Search Results (336)

Understanding how climate change influences the geographical distribution of species within an ecological niche is essential for predicting habitat shifts and informing conservation efforts. This study evaluates the impact of climate change on habitat suitability and ecological connectivity of wych elm (Ulmus glabra Huds.) in Türkiye. The study explores the future distribution of U. glabra and how its connectivity is affected by habitat fragmentation arising from changing climatic conditions. Contextually, this paper aims to achieve two primary objectives: estimating the potential geographical ranges of U. glabra under different climate scenarios and assessing alterations in ecological connections between current and future habitats. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used along with Morphological Spatial Pattern Analysis (MSPA), and the Probability of Connectivity (PC) index was applied to show possible transformations in distribution patterns of U. glabra over time. The findings suggest that there will be a reduction in the suitability of locations for the species. Moreover, it is expected that under future climate scenarios, ecological connectivity will decline, especially from 2061 to 2100 in the SSP585 scenario. Notably, significant alterations are anticipated during the latter half of the twenty-first century, mainly outside the coastal areas of the Black Sea, where extensive regions would become unsuitable. Additionally, the species is projected to shift its range, decreasing its presence in inland regions while expanding along the coasts. The results show the vulnerability of this species against climate change, thereby demanding adaptive conservation measures to preserve it within the forest ecosystems of Türkiye. Full article

Doñana (southern Spain), a region of notable biodiversity richness, is highly threatened by ongoing landscape transformation and climate change. We investigated the local effect of these anthropogenic factors on the temporal range dynamics of Lataste’s viper (Vipera latastei), an Iberian endemic Mediterranean reptile that has apparently become rare over the years in Doñana. Using ecological niche-based models, based on climatic and remote sensing variables, we analyzed historical (1959–1999) and contemporary (2000–2022) records of the species to assess range shifts and identify environmental factors that may influence them. Our results show that V. latastei is mostly restricted to the coastal region of Doñana and that one temperature variable is the most important factor explaining this distribution pattern in both periods. Additional climatic and vegetation variables play a role in its historical distribution, but they become less important in contemporary times, suggesting a niche simplification over time. We found 30.5% of reduction in the species suitable area from historical to contemporary conditions, a reduction that would be even greater (83.37%) in the absence of niche shift. These findings underscore the species’ heightened vulnerability to ongoing environmental changes and highlight the urgent need for targeted conservation strategies. Full article

Osteoarthritis is a joint disease that causes pain, stiffness, and reduced joint function because the protective cushioning inside the joints, called cartilage, gradually wears away. This condition is caused by various factors and complex processes in the joint’s environment, involving different types of cells producing factors that can either maintain the joint health or contribute to osteoarthritis. This study aimed to understand the factors influencing both healthy and diseased joints in DDD strategies for the in vitro preconditioning of MSCs. An electronic search in the PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases was carried out using the terms (cartilage OR chondr*) AND (repair OR regeneration OR healing) AND (niche OR microenvironment)) AND (“growth factor” OR GF OR cytokine). Researchers used various methods, including macroscopic examinations, histology, immunohistochemistry, and microCT. Molecules associated with joint inflammation were identified, like macrophage markers, MMP-13, TNF, apoptotic markers, and interleukins. Chondrogenesis-related factors such as aggrecan GAG, collagen type II, and TGF beta family were also identified. This study suggests that balancing certain molecules and ensuring the survival of joint chondrocytes could be crucial in improving the condition of osteoarthritic joints, emphasizing the importance of chondrocyte survival and activity. Future preconditioning methods for MSC- and EV-based therapies can find suitable strategies in the described microenvironments to explore co-culture systems and soluble or extracellular matrix factors. Full article

