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ELs->refs and improper WP:PSEUDOHEADs, replaced: |[https://www.dropbox.com/s/5u8kf9ryfiwrb7i/RRH%20Elections%20TX-34%20Poll%20Release.pdf RRH Elections (R)] → |RRH Elections (R)<ref>[https://www.dropbox.com/s/5u8kf9ryf
 
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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] -->
{{short description|Election following resignation of Filemon Vela Jr.}}
{{use mdy dates|date=March 2022}}
{{use mdy dates|date=March 2022}}
{{broader|Texas's 34th congressional district}}
{{improve lead|date=June 2022}}
{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election
| election_name = 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election
| country = Texas
| country = Texas
| type = by-election
| type = by-election
<!-- DO NOT USE, HAVING THIS WILL CAUSE THE INFOBOX TO LIST Vela AS THE INCUMBENT | ongoing = yes-->
<!-- DO NOT USE, HAVING THIS WILL CAUSE THE INFOBOX TO LIST Vela AS THE INCUMBENT | ongoing = yes-->| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34
⚫
| previous_year = 2020
⚫
| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34
⚫
| next_year = November 2022
⚫
| previous_year = 2020
⚫
| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34
⚫
| next_year = November 2022
| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34
| seats_for_election = {{ushr|TX|34}}
| seats_for_election = {{ushr|TX|34}}
| turnout = 7.34%<ref name="txsos">{{Cite web |date=June 14, 2022 |title=SPECIAL ELECTION CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 34 - UNOFFICIAL RESULTS |url=https://results.texas-election.com/contestdetails?officeID=2028&officeName=U.%20S.%20REPRESENTATIVE%20DISTRICT%2034%20-%20UNEXPIRED%20TERM&officeType=FEDERAL%20OFFICES&from=race |access-date=June 16, 2022 |publisher=[[Secretary of State of Texas]]}}</ref>
| turnout = 7.36%<ref name="txsos">{{Cite web |date=June 14, 2022 |title=SPECIAL ELECTION CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 34 - UNOFFICIAL RESULTS |url=https://results.texas-election.com/contestdetails?officeID=2028&officeName=U.%20S.%20REPRESENTATIVE%20DISTRICT%2034%20-%20UNEXPIRED%20TERM&officeType=FEDERAL%20OFFICES&from=race |access-date=June 16, 2022 |publisher=[[Secretary of State of Texas]]}}</ref>
| election_date = June 14, 2022
| election_date = June 14, 2022
| image1 = Rep. Mayra Flores House portrait.jpg
| image1 = Mayra Flores (cropped).jpg
| candidate1 = '''[[Mayra Flores]]'''
| candidate1 = '''[[Mayra Flores]]'''
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = '''14,780'''
| popular_vote1 = '''14,799'''
| percentage1 = '''51.0%'''
| percentage1 = '''50.9%'''
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| candidate2 = Dan Sanchez
| candidate2 = Dan Sanchez
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 12,560
| popular_vote2 = 12,606
| percentage2 = 43.3%
| percentage2 = 43.4%
| map_image = 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
| map_image = 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
| map_size = x300px
| map_size = x300px
| map_caption = Results by county<br>'''Flores:''' {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}}<br>'''Sanchez:''' {{legend0|#7996E2|50–60%}}
| map_caption = Results by county<br />'''Flores:''' {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}}<br />'''Sanchez:''' {{legend0|#7996E2|50–60%}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = [[Filemon Vela Jr.]]
| before_election = [[Filemon Vela Jr.]]
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = [[Mayra Flores]]
| after_election = [[Mayra Flores]]
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}
}}
{{Elections in Texas sidebar}}
{{Elections in Texas sidebar}}


