2027 South Korean presidential election
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in South Korea in 2027. They will be the ninth presidential elections since democratization and the establishment of the Sixth Republic. Under the South Korean constitution, the president is restricted to a single five-year term in office, meaning incumbent president Yoon Suk Yeol is ineligible for a second term.[1]
Electoral system
[edit]The president of South Korea is elected via a single-round plurality voting system, for a term of five years. Incumbent and former presidents are ineligible to seek re-election.[2]
Potential candidates
[edit]Democratic Party of Korea
[edit]
People Power Party
[edit]
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- Han Dong-hoon[5] (former Minister of Justice)
- Oh Se-hoon[6] (Mayor of Seoul)
- Hong Joon-pyo[7] (Mayor of Daegu)
- Yoo Seong-min[8] (former Member of the National Assembly)
- Ahn Cheol-soo[9] (Member of the National Assembly)
Rebuilding Korea Party
[edit]
New Reform Party
[edit]
New Future Party
[edit]_(cropped).jpg)
Opinion polls
[edit]Polling before nominees finalized
[edit]
| Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error |
Polling firm | DPK | PPP | RKP | NRP | NFP | Others | Und./ no ans. |
Lead | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-27 Aug 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 40.7 | 2.5 | 24.2 | 7.3 | 3.9 | — | — | 1.6 | 6.0 | — | — | 6.2[a] | 7.8 | 16.5 |
| 20-21 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | KOPRA / Kihoilbo | 39.4 | 2.5 | 25.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | — | 3.4 | — | 6.3 | 4.6 | — | 2.5[b] | 8.0 | 14.2 |
| 17-19 Aug 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 43.2 | 3.0 | 25.6 | 3.6 | 3.5 | — | 3.2 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | — | 2.3 | 4.7 | 17.6 |
| 12-13 Aug 2024 | 1,007 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 43.9 | 2.1 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 3.8 | — | — | — | 6.5 | 3.3 | — | 5.1[c] | 3.1 | 17.8 |
| 12-13 Aug 2024 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 28.5 | 4.9 | 19.8 | 7.4 | 6.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 8.7 | — | — | 14.1[d] | 7.1 | 8.7 |
| 9-10 Aug 2024 | 1,009 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 36.1 | 1.9 | 17.9 | 5.2 | 4.7 | — | — | 1.7 | 5.1 | 3.1 | — | 1.1 | 23.3 | 18.2 |
| 3-5 Aug 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.0 | 3.1 | 27.8 | 3.4 | 4.1 | — | 3.9 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 5.5 | — | 1.1 | 4.6 | 11.2 |
| 29-30 Jul 2024 | 1,009 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 42.7 | — | 33.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.4 | — | 8.1 | 3.9 | 9.3 |
| 29-30 Jul 2024 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.9 | 3.1 | 29.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | — | — | 1.6 | 6.8 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | 4.9 | 8.4 |
| 23-25 Jul 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | — | 19 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 4 | 38 | 3 |
| 20-22 Jul 2024 | 4,029 | ±1.5 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.5 | 2.9 | 26.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | — | 5.8 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 5.1 | — | 1.3 | 3.8 | 11.6 |
| 7-8 Jul 2024 | 2,003 | ±2.2 | Embrain Public / YTN | 27 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 10 |
| 6-8 Jul 2024 | 2,008 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.2 | 3.5 | 24.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | — | 6.9 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 4.7 | — | 1.5 | 4.7 | 13.6 |
| 5-6 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 34.3 | 1.9 | 18.5 | 5.9 | 4.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 5.8 | 2.2 | — | 2.0 | 23.1 | 15.8 |
| 2-4 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | 17 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 5 | 38 | 6 |
| 1-2 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.9 | 4.5 | 24.6 | 7.9 | 5.4 | — | — | 1.7 | 7.2 | 4.5 | — | 3.2 | 5.0 | 11.3 |
| 22-24 Jun 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 40.1 | 3.0 | 21.6 | 4.2 | 3.9 | — | 6.4 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 5.3 | — | 1.8 | 4.5 | 18.5 |
| 17-18 Jun 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.8 | 3.9 | 24.7 | 5.9 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.3 | 7.9 | 4.8 | — | 3.4 | 5.5 | 13.1 |
| 14-15 Jun 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / News1 | 28 | — | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | 3 | 35 | 11 |
| 11-13 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 5 | 42 | 7 |
| 9-10 Jun 2024 | 2,005 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 40.7 | 2.3 | 23.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 5.3 | — | 1.8 | 5.3 | 17.4 |
| 3-4 Jun 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.6 | 2.8 | 25.9 | 6.5 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | — | 3.9 | 7.2 | 9.7 |
| 1-3 Jun 2024 | 2,005 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 41.0 | 2.1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 4.4 | — | 5.0 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 5.4 | — | 1.7 | 4.6 | 19.0 |
| 28-30 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Research View / PSPD | 38 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 6[e] | 5 | 14 |
