2023 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
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The 2023 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election will be held following the resignation of Steven Del Duca on June 2, 2022, after the party won only 8 seats and failed again to gain official party status in the general election. The date of the leadership vote has been set for December 2, 2023.
Background
In the 2022 general election, the Ontario Liberal Party saw a modest increase in support over their 2018 result, finishing second in the popular vote. However, the party won only 8 seats, once again falling short of official party status. On the night of the election, Del Duca, who had failed to win back his own riding of Vaughan—Woodbridge, announced his resignation as party leader, stating that a leadership race would be organized to take place "as soon as is reasonable".[1]
Date | December 2, 2023 |
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Convention | Metro Toronto Convention Centre |
Resigning leader | Steven Del Duca |
Won by | TBD |
Ballots | TBD |
Candidates | 4 |
Entrance Fee | $100,000 (plus $25,000 refundable deposit) |
Spending limit | $900,000 |
On January 5, 2023, the party released a full report of their campaign debrief following the 2022 election.[2] One of the main recommendations was for the party to conduct a review of the leadership election process.[3] On January 9, 2023, interim leader John Fraser announced that the party would proceed with consultations looking at whether there should be changes to delegated convention rules.[4]
In March 2023, at the party's Annual General Meeting, a constitutional amendment was approved which changed the leadership election process from a delegated leadership convention to a weighted One Member One Vote system.[5][6][7]
Rules and procedures
Under the procedure outlined by the party's constitution,[8] all members of the Ontario Liberal Party will be eligible to vote directly for leader by preferential ballot as long as they are members in good standing as of September 11, 2023.[9]
Votes will be weighted, with each provincial electoral district being allocated 100 points, and with points in a district allocated in proportion to each candidate by the number of first preference votes received. Each of the party's student clubs will be allocated 50 points, and each of the party's women's clubs will be allocated 5 points.[10] Members will be able to vote in-person with voting taking place on November 25-26th 2023, with some in sprawling northern ridings likely to be allowed to mail in ballots.[11]
Ballots will be counted on December 2, 2023. When the ballots are counted, if no candidate receives 50 per cent of the points, the lowest-ranked candidate will be dropped from the next round, with their second choice votes distributed to the remaining candidates. This will continue until a candidate receives 50 per cent of the vote.
This will mark the first time that this weighted direct vote system will be used in an Ontario Liberal Party leadership election. With the changed being adopted at the party's annual general meeting in March 2023.
Timeline
- June 2, 2022 - Ontario general election held, resulting in a second consecutive majority PC government. The Liberals win 8 seats, falling short of official party status. Steven Del Duca, who failed to win his own seat, announces his resignation in his concession speech.[12]
- July 25, 2022 - John Fraser, who previously served as interim leader from 2018 until 2020, is unanimously selected by the Ontario Liberal caucus to serve as interim leader.[13]
- August 3, 2022 - Party executive formally ratifies selection of Fraser as interim leader.[14]
- March 3–5, 2023 - Ontario Liberal Party Annual General Meeting approves a constitutional amendment changing the leadership election procedure from a delegated leadership convention to a One Member One Vote process. A new party executive is elected which will set the rules and timeline for the leadership election.
- April 16, 2023 - Party executive announces timeline and fee schedule for the election.
- May 8, 2023 - Nathaniel Erskine-Smith announces his candidacy.[15]
- May 28, 2023 - Ted Hsu announces his candidacy.[16]
- June 3, 2023 - Yasir Naqvi announces his candidacy.[17]
- June 14, 2023 - Bonnie Crombie announces her candidacy.[18]
- July 4, 2023 - Adil Shamji announces his candidacy.[19]
- July 8, 2023 - OLP President Kathryn McGarry releases the information regarding the Leadership Convention via email to members.[20]
- August 15, 2023 - Party announced the five debates and locations.[21]
- September 5, 2023 - Candidate registration deadline.[20]
- September 11, 2023 - Deadline to join the Ontario Liberal Party and be eligible to vote in the leadership election as party member.[20]
- September 14, 2023 - First official leadership debate to be held in Thunder Bay.[21]
- September 20, 2023 - Unofficial leadership debate to be held at Toronto Metropolitan University Democracy Forum, hosted by the Toronto Star.[22]
- September 28, 2023 - Adil Shamji drops out of the leadership race, endorses Bonnie Crombie.[23]
- October 1, 2023 - Second official leadership debate to be held in Stratford.[21]
- October 24, 2023 - Third official leadership debate to be held in Toronto.[21]
- November 8, 2023 - Fourth official leadership debate to be held in Ottawa.[21]
- November 18 or 19, 2023 - Fifth and last official leadership debate to be held in Brampton.[21]
- November 25-November 26, 2023 - Ranked ballots will be cast by party members.[20]
- December 2, 2023 - Ballots counted with the new leader announced the same day.[20]
Campaign
The party formally announced the start of the leadership election process on April 16, 2023, announcing the timeline, candidate registration requirements and fee schedule for the election.