This study has systematically investigated and compared the geographical distribution patterns and population density of G. menyuanensis (Gm) and G. qinghaiensis (Gq), which are endemic to the QTP region and inflict severe damage. Using a method combining the BIOMOD2 integration model (incorporating nine ecological niche models) and current species distribution data, this study has compared changes in potential habitats and distribution centers of these two species during ancient, present, and future climate periods and conducted a correlation test on the prediction results with land use types. The study results indicate that there are differences in geographical distribution patterns, distribution elevations, and population density of these two species. Compared with single models, the integration model exhibits prominent accuracy and stability with higher KAPPA, TSS, and AUC values. The distribution of suitable habitats for these two species is significantly affected by climatic temperature and precipitation. There is a significant difference between the potential habitats of these two species. Gm and Gq are distributed in the northeastern boundary area and the central and eastern areas of the QTP, respectively. The areas of their suitable habitats are significantly and positively correlated with the area of grassland among all land use types of QTP, with no correlations with the areas of other land use types of QTP. The potential habitats of both species during the paleoclimate period were located in the eastern and southeastern boundary areas of the QTP. During the paleoclimate period, their potential habitats expanded towards the Hengduan Mountains (low-latitude regions) in the south compared with their current suitable habitats. With the subsequent temperature rising, their distribution centers shifted towards the northeast (high-latitude) regions, which could validate the hypothesis that the Hengduan Mountains were refuges for these species during the glacial period. In the future, there will be more potential suitable habitats for these two species in the QTP. This study elucidates the ecological factors affecting the current distribution of these grass caterpillars, provides an important reference for designating the prevention and control areas for Gm and Gq, and helps protect the alpine meadow ecosystem in the region. Full article

The Asiatic rhinoceros beetle, Oryctes rhinoceros (Linnaeus, 1758) (Coleoptera: Scarabaeidae), is a destructive invasive species that poses a serious threat to palms, oil palms, and other plants. Defining a suitable area for the distribution of O. rhinoceros is essential for the development of appropriate policies and preventive measures. In this work, the MaxEnt niche model and ArcGIS software were used to predict the potential geographic distribution of O. rhinoceros in the world based on occurrence data and related environmental variables and to speculate on the influence of environmental variables on the distribution of O. rhinoceros. The results showed that the suitable areas of O. rhinoceros beetle were mainly distributed in 30° N–30° S, and the highly suitable areas were concentrated in South Asia, East Asia, Southeast Asia, and northern Oceania. The key environmental variables that determine the distribution location of O. rhinoceros are Precipitation of Wettest Month (bio13), Temperature of July (tmin7), Minimum Temperature of November (tmin11), and Precipitation of September (prec9). The prediction results of the MaxEnt model can reflect the global distribution of O. rhinoceros. This study can provide a theoretical basis for the prevention and control of O. rhinoceros and the development of relevant quarantine measures. Full article

Codium tomentosum holds a variety of bioactive compounds, high nutritional value and health benefits, which makes it a valuable natural resource for the food, cosmetic and pharmaceutical industries. Currently, C. tomentosum is farmed at a small-scale targeting niche markets, and further expansion of production is limited by a lack of optimised propagation and cultivation methods. This study aims to identify the conditions required to control key production parameters including gametogenesis, gamete release and suitable culture conditions for the early stages of development of C. tomentosum. Wild specimens of C. tomentosum were collected on the Aguçadoura shore, north of Portugal. Gametogenesis was successfully induced in infertile specimens cultured under a short-day photoperiod (8 h:16 h; L:D). Gamete release was optimised through a combination of hydric shock and ultrasounds, with the highest gamete yield obtained after a 2 h 30 min desiccation period, followed by re-hydration and a series of three ultrasounds. Germlings, precursors of the adult C. tomentosum, grew faster when cultured under a lower light intensity (20 μmol m⁻² s⁻¹) compared to higher intensities (40 and 60 μmol m⁻² s⁻¹) in every light spectrum; additionally, the growth of germlings exposed to the lowest light intensity was significantly higher under white, red and green light spectra compared to blue light. The results on key production parameters constitute an important contribution to the establishment of nursery protocols based on sexual reproduction for aquaculture of the species. Full article