The '''2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election''' was held on June 14, 2022.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Svitek |first=Patrick |date=April 4, 2022 |title=Abbott calls June 14 special election for South Texas congressional seat that Republicans want to flip |work=[[The Texas Tribune]] |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/04/texas-greg-abbott-special-election-34/ |url-status=live |access-date=April 9, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220405144115/https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/04/texas-greg-abbott-special-election-34/ |archive-date=April 5, 2022}}</ref> The seat became vacant after incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] representative [[Filemon Vela Jr.]] resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm [[Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld]].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Livingston |first1=Abby |title=U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela steps down, setting up a heated battle for his South Texas district |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/03/31/filemon-vela-resignation/ |publisher=[[The Texas Tribune]] |date=March 31, 2022 |access-date=April 1, 2022}}</ref> Republican candidate [[Mayra Flores]] won outright with 51% of the vote. Flores will become the first Republican to represent parts of the [[Rio Grande Valley]] since [[Blake Farenthold]] flipped the {{ushr|TX|27|C}} in [[2010_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas#District_27|2010]].
The '''2022 [[Texas's 34th congressional district]] special election''' was held on June 14, 2022.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Svitek |first=Patrick |date=April 4, 2022 |title=Abbott calls June 14 special election for South Texas congressional seat that Republicans want to flip |work=[[The Texas Tribune]] |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/04/texas-greg-abbott-special-election-34/ |url-status=live |access-date=April 9, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220405144115/https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/04/texas-greg-abbott-special-election-34/ |archive-date=April 5, 2022}}</ref> The seat, which went to [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] president [[Joe Biden]] by only four points in the [[2020 United States presidential election]] after being solidly blue in the past, became vacant after Democratic incumbent representative [[Filemon Vela Jr.]] resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm [[Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld]].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Livingston |first1=Abby |title=U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela steps down, setting up a heated battle for his South Texas district. |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/03/31/filemon-vela-resignation/ |publisher=[[The Texas Tribune]] |date=March 31, 2022 |access-date=April 1, 2022}}</ref>

Republican candidate [[Mayra Flores]] won outright with 51% of the vote. Although Democrat Dan Sanchez was able to hold on to the [[Hidalgo County, Texas|Hidalgo County]] portion of the district by nine points, as well as flip [[Kenedy County, Texas|Kenedy County]] after it went to [[Donald Trump]] in [[2020 United States presidential election in Texas|2020]], this was not enough to overcome Flores's gains in [[Cameron County, Texas|Cameron]] and [[Willacy County, Texas|Willacy Counties]], resulting in them narrowly flipping red in this race after going to Biden by double digits in the 2020 contest. Flores was also able to shore up support in the district's northern rural counties, which typically voted Republican in the past. Flores became the first Republican to represent parts of the [[Rio Grande Valley]] since [[Blake Farenthold]] flipped the {{ushr|TX|27|C}} in [[2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 27|2010]].


==Candidates==
==Candidates==
===Democratic Party===
===Democratic Party===
====Declared====
====Declared====
⚫
*Dan Sanchez, attorney and former [[Cameron County, Texas|Cameron County]] commissioner<ref>{{cite web| url=https://www.kxan.com/border-report/former-south-texas-judge-announces-run-in-special-election-for-open-congressional-seat/|title=Former South Texas judge announces run in special election for open congressional seat|website=[[KXAN-TV]]|date=April 6, 2022}} </ref>
*Rene Coronado, civil service director<ref name=":0">{{Cite news |last=Svitek |first=Patrick |date=April 13, 2022 |title=Two Democrats, two Republicans will compete in special election for South Texas congressional seat that GOP wants to flip |work=[[The Texas Tribune]] |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/13/south-texas-34-congressional-district-special-election/ |url-status=live |access-date=April 15, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220414010743/https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/13/south-texas-34-congressional-district-special-election/ |archive-date=April 14, 2022}}</ref>
*Rene Coronado, civil service director<ref name=":0">{{Cite news |last=Svitek |first=Patrick |date=April 13, 2022 |title=Two Democrats, two Republicans will compete in special election for South Texas congressional seat that GOP wants to flip |work=[[The Texas Tribune]] |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/13/south-texas-34-congressional-district-special-election/ |url-status=live |access-date=April 15, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220414010743/https://www.texastribune.org/2022/04/13/south-texas-34-congressional-district-special-election/ |archive-date=April 14, 2022}}</ref>
⚫
*Dan Sanchez, attorney and former [[Cameron County, Texas|Cameron County]] commissioner<ref>{{cite web| url=https://www.kxan.com/border-report/former-south-texas-judge-announces-run-in-special-election-for-open-congressional-seat/|title=Former South Texas judge announces run in special election for open congressional seat|website=[[KXAN-TV]]|date=April 6, 2022}}</ref>