There had been debate on the timing of the election, with campaigns that were actively exploring bids pushing for an earlier date in 2023, and others who wanted to delay the contest until late 2023 or early 2024, in the hopes of encouraging more candidates to join the race. In the end the party selected November 25–26 as the voting days with a new leader being announced on December 2, 2023.[24][25]
Nate Erskine-Smith was the first to officially announce and register as a candidate, doing so on May 8, 2023. He was followed by Ted Hsu and Yasir Naqvi, who announced with a week of each other at the end of May/beginning of June, and who, like Erskine-Smith, had been actively organizing and campaigning in the preceding months.
Bonnie Crombie announced her candidacy on June 14, this was after announcing an exploratory committee in May and the Ford government announcing legislation to dissolve the Regional Municipality of Peel and make Mississauga a Single-tier municipality.
The day after launching her campaign, Crombie was criticized for comments she made in regards to the greenbelt, suggesting that if she were premier she would be consider allowing land inside the greenbelt to be made open to development,[26] although Crombie later clarified her position.[27]
Adil Shamji announced his candidacy at the beginning of July.
In July, an interview featuring Nate Erskine-Smith appeared in the Toronto Star where he critiqued Bonnie Crombie's desire to move the party to the centre-right, her position on the Greenbelt and her age.[28] In response to that interview, Crombie accused Erskine-Smith of sexism and ageism relating to his comments saying "we should be thinking of this as what party do we want to build for the next 15-20 years."[29]
On August 15, the party announced the dates and locations for the five debates that are scheduled to be held across the province starting on September 14 in Thunder Bay.[21][22]
On August 19, Adil Shamji expressed concerns about election interference after some of his social media accounts were disabled. Shamji's Twitter account was suspended over complaints of spam, then his Facebook account was disabled, preventing the campaign from advertising on the platform. Shamji called the complaints frivolous and malicious and suggested the potential that the suspensions were part of a coordinated attack attempt to silence or hinder his campaign.[30]
On September 11, the party announced, following the deadline to join the party, that the total number of individuals who would be eligible to vote in the leadership election would be over 80,000.[31]
On September 28, Adil Shamji announced he will be dropping out of the leadership race to endorse Bonnie Crombie.[23]
Debates
No. | Date | Place | Host | Language | Participants: P Participant N Not invited A Absent invitee
O Out of race | |||||
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Crombie | Erskine-Smith | Hsu | Naqvi | Shamji | ||||||
1 | September 14, 2023 | Thunder Bay | Ontario Liberal Party | English | P | P | P | P | P | |
2 | September 20, 2023 | Toronto | Toronto Metropolitan University & Toronto Star | English | P | P | P | P | P | |
3 | October 1, 2023 | Stratford | Ontario Liberal Party | English | P | P | P | P | O | |
4 | October 12, 2023 | Toronto | The Hurle Burly podcast[32] | English | P | P | P | P | O | |
5 | October 24, 2023 | Toronto | Ontario Liberal Party | |||||||
6 | November 8, 2023 | Ottawa | Ontario Liberal Party | |||||||
7 | November 18-19 | Brampton | Ontario Liberal Party |
Policy and issues
Issue | Crombie [33] | Erskine-Smith [34] | Hsu [35] | Naqvi [36] | Shamji [37] |
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Economy |
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Education |
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Energy |
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Environment |
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Health Care |
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Housing |
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Labour |
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Northern Ontario |
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Party Reform |
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Candidates
Declared candidates
Bonnie Crombie
Bonnie Crombie, 63, is the Mayor of Mississauga, Ontario (2014–present) and was previously the MP for Mississauga—Streetsville between 2008 and 2011. She has an MBA and was an entrepreneur and public affairs consultant before entering politics.
- Date announced: June 14, 2023[44][18]
- Date registered with Elections Ontario: June 13, 2023[45]
- Campaign website: www.bonnieforleader.ca
- Campaign slogan: "Strong Experienced Leadership."
