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'''Tropical Storm Rafael''' is an active [[tropical cyclone]] in the western [[Caribbean Sea]], currently moving generally northward toward [[Jamaica]] and the [[Cayman Islands]]. The seventeenth [[tropical cyclone naming|named storm]] of the [[2024 Atlantic hurricane season]], Eighteen formed on November 4, from an area of low-pressure spawned by a [[Central American Gyre]].
'''Tropical Storm Rafael''' is an active [[tropical cyclone]] in the western [[Caribbean Sea]], currently moving generally northward toward [[Jamaica]] and the [[Cayman Islands]]. The seventeenth [[tropical cyclone naming|named storm]] of the [[2024 Atlantic hurricane season]], Rafael formed on November 4, from an area of low-pressure spawned by a [[Central American Gyre]]. Rafael is currently forecasted to strike [[Jamaica]] and the [[Cayman Islands]] in the next 36 hours.


== Meteorological history ==
== Meteorological history ==

Revision as of 21:33, 4 November 2024

Tropical Storm Rafael
Tropical Storm Rafael on November 4
Meteorological history
FormedNovember 4, 2024
Tropical storm
1-minute sustained (SSHWS/NWS)
Highest winds45 mph (75 km/h)
Lowest pressure997 mbar (hPa); 29.44 inHg
Overall effects
Fatalities4 indirect
Missing2 indirect
DamageUnknown
Areas affectedPanama
Part of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

Tropical Storm Rafael is an active tropical cyclone in the western Caribbean Sea, currently moving generally northward toward Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. The seventeenth named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, Rafael formed on November 4, from an area of low-pressure spawned by a Central American Gyre. Rafael is currently forecasted to strike Jamaica and the Cayman Islands in the next 36 hours.

Meteorological history

Map plotting the track and the intensity of the storm, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
Saffir–Simpson scale
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
triangle Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

On October 26, the National Hurricane Center began monitoring the southwestern Caribbean in anticipation of tropical development.[1] Several days later, on November 1, a broad area of low pressure began developing over the southwestern Caribbean,[2] associated with a Central American Gyre.[3] The disturbance began showing signs of organization on November 3. That afternoon, Air Force Hurricane Hunters collected data showing that the system had developed a closed center, but that deep convection had not yet organized enough for it to be designated a tropical depression. Because of this, the NHC designated it Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen that same day.[4] Further development occurred, and after data from hurricane hunters, satellite imagery, and surface observations revealed that the disturbance developed a well-defined center and was producing organized deep convection, the system was upgraded to Tropical Depression Eighteen.[5] At the time, the system was located about 195 mi (310 km) south of Kingston, Jamaica.[6]

Preparations

Cayman Islands

At the time the developing system was designed a potential tropical cyclone on November 3, a Hurricane Watch was issued for the Cayman Islands.[7] The following morning, the watch covering the Cayman Islands was replaced with a Hurricane Warning.[8] Due to the storm, all government schools and the University College of the Cayman Islands were closed on November 5.[9] Sandbags were made available for the residents of Cayman Brac and Grand Cayman.[10]

Jamaica

As the system was designated as a potential tropical cyclone, a Tropical Storm Warning was issued for Jamaica.[7] Two matches in the Jamaica Premier League, which were, scheduled for November 4, were postponed.[11] The University of the West Indies closed all clinics and non-emergency services due to the system.[12]

Cuba

A hurricane watch went into effect for six eastern provinces of Cuba on November 4.[6]

Impact

Central America

In Panama, rains from the Central American Gyre which spawned Rafael damaged several homes, leaving a total of more than 210 displaced.[13] At least four people died in the nation as a result, with another two remaining missing.[14][15]

See also

References

  1. ^ Berg, Robbie (October 26, 2024). Tropical Weather Outlook (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved November 3, 2024.
  2. ^ Beven, John (November 1, 2024). Tropical Weather Outlook (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
  3. ^ Masters, Jeff (November 1, 2024). "A November tropical storm in the Caribbean is now likely". New Haven, Connecticut: Yale Climate Connection. Retrieved November 1, 2024.
  4. ^ Cangialosi, John (November 3, 2024). Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen Discussion Number 1 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved November 3, 2024.
  5. ^ Cangialosi, John; Kelly, Larry (November 4, 2024). Tropical Depression Eighteen Discussion Number 4 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  6. ^ a b Ambriz, Chelsea; Galarza, Monica (November 4, 2024). "Tropical Depression 18 forms, expected to become a tropical storm later Monday". Miami, Florida: WTVJ. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  7. ^ a b Yablonski, Steven (November 3, 2024). "Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 forecast to become Tropical Storm Rafael in Caribbean Sea". FOX Weather. Retrieved November 3, 2024.
  8. ^ Cangialosi, John; Kelly, Larry (November 4, 2024). Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen Tropical Cyclone Update (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  9. ^ "Schools Remain Open on Monday, Closed on Tuesday". Caymanian Times. 3 November 2024. Retrieved 4 November 2024.
  10. ^ Ragoonath, Reshma (4 November 2024). "Cayman Islands placed under hurricane warning". Cayman Compass. Retrieved 4 November 2024.
  11. ^ Buchanan, Orane (4 November 2024). "JPL matches postponed". The Star. Retrieved 4 November 2024.
  12. ^ "UHWI scales back services amid Tropical Storm Warning". The Star. 4 November 2024. Retrieved 4 November 2024.
  13. ^ Press • •, Por The Associated (2024-11-03). "Panamá: reportan al menos cuatro muertos y dos desaparecidos tras fuertes lluvias e inundaciones". Telemundo 52 (in Spanish). Retrieved 2024-11-04.
  14. ^ Staff, Forbes (2024-11-03). "Lluvias intensas provocan cuatro muertes en Panamá". Forbes México (in Spanish). Retrieved 2024-11-04.
  15. ^ RCN, Noticias (2024-11-04). "Cuatro personas fallecieron en Panamá por las fuertes lluvias: uno de ellos era un comisionado de la Policía". Noticias RCN (in Spanish). Retrieved 2024-11-04.
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