BLOG: we've analysed #Indonesia's second #NDC draft, which outlines its updated #climate goals. While there are some encouraging signs, we also found several red flags. We'vve submitted this analysis to the government's consultation. https://lnkd.in/gWtcUkAa
Climate Action Tracker
Forschungsdienstleistungen
Cologne, North Rhine-Westphalia 10.645 Follower:innen
Independent science-based assessment tracking country pledges, measuring them against the agreed 1.5˚C warming limit.
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The Climate Action Tracker (CAT) is an independent scientific analysis produced by Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute. We track progress towards the globally agreed aim of holding warming well below 2°C, and pursuing efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C. CAT quantifies and evaluates climate change mitigation commitments, and assesses, whether countries are on track to meeting those. It then aggregates country action to the global level, determining likely temperature increase by the end of the century. CAT also develops sectoral analysis to illustrate required pathways for meeting the global temperature goals.
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Cologne, North Rhine-Westphalia 50676, DE
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Updates
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Next updated country analysis: #Singapore. Despite a stronger 2022 #climate target, Singapore's emissions continue to rise. Target is 131% higher than 1.5˚C compatible modelled pathways & 🇸🇬 projected to overachieve it. Our rating is "Highly insufficient" but its NDC needs to be stronger LINKS: Summary page https://bit.ly/CAT_SIN Policies https://lnkd.in/g6YsHJfs Singapore is moving on #renewables with a new SGD 5bn Future Energy Fund. Is on-track to meet target of importing 4 GW of “low carbon” electricity by 2035, expected to meet ~30% of demand. But 🇸🇬 is doubling down on fossil gas for electricity generation.
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🇨🇦 New country analysis: as its forests burn, #Canada’s pace of #climate action appears to be moving at a glacial pace: its EV sales mandate is the only major new policy from its 2022 climate plan to be implemented. Overall rating has improved to "Insufficient". While emissions are now firmly on downward trend, implementing the full 2022 climate plan is critical to closing the gap between current policies & the 2030 climate target. Emissions from oil & gas exports are now larger than domestic; coal exports reach record high Read the summary page https://bit.ly/CAT_CAN And all the detail on the policies page https://lnkd.in/gtpfz3dD
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We've taken a deep dive into the challenges facing #China, #India and the #US in decarbonising the "hard to abate" sector of iron and steel. Decarbonising this sector is fundamental to reaching net zero and meeting the Paris Agreement's #1o5C warming limit. Read it here ==> https://lnkd.in/g9N8v7Mx The specific challenges each country faces differ substantially according to the status of the steel industry and its likely future development. Determining the fastest possible speed of action therefore needs to take these challenges into account.
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COUNTRY ANALYSIS: G20 and COP30 host #Brazil has reverted to its earlier, stronger NDC, with renewed investment into infrastructure, industry and the transformation of the economy. Already, forest loss has dropped. Our CAT rating remains "Insufficient". Read the full country update ➡ https://bit.ly/CAT_BRA However, President Lula has no timeline for phasing out fossil fuels and his continued allocation of significant resources into oil and fossil gas production raises concerns about prioritisation of an energy transition More details in our "Policies & Action" tab 🔗 https://lnkd.in/eHibihpr Brazil is not on track to reach either its 2025 or 2030 targets. Emissions under current policies (excl. LULUCF) have essentially plateaued, expected to slightly grow - when they should decrease - over the rest of the decade. Brazil needs to submit a substantially stronger 2030 NDC. ___ [ANÁLISE BRASIL]: O Brasil, anfitrião do G20 e da COP30, voltou à sua primeira e mais ambiciosa #NDC, e planeja novos investimentos em infraestrutura, indústria e transformação da economia. O desmatamento já diminuiu. O nosso rating continua “Insuficiente” ➡ https://bit.ly/CAT_BRA Apesar do compromisso com a transição energética, Lula não tem um cronograma para a eliminação dos combustíveis fósseis e continua alocando recursos para a produção de petróleo e gás natural, levantando preocupações sobre suas prioridades. Mais detalhes 🔗 https://lnkd.in/eHibihpr O Brasil não está no caminho para atingir suas metas de 2025 ou 2030. As emissões baseadas nas políticas atuais (excluindo LULUCF) estão se estabilizando e mas ainda crescem - quando deveriam diminuir - durante o restante da década. O Brasil precisa apresentar uma NDC mais forte para 2030.