- MPPs: (2)
- Stephanie Bowman (Don Valley West since 2022)[46]
- Adil Shamji (Don Valley East since 2022)[23]
- Former MPPs: (15, including Baker listed under "MPs" and Damerla listed under Municipal Elected Officials)
- Ann Hoggarth (Barrie 2014-2018)
- Rick Bartolucci (Sudbury 1995-2014, cabinet minister 2003-13)
- Brad Duguid (Scarborough Centre 2003–18, cabinet minister 2007–18)[47]
- Amanda Simard (Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 2018 - 2022)
- Dwight Duncan (Windsor—Tecumseh 1995–2013, cabinet minister 2003–13, Deputy Premier 2011–13, also Windsor City Councillor 1988–94)[47]
- Lyn McLeod (Thunder Bay—Atikokan 1987-2003, leader of the Ontario Liberal Party 1992-1996, cabinet minister 1987-1990)[48]
- Madeleine Meilleur (Ottawa—Vanier) 2003-2016, cabinet minister 2003-2016)[49]
- Reza Moridi (Richmond Hill 2007–18, cabinet minister 2013–18)[47]
- Tim Murphy (St. George—St. David 1993–95, Chief of Staff to the Prime Minister (2003–06)[47]
- Steven Offer (Mississauga North 1985–95, cabinet minister 1989–90)[47]
- Steve Peters (Elgin—Middlesex—London 1999–2011, cabinet minister 2003–07, Speaker of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 2007–11)[47]
- Chris Ward (1985-90)[50]
- Soo Wong (Scarborough—Agincourt 2011–18)[47]
- Bill Wrye (Windsor—Sandwich 1981–90, cabinet minister 1985–90)[47]
- MPs: (8)
- Yvan Baker (Etobicoke Centre) since 2019, former MPP (Etobicoke Centre 2014-18)
- Chris Bittle (St. Catharines since 2015)[51]
- Francis Drouin (Glengarry—Prescott—Russell since 2015)[47]
- Iqra Khalid (Mississauga—Erin Mills since 2015)[47]
- James Maloney (Etobicoke-Lakeshore since 2015)[47]
- Francesco Sorbara (Vaughan—Woodbridge since 2015)[47]
- Leah Taylor Roy (Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill since 2021)[47]
- Rechie Valdez (Mississauga—Streetsville since 2021)[47]
- Former MPs: (2)
- Kyle Peterson (Newmarket—Aurora (2015–2019)[47]
- Kim Rudd (Northumberland—Peterborough South (2015–2019)[47]
- Municipal elected officials: (2)
- Donna Blackburn (Ottawa-Carleton District School Board Trustee since 2010)
- Dipika Damerla (Mississauga city councillor for Ward 7 Cooksville since 2018, former MPP for Mississauga East—Cooksville 2011–2018, cabinet minister 2014–18)[47]
- Sammy Ijaz (Milton Town councillor and regional councillor for Ward 3 since 2022)[47]
- Natalie Labbee (City Councillor for Greater Sudbury since 2022)
- Jill Promoli (School Trustee in Missisauga since 2022)
- Alvin Tedjo (Mississauga City Councillor, since 2022), candidate for Ontario Liberal leader in 2020.[52]
- Former Municipal elected officials:
- Marianne Matichuk (Mayor of Greater Sudbury 2010-2014)
- Other prominent individuals:
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith, 39, is the MP for Beaches—East York (2015–present), and was a litigation lawyer prior to his election to parliament.
- Date announced: May 8, 2023 [15][53]
- Date registered with Elections Ontario: May 16, 2023[45]
- Campaign website: www
.meetnate .ca - Campaign slogan: "Serious Leadership. For a change."
- MPPs: (2)
- Karen McCrimmon (Kanata—Carleton since 2023, MP for Kanata—Carleton 2015-21)[54]
- Mary-Margaret McMahon (Beaches—East York since 2022, Toronto City Councillor for Ward 32 Beaches-East York 2010-18)[55]
- Former MPPs: (2)
- Dianne Poole (Eglinton 1987-1995)[56]
- Arthur Potts (Beaches—East York 2014-2018)[56]
- MPs: (5 from Ontario, plus 10 from other provinces)
- Julie Dabrusin (Toronto—Danforth since 2015)[57]
- Pam Damoff (Oakville North—Burlington since 2015)
- Peter Fragiskatos (London North Centre since 2015)[58]
- Viviane Lapointe (Sudbury since 2021) [59]
- Marcus Powlowski (Thunder Bay—Rainy River since 2019) [60]
MP from provinces other than Ontario - Jenica Atwin (Fredericton, New Brunswick since 2019)
- Emmanuel Dubourg (Bourassa, Quebec since 2014)
- Fayçal El-Khoury (Laval—Les Îles, Quebec since 2015)
- Anthony Housefather (Mount Royal, Quebec since 2015)
- Emmanuella Lambropoulos (Saint-Laurent, Quebec since 2017)
- Wayne Long (Saint John—Rothesay, New Brunswick since 2015)
- Heath MacDonald (Malpeque, Prince Edward Island since 2021)
- Alexandra Mendès (Brossard—Saint-Lambert, Quebec since 2015)
- Sherry Romanado (Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne, Quebec since 2015)
- Peter Schiefke (Vaudreuil—Soulanges, Quebec since 2015)
- Former MPs and Parliamentarians: (6 including McCrimmon listed under current MPPs and Ellis listed under current municipal elected officials)
- Lorna Marsden (Senator for Ontario 1984-1992)[56]
- Catherine McKenna (Ottawa Centre 2015-2021, cabinet minister 2015-21)[61]
- Bob Nault (Kenora—Rainy River 1988-2004, Kenora 2015-2019, cabinet minister 1999-2003)[62]
- Kate Young (London West 2015-2021)[56]
- Municipal elected officials: (3)
- Shelby Ch'ng (Thunder Bay City councillor since 2014)[62]
- Neil Ellis (Mayor of Belleville, Ontario, 2006-14 and since 2022, former MP for Bay of Quinte 2015-2021)[56]
- Anne Marie Gillis (Sarnia city councillor 2003-18 and since 2022)[56]
- Former Municipal elected officials: (1, McMahon listed under current MPP)
- Other prominent individuals :
- Chief Jeff Copenace, elected leader of Ojibways of Onigaming First Nation[62]
Ted Hsu
Ted Hsu, 59, is the MPP for Kingston and the Islands (2022–present) and was previously the MP for the same riding between 2011 and 2015. He completed a PhD in physics and worked as a physicist and in investment banking outside of politics.
