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Revision as of 09:05, 9 January 2018

French presidential election, 2022

← 2017 Between 8 and 23 April 2022 (first round)
Two weeks after the first round (second round)
2027 →

Incumbent President

Emmanuel Macron
LREM



The first round of the 2022 French presidential election will be held between 8 and 23 April 2022, with the second round held two weeks after the first. Should no candidate win a majority of the vote in the first round, a runoff will be held between the top two candidates two weeks later. The incumbent president is Emmanuel Macron of La République En Marche!, who won the 2017 presidential election and will remain in office until 13 May 2022.

Background

The President of the French Republic is elected to a five-year term in a two-round election under Article 7 of the constitution: if no candidate secures an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) of votes in the first round, a second round is held two weeks later between the two candidates who received the most votes.[1] Per the constitution, the first round of the presidential election must be held between 20 and 35 days before the transition of power at the end of the five-year term of the incumbent president. Because Emmanuel Macron took office on 14 May 2017, the transition of power is slated to take place on 13 May 2022, meaning that the first round of the presidential election will be held between 8 and 23 April 2022, with the second round held two weeks after the first.[2]

To be listed on the first-round ballot, candidates must secure 500 signatures (often referred to as parrainages) from national or local elected officials from at least 30 different departments or overseas collectivities, with no more than a tenth of these signatories from any single department.[3]

Potential candidates

Debout la France

National Front

Génération.s, le mouvement

La France Insoumise

La République En Marche!

The Republicans

Opinion polling

The surveys below show the preferred candidate of the right related to The Republicans, and are not of voting intention in a hypothetical primary.

Among LR supporters
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Laurent Wauquiez Xavier Bertrand Valérie Pécresse Christian Estrosi None of these No response
style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"|
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2017 64% 32% 4%
Odoxa 6–7 Dec 2017 113 34% 23% 17% 7% 18% 1%
Among right except FN supporters
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Laurent Wauquiez Xavier Bertrand No response
style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;"|
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2017 149 59% 36% 5%
Among all French
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Laurent Wauquiez Xavier Bertrand Valérie Pécresse Christian Estrosi None of these No response
style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"|
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2017 1,028 39% 55% 6%
Odoxa 6–7 Dec 2017 986 15% 17% 9% 4% 52% 3%

Socialist Party

Opinion polling

The surveys below show the preferred candidate of the left related to the Socialist Party, and are not of voting intention in a hypothetical primary.

Among PS supporters
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Benoît Hamon Manuel Valls Najat Vallaud-Belkacem Arnaud Montebourg Stéphane Le Foll Luc Carvounas Olivier Faure No response
style="background:Template:Génération.s, le mouvement/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"|
Odoxa 29–30 Nov 2017 88 29% 21% 15% 13% 13% 4% 2% 3%
Among left supporters
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Benoît Hamon Manuel Valls Najat Vallaud-Belkacem Arnaud Montebourg Stéphane Le Foll Luc Carvounas Olivier Faure No response
style="background:Template:Génération.s, le mouvement/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"|
Odoxa 29–30 Nov 2017 238 34% 13% 16% 19% 8% 5% 2% 3%
Among all French
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Benoît Hamon Manuel Valls Najat Vallaud-Belkacem Arnaud Montebourg Stéphane Le Foll Luc Carvounas Olivier Faure No response
style="background:Template:Génération.s, le mouvement/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Independent/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialist Party (France)/meta/color;"|
Odoxa 29–30 Nov 2017 991 19% 25% 10% 21% 9% 4% 5% 7%

Non-candidates

Opinion polling

First round

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FI
Hamon
Génération.s
Macron
REM
Lassalle
Résistons!
Fillon
LR
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Le Pen
FN
Asselineau
UPR
Cheminade
S&P
style="background:Template:Lutte Ouvrière/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:New Anticapitalist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:La France Insoumise/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Génération.s, le mouvement/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:La République En Marche!/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Miscellaneous right/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Debout la France/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:National Front (France)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Popular Republican Union/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Solidarity and Progress/meta/color;"|
Ifop 13–18 Oct 2017 1,908 19%/0/9 1.5% 18% 7% 28% 1.5% 15% 5% 21.5% 1% 0.5%
2017 election 23 Apr 2017 62.23% 0.64% 1.09% 19.58% 6.36% 24.01% 1.21% 20.01% 4.70% 21.30% 0.92% 0.18%

Approval ratings

The table below lists "political barometers" published by various polling organizations, which monitor the evolution of public opinion on the president, prime minister, and notable political personalities.

