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2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election: Difference between revisions

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Official Results
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| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34
| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34
| seats_for_election = {{ushr|TX|34}}
| seats_for_election = {{ushr|TX|34}}
| turnout = 7.34%<ref name="txsos">{{Cite web |date=June 14, 2022 |title=SPECIAL ELECTION CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 34 - UNOFFICIAL RESULTS |url=https://results.texas-election.com/contestdetails?officeID=2028&officeName=U.%20S.%20REPRESENTATIVE%20DISTRICT%2034%20-%20UNEXPIRED%20TERM&officeType=FEDERAL%20OFFICES&from=race |access-date=June 16, 2022 |publisher=[[Secretary of State of Texas]]}}</ref>
| turnout = 7.36%<ref name="txsos">{{Cite web |date=June 14, 2022 |title=SPECIAL ELECTION CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 34 - UNOFFICIAL RESULTS |url=https://results.texas-election.com/contestdetails?officeID=2028&officeName=U.%20S.%20REPRESENTATIVE%20DISTRICT%2034%20-%20UNEXPIRED%20TERM&officeType=FEDERAL%20OFFICES&from=race |access-date=June 16, 2022 |publisher=[[Secretary of State of Texas]]}}</ref>
| election_date = June 14, 2022
| election_date = June 14, 2022
| image1 = Rep. Mayra Flores House portrait.jpg
| image1 = Rep. Mayra Flores House portrait.jpg
| candidate1 = '''[[Mayra Flores]]'''
| candidate1 = '''[[Mayra Flores]]'''
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = '''14,780'''
| popular_vote1 = '''14,799'''
| percentage1 = '''51.0%'''
| percentage1 = '''50.9%'''
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| candidate2 = Dan Sanchez
| candidate2 = Dan Sanchez
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 12,560
| popular_vote2 = 12,606
| percentage2 = 43.3%
| percentage2 = 43.4%
| map_image = 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
| map_image = 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
| map_size = x300px
| map_size = x300px
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|candidate = [[Mayra Flores]]
|candidate = [[Mayra Flores]]
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|votes = 14,780
|votes = 14,799
|percentage = 50.98
|percentage = 50.91
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|candidate = Dan Sanchez
|candidate = Dan Sanchez
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|votes = 12,560
|votes = 12,606
|percentage = 43.33
|percentage = 43.37
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|candidate = Rene Coronado
|candidate = Rene Coronado
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|votes = 1,199
|votes = 1,210
|percentage = 4.14
|percentage = 4.16
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|candidate = Juana Cantu-Cabrera
|candidate = Juana Cantu-Cabrera
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|votes = 451
|votes = 454
|percentage = 1.56
|percentage = 1.56
}}
}}
{{Election box total no change
{{Election box total no change
|votes= 28,990
|votes= 29,069
|percentage= 100.00
|percentage= 100.00
}}
}}
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|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Bee County, Texas|Bee]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Bee County, Texas|Bee]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''991'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''992'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''74.6'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''74.6'''
| 282
| 282
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| 23
| 23
| 1.7
| 1.7
| 709
| 710
| 53.4
| 53.4
| 1,329
| 1,330
| 8.46%
| 8.47%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Cameron County, Texas|Cameron]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Cameron County, Texas|Cameron]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''9,065'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''9,072'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''47.5'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''47.5'''
| 8,851
| 8,875
| 46.4
| 46.5
| 884
| 891
| 4.6
| 4.7
| 266
| 267
| 1.4
| 1.4
| 214
| 197
| 1.1
| 1.0
| 19,066
| 19,105
| 8.46%