- Date announced: May 28, 2023[63]
- Date registered with Elections Ontario: May 20, 2023[45][64]
- Campaign website: www
.tedhsu .ca - Campaign slogan: "A fresh start."
- MPPs:
- Former MPPs: (3)
- John Gerretsen (Kingston and the Islands 1995–2014, cabinet minister 2003–2014)[65]
- Carol Mitchell (Huron—Bruce 2003–2011, cabinet minister 2010–2011)[66]
- Greg Sorbara (York Centre 1985–1995, Vaughan 2001–2012, cabinet minister 1985–1990, 2003–2005, 2006–2007)[66]
- MPs: (1)
- Mark Gerretsen (Kingston and the Islands since 2015)[67]
- Former MPs: (4)
- Mike Bossio (Hastings—Lennox and Addington 2015-2019)[65]
- Bruce Hyer (Thunder Bay-Superior North 2008-2015, Deputy Leader of the Green Party of Canada)[65]
- Peter Milliken (Kingston and the Islands 1988-2011, Speaker of the House 2001-2011)[65]
- Frank Valeriote (Guelph 2008-2015)[65]
- Municipal elected officials: (1)
- Jimmy Hassan (Councillor District 6, Kingston City Council)[65]
- Former Municipal elected officials: (1)
- Jeff Peters (former Storrington Township Councillor)[65]
- Other prominent individuals: (1)
- Rob Baker (Lead Guitarist for The Tragically Hip)[68]
Yasir Naqvi
Yasir Naqvi, 50, is the MP for Ottawa Centre (2021–present), and was previously MPP for the same riding between 2007 and 2018). He served in the provincial cabinet as Attorney General (2016–18), Government House Leader (2014–18), Minister of Community Safety and Correctional Services (2014–16), and Minister of Labour (2013–14). He served three terms as president of the Ontario Liberal Party between 2009 and 2013, resigning upon his elevation to cabinet. Outside of politics, he was an international trade lawyer and served as the CEO of the Institute for Canadian Citizenship.
- Date announced: June 3, 2023[69][70]
- Date registered with Elections Ontario: June 2, 2023[71]
- Campaign website: https://yasirnaqvi.ca/
- Campaign slogan: "Libéral. Leader."
- MPPs: (1)
- Lucille Collard (Ottawa—Vanier since 2020)[72]
- Former MPPs: (10, including Lalonde listed under current MP and Boudria listed under Former MPs)
- Jim Brownell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry 2003-2011)[73]
- Michael Gravelle (Thunder Bay-Superior North 1995-2022, cabinet minister 2007-18)[74]
- Linda Jeffrey (Brampton-Springdale 2003-14, cabinet minister 2010-14, Mayor of Brampton 2014-18)[75]
- Sophie Kiwala (Kingston and the Islands (provincial electoral district) 2014-2018)[73]
- Dave Levac (Brant 1999-2018, Speaker 2011-18)[76]
- Bill Mauro (Thunder Bay—Atikokan 2003-2018, cabinet minister 2014-2018, Mayor of Thunder Bay 2018-22)[77]
- Glenn Thibeault (Sudbury 2015–2018, cabinet minister 2016-2018)[78]
- John Wilkinson (Perth—Wellington 2003–2011, cabinet minister 2007–11)[79]
- MPs: (6)
- Mona Fortier (Ottawa—Vanier since 2017, former cabinet minister 2019-23)[80]
- Marie-France Lalonde (Orléans since 2019, MPP for Orléans 2014-2019 & provincial cabinet minister 2016-18)[81]
- Jenna Sudds (Kanata-Carleton since 2021, federal Minister of Families, Children, and Social Development)[73]
- Anita Vandenbeld (Ottawa West-Nepean since 2015)[73]
- Arif Virani (Parkdale-High Park since 2015, federal Minister of Justice and Attorney General)[82]
- Salma Zahid (Scarborough Centre since 2015)[83]
- Former MPs & Parliamentarians: (3)
- Don Boudria (Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 1984-2006, federal cabinet minister 1996-2003; MPP for Prescott and Russell 1981-1984, Cumberland Township councilor 1976-81) [84]
- Marie Charette-Poulin (former Senator for Northern Ontario 1995-2015, former National President of the Liberal Party of Canada 2006-2008)[73]
- Allan Rock (Etobicoke Centre 1993-2004, federal cabinet minister 1993-2003, former Ambassador to the United Nations 2004-06)[73]
- Sergio Marchi (York West 1984-1999, federal cabinet minister 1993-1999, former Ambassador to the World Trade Organization 1999-2006)[73]
- John Manley (Ottawa South 1988-2004, former cabinet minister 1993-2003)[73]
- Municipal elected officials: (4)
- Malika Ghous (Toronto District School Board Trustee for Ward 18)[85]
- Rawlson King (Councillor for Rideau-Rockcliffe Ward, City of Ottawa)[86]
- Lisa-Marie Wilson (Trustee for Barrie (Ward 7-10), Simcoe County District School Board)[87]
- Cathy Curry (Councillor for Kanata North Ward, City of Ottawa)[73]
- Former Municipal elected officials: (6, including Jeffrey and Mauro listed under former MPP, Boudria under former MP)
- Bob Monette (City of Ottawa Deputy Mayor 2014-18, Councillor for Orléans 2006-18)[88]
- Robert Quaiff (Mayor of Prince Edward County 2014-2018)[73]
- Khalid Usman (Markham City Councillor for Ward 7 (1997-2006, 2018-22)[89]
- Other prominent individuals:
- Ava Hill (Former Elected Chief (2013-19), Six Nations of the Grand River)[90]
Withdrawn candidates
Adil Shamji
Adil Shamji, is the MPP for Don Valley East (2022–present) and serves as critic for Health, Northern Development, Indigenous Affairs, and Colleges and Universities.[91] Prior to his election, he was an Emergency physician and has completed a Master of Public Policy.
