Company is challenging industry leader ASML with its nanoprint lithography tech.
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“The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
One hope of analysts had been that Canon might be able to sell the machines to China, something ASML can no longer do with its advanced tools due to US export controls.
Like marketing, they drive the car while relying exclusively on the rear view mirror. That way, their predictions for past events are perfect!“This techThe Electric car is nothing new... ifnanoimprintthe electric car technology was a superior technology, I think it would have been up and running by now and in the market in volume"
The electric car has existed since like the late 1800's. Yet here we are in an EV boom more than a 100 years later. Analysts in general are idiots who can't see two inches past their feet imo. The tech may have existed in the past, but maybe it needed time to mature, for the infrastructure to be in place, for the need for a cheaper alternative to develop.
Well the analysts talk to upper management, usually MBAs, all of whom believe that research involves sending idiots into a lab to pick up stuff which just happens to be lying around, and why the hell does it cost so much?The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
Speaking of obvious, a 90% savings will do a lot to overcome momentum.“In regards to defect risk, I think our technology has largely resolved the issue,” Takeishi said. “But since the existing chip manufacturing processes are optimized for EUVs, there will obviously be various difficulties in terms of bringing in new technology.”
I have to assume that if it works even for the low end market, with those savings, this would still be a huge opportunity. The market isn’t shrinking by any means.Speaking of obvious, a 90% savings will do a lot to overcome momentum.
Now, about those yields you do not wish to discuss...
Actually nope, canon's camera expertise translates into 2 things, optics and Micromechanics.It’s sort of ironic that Canon—a company most associated with cameras—would come up with an alternative to light-based chip manufacturing.
Yea, Japan has no interest in seeing a stronger China, the only reason there is a "might" is because up to now they did not have a product (or announced plans for a product), with this, the export restrictions will come.might be able to sell the machines to China
Comparable to current lithography.So what kind of sizes of structures can it generate? Similar detail as euv? Or only larger structures?
Why is it cheaoer? Just to buy or to run? Why is it cheaper, is it Faster or just the lower power consumption?
Lots of questions left?
It is starting at the 5-nanometre—or billionths of a meter—node for circuit widths and is aiming to reach 2nm.
This will probably end sloted nicely between Inmersion DUV and High-Numerical-Aperture-EUV. You see, contrary to popular beliefs, top end chips are not made SOLELY using EUV, that would be too expensive.So what kind of sizes of structures can it generate? Similar detail as euv? Or only larger structures?
Why is it cheaoer? Just to buy or to run? Why is it cheaper, is it Faster or just the lower power consumption?
Lots of questions left?
Whenever someone says this, I think that industry is ripe for disruption. Surprising comment for someone in the extremely fast moving technology industry.The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
It also opens up enormous opportunities for startups. Ex-TSMC/Intel employees might gamble on something new.If it costs a digit less than ASML's EUV machines valued at 150,000,000 USD as stated in the article, even low income nations can have thriving semiconductor industries. This is a win even for TSMC, samsung, Intel etc since this frees up their production lines for more profitable, more complicated products like CPUs, GPUs etc. Memory chips, simpler CPUs etc can be made cheaper by newer players
So what kind of sizes of structures can it generate? Similar detail as euv? Or only larger structures?
Why is it cheaoer? Just to buy or to run? Why is it cheaper, is it Faster or just the lower power consumption?
Lots of questions left?
If it costs a digit less than ASML's EUV machines valued at 150,000,000 USD as stated in the article, even low income nations can have thriving semiconductor industries. This is a win even for TSMC, samsung, Intel etc since this frees up their production lines for more profitable, more complicated products like CPUs, GPUs etc. Memory chips, simpler CPUs etc can be made cheaper by newer players
Exactly, and I am glad someone replied right away because it’s important history. Before ASML became the lithography leader with EUV, the space was dominated by Japan companies like Nikon and Canon, which are known to most people as just a camera company. Japan was known as a semiconductor powerhouse up through even the 1990’s, and this was part of the reason. ASML was rising by then until the climax of ASML vs Nikon in court over lithography related patents in the 2000’s. Also, when you look at a lithography machine, you see it’s like a very complex projection system.Actually nope, canon's camera expertise translates into 2 things, optics and Micromechanics.
The nanoimprint thing is the micromechanics part of the operation taking the steering wheel
No joke.The idea that if it worked, somebody else would already have it on the market is a terrible way to analyze the potential of a new product.
Asianometry is great for chip, OS, and other history, too. Really great job
yup I'm pretty sure a certain neighbor of Poland would really like a lot of low cost chips.If it costs a digit less than ASML's EUV machines valued at 150,000,000 USD as stated in the article, even low income nations can have thriving semiconductor industries. This is a win even for TSMC, samsung, Intel etc since this frees up their production lines for more profitable, more complicated products like CPUs, GPUs etc. Memory chips, simpler CPUs etc can be made cheaper by newer players
Not really, they have been involved in lithography before, they just stopped trying to compete at the high end for a while, like everyone else not named ASML. At that scale it's all optics, regardless of what they call it or what new tech they come up with to make it work.It’s sort of ironic that Canon—a company most associated with cameras—would come up with an alternative to light-based chip manufacturing.
No.What killed the old electric car was the Petrol industry.
Yeah, this is completely wrong.If electric cars tech had actually not been mostly suppressed
They've long been my go-to brand for printers.It’s sort of ironic that Canon—a company most associated with cameras—would come up with an alternative to light-based chip manufacturing.
Mitutoyo sandbagged on the quality of their metrology to get around ITAR. Companies do not give a shit about anything but making money.Yea, Japan has no interest in seeing a stronger China, the only reason there is a "might" is because up to now they did not have a product (or announced plans for a product), with this, the export restrictions will come.
Exactly, and I am glad someone replied right away because it’s important history. Before ASML became the lithography leader with EUV, the space was dominated by Japan companies like Nikon and Canon, which are known to most people as just a camera company. Japan was known as a semiconductor powerhouse up through even the 1990’s, and this was part of the reason. ASML was rising by then until the climax of ASML vs Nikon in court over lithography related patents in the 2000’s. Also, when you look at a lithography machine, you see it’s like a very complex projection system.
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They are also longtime makers of inkjet printers. Nanoimprint lithography is probably completely unrelated to their bubblejet printer technology, but if you read the details some of the nanoimprint mask making sounds weirdly similiar.It’s sort of ironic that Canon—a company most associated with cameras—would come up with an alternative to light-based chip manufacturing.