| 25-27 May 2024 | 2,004 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.6 | 2.5 | 22.8 | 3.9 | 4.4 | — | 4.6 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 6.3 | — | 1.5 | 5.1 | 16.8 |
| 20-21 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 36.8 | 2.4 | 24.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 | — | — | 2.3 | 7.4 | 5.2 | — | 6.5 | 4.3 | 12.3 |
| 11-13 May 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.6 | 2.6 | 25.1 | 3.9 | 4.2 | — | 4.6 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 4.1 | — | 1.4 | 6.1 | 13.5 |
| 7-9 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | 17 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | — | 6 | 38 | 7 |
| 6-7 May 2024 | 1,003 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.3 | 3.5 | 26.0 | 5.3 | 4.7 | — | — | 2.1 | 7.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.1 | 5.9 | 11.3 |
| 27-29 Apr 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.3 | 3.7 | 21.9 | 4.5 | 4.7 | — | 5.0 | 1.6 | 8.1 | 5.7 | — | 1.8 | 4.2 | 17.4 |
| 16-18 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 24 | — | 15 | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | 5 | 39 | 9 |
| 13-15 Apr 2024 | 2,013 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 37.8 | — | 23.9 | — | — | — | — | 4.4 | 10.1 | 5.7 | — | 11.1[f] | 7.1 | 13.9 |
| 2-3 Apr 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 27 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1[g] | 24 | 4 |
| 28-29 Mar 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo | 31.5 | 4.3 | 21.8 | 5.9 | 6.7 | — | 4.1 | 1.5 | 6.2 | — | 3.9 | 2.7 | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| 28-29 Mar 2024 | 1,011 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily | 27 | — | 20 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 7 |
| 26-27 Mar 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 32 | 2 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1[h] | 19 | 8 |
| 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5[i] | 35 | 1 |
| 20 Feb 2024 | 1,012 | ±3.1 | Media Research / Newspim | 35.8 | 3.6 | 35.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 | — | — | — | — | 3.4 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 0.5 |
| 13–14 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 37 | 5 | 34 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6–7 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 26 | 4 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1[j] | 21 | 3 |
| 30 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 26 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 3 |
| 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| 1–2 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 39 | 4 | 35 | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 4[k] | 5 | 4 |
| 29–30 Dec 2023 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 27 | 3 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | 1[l] | 21 | 5 |
| 28–29 Dec 2023 | 1,017 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo | 22 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 5[m] | 36 | 2 |
| 26–27 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Research / HankookIlbo | 23 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3[n] | 26 | 2 |
| 25–26 Dec 2023 | 1,015 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.6 | 4.7 | 27.2 | 6.3 | — | — | 5.9 | 2.3 | — | — | 4.8 | 1.4[o] | 11.8 | 8.4 |
| 23–24 Dec 2023 | 1,024 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Asia Today | 36.9 | 2.5 | 35.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | — | 1.4 | — | — | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 19 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 3 |
| 7–9 Nov 2023 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 21 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 8 |
| 10–12 Oct 2023 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 6[p] | 46 | 8 |
| 5–7 Sep 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 19 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 5[q] | 48 | 7 |
| 30 May–1 Jun 2023 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 5[r] | 46 | 11 |
| 11–13 Mar 2023 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Kookmin Research Group, Ace Research / Newsis | 37.3 | — | 16.4 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 4.1 | 5.7[s] | 9.0 | 20.9 |
| 29 Feb–2 Mar 2023 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 20 | — | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 9 |
| 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo | 24.6 | — | 11.1 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 3.8 | — | 6.9 | — | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 37.7 | 13.5 |
| 1–2 Jan 2023 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 33.7 | 1.5 | 18.1 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 5.4 | — | 3.8 | — | — | 6.4 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 15.6 |
| 26–27 Dec 2022 | 1,015 | ±3.1 | Global Research / The Hankyoreh | 24.4 | 2.4 | 9.9 | 8.2 | 11.9 | 4.5 | — | 5.6 | — | 2.1 | 4.1 | 4.5[t] | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| 16–17 Dec 2022 | 1,016 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 31.4 | 2.4 | 10.2 | 9.1 | — | — | 3.5 | 4.5 | — | — | 5.1 | 6.1[u] | 27.9 | 21.2 |
| 4–6 Dec 2022 | 1,030 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 37.3 | — | 18.6 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 5.2 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 18.7 |