- Date announced: July 4, 2023[19]
- Date registered with Elections Ontario: July 4, 2023[92]
- Date of withdrawal: September 29, 2023[23]
- Endorsed: Bonnie Crombie[23]
- Campaign website: www
.joinadil .ca - Campaign slogan: "For all of us."
- Former MPPs: (2)
- George Smitherman (Toronto Centre 1999–2010, Deputy Premier & cabinet minister 2003-2010)[93]
- Murad Velshi (Don Mills 1987-1990) [94]
Declined
- Navdeep Bains, federal Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry (2015–2021), MP for Mississauga—Malton (2015–2021), MP for Mississauga—Brampton South (2004–2011)[95][96]
- Yvan Baker, MP for Etobicoke Centre (2019–present), MPP for Etobicoke Centre (2014–2018) (Endorsed Crombie)[97][98]
- Maurizio Bevilacqua, Mayor of Vaughan, Ontario (2010–2022), federal Secretary of State (International Financial Institutions) (2002–2003), federal Secretary of State (Science, Research and Development) (2002), MP for Vaughan (2004–2010), MP for Vaughan—King—Aurora (1997–2004), MP for York North (1988–1997)[99][100]
- Stephen Blais, MPP for Orléans (2020–present), Ottawa City Councillor (2010–2020)[101]
- Stephanie Bowman, MPP for Don Valley West (2022–present) (Endorsed Crombie)[102][103]
- Lucille Collard, MPP for Ottawa—Vanier (2020–present) (Endorsed Naqvi)[101]
- Michael Coteau, MP for Don Valley East (2021–present), MPP for Don Valley East (2011–2021), Minister of Community and Social Services (2018), Minister of Children and Youth Services (2016–2018), Minister of Tourism, Culture and Sport (2014–2016), Minister of Citizenship and Immigration (2013-2014), finished second in the 2020 leadership election.[104]
- Mohamad Fakih, philanthropist and founder and CEO of Paramount Fine Foods[105][95][106]
- John Fraser, Interim Leader (2018–2020, 2022–present), Parliamentary Leader (2018–present), MPP for Ottawa South (2013–present)[107]
- Mitzie Hunter, MPP for Scarborough—Guildwood (2013–2023), Minister of Advanced Education and Skills Development (2018), Minister of Education (2016–2018), finished fourth in the 2020 leadership election[108]
- Jeff Lehman, CEO and Chair of Muskoka District (2022–present), three-term Mayor of Barrie, Ontario (2010–2022), 2022 Ontario general election candidate in Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte, two-time of Chair of Ontario’s Big City Mayors association.[106]
- Mary-Margaret McMahon, MPP for Beaches—East York (2022–present), Toronto City Councillor (2010–2018) (Endorsed Erskine-Smith)[97]
- Bill Mauro, Mayor of Thunder Bay (2018–2022), MPP for Thunder Bay—Atikokan (2003–2018), Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing (2016–2018), Minister of Natural Resources and Forestry (2014–2016), Minister of Municipal Affairs (2014)[109]
- Mike Schreiner, leader of the Green Party of Ontario (2009–present), MPP for Guelph (2018–present)[110][111][112][113][114]
- Glenn Thibeault, MPP for Sudbury (2015–2018), Minister of Energy (2016–2018), NDP MP for Sudbury (2008–2015) (Endorsed Naqvi)[104][115]
- Arif Virani, MP for Parkdale—High Park (2015–present), Minister of Justice and Attorney General of Canada (2023–present)[95]
Opinion polling
Liberal supporters
Polling firm | Link | Last date of polling |
Sample Size |
Margin of error |
Bonnie Crombie | Nathaniel Erskine-Smith | Ted Hsu | Yasir Naqvi | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pallas Data | [116][117] | September 27, 2023 | 244 | ±3.1% | 49.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 2.7% | Not Sure 23.8% Adil Shamji 0% |
Probit Inc. | [118] | November 29, 2022 | 814 | ±3.4% | 28% | 12% | 3% | 7% | Mitzie Hunter 13% Jeff Lehman 8% Navdeep Bains 6% Michael Coteau 5% Other 3% Maurizio Bevilacqua 3% Mary-Margaret McMahon 3% Arif Virani 3% Yvan Baker 2% Stephen Blais 2% John Fraser (Write-in) 1% |
All Ontarians
Polling firm | Link | Last date of polling |
Sample Size |
Margin of error |
Bonnie Crombie | Nathaniel Erskine-Smith | Ted Hsu | Yasir Naqvi | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pallas Data | [119][120] | September 27, 2023 | 1,010 | ±3.1% | 29.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | Not Sure 51.2% Adil Shamji 1.2% |
Angus Reid | [121] | September 6, 2023 | 582 | ±3% | 31% | 4% | 3% | 4% | Not Sure 57% Adil Shamji 2% |
Notes
References
- ^ Callan, Isaac (2 June 2022). "Steven Del Duca fails to win provincial seat, resigns as Ontario Liberal leader". Global News. Retrieved 3 June 2022.
