Men's Bracketology: 2025 NCAA Tournament

By Joe Lunardi Updated: 11/05/2024 at 09:30 a.m. ET

The earliest start to a college basketball season is upon us, with a full slate of games. Here at Bracketology HQ, we'll be tracking every result from Nov. 4 until April 7, ranking and reranking what will eventually comprise the NCAA tournament's field of 68. This edition includes all opening night results, and we'll update the bracket every Tuesday for the remainder of November and December before moving to twice-weekly updates when conference play picks up in January.

Bracket Watch

While many were sleeping, Gonzaga posted opening night's biggest win with a lopsided victory over Baylor. The Bulldogs may not have fully avenged their loss to the Bears in the 2021 national championship game, but they reminded us that hopes for an NCAA title in 2025 are very much alive in Spokane. It stands to reason, at least at some point, that the Zags will break through and finally win on a Monday night in April. Under Mark Few, they have twice reached the NCAA final and five regional championship games (plus another under Don Monson). Their nine straight Sweet 16 appearances and 25 straight NCAA bids are first and second, respectively, in Division I. If this were golf, we'd call Gonzaga the "best player never to win a major." One day into a new season, the Bulldogs are back on the top seed line of a bracket projection. In other words, things are normal for one of America's most consistent programs.

On the Bubble

Last Four Byes

Last Four In

First Four Out

Next Four Out

68-Team Bracket

MIDWEST (INDIANAPOLIS)

Wichita

Providence

Lexington

Raleigh

WEST (SAN FRANCISCO)

Seattle

Denver

Cleveland

Milwaukee

SOUTH (ATLANTA)

Lexington

Milwaukee

Cleveland

Wichita

EAST (NEWARK)

Raleigh

Seattle

Denver

Providence

Conference Breakdown

Conference

Team

Photo illo by ESPN Illustration, additional photos courtesy of Getty Images, Associated Press, Imagn, USA TODAY Sports, Icon Sportswire, EPA/Shutterstock

RULES

ESPN's Bracketology efforts are focused on projecting the NCAA tournament field just as we expect the NCAA Division I basketball committee to select the field in March. ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi uses the same data points favored by the committee, including strength of schedule and other season-long indicators, including the NET and team-sheet data similar to what is available to the NCAA, in his projections of the field. Visit the NCAA's website for a fuller understanding of NCAA selection criteria.

68-Team Bracket

The 68-team bracket is the standard version of the NCAA tournament field that has been in place since 2011. If the 2021 field is comprised of 68 teams, there will be some key differences to past years, however.

The primary adjustment from a normal year is, of course, the playing of the entire NCAA tournament at a single site. This eliminates the need for geographical considerations in seeding. Additionally, there will be at least one fewer automatic qualifier this season, as the Ivy League's decision to forgo the 2020-21 season reduces the number of AQ entries to 31 for this season.

48-Team Bracket

In this projection, a condensed selection process would reduce the field by 10 at-large teams and 10 automatic qualifiers (the latter of which still receive a revenue unit). The top four seeds in each region would receive a bye into the second round, with four first-round games per region - 5 vs. 12, 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10 and 8 vs. 9 - being played without fans on the higher seed's home court.

To minimize travel, first-round pairings will be guided by geography to the greatest extent possible. And the reduced field results in only 32 teams competing at the central site. All participants must post a minimum .500 conference record - the "Lunardi Rule" - for at-large consideration.

16-Team Bracket

In this projection, the committee selects and seeds the 16 best available teams. There are no automatic qualifiers, although all non-competing conference champions receive the designated revenue unit.

To maintain some sense of national balance, conference participation is capped at four teams. And no region shall have more than one team from the same conference.

ESPN

Bracket Watch

Top Overall Seed

First Team Out

Last Team In

On the Bubble

Last Four Byes

Last Four In

First Four Out

Next Four Out

68-Team Bracket

MIDWEST (INDIANAPOLIS)

Wichita

Providence

Lexington

Raleigh

WEST (SAN FRANCISCO)

Seattle

Denver

Cleveland

Milwaukee

SOUTH (ATLANTA)

Lexington

Milwaukee

Cleveland

Wichita

EAST (NEWARK)

Raleigh

Seattle

Denver

Providence

Conference Breakdown

More Stories