Canon plans to disrupt chipmaking with low-cost “stamp” machine

The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
This tech The Electric car is nothing new... if nanoimprint the electric car technology was a superior technology, I think it would have been up and running by now and in the market in volume"

The electric car has existed since like the late 1800's. Yet here we are in an EV boom more than a 100 years later. Analysts in general are idiots who can't see two inches past their feet imo. The tech may have existed in the past, but maybe it needed time to mature, for the infrastructure to be in place, for the need for a cheaper alternative to develop.
 
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Oldmanalex

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This tech The Electric car is nothing new... if nanoimprint the electric car technology was a superior technology, I think it would have been up and running by now and in the market in volume"

The electric car has existed since like the late 1800's. Yet here we are in an EV boom more than a 100 years later. Analysts in general are idiots who can't see two inches past their feet imo. The tech may have existed in the past, but maybe it needed time to mature, for the infrastructure to be in place, for the need for a cheaper alternative to develop.
Like marketing, they drive the car while relying exclusively on the rear view mirror. That way, their predictions for past events are perfect!
 
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Oldmanalex

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The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
Well the analysts talk to upper management, usually MBAs, all of whom believe that research involves sending idiots into a lab to pick up stuff which just happens to be lying around, and why the hell does it cost so much?
 
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“In regards to defect risk, I think our technology has largely resolved the issue,” Takeishi said. “But since the existing chip manufacturing processes are optimized for EUVs, there will obviously be various difficulties in terms of bringing in new technology.”
Speaking of obvious, a 90% savings will do a lot to overcome momentum.
Now, about those yields you do not wish to discuss...
 
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solomonrex

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Speaking of obvious, a 90% savings will do a lot to overcome momentum.
Now, about those yields you do not wish to discuss...
I have to assume that if it works even for the low end market, with those savings, this would still be a huge opportunity. The market isn’t shrinking by any means.
 
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williamyf

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It’s sort of ironic that Canon—a company most associated with cameras—would come up with an alternative to light-based chip manufacturing.
Actually nope, canon's camera expertise translates into 2 things, optics and Micromechanics.

The nanoimprint thing is the micromechanics part of the operation taking the steering wheel
 
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r0twhylr

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So what kind of sizes of structures can it generate? Similar detail as euv? Or only larger structures?
Why is it cheaoer? Just to buy or to run? Why is it cheaper, is it Faster or just the lower power consumption?

Lots of questions left?
Comparable to current lithography.
It is starting at the 5-nanometre—or billionths of a meter—node for circuit widths and is aiming to reach 2nm.
 
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bongbong

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If it costs a digit less than ASML's EUV machines valued at 150,000,000 USD as stated in the article, even low income nations can have thriving semiconductor industries. This is a win even for TSMC, samsung, Intel etc since this frees up their production lines for more profitable, more complicated products like CPUs, GPUs etc. Memory chips, simpler CPUs etc can be made cheaper by newer players
 
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williamyf

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So what kind of sizes of structures can it generate? Similar detail as euv? Or only larger structures?
Why is it cheaoer? Just to buy or to run? Why is it cheaper, is it Faster or just the lower power consumption?

Lots of questions left?
This will probably end sloted nicely between Inmersion DUV and High-Numerical-Aperture-EUV. You see, contrary to popular beliefs, top end chips are not made SOLELY using EUV, that would be too expensive.

Instead, leading edge processes use multiple process nodes for the same chip. The most critical digital features are made using EUV (say, 5nm or 3nm), and other features, like the analog parts (the connections to/from DIMMs and PCIe for example), or the bigger interconnects (say, power) and pads, are done in Inmersion DUV (10nm), so, two process nodes used on the same chip. But we just talk about the smaller node when refering to it.

Currently, there are a bunch of things that are done using EUV out of necessity, because Inmersion DUV stopped being economic around 10nm. A process like this one would slot nicely between HNA-EUV and Inmersion DUV for nodes below 2nm, so you could do the logic and 1st logic metalization in HNA-EUV, then do the other logic metalization layers and some other features with nanoimprint, and then do the power, pads and analogue in Inmersion DUV.
 
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quamquam quid loquor

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The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
Whenever someone says this, I think that industry is ripe for disruption. Surprising comment for someone in the extremely fast moving technology industry.
 
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quamquam quid loquor

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If it costs a digit less than ASML's EUV machines valued at 150,000,000 USD as stated in the article, even low income nations can have thriving semiconductor industries. This is a win even for TSMC, samsung, Intel etc since this frees up their production lines for more profitable, more complicated products like CPUs, GPUs etc. Memory chips, simpler CPUs etc can be made cheaper by newer players
It also opens up enormous opportunities for startups. Ex-TSMC/Intel employees might gamble on something new.
 
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fenris_uy

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So what kind of sizes of structures can it generate? Similar detail as euv? Or only larger structures?
Why is it cheaoer? Just to buy or to run? Why is it cheaper, is it Faster or just the lower power consumption?