- ^ Benzie, Robert; Ferguson, Rob (5 January 2023). "'Why didn't we see this coming?' Ontario Liberals release scathing review of election failure". Toronto Star. Retrieved 14 June 2023.
- ^ "Review of the 2022 Ontario Liberal Party Campaign" (PDF). www.ontarioliberal.ca. Retrieved 14 June 2023.
- ^ Jones, Allison (9 January 2023). "Ontario Liberals set to consult on new leadership process". Global News. The Canadian Press. Retrieved 14 June 2023.
- ^ Ferguson, Rob (4 March 2023). "Ontario Liberals one step closer to new leader with one-member, one-vote system". Toronto Star. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
- ^ "Ontario Liberals choose new voting process for leadership race". CBC News. March 4, 2023. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
- ^ Jones, Allison (4 March 2023). "Ontario Liberals approve new voting process for leadership race". CityNews. The Canadian Press. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
- ^ "Constitution of the Ontario Liberal Party" (PDF). www.ontarioliberal.ca. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
- ^ "Rules of Procedure for the 2023 Leadership Contest" (PDF). www.ontarioliberal.ca. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
- ^ Chamandy, Aidan; Pinkerton, Charlie (4 March 2023). "Ontario Liberals to allow all members to vote in leadership elections". The Trillium. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
- ^ Ferguson, Rob (16 April 2023). "'Exactly what we need' or 'dumbest decision'? Ontario Liberals announce Dec. 2 for leadership vote". Toronto Star. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
- ^ Rushowy, Kristin (2 June 2022). "Liberal Leader Steven Del Duca steps down after losing riding, failing to gain party status". Toronto Star. Retrieved 3 June 2022.
- ^ Benzie, Robert (25 July 2022). "John Fraser to again serve as Ontario Liberals' interim leader". Toronto Star. Retrieved 25 July 2022.
- ^ Jackson, Hannah (25 July 2022). "Ontario Liberal caucus selects John Fraser to serve as party's interim leader". Global News. Retrieved 25 July 2022.
- ^ a b Benzie, Robert (8 May 2023). "The Ontario Liberal leadership race has its first declared candidate". Toronto Star. Retrieved 8 May 2023.
- ^ "Ted Hsu officially enters Ontario Liberal leadership race". QP Briefing. 2023-05-23. Retrieved 2023-05-24.
- ^ "MP Yasir Naqvi officially joins Ontario Liberal leadership race: 'My mission is to defeat Doug Ford'". thestar.com. 2023-06-02. Retrieved 2023-06-03.
- ^ a b "'I'm ready to fight': Bonnie Crombie officially launches campaign to become Ontario Liberal leader". CP24. 2023-06-14. Retrieved 2023-06-15.
- ^ a b "Toronto MPP Adil Shamji launches bid to lead Ontario Liberals". CP24. 2023-07-04. Retrieved 2023-07-04.
- ^ a b c d e "2023 Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election". April 16, 2023. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g "2023 Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election". Ontario Liberal Party. Retrieved 2023-08-15.
- ^ a b Benzie, Robert (15 August 2023). "Ontario Liberal leadership race: Here are the six times you'll be able to see the hopefuls debate". Toronto Star. Retrieved 16 August 2023.
- ^ a b c d e D'Mello, Colin (28 September 2023). "Adil Shamji drops out of Ontario Liberal leadership race, backs Bonnie Crombie". Global News. Retrieved 28 September 2023.
- ^ Ferguson, Rob (5 March 2023). "Ontario Liberal leadership hopefuls say early vote boosts chances of defeating Doug Ford". Toronto Star. Retrieved 3 August 2023.
- ^ Hepburn, Bob (6 April 2023). "Dithering Ontario Liberals verging on irrelevance". Toronto Star. Retrieved 3 August 2023.
