145/1010925.1010927

Published: 01 April 1984 Publication History

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Abstract

It is commonly thought that 10 years is needed for technology to pass from its initial conception into wide-spread use. In the process of gathering data to argue the need for a technology improvement program, we investigated the technology maturation process for three environments supporting software development. Our hypothesis was that more than 10 years was needed; our guess was that the period would be more on the order of 15 years; and we found that it takes on the order of 18 years for systems such as these to nature. Technology maturation time lines for the three systems are presented and some comments are provided on what facilitates and inhibits software technology maturation.

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Beheshti SBenatallah BVenugopal SRyu SMotahari-Nezhad HWang W(2017)A systematic review and comparative analysis of cross-document coreference resolution methods and toolsComputing10.1007/s00607-016-0490-099:4(313-349)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2017
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1007/s00607-016-0490-0
Lindvall MStratton WSibol DAckermann CReid WGanesan DMccomas DBartholomew MGodfrey S(2012)Connecting research and practiceInnovations in Systems and Software Engineering10.1007/s11334-010-0135-y8:4(255-277)Online publication date: 1-Dec-2012
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1007/s11334-010-0135-y
Carter FJambulingam TGupta VMelone N(2001)Technological innovationsInformation and Management10.1016/S0378-7206(00)00065-338:5(277-287)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2001
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1016/S0378-7206%2800%2900065-3
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cover image ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes

ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes Volume 9, Issue 2

April 1984

120 pages

ISSN:0163-5948

DOI:10.1145/1010925

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

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Published: 01 April 1984

Published in SIGSOFT Volume 9, Issue 2

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Beheshti SBenatallah BVenugopal SRyu SMotahari-Nezhad HWang W(2017)A systematic review and comparative analysis of cross-document coreference resolution methods and toolsComputing10.1007/s00607-016-0490-099:4(313-349)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2017
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1007/s00607-016-0490-0
Lindvall MStratton WSibol DAckermann CReid WGanesan DMccomas DBartholomew MGodfrey S(2012)Connecting research and practiceInnovations in Systems and Software Engineering10.1007/s11334-010-0135-y8:4(255-277)Online publication date: 1-Dec-2012
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1007/s11334-010-0135-y
Carter FJambulingam TGupta VMelone N(2001)Technological innovationsInformation and Management10.1016/S0378-7206(00)00065-338:5(277-287)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2001
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1016/S0378-7206%2800%2900065-3
Solinger Engberts Ning (1994)Transferring re-engineering technology to a software development and maintenance organization: an experience reportProceedings International Conference on Software Maintenance ICSM-9410.1109/ICSM.1994.336785(100-108)Online publication date: 1994
https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSM.1994.336785
Potts C(1993)Software-Engineering Research RevisitedIEEE Software10.1109/52.23239210:5(19-28)Online publication date: 1-Sep-1993
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1109/52.232392
Redwine SRiddle WLehman MHünke HBoehm B(1985)Software technology maturationProceedings of the 8th international conference on Software engineering10.5555/319568.319624(189-200)Online publication date: 1-Aug-1985
https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/319568.319624

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Software Engineering in the Years 2000 Minus and Plus Ten

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