WEF panel offers first impressions of Donald Trump’s new order

L-to-R: Sam Jacobs, Editor-in-Chief, TIME; Mina Al-Oraibi, Editor-in-Chief, The National; Samir Saran, President, Observer Research Foundation; Patrick Foulis, Foreign Editor, The Economist; speaking in First Impressions: Inauguration Day session at the WEF Annual Meeting 2025 in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland. (WEF)
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Updated 21 January 2025
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WEF panel offers first impressions of Donald Trump’s new order

  • Experts contemplate how the president’s ‘America First’ doctrine will mesh with the WEF’s globalist ethos
  • Davos panelists predict a lighter touch on tech regulation, more protectionism, and greater unpredictability

LONDON: While world leaders, business titans, and policymakers gathered in Davos, Switzerland, for the opening of the World Economic Forum’s 55th annual meeting on Monday, all eyes were on Washington, where Donald Trump was being inaugurated for his second term.

This dual spectacle underscored the contrast between two seemingly opposing worldviews: Trump’s “America First” doctrine and the WEF’s globalist vision of “Collaboration for the Intelligent Age.”

The timing of Trump’s inauguration on the forum’s opening day seemed almost poetic. Experts noted the symbolic clash between the Davos elite, often described as the architects of a “new world order,” and Trump’s unapologetic brand of populism.

“Thank you to the World Economic Forum for having us, but most of all for having an exquisite sense of humor by asking us to say what’s going to happen in the Trump administration,” Sam Jacobs, editor-in-chief of Time magazine, quipped during the forum’s first panel, titled “First Impressions: Inauguration Day.”

This year’s conference invites participants to explore ways to tackle shared challenges like climate change, technology, and economic inequality through global collaboration. Yet, as economics writer Kate Andrews observes, it is “an idea that means little to nothing if the world’s largest economy — and leader in AI development — is not on board.”

Indeed, Trump’s policies are expected to pivot sharply from the multilateralism championed by the WEF. He has already signaled a return to “America First” economics, emphasizing trade protectionism and other barriers, which are likely to reverberate across the global economy.

Adding to this is his close alignment with US tech leaders, including Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Tesla and X owner Elon Musk, and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. Their collective support suggests that Trump’s new administration will embrace a less regulated approach to tech innovation, particularly in artificial intelligence, diverging from the more cautious frameworks championed by both former president Joe Biden and the WEF.

“I think the technology race is one that is going to be instrumental in that economic conversation,” Mina Al-Oraibi, editor-in-chief of UAE’s The National, told the panel, highlighting Trump’s likely focus on countering China’s influence in tech and trade.

Still, not all experts see Trump’s policies as a stark departure from those of his predecessor. Patrick Foulis, foreign editor of The Economist, noted that Trump’s strategies could echo some elements of Biden’s economic doctrine.

“Trump, in one sense, represents continuity, and in some sense, he’s actually the intellectual author of the Biden policy. But I think we have very, very solid grounds to doubt his ability to apply over a sustained period of time that kind of strategy,” he said during the panel.

The goal, Foulis argues, is for Trump to “exert more influence over the world economy,” relying less on incentives and more on coercive measures like debt manipulation, tariffs, and tech controls.

In what some view as an olive branch, WEF President and CEO Borge Brende said Donald Trump planned to deliver a 45-minute video address to the forum on Thursday.

The complex relationship between Trump and the WEF remains a study in contrasts. While Trump’s “America First” doctrine appears to run counter to the WEF’s globalist ethos, his presence — or lack thereof — consistently draws attention.

Despite ideological differences, Trump’s influence remains too significant for the forum to overlook. His pivotal role in brokering the recent Gaza ceasefire underscores his relevance on the global stage.

“We’re meeting here in Davos with a ceasefire finally in place in Gaza and after a terrible, devastating war over 15 months. It has changed the region, and in some ways, it changed the world. And Trump 2.0 actually facilitated the ceasefire,” Al-Oraibi said, adding that the “Trump factor” was instrumental in bringing a deal that the Biden administration failed to pull off.




Newly sworn-in President Donald Trump takes part in a signing ceremony at the White House. (Reuters)

“Trump clearly said there had to be a ceasefire before inauguration. And that moment crystallizes what people are expecting under a Trump administration. That comes with many lessons from its first stint at the White House, but also lessons learned about what can be possible in the Middle East.”