- ^ Callan, Isaac; D'Mello, Colin (14 June 2023). "Ontario Liberal hopeful Bonnie Crombie facing backlash for Greenbelt comment". Global News. Retrieved 3 August 2023.
- ^ Benzie, Robert (15 June 2023). "Bonnie Crombie denies Doug Ford's claim that she is 'endorsing our Greenbelt plan'". Toronto Star. Retrieved 3 August 2023.
- ^ Hepburn, Bob (13 July 2023). "Liberal maverick Nate Erskine-Smith takes on Bonnie Crombie". Toronto Star. Retrieved 3 August 2023.
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- ^ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GlWpy1YXJtY
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- ^ a b c "Leadership Contests registered with Elections Ontario - 2023 Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Contest". Elections Ontario. Retrieved 23 May 2023.
- ^ https://twitter.com/BonnieforLeader/status/1669140089149046784
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r "Exploratory Committee". www.bonnieforleader.ca.
- ^ @bonniecrombie (September 14, 2023). "I am deeply grateful for Lyn's endorsement. Her extensive career serving residents in Thunder Bay and throughout the province is truly commendable. Your guidance is invaluable as we work towards rebuilding the #OLP in the North and beyond" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @BonnieforLeader (2023-07-20). "Les Franco-Ontariens ont une langue, une culture et une histoire qui sont essentielle à notre province. Je suis très fier d'avoir l'appui de Madeleine. Rejoindre Madeleine et moi pour supporter les communautés Franco-Ontariennes à travers de l'Ontario👉" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @bonniecrombie (August 17, 2023). "Thank you Chris for your support! Ontario's future growth and prosperity depends on a well-prepared and educated workforce. As Leader of the #OLP, I will invest in our young people, support our educators & strengthen our public education system" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Chris_Bittle (2023-09-10). "Proud to endorse @BonnieCrombie for leader of the Ontario Liberal Party. She has a proven track record and is the right choice to lead the Party into the next election" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @BonnieCrombie (2023-09-12). "Thank you @AlvinTedjo for your support and for your guidance on my campaign. The #OLP now has 80k+ members — eager for change. I look forward to leading the party to victory in 2026" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Erskine-Smith, Nate (May 8, 2023). "I'm running for Ontario Liberal leader.To make a difference, to help make you see politics the way I see it, and to rebuild a party ready to rebuild our province". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-05-08.
- ^ @beynate (August 25, 2023). "Healthcare announcement with @karenmccrimmon, the newest member of our team #ONpoli" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Kitts, Daniel (May 12, 2023). "What's ON: The week that was in Ontario politics (May 8–12)". TVO Today. Retrieved May 24, 2023.
He has already received a few endorsements, including from MPP Mary-Margaret McMahon, who represents Beaches–East York, the same riding Erskine-Smith represents at the federal level.
- ^ a b c d e f "Endorsements - Nate Erskine-Smith". www.meetnate.ca. Retrieved 12 September 2023.
- ^ @juliedabrusin (May 9, 2023). "Happy to support @beynate as the next Ontario Liberal leader!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @pfragiskatos (May 12, 2023). "It's time for @beynate. Happy to support him as he campaigns to be the next leader of the @OntLiberal" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @VivianeLapointe (May 10, 2023). "I've had the pleasure of working with @beynate. He is principled, tenacious & passionate. He creates innovative solutions that work. These are the skills we need in a leader, and Nate is the leader we need for Ontario" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @BeyNate (June 30, 2023). "I've always appreciated the independent-minded approach that Marcus (@MarcusPowlowski) brings to politics as we work together to represent our constituents in Ottawa. Im glad to have his support" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @jm_mcgrath (July 25, 2023). "At Queens Park this AM, fmr MP and environment minister Catherine McKenna is endorsing @beynate and his climate policy." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c @BeyNate (July 5, 2023). "I've said from the start that there's no substitute for hard work. We just finished our 7th tour of northern Ontario. Our hard work is paying off, and our team is growing." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Pringle, Josh (28 May 2023). "Kingston MPP enters Ontario Liberal leadership race". CTV News Ottawa. Retrieved 28 May 2023.
- ^ "Ted Hsu officially enters Ontario Liberal leadership race". QP Briefing. 23 May 2023. Retrieved 23 May 2023.
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- ^ @tedhsu (July 31, 2023). "Thank you Mark for being a part of #TeamTed! I am thankful to have a working partner in Ottawa that shares the same goals I do in protecting our environment and promoting sustainability" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Kingston MPP Ted Hsu becomes second official candidate in Liberal leadership race". National Post. The Canadian Press. 28 May 2023. Retrieved 1 June 2023.