| 8.48%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[DeWitt County, Texas|DeWitt]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[DeWitt County, Texas|DeWitt]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''710'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''713'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''82.1'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''82.0'''
| 98
| 98
| 11.3
| 11.3
| 9
| 10
| 1.0
| 1.1
| 48
| 49
| 5.5
| 5.6
| 612
| 615
| 70.8
| 70.7
| 865
| 870
| 7.14%
| 7.18%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Goliad County, Texas|Goliad]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Goliad County, Texas|Goliad]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''394'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''395'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''79.6'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''79.6'''
| 76
| 76
| 15.4
| 15.3
| 14
| 14
| 2.8
| 2.8
| 11
| 11
| 2.2
| 2.2
| 318
| 319
| 64.2
| 64.3
| 495
| 496
| 8.62%
| 8.63%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Gonzales County, Texas|Gonzales]] {{small|(part)}}
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Gonzales County, Texas|Gonzales]] {{small|(part)}}
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|-
|-
! {{party shading/Democratic}} |[[Hidalgo County, Texas|Hidalgo]] {{small|(part)}}
! {{party shading/Democratic}} |[[Hidalgo County, Texas|Hidalgo]] {{small|(part)}}
| 1,199
| 1,203
| 42.8
| 42.8
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''1,460'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''1,464'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''52.1'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''52.1'''
| 111
| 111
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| 261
| 261
| 9.3
| 9.3
| 2,804
| 2,812
| 4.79%
| 4.80%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Jim Wells County, Texas|Jim Wells]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Jim Wells County, Texas|Jim Wells]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''651'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''651'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.5'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.3'''
| 565
| 571
| 44.7
| 45.0
| 34
| 34
| 2.7
| 2.7
| 14
| 14
| 1.1
| 1.1
| 86
| 80
| 6.8
| 6.3
| 1,264
| 1,270
| 4.77%
| 4.80%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Democratic}} | [[Kenedy County, Texas|Kenedy]]
! {{party shading/Democratic}} | [[Kenedy County, Texas|Kenedy]]
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|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Kleberg County, Texas|Kleberg]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Kleberg County, Texas|Kleberg]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''863'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''864'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''57.1'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''57.0'''
| 563
| 567
| 37.3
| 37.4
| 65
| 65
| 4.3
| 4.3
| 20
| 20
| 1.3
| 1.3
| 300
| 297
| 19.8
| 19.6
| 1,511
| 1,516
| 8.19%
| 8.21%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[San Patricio County, Texas|San Patricio]] {{small|(part)}}
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[San Patricio County, Texas|San Patricio]] {{small|(part)}}
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''383'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''385'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''53.3'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''52.5'''
| 289
| 297
| 40.2
| 40.5
| 28
| 31
| 3.9
| 4.2
| 19
| 20
| 2.6
| 2.7
| 94
| 88
| 13.1
| 12.0
| 719
| 733
| 4.53%
| 4.62%
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Willacy County, Texas|Willacy]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Willacy County, Texas|Willacy]]
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|-
|-
! Totals
! Totals
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''14,780'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''14,799'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.0'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''50.9'''
| 12,560
| 12,606
| 43.3
| 43.4
| 1,199
| 1,210
| 4.1
| 4.2
| 451
| 454
| 1.6
| 1.6
| 2,220
| 2,193
| 7.7
| 7.5
| 28,990
| 29,069
| 7.34%
| 7.36%
|}
|}
{{collapse bottom}}
{{collapse bottom}}