Over the past year, the Middle East has experienced seismic changes, including Hezbollah’s diminished influence in Lebanon and the fall of the Bashar Assad regime in Syria. Experts predict that while Trump’s foreign policy will in some ways build on Biden’s, the focus will be more on targeted economic strategies rather than broad hegemonic goals.

“I see the Trumpian agenda essentially as a more comprehensive and forceful expression of American power on a much more limited geographic scope,” said Foulis.

While Trump’s foreign policy appears increasingly selective and driven by economic interests rather than purely hegemonic ambitions, Al-Oraibi believes the Middle East will remain central to US priorities, particularly as attention on Gaza and Palestine shows little sign of waning.

“The fact that the ceasefire was put in place just before the inauguration of Donald Trump shows that they realize this is not something that they want hanging over their heads from day one, but it is a long road ahead,” she said, adding that the administration may want to take advantage of the momentum to bring about a solution to the Palestinian question and possibly promote a two-state solution.

“The one thing that is clear is the US remains the most important superpower,” she said. “Yet there’s still so much that can go wrong.”

Besides foreign and economic policy, the panel also explored how Trump’s new administration might handle energy and climate issues — both pillars of forum discussions. While a rollback of Biden’s green policies is expected, experts believe the energy transition has become too entrenched to reverse completely.

“If for Trump, that energy transition can be reframed as a nationalist cause, so something that benefits the American economy, I don’t think he’s going to oppose it,” said Jacobs.

As speculation builds around the consequences of Trump’s return to the Oval Office, many experts caution that lessons from his first term may only partially apply this time around.

What is certain, according to Jacobs, is that a Trump 2.0 presidency promises to be “200 times more unpredictable, and more volatile than the first term,” emphasizing that the real focus should be on “where points of tension emerge” rather than specific policies.

For the WEF, Trump’s presence offers both challenges and opportunities. As the world grapples with interconnected crises, Davos prides itself on providing a platform for critical dialogue. The stakes are high, however, and Trump’s return to power adds another layer of complexity to an already transformative moment in world history.

 


Pakistan, Saudi Arabia sign agreement to boost cooperation in public sector auditing

Updated 03 February 2025
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Pakistan, Saudi Arabia sign agreement to boost cooperation in public sector auditing

  • Development comes during a visit to Pakistan by a Saudi General Court of Audit delegation, led by Hussam bin Abdulmohsen Al-Angari
  • Auditor General of Pakistan’s office says both sides agreed to collaborate on training programs, exchange of trainers to tackle audit challenges

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have signed a Memorandum of Understanding to increase collaboration in public sector auditing through enhanced cooperation between audit institutions of both countries as well as training programs and the exchange of trainers, a spokesperson for the Auditor-General of Pakistan’s office said on Monday.

The development comes during a four-day visit to Pakistan by a delegation of Saudi Arabia’s General Court of Audit, led by GCA President Hussam bin Abdulmohsen Al-Angari, which arrived on Sunday.

The agreement was signed during AGP Muhammad Ajmal Gondal’s meeting with the Saudi delegates, aiming to strengthen audit cooperation, enhance knowledge-sharing, and improve governance, transparency and accountability in government spending.

Muhammad Raza Irfan, a public relations officer at the AGP’s office, told Arab News the agreement will not only strengthen professional relations between auditing institutions of both countries, but also further promote bilateral cooperation between Pakistan and Saudi Arabia.

“This collaboration marks a significant step toward fostering international cooperation in auditing,” AGP Gondal was quoted as saying in a statement issued from his office.

“The exchange of ideas and methodologies will undoubtedly strengthen our capacity to meet emerging challenges and set new benchmarks for public accountability.”

Discussions at Monday’s meeting focused on fostering closer ties between the Supreme Audit Institutions of Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, sharing innovative audit methodologies, and planning collaborative initiatives for the future, according to the AGP office.

The two sides agreed to share best practices in audit standards, performance audits, and citizen participatory audits, and expand expertise in thematic, environmental and impact audits.

“It also agreed to collaborate on training programs, exchange trainers, address emerging auditing challenges and plan cooperative audits, including a performance audit on the oil and gas sector in 2025,” the statement read.

