2002 Ohio gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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==General election== |
==General election== |
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Taft was the favorite, and Hagan struggled with fundraising.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Drew |first=James |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=pQ0wAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA3&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=5312,4531729&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjSvfyq__qAAxWAF1kFHVkgBRw4HhDoAXoECAkQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title=Hagan falls behind Taft in quest for campaign cash |publisher=Toledo Blade |year=2002-06-15 |pages=A4 |language=en}}</ref> Hagan, who was married to Star Trek actress [[Kate Mulgrew]], held a fundraiser with her, [[William Shatner]] to raise money.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Associated Press |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=VexIAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA22&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=3193,5389640&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiE7-W0gPuAAxVzD1kFHaMpAY84ChDoAXoECAcQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title='Star Trek' Fans raise $150,000 for Tim Hagan |publisher=The Vindicator |year=2002-08-25 |pages=B5 |language=en}}</ref> Hagan still struggled, and had to pull TV ads, and focus on mail ads.<ref>{{Cite book |last=The Vindicator Wire Report |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=U-xIAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA18&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=2752,3895526&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjSvfyq__qAAxWAF1kFHVkgBRw4HhDoAXoECAoQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title=Hagan forgoes TV ads, citing lack of campaign funds |publisher=The Vindicator |year=2002-08-22 |pages=B4 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite book |last=Associated Press |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=iedDAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA24&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=1412,3076401&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjSvfyq__qAAxWAF1kFHVkgBRw4HhDoAXoECAcQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title=Hagan abandons TV for mailboxes |publisher=The Daily Sentinel |year=2002-08-23 |pages=A2 |language=en}}</ref> |
Taft was the favorite, and Hagan struggled with fundraising.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Drew |first=James |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=pQ0wAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA3&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=5312,4531729&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjSvfyq__qAAxWAF1kFHVkgBRw4HhDoAXoECAkQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title=Hagan falls behind Taft in quest for campaign cash |publisher=Toledo Blade |year=2002-06-15 |pages=A4 |language=en}}</ref> Hagan, who was married to Star Trek actress [[Kate Mulgrew]], held a fundraiser with her, [[William Shatner]] to raise money.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Associated Press |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=VexIAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA22&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=3193,5389640&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiE7-W0gPuAAxVzD1kFHaMpAY84ChDoAXoECAcQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title='Star Trek' Fans raise $150,000 for Tim Hagan |publisher=The Vindicator |year=2002-08-25 |pages=B5 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=2002-08-27 |title=CNN.com - Let the debates begin - August 27, 2002 |url=https://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/08/24/week.ahead/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20021004123556/https://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/08/24/week.ahead/index.html |archive-date=2002-10-04 |access-date=2023-09-02 |website=www.cnn.com}}</ref> Hagan still struggled, and had to pull TV ads, and focus on mail ads.<ref>{{Cite book |last=The Vindicator Wire Report |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=U-xIAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA18&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=2752,3895526&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjSvfyq__qAAxWAF1kFHVkgBRw4HhDoAXoECAoQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title=Hagan forgoes TV ads, citing lack of campaign funds |publisher=The Vindicator |year=2002-08-22 |pages=B4 |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite book |last=Associated Press |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=iedDAAAAIBAJ&pg=PA24&dq=tim+hagan+2002&article_id=1412,3076401&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjSvfyq__qAAxWAF1kFHVkgBRw4HhDoAXoECAcQAg#v=onepage&q=tim%20hagan%202002&f=false |title=Hagan abandons TV for mailboxes |publisher=The Daily Sentinel |year=2002-08-23 |pages=A2 |language=en}}</ref> |
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===Predictions=== |
===Predictions=== |
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| Elections in Ohio |
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The 2002 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Republican Governor of Ohio Bob Taft ran for re-election to a second and final term as governor, and he was opposed by Democratic nominee Tim Hagan, a former Cuyahoga County Commissioner. The race between Taft and Hagan was not competitive, and Taft was re-elected by a substantial margin, ensuring him a second term in office.