Ifop-Fiducial, in cooperation with Paris Match, CNews, and Sud Radio, publishes two polls each month: one on the popularity of the executive and the second on various political personalities, including Macron and Philippe. Only the first is listed in the table below.

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Emmanuel Macron Édouard Philippe Question
wording
class="unsortable" colspan="4" style="background:Template:La République En Marche!/meta/color;"| class="unsortable" colspan="4" style="background:Template:The Republicans (France)/meta/color;"|
Approve Disapprove No opinion Net Approve Disapprove No opinion Net
Elabe 2–3 Jan 2018 1,001 42% 50% 8% 8% 37% 48% 15% 11% [a]
Harris 26–28 Dec 2017 900 52% 47% 1% 5% 49% 51% 0% 2% [b]
BVA 18–19 Dec 2017 1,199 52% 45% 3% 7% 52% 44% 4% 8% [c]
Ifop 8–16 Dec 2017 1,942 52% 46% 2% 6% 54% 42% 4% 12% [d]
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2017 1,028 54% 46% 0% 8% 57% 42% 1% 15% [e]
Viavoice 11–13 Dec 2017 1,008 46% 38% 16% 8% 44% ? ? ? [f]
Ipsos 8–9 Dec 2017 1,016 39% 50% 11% 11% 37% 47% 16% 10% [g]
Ifop-Fiducial 1–2 Dec 2017 978 50% 48% 2% 2% 52% 44% 4% 8% [h]
YouGov 29–30 Nov 2017 1,006 35% 50% 15% 15% 36% 43% 21% 7% [i]
Harris 28–30 Nov 2017 937 46% 53% 1% 7% 48% 52% 0% 4% [b]
Elabe 28–29 Nov 2017 1,001 40% 54% 6% 14% 39% 47% 14% 8% [a]
BVA 27–28 Nov 2017 972 46% 51% 3% 5% 50% 46% 4% 4% [c]
Kantar Sofres 23–27 Nov 2017 1,000 42% 54% 4% 12% 40% 50% 10% 10% [j]
Odoxa 22–23 Nov 2017 1,009 45% 55% 0% 10% 46% 53% 1% 7% [e]
Ifop 10–18 Nov 2017 1,964 46% 52% 2% 6% 49% 45% 6% 4% [d]
Ipsos 10–11 Nov 2017 1,043 37% 53% 10% 16% 36% 45% 19% 9% [g]
Viavoice 31 Oct–2 Nov 2017 1,002 40% 46% 14% 6% 40% 37% 23% 3% [f]
Elabe 30–31 Oct 2017 1,152 38% 56% 6% 18% 38% 53% 9% 15% [a]
Ifop-Fiducial 27–28 Oct 2017 1,004 44% 55% 1% 11% 50% 46% 4% 4% [h]
Kantar Sofres 25–28 Oct 2017 983 38% 57% 5% 19% 36% 54% 10% 18% [j]
YouGov 25–27 Oct 2017 1,034 32% 55% 13% 23% 32% 46% 23% 14% [i]
Harris 24–26 Oct 2017 917 48% 52% 0% 4% 48% 52% 0% 4% [b]
BVA 24–25 Oct 2017 1,193 42% 56% 2% 14% 44% 50% 6% 6% [c]
Ifop 13–21 Oct 2017 1,938 42% 56% 2% 14% 47% 47% 6% 0% [d]
Odoxa 18–19 Oct 2017 995 44% 56% 0% 12% 45% 54% 1% 9% [e]
Ipsos 13–14 Oct 2017 957 34% 54% 12% 20% 33% 49% 18% 16% [g]
Elabe 3–4 Oct 2017 1,001 40% 54% 6% 14% 36% 50% 14% 14% [a]
Kantar Sofres 28 Sep–2 Oct 2017 1,000 39% 56% 5% 17% 37% 52% 11% 15% [j]
Ifop-Fiducial 29–30 Sep 2017 1,003 44% 55% 1% 11% 52% 46% 2% 6% [h]
YouGov 27–28 Sep 2017 1,002 32% 56% 12% 24% 34% 47% 19% 13% [i]
