Search Results (186)

A highly versatile evaluation method is proposed for transient plasmas based on statistical physics. It would be beneficial in various industrial sectors, including semiconductors and automobiles. Our research focused on low-energy plasmas in laboratory settings, and they were assessed via our proposed method, which incorporates relative entropy and fractional Brownian motion, based on a revised collisional–radiative model. By introducing an indicator to evaluate how far a system is from its steady state, both the trend of entropy and the radiative process’ contribution to the lifetime of excited states were considered. The high statistical weight of some excited states may act as a bottleneck in the plasma’s energy relaxation throughout the system to a steady state. By deepening our understanding of how energy flows through plasmas, we anticipate potential contributions to resolving global environmental issues and fostering technological innovation in plasma-related industrial fields. Full article

Two novel crossover models for breast cancer that incorporate Ψ-Caputo fractal variable-order fractional derivatives, fractal fractional-order derivatives, and variable-order fractional stochastic derivatives driven by variable-order fractional Brownian motion and the crossover model for breast cancer that incorporates Atangana–Baleanu Caputo fractal variable-order fractional derivatives, fractal fractional-order derivatives, and variable-order fractional stochastic derivatives driven by variable-order fractional Brownian motion are presented here, where we used a simple nonstandard kernel function Ψ(t) in the first model and a non-singular kernel in the second model. Moreover, we evaluated our models using actual statistics from Saudi Arabia. To ensure consistency with the physical model problem, the symmetry parameter ζ is introduced. We can obtain the fractal variable-order fractional Caputo and Caputo–Katugampola derivatives as special cases from the proposed Ψ-Caputo derivative. The crossover dynamics models define three alternative models: fractal variable-order fractional model, fractal fractional-order model, and variable-order fractional stochastic model over three-time intervals. The stability of the proposed model is analyzed. The Ψ-nonstandard finite-difference method is designed to solve fractal variable-order fractional and fractal fractional models, and the Toufik–Atangana method is used to solve the second crossover model with the non-singular kernel. Also, the nonstandard modified Euler–Maruyama method is used to study the variable-order fractional stochastic model. Numerous numerical tests and comparisons with real data were conducted to validate the methods’ efficacy and support the theoretical conclusions. Full article

This paper introduces fractional Brownian motion into the study of Maxwell nanofluids over a stretching surface. Nonlinear coupled spatial fractional-order energy and mass equations are established and solved numerically by the finite difference method with Newton’s iterative technique. The quantities of physical interest are graphically presented and discussed in detail. It is found that the modified model with fractional Brownian motion is more capable of explaining the thermal conductivity enhancement. The results indicate that a reduction in the fractional parameter leads to thinner thermal and concentration boundary layers, accompanied by higher local Nusselt and Sherwood numbers. Consequently, the introduction of a fractional Brownian model not only enriches our comprehension of the thermal conductivity enhancement phenomenon but also amplifies the efficacy of heat and mass transfer within Maxwell nanofluids. This achievement demonstrates practical application potential in optimizing the efficiency of fluid heating and cooling processes, underscoring its importance in the realm of thermal management and energy conservation. Full article

In this paper, we focus on fractional stochastic differential equations (FSDEs) with a stochastic forcing term, i.e., to FSDE, we add a stochastic forcing term. Using the implicit scheme of Euler’s approximation, the conditions for the existence and uniqueness of the solution of FSDEs with a stochastic forcing term are established. Such equations can be applied to considering FSDEs with a permeable wall. Full article

The Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) is a dynamic financial market with complex interactions and inherent volatility. Traditional models often fall short in capturing the intricate dependencies and long memory effects observed in real-world financial data. In this study, we explore the application of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) to model stock price dynamics within the ASE, specifically utilizing the Athens General Composite (ATG) index. The ATG is considered a key barometer of the overall health of the Greek stock market. Investors and analysts monitor the index to gauge investor sentiment, economic trends, and potential investment opportunities in Greek companies. We find that the Hurst exponent falls outside the range typically associated with fractal Brownian motion. This, combined with the established non-normality of increments, disfavors both geometric Brownian motion and fractal Brownian motion models for the ATG index. Full article