Both sides reaffirmed their shared commitment to promoting transparency, accountability and excellence in public sector auditing.

Dr. Alangari praised Pakistan’s initiatives in modernizing audit practices and expressed his enthusiasm for future collaborations, according to the AGP office.

“The partnership between our two SAIs is a testament to the shared vision of accountability and transparency,” the GCA president was quoted as saying.

“We are eager to build upon this momentum and address challenges collectively, ensuring value addition to public sector auditing globally.”

The meeting underscored the importance of international collaboration to address emerging challenges and leverage innovative technologies in auditing.

“The Saudi side also announced the launch of the second phase of the Fund for Improved SAI Performance, which is scheduled for mid-February,” the statement said.

“The office of the AGP was also offered to apply for the second phase of FISP, which provides funds of up to $40,000.”

The GCA’s FISP initiative is aimed at providing funding to SAIs in developing countries to help them improve their performance and capacity in conducting audits and upholding accountability within their respective governments.

Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are close regional partners and economic allies, and both countries signed 34 agreements worth $2.8 billion in October last year. The Kingdom is home to over 2 million Pakistani expatriates, serving as the top destination for remittances for the cash-strapped South Asian country.


Closing Bell: Saudi indices close in red at 12,377

Updated 03 February 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi indices close in red at 12,377

  • MSCI Tadawul Index dropped by 3.79 points, or 0.25%, to close at 1,541.82
  • Parallel market Nomu lost 48.69 points, or 0.16%, to close at 31,056.38

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index dropped on Monday, losing 32.84 points, or 0.26 percent, to close at 12,377.03.  

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.55 billion ($1.75 billion), as 65 of the listed stocks advanced, while 170 retreated.   

The MSCI Tadawul Index also dropped by 3.79 points, or 0.25 percent, to close at 1,541.82.  

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 48.69 points, or 0.16 percent, to close at 31,056.38. This comes as 37 of the listed stocks advanced and 43 retreated.  

Mutakamela Insurance Co. was the best-performing stock of the day, with its share price surging by 4.88 percent to SR18.90.  

Other top performers included Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Co., which saw its share price rise by 4.59 percent to SR18.70, and Saudi Cable Co., which saw a 3.30 percent increase to SR131.60.  

Arriyadh Development Co. rose 3.01 percent to SR35.95, while Al Mawarid Manpower Co. gained 2.87 percent to SR136. 

The National Co. for Glass Industries saw the steepest decline of the day, with its share price easing 3.72 percent to close at SR54.40. 

Elm Co. fell 2.84 percent to SR1,123, while Mouwasat Medical Services Co. dropped 2.78 percent to SR87.50. 

Bawan Co. also faced losses, with its share price dipping 2.75 percent to SR56.50, while Saudi Awwal Bank saw a 2.46 percent decline to settle at SR35.75. 

Saudi Tadawul Group Holding Co. announced that its subsidiary, Tadawul Advanced Solutions Co., also known as WAMID, has finalized the acquisition of the remaining 49 percent stake in Direct Financial Network Co., completing the regulatory requirements on Feb.2. 

The shares, previously owned by National Two Ventures, were acquired for SR220.5 million, making WAMID the sole owner of DirectFN. 

The transaction follows WAMID’s initial purchase of a 51 percent stake in DirectFN in May 2023 for SR134 million. 

With this latest acquisition, WAMID now holds full ownership of the financial technology company, aligning with Saudi Tadawul Group’s strategy to enhance its technological and financial services offerings. 

Saudi Tadawul Group Holding Co.’s share price saw a slight 0.76 percent dip on Monday to settle at SR209.80. 

Riyad Bank announced its financial results for 2024, posting a 15.9 increase in net profit, reaching SR9.32 billion, up from SR8.04 billion in 2023. 

The growth was driven by an 18.16 percent rise in total income from special commissions, which reached SR21.62 billion, supported by higher income from loans and investments. 

Total operating profit rose 8.71 percent to SR17.28 billion, bolstered by increases in fee income, exchange income, and gains on non-trading investments. 

Operating expenses related to credit losses and asset impairments dropped 17.2 percent to SR1.63 billion, reflecting improved asset quality. 

