As the plateau of the icefield thins, ice and snow reserves at higher altitudes are lost.
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While Trump getting a second term is firmly in 'worst case scenario' territory, it isn't like even Democrats have been able to push through substantive changes. Let's face it - there is pretty much no effective mitigation strategy that would not involve significant (if hardly life-changing) restrictions on American consumptive behavior. That's a Bozo No No. Can't have gas go up $.50. Or some speed limits. Or a carbon tax or two.We all know that if the orange felon wins, he will once again roll back all forms of climate action therefore accelerating this even more.
We all know that if the orange felon wins, he will once again roll back all forms of climate action therefore accelerating this even more.
And yet leaders run around begging people to have more and more children...Not to sound like a DOOOMER, but we've probably passed the point of no return. The oceans are boiling, globally. Glaciers are melting....everywhere. Permafrost is....melting....huge quantities of methane are entering the atmosphere. None of it will be stopped with platitudes. Indeed, we're gonna add another 2 billion humans to this planet over the next twenty years or so. The world is about to get so much worse....before it gets better.
Not just that, but the US (whenever a Republican is president) forces [1] international agencies (e.g. the UN) to stop teaching about birth control and providing access to it in developing nations. As a direct result of this idiocy, we're about to have an extra billion people born in Africa [2].And yet leaders run around begging people to have more and more children...
I hope that you are right, but I am not too sure of this. As COVID clearly demonstrated, civilization and society are a lot more fragile than we think. I would agree that the biosphere is more resilient, but maybe not in the ways that we expect and probably more fragile in others.To be clear even if humanity doesn't address its part in climate change we are still unlikely to destroy the planet, or all life on the planet, or even our species but of what we can be fairy certain is that civilisation would be obliterated within a couple of generations followed by a collapsing population.
I would guess with the current recalcitrance within the next 300 years at the most, perhaps as soon as 60 years.
The barbarian aren't at our gates they inhabit our cities having assumed the purple long ago.
We may be about to add 2 billion people to the planet, but I will be very surprised (well, not really, as my life expectancy means I almost certainly will not be around at crunch time) if we do not lose more billions than that. And that is the optimistic scenario, as the stresses that the massive upcoming eco-disaster will provide are pretty likely to trigger a nuclear war, at which point a billion in total sustainable population will be an optimistic goal for quite a while. And given the combined stupidity and venality of those we are going to allow to lead us into this existential crisis, the pessimistic scenario is quite a probable one.Not to sound like a DOOOMER, but we've probably passed the point of no return. The oceans are boiling, globally. Glaciers are melting....everywhere. Permafrost is....melting....huge quantities of methane are entering the atmosphere. None of it will be stopped with platitudes. Indeed, we're gonna add another 2 billion humans to this planet over the next twenty years or so. The world is about to get so much worse....before it gets better.
We are definitely past multiple points of no return and are just barely begun to experience the damage we have already done to what has been an unusually hospitable and mild period of earth’s climate (basically all of human civilization has been extremely lucky climate wise in the holocene).Not to sound like a DOOOMER, but we've probably passed the point of no return. The oceans are boiling, globally. Glaciers are melting....everywhere. Permafrost is....melting....huge quantities of methane are entering the atmosphere. None of it will be stopped with platitudes. Indeed, we're gonna add another 2 billion humans to this planet over the next twenty years or so. The world is about to get so much worse....before it gets better.
When I bought my house in 2007, I looked at the worst case sea level rise, and bought a house that will become beachfront property.In Sept 2019 I visited Whittier, AK to view the glaciers before they disappeared. You could still get close enough to see a few of the glaciers calving. Others had receded from the water's edge, some by hundreds of meters.
So Putin's nuclear war is just climate change mitigation? /s/Climate Change as a problem sucks at so many levels. It has many properties that make it easy to deny it. To solve it, almost EVERYONE needs to acknowledge it and point their noses in the same direction, though. But the rich and powerful, both in terms of nations and individuals, are the ones least affected. Basically, the future of hundreds of millions is co-determined by their fellow-earthlings. But "asking nicely" is not among the available instruments to convince them, and factual arguments seem to have lost a lot of power over the last decades.
And in the middle of this clusterfuck, as a relatively small detail (but nevertheless frustrating and unfair), the people who are unaware or don't give a shit, are just living the Life as if everything is fine. While everyone ELSE is stressed out, losing sleep, suffering from high blood pressure and getting increasingly depressed and frustrated.
You would think that at some point there's going to be a movement that thinks "we're going down, but before we do, we're gonna make YOUR life miserable, too!"
Has anyone started putting a target list together?
Lex?When I bought my house in 2007, I looked at the worst case sea level rise, and bought a house that will become beachfront property.