====Declined====
====Declined====
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===Republican Party===
===Republican Party===
====Declared====
====Declared====
⚫
*Juana Cantu-Cabrera, former [[Palmhurst, Texas|Palmhurst]] city Mayor Pro-Tem, former [[University of Texas–Pan American|UTPA]] nursing professor, nurse practitioner, forensic nurse examiner, and candidate for this district in the [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34|2022 regular election]]<ref name=":0" /><ref>{{Cite web |title=Qualified Candidates Information |url=https://candidate.texas-election.com/Elections/getQualifiedCandidatesInfo.do |website=[[Texas Secretary of State]]}}</ref>
*[[Mayra Flores]], respiratory care practitioner, [[Hidalgo County, Texas|Hidalgo County]] GOP Hispanic outreach chair, and nominee for this district in the [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34|2022 regular election]]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Svitek |first1=Patrick |title=U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/03/24/south-texas-congressional-special-election/ |publisher=[[Texas Tribune]] |date=March 24, 2022 |access-date=March 24, 2022}}</ref><ref name = "mobilize"/>
*[[Mayra Flores]], respiratory care practitioner, [[Hidalgo County, Texas|Hidalgo County]] GOP Hispanic outreach chair, and nominee for this district in the [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34|2022 regular election]]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Svitek |first1=Patrick |title=U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas |url=https://www.texastribune.org/2022/03/24/south-texas-congressional-special-election/ |publisher=[[Texas Tribune]] |date=March 24, 2022 |access-date=March 24, 2022}}</ref><ref name = "mobilize"/>
⚫
*Juana Cantu-Cabrera, former [[Palmhurst, Texas|Palmhurst]] city Mayor Pro-Tem, former [[University of Texas–Pan American|UTPA]] nursing professor, Nurse Practitioner, Forensic Nurse examiner and candidate for this district in the [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas#District 34|2022 regular election]]<ref name=":0" /><ref>{{Cite web |title=Qualified Candidates Information |url=https://candidate.texas-election.com/Elections/getQualifiedCandidatesInfo.do |website=[[Texas Secretary of State]]}}</ref>


==Endorsements==
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
{{Endorsements box
|title=Mayra Flores (R)
|title=Mayra Flores (R)
|width=90em
|list=
|list=
;U.S. Representatives
'''U.S. Representatives'''
*[[Elise Stefanik]], U.S. Representative from {{ushr|NY|21}} (2015–present) and Chair of the [[House Republican Conference]] (2021–present)<ref>{{cite news |title=Elise Stefanik unveils new endorsements for 2022 midterm elections |date=March 8, 2022 |access-date=May 31, 2022 |first=Marisa |last=Schultz |work=[[Fox News]] |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/elise-stefanik-unveils-endorsements-2022-midterm-elections}}</ref>
*[[Elise Stefanik]], U.S. Representative from {{ushr|NY|21}} (2015–present) and Chair of the [[House Republican Conference]] (2021–present)<ref>{{cite news |title=Elise Stefanik unveils new endorsements for 2022 midterm elections |date=March 8, 2022 |access-date=May 31, 2022 |first=Marisa |last=Schultz |work=[[Fox News]] |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/elise-stefanik-unveils-endorsements-2022-midterm-elections}}</ref>
;State officials
'''State officials'''
*[[Greg Abbott]], [[Governor of Texas]] (2015–present)<ref name=":0" />
*[[Greg Abbott]], [[Governor of Texas]] (2015–present)<ref name=":0" />
*[[Matt Rinaldi]], chair of the [[Republican Party of Texas]] (2021–present) and former [[Texas House of Representatives|state representative]] (2015–2019)<ref name=":0" />
*[[Matt Rinaldi]], chair of the [[Republican Party of Texas]] (2021–present) and former [[Texas House of Representatives|state representative]] (2015–2019)<ref name=":0" />
;Organizations
'''Organizations'''
*[[Congressional Leadership Fund]]<ref name=":0" />
*[[Congressional Leadership Fund]]<ref name=":0" />
;Others
'''Others'''
*[[Elon Musk]], CEO of [[SpaceX]] and [[Tesla, Inc.]]<ref name=":0" />
*[[Elon Musk]], CEO of [[SpaceX]] and [[Tesla, Inc.]]<ref name=":0" />
*[[Peter Thiel]], Venture capitalist<ref name=":0" />
*[[Peter Thiel]], Venture capitalist<ref name=":0" />
Line 68: Line 70:
{{Endorsements box
{{Endorsements box
|title=Dan Sanchez (D)
|title=Dan Sanchez (D)
|width=90em
|list=
|list=
;U.S. Representatives
'''U.S. Representatives'''
*[[Vicente Gonzalez (politician)|Vicente Gonzalez]], U.S. Representative from {{ushr|TX|15}} (2017–present)<ref name=":0" />
*[[Vicente Gonzalez (politician)|Vicente Gonzalez]], U.S. Representative from {{ushr|TX|15}} (2017–present)<ref name=":0" />
*[[Filemon Vela Jr.]], former U.S. Representative from {{ushr|TX|34}} (2013–2022)<ref name=":0" />
*[[Filemon Vela Jr.]], former U.S. Representative from {{ushr|TX|34}} (2013–2022)<ref name=":0" />
;Organizations
'''Organizations'''
*[[Congressional Hispanic Caucus#CHC BOLD PAC|Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC]]<ref>{{cite web |title=CHC BOLD PAC Announces New 2022 Endorsements |url=https://www.boldpac.com/chc-bold-pac-announces-new-2022-endorsements |website=www.bolcpac.com |access-date=4 June 2022 |date=31 May 2022}}</ref>
*[[Congressional Hispanic Caucus#CHC BOLD PAC|Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC]]<ref>{{cite web |title=CHC BOLD PAC Announces New 2022 Endorsements |url=https://www.boldpac.com/chc-bold-pac-announces-new-2022-endorsements |website=www.bolcpac.com |access-date=4 June 2022 |date=31 May 2022}}</ref>
}}
}}
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}
|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}
| March 30, 2022
| March 30, 2022
⚫
|-
| align="left" |[[RealClearPolitics|RCP]]<ref name="RCP">{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/house/elections-map.html|title=Battle for the House 2022|date=June 9, 2022 |publisher=[[RealClearPolitics|RCP]]}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}
|June 9, 2022
|}
|}