Assets grew by 16.42 percent to SR450.37 billion, with loans and advances rising 16.65 percent to SR320.08 billion. 

Client deposits also increased significantly, up 20.21 percent to SR306.42 billion. Earnings per share rose from SR2.58 in 2023 to SR3.01 in 2024. 

Riyad Bank saw a 0.34 percent increase in its share price on Monday to reach SR29.60. 


OPEC+ reaffirms commitment to production cuts

Updated 03 February 2025
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OPEC+ reaffirms commitment to production cuts

  • Meeting reviewed crude oil production data for November and December
  • OPEC welcomed renewed pledges from overproducing countries to achieve full compliance with production targets

RIYADH: OPEC+ members reaffirmed their commitment to production cuts aimed at maintaining stability in the global oil market during a meeting held on Monday.

The 58th Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee session, conducted via videoconference, reviewed crude oil production data for November and December 2024 and highlighted the strong overall compliance by both OPEC and non-OPEC countries involved in the Declaration of Cooperation.

The committee reiterated its commitment to the DoC, which is set to extend through the end of 2026. It also commended Kazakhstan and Iraq for their improved compliance, including the additional voluntary production adjustments they made.

OPEC also welcomed the renewed pledges from overproducing countries to achieve full compliance with production targets.

These countries are expected to submit updated compensation schedules to the OPEC Secretariat by the end of February 2025, covering the overproduced volumes since January 2024.

The committee stressed its ongoing role in monitoring adherence to production adjustments. It will continue to track additional voluntary production cuts announced by participating OPEC and non-OPEC nations, in line with the decisions made during the 52nd JMMC meeting on Feb. 1, 2024.

In a procedural update, the committee announced that, effective Feb. 1, 2025, Kpler, OilX, and ESAI will replace Rystad Energy and the Energy Information Administration as secondary sources for assessing crude oil production and compliance with the DoC.

The next JMMC meeting is scheduled for April 5, 2025.


Oil Updates — prices gain as Trump tariffs stoke supply worries

Updated 03 February 2025
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Oil Updates — prices gain as Trump tariffs stoke supply worries

LONDON: Oil prices rose on Monday after US President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China, raising fears of supply disruption, though gains were capped by concern over what could be an economically damaging trade war.

Brent crude futures rose $1.28, or 1.7 percent, to $76.95 a barrel by 3:32 p.m. Saudi time after touching a high of $77.34.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up $1.89, or 2.6 percent, at $74.42 after touching their highest since Jan. 24 at $75.18.

Trump’s sweeping tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada and China kicked off a trade war that could dent global growth and reignite inflation.

The tariffs, which will take effect on Feb. 4, include a 25 percent levy on most goods from Mexico and Canada, with a 10 percent tariff on energy imports from Canada and a 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports.

“The relatively soft stance on Canadian energy imports is likely rooted in caution,” Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh said in a note.

“Tariffs on Canadian energy imports would likely be more disruptive for domestic energy markets than those on Mexican imports and might even be counterproductive to one of the president’s key objectives — lowering energy costs.”

Goldman Sachs analysts expect the tariffs to have limited near-term impact on global oil and gas prices.

Canada and Mexico are the top sources of US crude imports, together accounting for about a quarter of the oil US refiners process into fuels such as gasoline and heating oil, according to the US Department of Energy.

The tariffs will raise costs for the heavier crude grades that US refineries need for optimum production, industry sources said.

Gasoline pump prices in the US are certainly expected to rise with the loss of crude for refineries and the loss of imported products, said Mukesh Sahdev at Rystad Energy.

Trump has already warned that the tariffs could cause “short-term” pain for Americans.

US gasoline futures jumped 2.5 percent to $2.11 a gallon after touching the highest level since Jan. 16 at $2.162.

“It is clear that the tariffs will have a negative effect on the global economy, with physical markets set to get tighter in near term, pushing crude prices higher,” said Panmure Liberum analyst Ashley Kelty.

Investors will also be watching for news from an OPEC+ meeting on Monday, with expectations that the oil producer group will stick to its current plan of gradual increases to output.

Rystad’s Sahdev added that tariffs, if kept for long, have the potential to cause production losses in Canada and Mexico, which could help OPEC+ to unwind output curbs.