Harris 26–28 Sep 2017 914 49% 51% 0% 2% 48% 51% 1% 3% [b]
BVA 25–26 Sep 2017 1,092 45% 51% 4% 6% 48% 46% 6% 2% [c]
Ifop 15–23 Sep 2017 1,989 45% 53% 2% 8% 48% 46% 6% 2% [d]
Odoxa 13–14 Sep 2017 992 44% 56% 0% 12% 46% 53% 1% 7% [e]
Viavoice 12–13 Sep 2017 1,007 38% 47% 15% 9% 40% 40% 20% 0% [f]
Ipsos 8–9 Sep 2017 988 32% 54% 14% 22% 32% 48% 20% 16% [g]
Elabe 5–6 Sep 2017 1,002 37% 58% 5% 21% 32% 57% 11% 25% [a]
Ifop-Fiducial 1–2 Sep 2017 1,003 46% 54% 0% 8% 52% 46% 2% 6% [h]
YouGov 28–29 Aug 2017 1,003 30% 54% 15% 24% 32% 47% 21% 15% [i]
BVA 28–29 Aug 2017 1,162 43% 55% 2% 12% 46% 50% 4% 4% [c]
Kantar Sofres 24–28 Aug 2017 983 41% 52% 7% 11% 39% 47% 14% 8% [j]
Ifop 25–26 Aug 2017 1,023 40% 57% 3% 17% 47% 45% 8% 2% [d]
Harris 22–24 Aug 2017 942 46% 54% 0% 8% 44% 56% 0% 12% [b]
Elabe 1–2 Aug 2017 1,000 40% 55% 5% 15% 37% 51% 12% 14% [a]
YouGov 26–27 Jul 2017 1,003 36% 49% 14% 13% 37% 42% 21% 5% [i]
Harris 25–27 Jul 2017 1,000 51% 49% 0% 2% 49% 50% 1% 1% [b]
Ipsos 21–22 Jul 2017 1,022 42% 42% 16% 0% 41% 36% 23% 5% [g]
Ifop 17–22 Jul 2017 1,947 54% 43% 3% 11% 56% 37% 7% 19% [d]
BVA 17–18 Jul 2017 1,007 54% 44% 2% 10% 55% 42% 3% 13% [c]
Ifop-Fiducial 7–8 Jul 2017 1,002 56% 42% 2% 14% 60% 37% 3% 23% [h]
Elabe 4–5 Jul 2017 999 45% 46% 9% 1% 43% 46% 11% 3% [a]
YouGov 28–30 Jun 2017 1,016 43% 36% 21% 7% 39% 31% 30% 8% [i]
Harris 27–29 Jun 2017 941 59% 41% 0% 18% 58% 42% 0% 16% [b]
Viavoice 23–26 Jun 2017 1,011 53% 27% 20% 26% 46% 25% 29% 21% [f]
Kantar Sofres 22–26 Jun 2017 1,000 54% 39% 7% 15% 47% 38% 15% 9% [j]
Ipsos 23–24 Jun 2017 1,058 45% 27% 28% 18% 39% 24% 37% 15% [g]
Ifop 14–24 Jun 2017 1,883 64% 35% 1% 29% 64% 32% 4% 32% [d]
Odoxa 21–22 Jun 2017 1,008 58% 41% 1% 17% 57% 41% 2% 16% [e]
BVA 19–20 Jun 2017 1,187 59% 39% 2% 20% 57% 38% 5% 19% [c]
Ifop-Fiducial 16–17 Jun 2017 980 60% 38% 2% 22% 61% 36% 3% 25% [h]
Elabe 5–6 Jun 2017 1,001 45% 45% 10% 0% 38% 46% 16% 8% [a]
Kantar Sofres 24–29 May 2017 1,000 57% 38% 5% 19% 49% 36% 15% 13% [j]
Harris 23–26 May 2017 934 57% 43% 0% 14% 53% 46% 1% 7% [b]
YouGov 24–25 May 2017 1,008 39% 32% 29% 7% 31% 28% 40% 3% [i]
Odoxa 22–23 May 2017 1,014 58% 41% 1% 17% 55% 43% 2% 12% [e]
BVA 22–23 May 2017 1,011 62% 35% 3% 27% 59% 34% 7% 25% [c]
Viavoice 19–22 May 2017 1,006 49% 30% 21% 19% 33% 25% 42% 8% [f]
Ipsos 19–20 May 2017 1,015 46% 27% 27% 19% 31% 21% 48% 10% [g]
Ifop-Fiducial 19–20 May 2017 1,006 66% 30% 4% 36% 63% 27% 10% 36% [h]
Ifop 19–20 May 2017 973 62% 31% 7% 31% 55% 24% 21% 31% [d]
Elabe 16–17 May 2017 999 45% 46% 9% 1% 36% 43% 21% 7% [a]