At the time, it seemed like a bit of a stretch. Now it seems like brilliant foresight. If I live long enough, the street in front of my house will be underwater, but my house is built on a hill that slopes down to (what will be) the newly expanded Atlantic Ocean.
I‘m not quite so optimistic.To be clear even if humanity doesn't address its part in climate change we are still unlikely to destroy the planet, or all life on the planet, or even our species but of what we can be fairy certain is that civilisation would be obliterated within a couple of generations followed by a collapsing population.
I would guess with the current recalcitrance within the next 300 years at the most, perhaps as soon as 60 years.
The barbarian aren't at our gates they inhabit our cities having assumed the purple long ago.
The drawback to this is that the warming is going to put A LOT of energy in the oceans. I hope it was a houseboat you built, and one that could ride out a cat 5 hurricane at that.When I bought my house in 2007, I looked at the worst case sea level rise, and bought a house that will become beachfront property.
At the time, it seemed like a bit of a stretch. Now it seems like brilliant foresight. If I live long enough, the street in front of my house will be underwater, but my house is built on a hill that slopes down to (what will be) the newly expanded Atlantic Ocean. And then ...
The IRA was substantive change. It was even landmark change. The impacts on the grid and transportation will be profound.While Trump getting a second term is firmly in 'worst case scenario' territory, it isn't like even Democrats have been able to push through substantive changes.
I believe it wasn't even a week ago wherein the first ever recorded Hurricane of this season hit Category Five and broke the record for the earliest Category Five ever recorded, and came rather relatively close to the earliest ever recorded major hurricane in the Atlantic. While there have been others in the past, they can be largely considered as outliers compared to the strength exhibited by Hurricanes later in their respective seasons. What has been observable to even the most casual of layman is that the sheer frequency of major storms has had a dramatic increase in just the last 10 years - coinciding with ever rising temperatures globally, and ever increasing sea temperatures (which, on another note, has some rather strong implications for the North Atlantic Current).The drawback to this is that the warming is going to put A LOT of energy in the oceans. I hope it was a houseboat you built, and one that could ride out a cat 5 hurricane at that.
...ingtonLex?
I'm sure I can qualify for federally subsidized flood insurance, and the government will bring in more sand for my front yard after every storm.The drawback to this is that the warming is going to put A LOT of energy in the oceans. I hope it was a houseboat you built, and one that could ride out a cat 5 hurricane at that.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanam/article/PIIS2667-193X(23)00096-0/fulltextWhile Trump getting a second term is firmly in 'worst case scenario' territory, it isn't like even Democrats have been able to push through substantive changes. Let's face it - there is pretty much no effective mitigation strategy that would not involve significant (if hardly life-changing) restrictions on American consumptive behavior. That's a Bozo No No. Can't have gas go up $.50. Or some speed limits. Or a carbon tax or two.
We've pretty much boxed ourselves into a corner in terms of politically acceptable climate mitigations. Ones that don't require a behavior change or cost too much money. Not that we shouldn't quit trying but at this stage all we can hope for is that it doesn't get too awful bad.
But if Trump gets in again we may not have the luxury of worrying about the climate.
I, for one, would welcome any alien overlords that happen to be in the neighborhood. Stop by and give us a tentacle lashing or whatever. Send an email. We could use some assistance here.
Well if us humans don't do something about climate change nature will. humans may not like her option though.While Trump getting a second term is firmly in 'worst case scenario' territory, it isn't like even Democrats have been able to push through substantive changes. Let's face it - there is pretty much no effective mitigation strategy that would not involve significant (if hardly life-changing) restrictions on American consumptive behavior. That's a Bozo No No. Can't have gas go up $.50. Or some speed limits. Or a carbon tax or two.
We've pretty much boxed ourselves into a corner in terms of politically acceptable climate mitigations. Ones that don't require a behavior change or cost too much money. Not that we shouldn't quit trying but at this stage all we can hope for is that it doesn't get too awful bad.
But if Trump gets in again we may not have the luxury of worrying about the climate.
I, for one, would welcome any alien overlords that happen to be in the neighborhood. Stop by and give us a tentacle lashing or whatever. Send an email. We could use some assistance here.
I believe Forbes publishes one fairly regularly.Climate Change as a problem sucks at so many levels. It has many properties that make it easy to deny it. To solve it, almost EVERYONE needs to acknowledge it and point their noses in the same direction, though. But the rich and powerful, both in terms of nations and individuals, are the ones least affected. Basically, the future of hundreds of millions is co-determined by their fellow-earthlings. But "asking nicely" is not among the available instruments to convince them, and factual arguments seem to have lost a lot of power over the last decades.
And in the middle of this clusterfuck, as a relatively small detail (but nevertheless frustrating and unfair), the people who are unaware or don't give a shit, are just living the Life as if everything is fine. While everyone ELSE is stressed out, losing sleep, suffering from high blood pressure and getting increasingly depressed and frustrated.