As of 2024, this was the last time that someone other than a current or former member of Congress was elected to the governorship.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Tim Hagan, former Cuyahoga County Commissioner and candidate for Cleveland Mayor in 1989
Declined
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Representative from Ohio's 13th congressional district since 1993, Ohio Secretary of State, 1983-1991[1]
- Richard Celeste, U.S. Ambassador to India 1997-2001, former Governor of Ohio, 1983-1991[2][3]
Sherrod Brown's district was seen as particularly vulnerable in redistricting, and many thought he would run for governor.[4][5] But Brown ultimately would not pursue a race, and would go on to win in a redrawn 13th district.[6] Tim Hagan, a former Cuyahoga County Commissioner had initially dithered on running, indicating a willingness to defer to a more prominent nominee should one emerge.[7][1] As none emerged, Tim Hagan became the Democratic nominee.
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Hagan | 467,572 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 467,572 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Bob Taft, incumbent Governor of Ohio
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bob Taft (incumbent) | 552,491 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 552,491 | 100.00 | ||
General election
Taft was the favorite, and Hagan struggled with fundraising.[10] Hagan, who was married to Star Trek actress Kate Mulgrew, held a fundraiser with her, William Shatner to raise money.[11][12] Hagan still struggled, and had to pull TV ads, and focus on mail ads.[13][14]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Safe R | October 31, 2002 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely R | November 4, 2002 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bob Taft (R) |
Tim Hagan (D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | October 29–31, 2002 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 39% | 3% |
Results
Taft won reelection easily, winning by nearly 19.5% and by 628,083 votes. Taft did well in most parts of the state. Hagan only managed to win six out of 88 counties. Hagan won Lorain County, Cuyahoga County, Summit County, Trumbull County, Mahoning County, and Athens County. Despite winning in a landslide Taft would go on to be extremely unpopular in his second term, leaving office with a 2% approval rating, the lowest for any statewide official in modern U.S. history. In 2006 Democrat Ted Strickland would easily go on to defeat Republican Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell. It resulted in a gain for the Democrats, and was the first time they had obtained the governorship in 16 years.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bob Taft (incumbent) | 1,865,007 | 57.76% | +7.71% | |
| Democratic | Tim Hagan | 1,236,924 | 38.31% | −6.38% | |
| Independent | John Eastman | 126,686 | 3.92% | ||
| Write-ins | 375 | 0.01% | |||
| Majority | 628,083 | 19.45% | +14.09% | ||
| Turnout | 3,228,992 | ||||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
Notes
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- ^ a b Wenzel, Fritz (2001-12-31). A predictable political year ahead. Toledo Blade. pp. 7A.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ Associated Press (2001-05-09). Hagan may run for governor. Portsmouth Daily Times. pp. A11.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ Associated Press (2001-04-28). Politics are not in Celeste's plans. The Vindicator. pp. B4.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ Skolnick, David (2001-04-04). Brown hints at run for governor's job. The Vindicator. pp. B4.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ Wenzel, Fritz (2001-03-17). GOP holds edge in redrawing Ohio political map. Toledo Blade. pp. A4.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ "CNN.com Election 2002 - State Races: Ohio". www.cnn.com. Archived from the original on 2003-02-12. Retrieved 2023-08-26.
- ^ McCarthy, John (2002-05-02). Partisans have no choice at the top - again. The Bryan Times. p. 8.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ "Results". Archived from the original on 2015-10-13. Retrieved 2012-12-31.
- ^ "Results 2002". Archived from the original on 2015-10-13. Retrieved 2012-12-31.
- ^ Drew, James (2002-06-15). Hagan falls behind Taft in quest for campaign cash. Toledo Blade. pp. A4.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ Associated Press (2002-08-25). 'Star Trek' Fans raise $150,000 for Tim Hagan. The Vindicator. pp. B5.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ "CNN.com - Let the debates begin - August 27, 2002". www.cnn.com. 2002-08-27. Archived from the original on 2002-10-04. Retrieved 2023-09-02.
- ^ The Vindicator Wire Report (2002-08-22). Hagan forgoes TV ads, citing lack of campaign funds. The Vindicator. pp. B4.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ Associated Press (2002-08-23). Hagan abandons TV for mailboxes. The Daily Sentinel. pp. A2.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: year (link) - ^ "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
- ^ "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
- ^ 2002 results [dead link]