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|- valign=bottom
|- valign=bottom
! Poll source
! Poll source
! Date(s)<br>administered
! Date(s)<br />administered
! Sample<br>size{{efn|Key:<br>A – all adults<br>RV – registered voters<br>LV – likely voters<br>V – unclear|name="Key"}}
! Sample<br />size{{efn|Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear|name="Key"}}
! Margin<br>of error
! Margin<br />of error
! style="width:60px;"| Juana<br>{{nowrap|Cantu-Cabrera}}<br>(R)
! style="width:60px;"| Juana<br />{{nowrap|Cantu-Cabrera}}<br />(R)
! style="width:60px;"| Rene<br>Coronado<br>(D)
! style="width:60px;"| Rene<br />Coronado<br />(D)
! style="width:60px;"| Mayra<br>Flores<br>(R)
! style="width:60px;"| Mayra<br />Flores<br />(R)
! style="width:60px;"| Dan<br>Sanchez<br>(D)
! style="width:60px;"| Dan<br />Sanchez<br />(D)
! Undecided
! Undecided
|-
|-
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.dropbox.com/s/5u8kf9ryfiwrb7i/RRH%20Elections%20TX-34%20Poll%20Release.pdf RRH Elections (R)]
|style="text-align:left;"|[[RRH Elections]] (R)<ref>[https://www.dropbox.com/s/5u8kf9ryfiwrb7i/RRH%20Elections%20TX-34%20Poll%20Release.pdf RRH Elections (R)]</ref>
|June 8–11, 2022
|June 8–11, 2022
|484 (LV)
|484 (LV)
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|13%
|13%
|-
|-
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/TX-CD-34_Memo.pdf Ragnar Research Partners (R)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored jointly by the [[National Republican Congressional Committee]] and Flores's campaign committee|name=NRCCFlores}}
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Ragnar Research Partners]] (R)<ref>[https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/TX-CD-34_Memo.pdf Ragnar Research Partners (R)]</ref>{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored jointly by the [[National Republican Congressional Committee]] and Flores's campaign committee|name=NRCCFlores}}
|April 19–21, 2022
|April 19–21, 2022
|400 (LV)
|400 (LV)
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|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''19%'''
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''19%'''
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''41%'''
|{{party shading/Undecided}}|'''41%'''
|}