You would think that at some point there's going to be a movement that thinks "we're going down, but before we do, we're gonna make YOUR life miserable, too!"
Has anyone started putting a target list together?
Yeah .. not so sure about thatWhich they are right to do. Human population is expected to start declining around 2050. The economic catastrophe of having a top heavy population is severe. Not only will the elderly be demanding their food, housing and transportation be paid for, but the extra strain on the young will induce them to have fewer children making the problem worse. We see it today with bitter millennials not putting out, and given the lack of sharing in this society we shan’t blame them.
A very large segment, close to all of it, of US economic growth is population growth. If you want to preside over a shrinking economy and Detroit like civil service collapse then by all means advocate for fewer children, because that is where that leads. Politicians who advocate for larger families are right to do so. If the babies don’t appear on schedule then the window is gone and immigration is the only solution. Pick one.
We don’t get out of our present difficulties by having fewer children. We need to get to zero emissions. The fewer children plan reaches zero emissions when everyone is dead. It is the worst possible solution and a damn selfish one. Future generations don’t get to live because we don’t want to make any changes to how we live?! What kind of monster does that?
We get out of this conundrum by switching technologies to one that do not require combustion. Your kitchen is all electric. There is no reason why we can’t do that for everything else. It is just a matter of prioritizing the future over sunk cost fallacy and the nihilism.
What's the problem with immigration?A very large segment, close to all of it, of US economic growth is population growth. If you want to preside over a shrinking economy and Detroit like civil service collapse then by all means advocate for fewer children, because that is where that leads. Politicians who advocate for larger families are right to do so. If the babies don’t appear on schedule then the window is gone and immigration is the only solution. Pick one.
Future generations don’t get to live because we don’t want to make any changes to how we live?! What kind of monster does that?
Remember that the IRA authorized those programs. The funding comes from appropriations, which are under the annual control of Congress. Worst-case, Trump and a Republican Congress (at least one House) can repeal the IRA, but even without that blocking further appropriations will effectively shut it down. They could, even, claw back previous funding, but that's harder.The IRA was substantive change. It was even landmark change. The impacts on the grid and transportation will be profound.
Until next year when the MAGAidiots repeal most of it. And even if they don't, it is only going to cause a modest deflection in the curve. If any at all. The fact that the IRA will undoubtedly be the strongest anti climate change legislation that the US could possibly push through shows exactly how fucked we are.The IRA was substantive change. It was even landmark change. The impacts on the grid and transportation will be profound.
While Trump getting a second term is firmly in 'worst case scenario' territory, it isn't like even Democrats have been able to push through substantive changes. Let's face it - there is pretty much no effective mitigation strategy that would not involve significant (if hardly life-changing) restrictions on American consumptive behavior. That's a Bozo No No. Can't have gas go up $.50. Or some speed limits. Or a carbon tax or two.
We've pretty much boxed ourselves into a corner in terms of politically acceptable climate mitigations. Ones that don't require a behavior change or cost too much money.
Mines was something similar but during first Trump campaign started with the response to my criticism that Trump lies with the reflexive ‘everyone lies!’ Then me pointing out even if that’s true that doesn’t excuse Trump.Some years ago, I had a coworker who told me with a straight face that the glaciers are not melting. That scientists are comparing photos taken in winter vs ones taken in summer (part of some conspiracy, I guess). I realized that no counter evidence would be accepted. It was a moment that showed me how severe their idiocy is.
This you or a quote?(Snipped)
I shall wear white flannel trousers, and walk upon the beach.
I have heard the mermaids singing, each to each.
I do not think that they will sing to me.
I have seen them riding seaward on the waves
Combing the white hair of the waves blown back
When the wind blows the water white and black.
We have lingered in the chambers of the sea
By sea-girls wreathed with seaweed red and brown
Till human voices wake us, and we drown.
Love Song of J Alfred Prufrock. ?This you or a quote?
It's beautiful either way!
Just like with Ethernet cables, where we thought Cat-5 was all we’d ever need, I think we’re on the verge of Cat 6, and perhaps 7 and 8. We already need new colors on our temperature maps, and ‘the second highest recorded temperature ever’ has now been exceeded multiple times in multiple geographies.I believe it wasn't even a week ago wherein the first ever recorded Hurricane of this season hit Category Five and broke the record for the earliest Category Five ever recorded, and came rather relatively close to the earliest ever recorded major hurricane in the Atlantic. While there have been others in the past, they can be largely considered as outliers compared to the strength exhibited by Hurricanes later in their respective seasons. What has been observable to even the most casual of layman is that the sheer frequency of major storms has had a dramatic increase in just the last 10 years - coinciding with ever rising temperatures globally, and ever increasing sea temperatures (which, on another note, has some rather strong implications for the North Atlantic Current).