Banking, healthcare to drive 8% growth in Saudi stock market profits in 2025: SNB Capital 

Updated 03 February 2025
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Banking, healthcare to drive 8% growth in Saudi stock market profits in 2025: SNB Capital 

  • Petrochemical field is projected to record substantial growth of 74% in 2025
  • Healthcare division is anticipated to achieve a 23% rise in net profits, up from 11% in 2024

RIYADH: Saudi stock market profits are set to grow by 8 percent in 2025, with the petrochemical sector driving the increase, according to a new report by SNB Capital. 

Banking and healthcare are also expected to see big rises, with the industries benefiting from increased loan activity and expanded operations. 

If petrochemicals are excluded from the analysis — with energy giant Aramco dominating the market — the Saudi stock exchange would see a 14 percent growth in profits.

This broad-based growth across key sectors highlights the resilience and dynamism of the Saudi economy, setting the stage for heightened market activity and increased investor confidence. 

These favorable conditions have translated into a surge in initial public offerings, with strong demand from both institutional and retail investors driving significant gains in 2024.

The petrochemical field is projected to record substantial growth of 74 percent in 2025, driven by improved prices, additional production capacities, and a return to full operational activity following widespread maintenance closures in 2024. 

The healthcare division is anticipated to achieve a 23 percent rise in net profits, up from 11 percent in 2024, driven by a 20 percent revenue increase attributed to new expansions that help mitigate margin pressures. 

The cement sector is also poised for strong growth, supported by the acceleration of mega projects, while the car rental industry is expected to benefit from fleet expansion, operational efficiencies, and lower interest rates, though short-term rental margins could face some pressure. 

Strong expectations for IPO activity in 2025 have been bolstered by lower interest rates, accelerating economic activity, and attractive investor incentives, according to SNB Capital.

Macroeconomic sentiment remains favorable, with over 85 percent of managers forecasting at least three interest rate cuts in 2025, signaling a shift toward easier financial conditions. 

The report underlines a growing proportion of managers who view the market as undervalued relative to its fair worth, though a majority still consider it fairly valued at its peak. 

Oil prices are expected to stabilize in 2025, with most fund managers predicting a range between $70 and $79 per barrel. 

Optimism is rising across sectors such as tourism, banking, and construction, while cautious views persist for the energy and petrochemical industries as they continue to navigate challenges. 

The strong market activity witnessed in 2024 lays the foundation for the optimistic forecasts for 2025, as the momentum generated by increased IPOs, rising transaction values, and sectoral recovery is expected to carry forward into the coming year. 

The Tadawul All-Share Index recorded a sharp increase in IPOs in 2024, reversing a decline in the prior year. 

The number of IPOs rose to 14, up from eight in 2023, with total proceeds reaching SR14.2 billion, compared to SR11.9 billion the previous year. 

Institutional subscription coverage rates improved significantly, averaging 126 times in 2024 compared to 61 times in 2023, while retail subscription coverage increased to an average of 16 times from 11 times. 

Market activity surged in 2024, with the number of negotiated deals reaching approximately 3,500, compared to 918 in 2023 and 1,316 in 2022, according to SNB. 

Negotiated deals generally refer to transactions that are arranged through direct agreements between buyers and sellers rather than through open market auctions or bidding processes. 

In the context of the stock markets, it can imply block trades, private placements, or structured deals involving large volumes of shares or assets that require direct negotiation to determine terms such as price and volume. 

Although the average deal size declined to SR24 million from SR34.6 million in 2023, the total value of transactions climbed to SR84 billion, significantly higher than SR29.5 billion in 2023 and SR38.9 billion in 2022. 

Major offerings contributed to increased market liquidity and a higher proportion of free-floating shares. 

Among them, Saudi Aramco’s secondary offering in June stood out as the largest secondary issuance in the Middle East, Europe, and North Africa since 2000. 

The offering raised SR42 billion through the sale of 1.55 billion shares at SR27.25 per share, surpassing the scale of its 2019 IPO. 

Saudi Telecom Co. followed with a secondary offering in November, generating SR38.6 billion through the sale of 2 percent of its public shares, or approximately 100 million shares. 

Meanwhile, SAL Logistics Services completed an IPO valued at SR6 billion, with shares expected to be distributed to shareholders in early 2025 at an estimated value of SR7 billion.