=== Fundraising ===
{| class="wikitable"
⚫
|-
! colspan="4"| Campaign finance reports
|- style="text-align:center;"
! Candidate
! Amount raised
! Amount spent
! Cash on hand
⚫
|-
| {{party shading/Republican}}| Mayra Flores (R)
| $1,722,406
| $1,608,423
| $113,983
|-
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Daniel Sanchez (D)
| $173,668
| $173,668
| $0
|-
! colspan="4"| <small>Source: [[OpenSecrets]]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Texas District 34 2022 Special Election |url=https://www.opensecrets.org/races/special-elections-summary?cycle=2022&id=TX34 |access-date=October 7, 2022 |website=[[OpenSecrets]] |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221007122439/https://www.opensecrets.org/races/special-elections-summary?cycle=2022&id=TX34 |archive-date=October 7, 2022 |language=en}}</ref></small>
|}
|}


===Results===
===Results===
{{Election box begin no change|title=2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results<ref name="txsos"/><br>}}
{{Election box begin no change|title=2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results<ref name="txsos"/>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|candidate = [[Mayra Flores]]
|candidate = [[Mayra Flores]]
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|votes = 14,780
|votes = 14,799
|percentage = 50.98
|percentage = 50.91
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|candidate = Dan Sanchez
|candidate = Dan Sanchez
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|votes = 12,560
|votes = 12,606
|percentage = 43.33
|percentage = 43.37
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|candidate = Rene Coronado
|candidate = Rene Coronado
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|votes = 1,199
|votes = 1,210
|percentage = 4.14
|percentage = 4.16
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|candidate = Juana Cantu-Cabrera
|candidate = Juana Cantu-Cabrera
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|votes = 451
|votes = 454
|percentage = 1.56
|percentage = 1.56
}}
}}
{{Election box total no change
{{Election box total no change
|votes= 28,990
|votes= 29,069
|percentage= 100.00
|percentage= 100.00
}}
}}
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{{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">By county</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}
{{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">By county</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right"
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;font-size:90%;line-height:1.3"
! rowspan="2" |County
! rowspan="2" |County
! colspan="2" |[[Mayra Flores]]<br>[[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]
! colspan="2" |[[Mayra Flores]]<br />[[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]
! colspan="2" |Dan Sanchez<br>[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]
! colspan="2" |Dan Sanchez<br />[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]
! colspan="2" |Rene Coronado<br>[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]
! colspan="2" |Rene Coronado<br />[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]
! colspan="2" |Juana Cantu-Cabrera<br>[[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]
! colspan="2" |Juana Cantu-Cabrera<br />[[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]
! colspan="2" |Margin
! colspan="2" |Margin
! rowspan="2" |Total votes
! rowspan="2" |Total<br />votes
! rowspan="2" |Turnout
! rowspan="2" |Turnout
|-
|-
Line 196: Line 218:
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Bee County, Texas|Bee]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Bee County, Texas|Bee]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''991'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''992'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''74.6'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''74.6'''
| 282
| 282
Line 204: Line 226:
| 23
| 23
| 1.7
| 1.7
| 709
| 710
| 53.4
| 53.4
| 1,329
| 1,330
| 8.46%
| 8.47
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Cameron County, Texas|Cameron]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[Cameron County, Texas|Cameron]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''9,065'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''9,072'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''47.5'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''47.5'''
| 8,851
| 8,875
| 46.4
| 46.5
| 884
| 891
| 4.6
| 4.7
| 266
| 267
| 1.4
| 1.4
| 214
| 197