Lots of questions left?

5nm according to the article. Even if they can't make complex structures, and only simpler ones like memory chips. Moving memory chips production out of more expensive lines into 5nm cheaper lines would be really great.
 
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fenris_uy

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If it costs a digit less than ASML's EUV machines valued at 150,000,000 USD as stated in the article, even low income nations can have thriving semiconductor industries. This is a win even for TSMC, samsung, Intel etc since this frees up their production lines for more profitable, more complicated products like CPUs, GPUs etc. Memory chips, simpler CPUs etc can be made cheaper by newer players

The expensive part of the $40B plants aren't just the ASML machines. Making the silicon wafers is also really expensive.
 
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Hyoubu

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Actually nope, canon's camera expertise translates into 2 things, optics and Micromechanics.

The nanoimprint thing is the micromechanics part of the operation taking the steering wheel
Exactly, and I am glad someone replied right away because it’s important history. Before ASML became the lithography leader with EUV, the space was dominated by Japan companies like Nikon and Canon, which are known to most people as just a camera company. Japan was known as a semiconductor powerhouse up through even the 1990’s, and this was part of the reason. ASML was rising by then until the climax of ASML vs Nikon in court over lithography related patents in the 2000’s. Also, when you look at a lithography machine, you see it’s like a very complex projection system.
1706543587619.png
 
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vnangia

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The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
No joke.

Out of curiosity, I searched this company that they quote and it seems to be a one-person outfit (though they list some other company that actually produces their reports?) and it doesn’t seem to have any specialization in chip manufacturing technologies; it’s a generic mobile and digital consultancy.

Not sure why Ars is quoting this guy. They‘d have been better off going to, for example, an ex-GF/TSMC/Intel guy, or, I dunno, Yield Engineering and asking. Maybe they owed him a favor?
 
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If it costs a digit less than ASML's EUV machines valued at 150,000,000 USD as stated in the article, even low income nations can have thriving semiconductor industries. This is a win even for TSMC, samsung, Intel etc since this frees up their production lines for more profitable, more complicated products like CPUs, GPUs etc. Memory chips, simpler CPUs etc can be made cheaper by newer players
yup I'm pretty sure a certain neighbor of Poland would really like a lot of low cost chips.
 
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Wow, I'm surprised I have not heard of this before.

It is interesting (?) to note that Canon was a leader in the field back in the early 1970s with their contact and hold-off tech.

But the Perkin-Elmer stuff murdered them in the mid-1970s. And after many more years, that tech ended up being owned by... ASML (well, sort of).

Turnabout is fair play!
 
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Xavin

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It’s sort of ironic that Canon—a company most associated with cameras—would come up with an alternative to light-based chip manufacturing.
Not really, they have been involved in lithography before, they just stopped trying to compete at the high end for a while, like everyone else not named ASML. At that scale it's all optics, regardless of what they call it or what new tech they come up with to make it work.
 
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What killed the old electric car was the Petrol industry.
No.
If electric cars tech had actually not been mostly suppressed
Yeah, this is completely wrong.

There were three key advances needed to make a practical EV:

1) the li-ion battery, more specifically, the polymer layers that allow lithim migration.
2) large-format thyristors and/or SMPS systems, which allow the DC from the battery to be efficiently converted into AC for the motors.
3) the control systems had to be fast enough to react to control all of this.

(3) was available in some format in the mid 1990s. (2) emerged in cost-effective form in the late 1990s, early 2000s. (1) emerged in practical form in the mid-2000s.

EVs emerged a couple of years after these advances emerged. None of them could have been developed much faster, and none of them would have been influenced by the petroleum industry, one way or the other.

It's a nice conspiracy theory, but not a true one.
 
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Yea, Japan has no interest in seeing a stronger China, the only reason there is a "might" is because up to now they did not have a product (or announced plans for a product), with this, the export restrictions will come.
Mitutoyo sandbagged on the quality of their metrology to get around ITAR. Companies do not give a shit about anything but making money.
 
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fenris_uy

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Exactly, and I am glad someone replied right away because it’s important history. Before ASML became the lithography leader with EUV, the space was dominated by Japan companies like Nikon and Canon, which are known to most people as just a camera company. Japan was known as a semiconductor powerhouse up through even the 1990’s, and this was part of the reason. ASML was rising by then until the climax of ASML vs Nikon in court over lithography related patents in the 2000’s. Also, when you look at a lithography machine, you see it’s like a very complex projection system.
View attachment 73048

Looking at that graph and the part of the article about how Canon has been working on this for 15 years. It looks like they bet on this instead of EUV some 15 years ago, and that problems into getting into production really bit them in the ass.
 
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It’s sort of ironic that Canon—a company most associated with cameras—would come up with an alternative to light-based chip manufacturing.
They are also longtime makers of inkjet printers. Nanoimprint lithography is probably completely unrelated to their bubblejet printer technology, but if you read the details some of the nanoimprint mask making sounds weirdly similiar.
 
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