Latoia consocia Walker is an important phytophagous pest that has rapidly spread across North China in recent years, posing a severe threat to related plants. To study the impact of climatic conditions on its distribution and to predict its distribution under current and future climate conditions, the MaxEnt niche model and ArcGIS 10.8 software were used. The results showed that the MaxEnt model performs well in predicting the distribution of L. consocia, with an AUC value of 0.913. The annual precipitation (Bio12), the precipitation of the driest month (Bio14), the temperature annual range (Bio7), and the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) are key environmental factors affecting the potential distribution of L. consocia. Under current climate conditions, L. consocia has a highly suitable growth area of 2243 km² in China, among which Taiwan has the largest high-suitable area with a total area of 1450 km². With climate warming, the potential habitat area for L. consocia shows an overall decreasing trend in future. This work provides a scientific basis for research on pest control and ecological protection. A “graded response” detection and early warning system, as well as prevention and control strategies, can be developed for potentially suitable areas to effectively address this pest challenge. Full article

Ixodes ricinus ticks are ubiquitous in Europe, including in North-East Italy. These ticks are important vectors of several zoonotic pathogens of public health relevance. In this study, the habitat suitability range of I. ricinus ticks infected with zoonotic pathogens was predicted in North-East Italy, and relevant spatial predictors were identified. In 2015–2021, ticks were collected at 26 sampling sites in the study area. The collected ticks were screened for the presence of pathogens using PCR assays. For Borrelia, Rickettsia and Anaplasma/Ehrlichia species, data allowed for ecological niche modelling using Maxent. Environmental determinants potentially related to tick habitat suitability were used as model inputs. Predicted suitable habitat distributions revealed hotspots of the probability of pathogen presence in I. ricinus ticks mainly in the central and upper parts of the study area. Key environmental predictors were temperature, rainfall and altitude, and vegetation index for specific pathogens (Rickettsia and Anaplasma/Ehrlichia species). Increased risk of exposure to tick-borne pathogens upon tick bites in the predicted hotspot areas can, therefore, be expected. This provides useful information for public health risk managers in this and other similar regions. Full article

We conducted a habitat suitability assessment for two burrowing rodents, Anatolian or Nehring’s blind mole rat (Nannospalax xanthodon) and Harting’s vole (Microtus hartingi), on the island of Lesvos using a niche-based approach. We collected data on the presence of the two species across the island and selected several environmental variables, including land cover, geology, and habitat topography, to assess their influence on habitat suitability. We used the Maxent species distribution modelling algorithm to predict suitable habitats. The results showed that both species preferred habitats with low slopes and specific geological substrates, i.e., alluvial deposits and volcanic rocks. M. hartingi showed a preference for open habitats such as saltmarshes and non-irrigated arable land, while N. xanthodon preferred non-irrigated arable land, pastures, and discontinuous urban fabric. The model predicted a wider area of suitable habitats for Microtus hartingi compared to N. xanthodon. Interestingly, the two species are absent from the southeastern part of the island despite our model predicting high suitability; this indicates that a natural barrier of hilly terrain, extensive pine forests, and limestone rock formations may exist that impedes dispersal. Our study provides valuable insights into the habitat preferences of these two burrowing rodents on the island of Lesvos, which can inform biodiversity conservation and ecosystem management strategies. Full article

Tapiscia sinensis Oliv. (T. sinensis), known as the Yingjiao tree, belongs to the Staphyleaceae family. It is a deciduous tree species endemic to China and represents an ancient species from the Tertiary glacial relics, possessing significant ecological and economic value. This study is based on 154 effective distribution points of T. sinensis in China and 12 environmental factors. Using integrated modeling and ArcGIS software (v10.8), the potential geographic distribution of T. sinensis under climate change was predicted to assess its future impact on distribution and ecological niche. Additionally, on-site surveys were conducted to compare the characteristics of T. sinensis forest communities across different habitability zones. The study also proposes conservation strategies based on the influence of climate change on the distribution of T. sinensis and the characteristics of its forest communities. The results indicate that (1) the current highly suitable areas for T. sinensis are primarily located in the municipal regions where Chongqing, Hubei, Hunan, and Guizhou provinces meet, covering an area of 20.44 × 10⁴ km². (2) In three suitable community categories, T. sinensis is consistently a subdominant species, with the community in moderately suitable areas being the most diverse and exhibiting higher stability and evenness. (3) Under future climate change scenarios, the potential distribution area for T. sinensis will gradually decrease with rising temperatures. It will shift toward northern higher latitude regions, with the degree of ecological niche migration also increasing. (4) Conservation measures for T. sinensis primarily involve in situ and ex situ protection approaches. These results provide a theoretical basis for the scientific management and resource conservation of T. sinensis. Full article