| 1.1
| 1.0
| 19,066
| 19,105
| 8.46%
| 8.48
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[DeWitt County, Texas|DeWitt]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} | [[DeWitt County, Texas|DeWitt]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''710'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''713'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''82.1'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''82.0'''
| 98
| 98
| 11.3
| 11.3
| 9
| 10
| 1.0
| 1.1
| 48
| 49
| 5.5
| 5.6
| 612
| 615
| 70.8
| 70.7
| 865
| 870
| 7.14%
| 7.18
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Goliad County, Texas|Goliad]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Goliad County, Texas|Goliad]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''394'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''395'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''79.6'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''79.6'''
| 76
| 76
| 15.4
| 15.3
| 14
| 14
| 2.8
| 2.8
| 11
| 11
| 2.2
| 2.2
| 318
| 319
| 64.2
| 64.3
| 495
| 496
| 8.62%
| 8.63
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Gonzales County, Texas|Gonzales]] {{small|(part)}}
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Gonzales County, Texas|Gonzales]] {{small|(part)}}
Line 263: Line 285:
| 71.9
| 71.9
| 192
| 192
| 4.26%
| 4.26
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Democratic}} |[[Hidalgo County, Texas|Hidalgo]] {{small|(part)}}
! {{party shading/Democratic}} |[[Hidalgo County, Texas|Hidalgo]] {{small|(part)}}
| 1,199
| 1,203
| 42.8
| 42.8
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''1,460'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''1,464'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''52.1'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''52.1'''
| 111
| 111
Line 276: Line 298:
| 261
| 261
| 9.3
| 9.3
| 2,804
| 2,812
| 4.79%
| 4.80
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Jim Wells County, Texas|Jim Wells]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Jim Wells County, Texas|Jim Wells]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''651'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''651'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.5'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.3'''
| 565
| 571
| 44.7
| 45.0
| 34
| 34
| 2.7
| 2.7
| 14
| 14
| 1.1
| 1.1
| 86
| 80
| 6.8
| 6.3
| 1,264
| 1,270
| 4.77%
| 4.80
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Democratic}} | [[Kenedy County, Texas|Kenedy]]
! {{party shading/Democratic}} | [[Kenedy County, Texas|Kenedy]]
Line 305: Line 327:
| 6.7
| 6.7
| 30
| 30
| 9.71%
| 9.71
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Kleberg County, Texas|Kleberg]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Kleberg County, Texas|Kleberg]]
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''863'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''864'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''57.1'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''57.0'''
| 563
| 567
| 37.3
| 37.4
| 65
| 65
| 4.3
| 4.3
| 20
| 20
| 1.3
| 1.3
| 300
| 297
| 19.8
| 19.6
| 1,511
| 1,516
| 8.19%
| 8.21
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[San Patricio County, Texas|San Patricio]] {{small|(part)}}
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[San Patricio County, Texas|San Patricio]] {{small|(part)}}
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''383'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''385'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''53.3'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''52.5'''
| 289
| 297
| 40.2
| 40.5
| 28
| 31
| 3.9
| 4.2
| 19
| 20
| 2.6
| 2.7
| 94
| 88
| 13.1
| 12.0
| 719
| 733
| 4.53%
| 4.62
|-
|-
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Willacy County, Texas|Willacy]]
! {{party shading/Republican}} |[[Willacy County, Texas|Willacy]]
Line 347: Line 369:
| 1.7
| 1.7
| 715
| 715
| 6.05%
| 6.05
|- class="sortbottom"
⚫
|-
! Totals
! Totals
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''14,780'''
| '''14,799'''
| {{party shading/Republican}} |'''51.0'''
| '''50.9'''
| 12,560
| 12,606
| 43.3
| 43.4
| 1,199
| 1,210
| 4.1
| 4.2
| 451
| 454
| 1.6
| 1.6
| 2,220
| 2,193
| 7.7
| 7.5
| 28,990
| 29,069
| 7.34%
| 7.36
|}
|}
{{collapse bottom}}
{{collapse bottom}}
Line 373: Line 395:
==Notes==
==Notes==
{{notelist}}
{{notelist}}
;Partisan clients
'''Partisan clients'''<br />
{{notelist-ua}}
{{notelist-ua}}


