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作者 djviva (淡定~ 穩中求勝)
標題 [外絮] 沒了Curry的勇士能多好呢? 順便發錢
時間 Mon Apr 25 12:25:21 2016

http://tinyurl.com/hq7xv93  from ABCNews
How good are the Golden State Warriors without Stephen Curry? - ABC News How good are the Golden State Warriors without Stephen Curry? ...

 

Curry扭傷膝蓋, 明天的MRI將確認傷勢嚴重性並讓球隊能重新安排他缺賽的時間表.

如果勇士順利擊敗火箭於首輪晉級, 記者試著去計算缺少Curry的勇士在未來季後賽幾輪
的表現; 根據NBA stats, 例行賽Curry不在場上時每百回合勇士淨輸對手3.7分, 但因為
Curry不在場上時勇士場上陣容多半是替補球員所以這數據不準, 所以記者採用了可信度
更高的 ESPN's real plus-minus (RPM).


這數據顯示在沒有Curry的狀況下, 勇士每百回合進攻比聯盟平均高1.6分, 可跟火箭一樣
排聯盟第八好; 防守方面則可以排聯盟第三好(輸馬刺跟老鷹), 每百回合比平均好4.4分
, 用首輪第二第三戰沒有Curry的數據去看, 勇士每百回合淨贏聯盟平均6.0分也符合剛剛
的算式(1.6+4.4), 略比騎士的5.8高, 換算例行賽成績可以有57勝, 這也跟Les Vegas的
賠率相當


如果順利擊敗火箭晉級, 次輪對手是快艇or拓荒者; 對上阿拓的話勇士沒有Curry還是贏
面大, 但次輪對上快艇的話則旗鼓相當, 作者認為勇士勝率約接近六成, 因為沒Curry的
勇士對上快艇的net rating有0.5分; 附帶一提, 如果MRI結果是不嚴重的MCL, 一般復原
時間是兩週多, Curry就可望在次輪第三到第五戰復出


可若是西冠時還沒有Curry, 雷霆對上勇士的net rating高達6.9, 馬刺則是更高的11.8

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[發錢] 若明天MRI結果是輕微的MCL, 每20推發1000 Ptt幣
請推 "祝福S.Curry傷勢輕微早日復原"

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清晨霧一般的思念, 清新 double, 美麗 double, 捉摸不定 double...

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※ 文章代碼(AID): #1N7PmtAO (NBA)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1461558327.A.298.html
推 dklash: 祝福S.Curry傷勢輕微早日復原1F 04/25 12:25
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→ iandol: 祝福S.Curry傷勢輕微早日復原4F 04/25 12:26
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→ dklash: 裡好看?11F 04/25 12:26
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→ W12: 祝福S.Curry傷勢輕微早日復原27F 04/25 12:27
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推 woarwing: 祝福S.Curry傷勢輕微早日復原34F 04/25 12:27
→ W12: 祝福S.Curry傷勢輕微早日復原35F 04/25 12:27
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(djviva.): [外絮] 沒了Curry的勇士能多好呢? 順便發錢 - Z_sports板