- ^ Jhalli, Anil (19 December 2022). "Ottawa MP considering run at Ontario's Liberal leadership". CityNews Ottawa. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
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- ^ Ontario, Elections. "Leadership Contests registered with Elections Ontario from 2018 to Present". www.elections.on.ca. Retrieved 2023-06-03.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (2023-06-06). "Merci, @LucilleCollard, pour votre soutien et votre amitié au fil des ans ! Yasir "a constamment démontré une profonde compréhension des défis auxquels sont confrontés les gens qu'il représente parce qu'il écoute."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Endorsements - Yasir Naqvi". www.yasirnaqvi.ca. Retrieved 13 September 2023.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 31, 2023). "For too long, Northern and rural Ontario have been overlooked. It's time that ends. With the support and guidance of Northern Ontario leaders like @MichaelGravelle, I will represent ALL of Ontario, regardless of where you live or where you've come from" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 14, 2023). ".@LindaJeffrey and others know I didn't get into politics to help my friends with big contracts. I was raised to believe that public service is an honourable profession. I'm running to lead the Ontario Liberal Party — not the "Developers of Ontario Party"" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 31, 2023). "As Speaker of the Ontario Legislature, Dave Levac focused on offering fair and reasonable decisions. He is thoughtful, authentic, and spent his career in politics focused on making a difference. That's the kind of leadership I admire. That's the kind of Leadership I offer" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 3, 2023). "Throughout his career, Bill Mauro has continued to remind us of the unique challenges facing Thunder Bay & Northern Ontario communities. You can count on me to serve communities in all regions of Ontario to build a healthy & prosperous province" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 6, 2023). "Northern Ontario knows that the status quo is not working, and to renew the promise of #Ontario, we need strong Liberal organizations in every one of our 124 ridings. Northern leaders like @GlennThibeault understand that, and I'm so happy to have his support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (2023-06-05). ""With Yasir as Leader, I have no doubt he will inspire another generation of Ontarians to join us, once again, to leave a better world to our children and grandchildren." Thanks John Wilkinson for your support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 25, 2023). "Recognizing the heritage, language & culture of the francophone community is an important reminder that people of all backgrounds contribute to making our province a better place. On this Franco-Ontarian Day, I'm proud to have the support of my friend & colleague @MonaFortier!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 27, 2023). "Today in Ontario, the status quo isn't good enough and the promise of our great province is slipping away. Ontarians deserve better & that's why I'm running to be Leader of @OntLiberal. Together, with the support of people like @mflalonde, we can put our province back together" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 14, 2023). "I believe everyone should have the opportunity to succeed. It shouldn't matter where you're from or the story that led you to Ontario. Good healthcare, quality education, and a strong economy is the basis of the Ontario I want to lead. Thanks for your support, @viraniarif!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (2023-07-10). "Our Co-Chairs represent my promise to ensure everyone in Ontario can see themselves in the @OntLiberal Party. ~~~~ Nos coprésidents représentent ma promesse de veiller à ce que tous les Ontariens puissent se reconnaître dans le Parti libéral de l'Ontario" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 16, 2023). "Having been elected at all three levels of government over 30 years, Don Boudria's guidance and support as I take on this journey to lead our party and our province is immeasurable.Thanks for the support, Don!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 27, 2023). "Ontario's education system needs a fix — our kids deserve well-funded schools, classroom sizes that allow for learning, and a curriculum that will prepare them for the future. School Board Trustee @MalikaGhousCA knows that as well as anyone. Thank you for your support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 12, 2023). ".@rawlsonking continues to break down barriers, educating others about the realities of Black and racialized community. We must always consider those whose realities are different from our own. We have so much to learn. Thank you for your support, Rawlson!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 18, 2023). "The rising cost of living is making the promise of Ontario slip away for too many. Together, with the help of those like Lisa-Marie, we can put our province back together. We can transform our party and ensure everyone in Ontario can live a life that's affordable" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 30, 2023). ".@BobMonette1 and I both know that working together, building positive relationships — even when we disagree — is the way to get things done. I believe in listening to the diversity of voices, not just my friends. Thank you for the support, Bob" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 25, 2023). "Ontario is home to people from all over the world; some who have been here for a short time & some who have been here for generations. @khalidusman & I share the commitment to helping ALL of Ontario succeed, regardless of where you come from or how long you've been in Ontario" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 30, 2023). "Ava Hill knows the influence my background has had on my approach to politics. We all know the challenges Ontarians face today and only by working together can we find workable solutions. Thank you for your support, Ava!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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- ^ @ShamjiAdil (July 18, 2023). "Thank you @G_Smitherman for your support and encouragement for my campaign and for serving as a co-chair. Your experience is invaluable. Together we're focused on building a better Ontario #ForAllOfUs #olpldr Want to join the team? Visit http://joinadil.ca" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @ShamjiAdil (July 17, 2023). "Proud to announce my fantastic campaign co-chairs. I'm building a team that isn't concerned about the politics of left or right, but on the needs of everyday Ontarians and their families. We're focused on evidence-based solutions and we're in this race to win" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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- ^ @EarlWashburn (December 1, 2022). "The @ProbitInc omnibus poll also asked Ontario Liberals who they were supporting for leader. Mississauga mayor Bonnie Crombie is the current leader, though she is unlikely to run. MPP Mitzie Hunter is in second, and maverick MP Nathaniel Erskine-Smith is in third. #onpoli" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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