Data-driven approaches to load modeling andmonitoring in smart energy systems
Date
2017-01-23
Authors
Tang, Guoming
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Abstract
In smart energy systems, load curve refers to the time series reported by smart meters, which indicate the energy consumption of customers over a certain period of time. The widespread use of load curve (data) in demand side management and demand response programs makes it one of the most important resources. To capture the load behavior or energy consumption patterns, load curve modeling is widely applied to help the utilities and residents make better plans and decisions. In this dissertation, with the help of load curve modeling, we focus on data-driven solutions to three load monitoring problems in different scenarios of smart energy systems, including residential power systems and datacenter power systems and covering the research fields of i) data cleansing, ii) energy disaggregation, and iii) fine-grained power monitoring.
First, to improve the data quality for load curve modeling on the supply side, we challenge the regression-based approaches as an efficient way to load curve data cleansing and propose a new approach to analyzing and organizing load curve data. Our approach adopts a new view, termed portrait, on the load curve data by analyzing the inherent periodic patterns and re-organizing the data for ease of analysis. Furthermore, we introduce strategies to build virtual portrait datasets and demonstrate how this technique can be used for outlier detection in load curve. To identify the corrupted load curve data, we propose an appliance-driven approach that particularly takes advantage of information available on the demand side. It identifies corrupted data from the smart meter readings by solving a carefully-designed optimization problem. To solve the problem efficiently, we further develop a sequential local optimization algorithm that tackles the original NP-hard problem by solving an approximate problem in polynomial time.
Second, to separate the aggregated energy consumption of a residential house into that of individual appliances, we propose a practical and universal energy disaggregation solution, only referring to the readily available information of appliances. Based on the sparsity of appliances' switching events, we first build a sparse switching event recovering (SSER) model. Then, by making use of the active epochs of switching events, we develop an efficient parallel local optimization algorithm to solve our model and obtain individual appliances' energy consumption. To explore the benefit of introducing low-cost energy meters for energy disaggregation, we propose a semi-intrusive appliance load monitoring (SIALM) approach for large-scale appliances situation. Instead of using only one meter, multiple meters are distributed in the power network to collect the aggregated load data from sub-groups of appliances. The proposed SSER model and parallel optimization algorithm are used for energy disaggregation within each sub-group of appliances. We further provide the sufficient conditions for unambiguous state recovery of multiple appliances, under which a minimum number of meters is obtained via a greedy clique-covering algorithm.
Third, to achieve fine-grained power monitoring at server level in legacy datacenters, we present a zero-cost, purely software-based solution. With our solution, no power monitoring hardware is needed any more, leading to much reduced operating cost and hardware complexity. In detail, we establish power mapping functions (PMFs) between the states of servers and their power consumption, and infer the power consumption of each server with the aggregated power of the entire datacenter. We implement and evaluate our solution over a real-world datacenter with 326 servers. The results show that our solution can provide high precision power estimation at both the rack level and the server level. In specific, with PMFs including only two nonlinear terms, our power estimation i) at the rack level has mean relative error of 2.18%, and ii) at the server level has mean relative errors of 9.61% and 7.53% corresponding to the idle and peak power, respectively.
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Keywords
Load Curve Data, Load Modeling, Load Monitoring, Smart Energy Systems, Data-driven Approaches