The spatial niche has garnered significant attention in ecological research, particularly regarding species distribution patterns. The East China Sea, known for its favorable natural conditions and abundant fishery resources, exhibits diverse spatial distribution patterns among species, shaped by their seasonal physiological needs. This study utilized a habitat suitability index model to explore the spatial distribution patterns of key fishery resources in the East China Sea across four seasons and their interactions. Two methodologies were employed to identify key environmental factors and assess the ecological niche overlap among different species and seasons. Results indicated that the initial method identified water temperature as the critical factor for hairtail, while the subsequent method emphasized water temperature and salinity for hairtail, salinity for small yellow croaker, and water depth for Bombay duck. The main spatial habitat overlap was observed between paired species, likely driven by predator-prey interactions. During summer and autumn, increased overlap among multiple species was primarily influenced by synchronized life cycles. An overlap index formula quantified the seasonal species overlap, showing an increase from spring to winter, reflecting changes in convergent habitat preferences. The peak overlap occurred in winter, driven by overwintering, reduced food competition, and enhanced coexistence potential, while the lowest overlap was noted in spring as overwintering ended and predation and competition intensified. Full article

Climate change has significantly altered in the distribution of plant and animal species, potentially resulting in either species expansion or extinction. The genus Chimonanthus, an economically significant and endemic group in China, holds substantial medicinal and ornamental value; however, its wild resources are limited. There is a paucity of knowledge regarding the distribution characteristics of the genus Chimonanthus species and the critical ecological factors influencing habitat suitability. Utilizing species distribution data and environmental variables, we performed simulations and analyses to identify suitable habitats, evaluate the primary environmental factors influencing distribution, determine potential distribution areas and centroids, and predict changes in suitable areas under three future climate scenarios (SSP-126, SSP-245, SSP-585) employing MaxEnt and ArcGIS. These findings indicated that the Area Under Curve (AUC) values exceeded 0.97 for all five Chimonanthus species, suggesting that the model predictions are highly accurate. The primary environmental variables influencing the distribution of C. grammatus are temperature, particularly isothermality (BIO3), and the mean temperature of warmest quarter (BIO10). However, precipitation of warmest quarter (BIO18) was an important environmental factor limiting the distributions of C. praecox, C. nitens, C. salicifolius and C. zhejiangensis. In the current period, the area of habitat suitability for C. praecox is the largest, at 2,498,600 km², while that for C. zhejiangensis is the smallest, at 700,400 km². The five Chimonanthus species are distributed mainly in southern China under the current climate scenario and will migrate to higher latitudes under future climate scenarios. C. nitens had high niche overlap and range overlap with C. zhejiangensis and C. salicifolius, respectively. A similar situation occurs between C. zhejiangensis and C. salicifolius. These findings suggest that there may be strong interspecific competition among adjacent species. Our results indicate that the establishment of nature reserves at current distribution sites within optimal areas is crucial for the conservation of germplasm resources, particularly for C. grammatus and C. salicifolius. The data generated from this research can serve as a valuable reference for the selection of in situ conservation sites, the determination of appropriate planting locations, the scientific introduction of species, and the development of long-term conservation and management strategies for Chimonanthus. Full article