| 4–5 Dec 2022 | 1,024 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 37.8 | 2.3 | 18.9 | 7.1 | 9.3 | 4.4 | — | 3.1 | — | — | 5.8 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 18.9 |
| 3-5 Dec 2022 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 37.0 | 3.3 | 19.1 | 9.8 | 8.2 | — | — | 3.9 | — | — | 6.9 | 5.5[v] | 6.1 | 17.9 |
| 29 Nov–1 Dec 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | 3 | — | 2 | 3 | 6 | 44 | 13 |
| 5–7 Nov 2022 | 1,023 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 38.3 | 2.4 | 18.0 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 4.1 | — | 3.6 | — | — | 5.0 | 1.6[w] | 7.6 | 20.3 |
| 8–10 Oct 2022 | 1,021 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 41.1 | 3.2 | 17.1 | 10.8 | 7.3 | — | — | 4.1 | — | — | 6.0 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 24.0 |
| 10–12 Sep 2022 | 1,014 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 40.1 | 2.9 | 18.5 | 11.7 | 8.0 | — | — | 4.3 | — | — | 4.5 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 21.6 |
| 30 Aug–1 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 27 | — | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 18 |
| 6–8 Aug 2022 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 39.6 | 3.4 | 12.8 | 13.3 | 8.3 | — | — | 3.8 | — | — | 8.2 | 3.0 | 7.6 | 26.3 |
| 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,045 | ±3.0 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 38.5 | 4.7 | 12.4 | 15.1 | 6.3 | — | — | 5.6 | — | — | 5.5 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 23.4 |
| 11–13 Jun 2022 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 29.3 | 5.6 | 9.4 | 23.9 | — | — | 3.5 | 6.9 | — | — | 5.0 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 5.4 |
| 7–9 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 15 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 5 | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 5 |
| 29–31 Mar 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | ResearchView | 28 | 2 | — | 13 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 10 | — | 5 | 7 | 7[x] | 5 | 15 |
| 9 Mar 2022 | 2022 election | 47.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.6[y] | 0.9 | 0.7 | ||
Hypothetical polling
[edit]Lee Jae-myung vs. Han Dong-hoon
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error |
Polling firm | Lee Jae-myung | Han Dong-hoon | Others | Und./ no ans. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23-24 Aug 2024 | 1,010 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 45.6 | 28.0 | 2.9 | 23.6 | 17.6 |
| 19-20 Aug 2024 | 1,008 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 54.6 | 36.0 | 8.6 | 0.7 | 18.6 |
| 17-19 Aug 2024 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Hangil Research / Kukinews | 50.7 | 30.4 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 20.3 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 0.9, Others 5.3
- ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.5, Kim Boo-kyum 1.0
- ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 1.3, Others 3.8
- ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 5.4, Others 8.7
- ^ Kim Kyoung-soo 2, Choo Mi-ae 2, Others 2
- ^ Na Kyung-won 3.7, Others 7.4
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Park Yong-jin 1, Others 3
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2, Others 1
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 1.4
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 5
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.6, Others 4.1
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.2, Kim Kyoung-soo 0.6, Im Jong-seok 0.5, Others 1.2
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.0, Others 4.1
- ^ Park Yong-jin 1.0, Others 4.5
- ^ Park Yong-jin 0.3, Others 1.3
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 2, Song Young-gil 2, Park Yong-jin 1, Others 2
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.4, Others 1.2
References
[edit]- ^ Republic of Korea: Election for President IFES
- ^ "IFES Election Guide | Elections: South Korea President 2017". www.electionguide.org. 2017. Retrieved 2022-03-05.
- ^ Kwon, Hye-jin (2024-04-11). ""경쟁자가 없다"…이재명, 총선 민의 힘입어 대권 가도 '탄력'". Kukinews (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Choi, Dae-ho (2024-06-22). "김동연 여의도 스킨십에 친문까지 품어…대권행보 '주목'". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Nam, Seung-ryeol (2024-07-12). "한동훈 "3년 후 대선 이길 수 있는 후보가 저라면 나간다"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Lee, Jun-hee (2024-05-14). "오세훈 국민의힘 지지층 외연 확장 나서, '대선 잠룡' 존재감 서서히 드러낸다". Business Post (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Hong, Min-seong (2023-09-13). "홍준표 "내가 특이해 보이는 이유? 한국 정치판이 비정상이라"". hankyung.com (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Han, Sang-hee (2024-05-07). "유승민 "남은 도전 27년 대선 딱 하나…당대표 출마 깊이 고민"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Bae, Jae-sung (2024-04-29). "차기 대통령은 누구죠? 질문에…안철수 "접니다!" 손 번쩍". The JoongAng (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Lee, Jae-ho (2024-03-31). "조국혁신당 총선 돌풍 대선까지? 조국, 차기 대통령 여론조사 3위". Pressian (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Kim, Hyung-jun (2024-04-11). "동탄서 살아난 이준석, '분열의 아이콘' 극복하고 차기 대선주자 위상 찾나". Hankookilbo (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Park, Soon-bong (2024-01-12). "총선 출마 선그은 이낙연, 대선엔 "지금은…" 여지". Kyunghyang Shinmun (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
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