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New data alert from our Systems Change Lab partners and our Climate Action Tracker experts 🚨 This time, we explore the buildings sector and highlight the three major shifts necessary to reduce and eliminate building-related emissions: ● Construct zero-carbon buildings 🏗️ ● Optimise building energy efficiency 🏭 ● Decarbonise heating, cooling and appliances 🏡 Learn more about how to decarbonise the buildings sector and explore the data on #SystemsChangeLab 🔗 https://bit.ly/3SLmgz1
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COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #Germany’s recent climate policies and weak economy have moved emissions projections significantly downwards, but the coalition government's divisions put its climate targets in danger. We rate Germany's climate action as "Insufficient". ( ➡ 🔗 https://bit.ly/CAT_GER) However, official projections are very optimistic, assuming that the 80% renewables target is met, CO2 prices remain high, and emissions-intensive industry activity remains low. None of these things are guaranteed. More details in our Policies & action section 🔗 https://lnkd.in/emnqQ-hP #ClimateAction varies drastically both within and across sectors. The government, in power until September 2025, needs to actively engage in climate action across all sectors to keep both its 2030 target and 2045 net zero target within reach. In May the government weakened its climate law, replacing binding sectoral targets with an ability for sectors to compensate for each other. The transport and the buildings sectors are both set to overshoot their target. Full analysis 🔗 https://bit.ly/CAT_GER __ ANALYSE: #Deutschland s aktuelle Klimapolitik und schwache Wirtschaft haben die Emissionsprognosen zwar deutlich nach unten verschoben, aber die Uneinigkeit der 🚦-Koalition gefährdet Klimaziele. Deutschlands Klimapolitik bleibt für uns "unzureichend". ( ➡ 🔗 https://bit.ly/CAT_GER) Offizielle Prognosen sind allerdings sehr optimistisch und gehen davon aus, dass 80%-Ziel für erneuerbarer Energien erreicht wird, CO2-Preise hoch bleiben & Industrietätigkeit niedrig bleibt. ❌ Nichts von alledem ist garantiert. Mehr Details in unserem "Policies & action" Tab 🔗 https://lnkd.in/emnqQ-hP Klimaschutzmaßnahmen variieren innerhalb und auch zwischen einzelnen Sektoren drastisch. Die Regierung - noch bis September 2025 an der Macht - muss sich in allen Sektoren aktiv für das #Klima einsetzen, um sowohl das 2030-Ziel als auch das 2045-Netto-Null-Ziel in Reichweite zu behalten. Im Mai schwächte die Regierung ihr Klimagesetz ab und ersetzte verbindliche #Sektorziele durch die Möglichkeit für die Sektoren, sich gegenseitig zu kompensieren. Sowohl der Verkehrs- als auch der Gebäudesektor werden die Zielvorgaben überschreiten. Zur gesamten Analyse ➡ https://bit.ly/CAT_GER
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New article from our #SystemsChangeLab consortium author Joel Jaeger looks at the history of coal plant cancellations in China, India and Vietnam, finding that there have been encouraging reductions in coal project pipelines around the world: 🌏 The top 10 countries with the most coal in development — which are all located in Asia — have decreased their coal project pipeline since 2015. 🌍 9 African countries had plans in 2015 to build their first ever coal plants, but none of these had been built by the end of 2023. 🌎 0 countries in Europe or the Americas increased their coal capacity by more than one gigawatt over that time period. See what lessons can be learned to speed up the cancellation of remaining #coal projects 🔗 https://bit.ly/3LfaOaJ WRI Climate World Resources Institute Bezos Earth Fund NewClimate Institute Climate Analytics
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BLOG: the challenges on #climate for the new Starmer Government. It has a big opportunity to take the lead on 1.5ºC-aligned climate action, both at home and abroad. Policies stalled and began going backwards under the last government, so there's a lot of work to do. We look at some of Labour's climate policies, and set out the areas it needs to focus on. https://lnkd.in/gfe6zj35
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Cities are a system of systems. They bring together deeply complex, interconnected networks of people, services and economic activity — from how we move around, power industries, and construct buildings, to how we govern societies, finance climate solutions, use and consume resources, and beyond. Today, Systems Change Lab, which the CAT is part of, launched new data on the cities system. Visit the platform to explore the 3️⃣ critical shifts needed to transform cities by 2050: ➡ Plan urban land use to reduce emissions and increase climate resilience. ➡ Increase access to resilient and affordable urban services. ➡ Rapidly scale up zero-waste outcomes in cities. Read more from #SystemsChangeLab at ➡ https://bit.ly/4be7UgU WRI Climate World Resources Institute NewClimate Institute Climate Analytics #sustainablecities #climateaction #systemschange
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