Black locust (Robinia pseudoacacia L.), one of the major afforestation species adopted in vegetation restoration, is notable for its rapid root growth and drought resistance. It plays a vital role in improving the natural environment and soil fertility, contributing significantly to soil and water conservation and biodiversity protection. However, compared with natural forests, due to the low diversity, simple structure and poor stability, planted forests including Robinia pseudoacacia L. are more sensitive to the changing climate, especially in the aspects of growth trend and adaptive range. Studying the ecological characteristics and geographical boundaries of Robinia pseudoacacia L. is therefore important to explore the adaptation of suitable niches to climate change. Here, based on 162 effective distribution records in China and 22 environmental variables, the potential distribution of suitable niches for Robinia pseudoacacia L. plantations in past, present and future climates was simulated by using a Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model. The results showed that the accuracy of the MaxEnt model was excellent and the area under the curve (AUC) value reached 0.937. Key environmental factors constraining the distribution and suitable intervals were identified, and the geographical distribution and area changes of Robinia pseudoacacia L. plantations in future climate scenarios were also predicted. The results showed that the current suitable niches for Robinia pseudoacacia L. plantations covered 9.2 × 10⁵ km², mainly distributed in the Loess Plateau, Huai River Basin, Sichuan Basin, eastern part of the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau, Shandong Peninsula, and Liaodong Peninsula. The main environmental variables constraining the distribution included the mean temperature of the driest quarter, precipitation of driest the quarter, temperature seasonality and altitude. Among them, the temperature of the driest quarter was the most important factor. Over the past 90 years, the suitable niches in the Sichuan Basin and Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau have not changed significantly, while the suitable niches north of the Qinling Mountains have expanded northward by 2° and the eastern area of Liaoning Province has expanded northward by 1.2°. In future climate scenarios, the potential suitable niches for Robinia pseudoacacia L. are expected to expand significantly in both the periods 2041–2060 and 2061–2080, with a notable increase in highly suitable niches, widely distributed in southern China. A warning was issued for the native vegetation in the above-mentioned areas. This work will be beneficial for developing reasonable afforestation strategies and understanding the adaptability of planted forests to climate change. Full article

As climatic and geographical conditions change in the future, species’ habitats will also change. Phoebe zhennan is a national second-level key protected wild plant in China with extremely high economic value and landscape value. In order to better protect the resources of P. zhennan and achieve the goal of the sustainable development of P. zhennan resources, we predict potential suitable areas for P. zhennan under different scenarios in the future. We collect the current distribution data of P. zhennan, and in combination with nine climate factors and three geographical factors, use the MaxEnt ecological niche model and ArcGIS geographic information system software to predict and analyze potential suitable areas for P. zhennan in different climate scenarios in the future. The result shows that more accurate prediction results can be obtained by using China’s climatic and geographical data before clipping as environmental variables. The precipitation of the warmest quarter and the slope are the main influencing factors in the prediction of potential suitable areas for P. zhennan. The future potential suitable areas for P. zhennan are mainly distributed in the central–southern and southern regions of China, with a tendency to expand towards the Tibet Autonomous Region and the northeast. The suitable habitat area will increase significantly, and the highly suitable habitat area will be more concentrated. These research results can provide valuable references for the effective protection of existing P. zhennan populations, the cultivation of P. zhennan within suitable habitats in the future, the establishment of a P. zhennan reserve, and the promotion of the sustainable utilization of P. zhennan resources. Full article

The deterioration of natural habitats for oak species has steadily occurred as a consequence of both climate change and human pressure. Therefore, detailed and reliable information about the geographic distribution of oak species under changing climate conditions is needed for diverse ecological and conservation practices. This study examined the habitat suitability of endemic Kasnak oak, Quercus vulcanica Boiss. & Heldr. ex Kotschy, an endemic that ranges across the Central Anatolia Region and surrounding mountains in Türkiye. The occurrence data were gathered through fieldwork, and new records were identified. Next, we applied ecological niche modeling to assess the past, present-day, and future potential geographic range of the species in Anatolia. Projections for the Last Glacial Maximum indicate that most of the suitable areas for Kasnak oak were in southern Anatolia. However, present-day estimates suggest projections estimate suitable habitats in northern Anatolia and around the Anatolian Diagonal. According to future projections, the distribution of the species seems to decrease by 2100, with habitat suitability reduction ranging from 3.27% to 7.88%. Projections suggest a decrease in habitat suitability for the species, particularly in the western and southern Türkiye in the future. Moreover, the projections indicated that suitable habitats for the northern range of the species would likely persist until 2100, although they would diminish towards the northeast. The results can be effectively applied to enhance biodiversity conservation planning and management, leading to the development of innovative strategies. Full article