Graphical summary

The graphical summaries below exclude "no response", "no opinion", and "don't know".

Emmanuel Macron

File:Baromètre politique Macron 2.png

Édouard Philippe

File:Baromètre politique Philippe 2.png

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Faites-vous confiance ou pas confiance au Président de la République, Emmanuel MACRON, pour affronter efficacement les principaux problèmes qui se posent au pays ? Faites-vous confiance ou pas confiance au Premier ministre, Edouard PHILIPPE, pour affronter efficacement les principaux problèmes qui se posent au pays ?
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h Faites-vous tout à fait confiance, plutôt confiance, plutôt pas confiance ou pas du tout confiance à Emmanuel Macron / Edouard Philippe en tant que Président de la République / Premier ministre pour mener une bonne politique pour la France ?
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h Quelle opinion avez-vous d’… (1) Emmanuel Macron en tant que président de la République ?; (2) Edouard Philippe en tant que Premier ministre ?
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h Êtes-vous satisfait ou mécontent d’Emmanuel Macron comme Président de la République ? Êtes-vous satisfait ou mécontent d’Edouard Philippe comme Premier ministre ?
  5. ^ a b c d e f Diriez-vous qu’Emmanuel Macron est un bon Président de la République ? Diriez-vous qu’Edouard Philippe est un bon Premier ministre ?
  6. ^ a b c d e Avez-vous plutôt une bonne opinion ou plutôt une mauvaise opinion d’Emmanuel Macron, en tant que Président de la République ? Avez-vous plutôt une bonne opinion ou plutôt une mauvaise opinion d’Edouard Philippe, en tant que Premier Ministre ?
  7. ^ a b c d e f g Quel jugement portez-vous sur l'action d’Emmanuel Macron en tant que président de la République ? Quel jugement portez-vous sur l'action d’Edouard Philippe en tant que Premier ministre ?
  8. ^ a b c d e f g Approuvez-vous ou n’approuvez-vous pas l’action d’Emmanuel Macron comme Président de la République ? Approuvez-vous ou n’approuvez-vous pas l’action d’Edouard Philippe comme Premier ministre ?
  9. ^ a b c d e f g Quel jugement portez-vous sur l’action d'Emmanuel Macron comme Président de la République ? Quel jugement portez-vous sur l’action d'Edouard Philippe comme Premier Ministre ?
  10. ^ a b c d e f Faites-vous tout à fait confiance, plutôt confiance, plutôt pas confiance ou pas du tout confiance à ... pour résoudre les problèmes qui se posent en France actuellement ?

References

  1. ^ "Constitution du 4 octobre 1958 - Article 7". Légifrance. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  2. ^ "Comment les dates de l'élection sont-elles choisies ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  3. ^ "Concernant les parrainages, qu'est-ce qui a changé depuis 2012 ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  4. ^ Lucas Burel; Paul Laubacher (29 October 2017). "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, l'homme qui y croit encore". L'Obs. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  5. ^ "Marine Le Pen : "Je suis la plus solide et la mieux placée" pour 2022". Europe 1. Agence France-Presse. 21 September 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  6. ^ "La nouvelle vie de Marion Maréchal-Le Pen, loin de la politique". Europe 1. Maxence Lambrecq. 12 September 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  7. ^ "Hamon lance son mouvement et quitte le PS". Les Échos. Agence France-Presse. 1 July 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  8. ^ Marcelo Wesfreid (12 July 2017). "Jean-Luc Mélenchon se pose en premier opposant au gouvernement". Le Figaro. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  9. ^ Sébastien Tronche (2 July 2017). "Richard Ferrand aux députés LREM : "l'objectif, c'est la réélection d'Emmanuel Macron en 2022"". Europe 1. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  10. ^ Bruno Roger-Petit (26 June 2017). "Xavier Bertrand, dernier espoir de la droite avant Wauquiez". Challenges. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  11. ^ Valérie Hacot (11 September 2017). "Avec son nouveau mouvement Libres!, Pécresse se fait le refuge des anti-Wauquiez". Le Parisien. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  12. ^ Alain Duhamel (11 October 2017). "Laurent Wauquiez, le challenger de 2022". Libération. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  13. ^ Myriam Encaoua (16 October 2017). "Anne Hidalgo : «Nous avons gagné les JO 2024 car nous sommes engagés dans l'écologie»". Le Parisien. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  14. ^ "Législatives : François Hollande réconforte les socialistes battus". Le Parisien. 13 June 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  15. ^ Michaël Bloch (19 November 2017). "François Fillon : "La politique peut vous détruire"". Le Journal du Dimanche. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  16. ^ Arthur Berdah (19 November 2017). "Bruno Le Maire exhorte Emmanuel Macron à se représenter en 2022". Le Figaro. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  17. ^ Clarisse Martin (20 April 2017). "Philippe Poutou ne sera pas candidat à la présidentielle de 2022". RTL. Agence France-Presse. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
  18. ^ "Nicolas Sarkozy : «J'abandonne la politique parce qu'on ne gagne pas assez d'argent»". La Dépêche du Midi. 11 August 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.