Revision as of 07:19, 30 June 2022

2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election

← 2020 June 14, 2022 November 2022 →

Texas's 34th congressional district
Turnout7.36%[1]
 
Candidate Mayra Flores Dan Sanchez
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 14,799 12,606
Percentage 50.9% 43.4%

Results by county
Flores:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%
Sanchez:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Filemon Vela Jr.
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mayra Flores
Republican

The 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election was held on June 14, 2022.[2] The seat became vacant after incumbent Democratic representative Filemon Vela Jr. resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.[3] Republican candidate Mayra Flores won outright with 51% of the vote. Flores will become the first Republican to represent parts of the Rio Grande Valley since Blake Farenthold flipped the 27th district in 2010.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

  • Dan Sanchez, attorney and former Cameron County commissioner[4]
  • Rene Coronado, civil service director[5]

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Endorsements

Mayra Flores (R)
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Organizations
Others
Dan Sanchez (D)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Special election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Tossup April 8, 2022
Inside Elections[13] Tossup June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Lean R (flip) March 30, 2022
RCP[15] Tossup June 9, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Juana
Cantu-Cabrera
(R)
Rene
Coronado
(D)
Mayra
Flores
(R)
Dan
Sanchez
(D)
Undecided
RRH Elections (R) June 8–11, 2022 484 (LV) ± 5.0% 3% 7% 43% 34% 13%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[A] April 19–21, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 9% 24% 19% 41%

Results

2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mayra Flores 14,799 50.91
Democratic Dan Sanchez 12,606 43.37
Democratic Rene Coronado 1,210 4.16
Republican Juana Cantu-Cabrera 454 1.56
Total votes 29,069 100.00
Registered electors 395,025
Republican gain from Democratic
By county
County Mayra Flores
Republican
Dan Sanchez
Democratic
Rene Coronado
Democratic
Juana Cantu-Cabrera
Republican
Margin Total votes Turnout
# % # % # % # % # %
Bee 992 74.6 282 21.2 33 2.5 23 1.7 710 53.4 1,330 8.47%
Cameron 9,072 47.5 8,875 46.5 891 4.7 267 1.4 197 1.0 19,105 8.48%
DeWitt 713 82.0 98 11.3 10 1.1 49 5.6 615 70.7 870 7.18%
Goliad 395 79.6 76 15.3 14 2.8 11 2.2 319 64.3 496 8.63%
Gonzales (part) 158 82.3 20 10.4 5 2.6 9 4.7 138 71.9 192 4.26%
Hidalgo (part) 1,203 42.8 1,464 52.1 111 3.9 34 1.2 261 9.3 2,812 4.80%
Jim Wells 651 51.3 571 45.0 34 2.7 14 1.1 80 6.3 1,270 4.80%
Kenedy 13 43.3 15 50.0 0 0.0 2 6.7 2 6.7 30 9.71%
Kleberg 864 57.0 567 37.4 65 4.3 20 1.3 297 19.6 1,516 8.21%
San Patricio (part) 385 52.5 297 40.5 31 4.2 20 2.7 88 12.0 733 4.62%
Willacy 353 49.4 341 47.7 16 2.2 5 0.7 12 1.7 715 6.05%
Totals 14,799 50.9 12,606 43.4 1,210 4.2 454 1.6 2,193 7.5 29,069 7.36%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Flores's campaign committee

References

  1. ^ a b "SPECIAL ELECTION CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 34 - UNOFFICIAL RESULTS". Secretary of State of Texas. June 14, 2022. Retrieved June 16, 2022.
  2. ^ Svitek, Patrick (April 4, 2022). "Abbott calls June 14 special election for South Texas congressional seat that Republicans want to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 5, 2022. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  3. ^ Livingston, Abby (March 31, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela steps down, setting up a heated battle for his South Texas district". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
  4. ^ "Former South Texas judge announces run in special election for open congressional seat". KXAN-TV. April 6, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Svitek, Patrick (April 13, 2022). "Two Democrats, two Republicans will compete in special election for South Texas congressional seat that GOP wants to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 14, 2022. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
  6. ^ "NEW: Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, the Dem nominee in the 34th, tells me he will *not* run in this special election, even though he'll continue to run for Vela's open seat in the November election. (Gonzalez is running in the 34th after his current district, the 15th, was redistricted.)".
  7. ^ a b "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". March 24, 2022.
  8. ^ Svitek, Patrick (March 24, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". Texas Tribune. Retrieved March 24, 2022.
  9. ^ "Qualified Candidates Information". Texas Secretary of State.
  10. ^ Schultz, Marisa (March 8, 2022). "Elise Stefanik unveils new endorsements for 2022 midterm elections". Fox News. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  11. ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Announces New 2022 Endorsements". www.bolcpac.com. May 31, 2022. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  12. ^ Wasserman, Dave (April 8, 2022). "TX-34 Special Election Gives GOP an Early South Texas Gift". Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  13. ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 17, 2022.
  14. ^ Kondik, Kyle (March 30, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: March 30, 2022". Retrieved March 30, 2022.
  15. ^ "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
Official campaign websites