This paper focuses on developing a predictive model for wind energy production in Italy, aligning with the ambitious goals of the European Green Deal. In particular, by utilising real data from the SUD (South) Italian electricity zone over seven years, the model employs stochastic differential equations driven by (fractional) Brownian motion-based dynamic and generative adversarial networks to forecast wind energy production up to one week ahead accurately. Numerical simulations demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in capturing the complexities of wind energy prediction. Full article

In traditional finance, option prices are typically calculated using crisp sets of variables. However, as reported in the literature novel, these parameters possess a degree of fuzziness or uncertainty. This allows participants to estimate option prices based on their risk preferences and beliefs, considering a range of possible values for the parameters. This paper presents a comprehensive review of existing work on fuzzy fractional Brownian motion and proposes an extension in the context of financial option pricing. In this paper, we define a unified framework combining fractional Brownian motion with fuzzy processes, creating a joint product measure space that captures both randomness and fuzziness. The approach allows for the consideration of individual risk preferences and beliefs about parameter uncertainties. By extending Merton’s jump-diffusion model to include fuzzy fractional Brownian motion, this paper addresses the modelling needs of hybrid systems with uncertain variables. The proposed model, which includes fuzzy Poisson processes and fuzzy volatility, demonstrates advantageous properties such as long-range dependence and self-similarity, providing a robust tool for modelling financial markets. By incorporating fuzzy numbers and the belief degree, this approach provides a more flexible framework for practitioners to make their investment decisions. Full article

The process of end-joining during nonhomologous repair of DNA double-strand breaks (DSBs) after radiation damage is considered. Experimental evidence has revealed that the dynamics of DSB ends exhibit subdiffusive motion rather than simple diffusion with rare directional movement. Traditional models often overlook the rare long-range directed motion. To address this limitation, we present a heterogeneous anomalous diffusion model consisting of subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion interchanged with short periods of long-range movement. Our model sheds light on the underlying mechanisms of heterogeneous diffusion in DSB repair and could be used to quantify the DSB dynamics on a time scale inaccessible to single particle tracking analysis. The model predicts that the long-range movement of DSB ends is responsible for the misrepair of DSBs in the form of dicentric chromosome lesions. Full article

In this paper, we study the existence of positive solutions for a changing-sign perturbation tempered fractional model with weak singularity which arises from the sub-diffusion study of anomalous diffusion in Brownian motion. By two-step substitution, we first transform the higher-order sub-diffusion model to a lower-order mixed integro-differential sub-diffusion model, and then introduce a power factor to the non-negative Green function such that the linear integral operator has a positive infimum. This innovative technique is introduced for the first time in the literature and it is critical for controlling the influence of changing-sign perturbation. Finally, an a priori estimate and Schauder’s fixed point theorem are applied to show that the sub-diffusion model has at least one positive solution whether the perturbation is positive, negative or changing-sign, and also the main nonlinear term is allowed to have singularity for some space variables. Full article

This research conducted a thorough investigation of Bitcoin volatility patterns using three interrelated methodologies: R/S investigation, simple moving average (SMA), and the relative strength index (RSI). The paper jointly employes the above techniques on volatility range-based estimators to effectively capture the unpredictable volatility patterns of Bitcoin. R/S analysis, SMA, and RSI calculations assess time series data obtained from our volatility estimators. Although Bitcoin is known for its high volatility and price instability, our analysis using R/S analysis and moving averages suggests the existence of underlying patterns. The estimated Hurst exponents for our volatility estimators indicate a level of persistence in these patterns, with some estimators displaying more persistence than others. This persistence underscores the potential of momentum-based trading strategies, reinforcing the expectation of additional price rises after declines and vice versa. However, significant volatility often interrupts this upward movement. The SMA analysis also demonstrates Bitcoin’s susceptibility to external market forces. These observations indicate that traders and investors should modify their risk management approaches in accordance with market circumstances, perhaps integrating a combination of momentum-based and mean-reversion tactics to reduce the risks linked to Bitcoin’s volatility. Furthermore, the existence of robust patterns, as demonstrated by our investigation, presents promising opportunities for investing in Bitcoin. Full article

This paper introduces the fractional Heston-type (fHt) model as a stochastic system comprising the stock price process modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. In this model, the infinitesimal return volatility is characterized by the square of a singular stochastic equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a Hurst parameter H∈(0,1). We establish the Malliavin differentiability of the fHt model and derive an expression for the expected payoff function, revealing potential discontinuities. Simulation experiments are conducted to illustrate the dynamics of the stock price process and option prices. Full article

This paper gives its contributions in four stages. First, we propose the analytical expressions of power spectrum density (PSD) responses and cross-PSD responses to seven classes of fractional vibrators driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn). Second, we put forward the analytical expressions of PSD and cross-PSD responses to seven classes of fractional vibrators excited by fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Third, we present the analytical expressions of PSD and cross-PSD responses to seven classes of fractional vibrators driven by the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process. Fourth, we bring forward the analytical expressions of PSD and cross-PSD responses to seven classes of fractional vibrators excited by the von Kármán process. We show that the statistical dependences of the responses to seven classes of fractional vibrators follow those of the excitation of fGn, fBm, the OU process, or the von Kármán process. We also demonstrate the obvious effects of fractional orders on the responses to seven classes of fractional vibrations. In addition, we newly introduce class VII fractional vibrators, their frequency transfer function, and their impulse response in this research. Full article

This paper aims to provide an effective method for pricing forward starting options under the double fractional stochastic volatilities mixed-exponential jump-diffusion model. The value of a forward starting option is expressed in terms of the expectation of the forward characteristic function of log return. To obtain the forward characteristic function, we approximate the pricing model with a semimartingale by introducing two small perturbed parameters. Then, we rewrite the forward characteristic function as a conditional expectation of the proportion characteristic function which is expressed in terms of the solution to a classic PDE. With the affine structure of the approximate model, we obtain the solution to the PDE. Based on the derived forward characteristic function and the Fourier transform technique, we develop a pricing algorithm for forward starting options. For comparison, we also develop a simulation scheme for evaluating forward starting options. The numerical results demonstrate that the proposed pricing algorithm is effective. Exhaustive comparative experiments on eight models show that the effects of fractional Brownian motion, mixed-exponential jump, and the second volatility component on forward starting option prices are significant, and especially, the second fractional volatility is necessary to price accurately forward starting options under the framework of fractional Brownian motion. Full article

In this paper, we investigate the Green measure for a class of non-Gaussian processes in Rd. These measures are associated with the family of generalized grey Brownian motions Bβ,α, 0<β≤1, 0<α≤2. This family includes both fractional Brownian motion, Brownian motion, and other non-Gaussian processes. We show that the perpetual integral exists with probability 1 for dα>2 and 1<α≤2. The Green measure then generalizes those measures of all these classes. Full article

Roller bearing degradation features fractal characteristics such as self-similarity and long-range dependence (LRD). However, the existing remaining useful life (RUL) prediction models are memoryless or short-range dependent. To this end, we propose a RUL prediction model based on fractional Brownian motion (FBM). Bearing faults can happen in different places, and thus their degradation features are difficult to extract accurately. Through variational mode decomposition (VMD), the original degradation feature is decomposed into several components of different frequencies. The monotonicity, robustness and trends of the different components are calculated. The frequency component with the best metric values is selected as the training data. In this way, the performance of the prediction model is hugely improved. The unknown parameters in the degradation model are estimated by the maximum likelihood algorithm. The Monte Carlo method is applied to predict the RUL. A case study of a bearing is presented and the prediction performance is evaluated using multiple indicators. Full article