Line 380: Line 402:


==External links==
==External links==
;Official campaign websites
'''Official campaign websites'''
*[https://www.juanacantu-cabreraforcongress.com/ Juana Cantu-Cabrera (R) for Congress]
*[https://www.juanacantu-cabreraforcongress.com/ Juana Cantu-Cabrera (R) for Congress]
*[https://www.mayrafloresforcongress.com/ Mayra Flores (R) for Congress]
*[https://www.mayrafloresforcongress.com/ Mayra Flores (R) for Congress]

Latest revision as of 17:41, 29 August 2024

For broader coverage of this topic, see Texas's 34th congressional district.
2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election
← 2020 June 14, 2022 November 2022 →
Texas's 34th congressional district
Turnout7.36%[1]
 
Candidate Mayra Flores Dan Sanchez
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 14,799 12,606
Percentage 50.9% 43.4%
Results by county
Flores:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%
Sanchez:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Filemon Vela Jr.
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mayra Flores
Republican

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The 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election was held on June 14, 2022.[2] The seat, which went to Democratic president Joe Biden by only four points in the 2020 United States presidential election after being solidly blue in the past, became vacant after Democratic incumbent representative Filemon Vela Jr. resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.[3]

Republican candidate Mayra Flores won outright with 51% of the vote. Although Democrat Dan Sanchez was able to hold on to the Hidalgo County portion of the district by nine points, as well as flip Kenedy County after it went to Donald Trump in 2020, this was not enough to overcome Flores's gains in Cameron and Willacy Counties, resulting in them narrowly flipping red in this race after going to Biden by double digits in the 2020 contest. Flores was also able to shore up support in the district's northern rural counties, which typically voted Republican in the past. Flores became the first Republican to represent parts of the Rio Grande Valley since Blake Farenthold flipped the 27th district in 2010.

Candidates

[edit]

Democratic Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Rene Coronado, civil service director[4]
  • Dan Sanchez, attorney and former Cameron County commissioner[5]

Declined

[edit]

Republican Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mayra Flores (R)

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Organizations

Others

Dan Sanchez (D)

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Special election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Tossup April 8, 2022
Inside Elections[13] Tossup June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Lean R (flip) March 30, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Juana
Cantu-Cabrera
(R) 		Rene
Coronado
(D) 		Mayra
Flores
(R) 		Dan
Sanchez
(D) 		Undecided
RRH Elections (R)[15] June 8–11, 2022 484 (LV) ± 5.0% 3% 7% 43% 34% 13%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[16][A] April 19–21, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 9% 24% 19% 41%

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports
Candidate Amount raised Amount spent Cash on hand
Mayra Flores (R) $1,722,406 $1,608,423 $113,983
Daniel Sanchez (D) $173,668 $173,668 $0
Source: OpenSecrets[17]

Results

[edit]
2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mayra Flores 14,799 50.91
Democratic Dan Sanchez 12,606 43.37
Democratic Rene Coronado 1,210 4.16
Republican Juana Cantu-Cabrera 454 1.56
Total votes 29,069 100.00
Registered electors 395,025
Republican gain from Democratic
By county
County Mayra Flores
Republican 		Dan Sanchez
Democratic 		Rene Coronado
Democratic 		Juana Cantu-Cabrera
Republican 		Margin Total
votes 		Turnout
# % # % # % # % # %
Bee 992 74.6 282 21.2 33 2.5 23 1.7 710 53.4 1,330 8.47
Cameron 9,072 47.5 8,875 46.5 891 4.7 267 1.4 197 1.0 19,105 8.48
DeWitt 713 82.0 98 11.3 10 1.1 49 5.6 615 70.7 870 7.18
Goliad 395 79.6 76 15.3 14 2.8 11 2.2 319 64.3 496 8.63
Gonzales (part) 158 82.3 20 10.4 5 2.6 9 4.7 138 71.9 192 4.26
Hidalgo (part) 1,203 42.8 1,464 52.1 111 3.9 34 1.2 261 9.3 2,812 4.80
Jim Wells 651 51.3 571 45.0 34 2.7 14 1.1 80 6.3 1,270 4.80
Kenedy 13 43.3 15 50.0 0 0.0 2 6.7 2 6.7 30 9.71
Kleberg 864 57.0 567 37.4 65 4.3 20 1.3 297 19.6 1,516 8.21
San Patricio (part) 385 52.5 297 40.5 31 4.2 20 2.7 88 12.0 733 4.62
Willacy 353 49.4 341 47.7 16 2.2 5 0.7 12 1.7 715 6.05
Totals 14,799 50.9 12,606 43.4 1,210 4.2 454 1.6 2,193 7.5 29,069 7.36

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Flores's campaign committee

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b "SPECIAL ELECTION CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 34 - UNOFFICIAL RESULTS". Secretary of State of Texas. June 14, 2022. Retrieved June 16, 2022.
  2. ^ Svitek, Patrick (April 4, 2022). "Abbott calls June 14 special election for South Texas congressional seat that Republicans want to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 5, 2022. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  3. ^ Livingston, Abby (March 31, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela steps down, setting up a heated battle for his South Texas district". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Svitek, Patrick (April 13, 2022). "Two Democrats, two Republicans will compete in special election for South Texas congressional seat that GOP wants to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 14, 2022. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
  5. ^ "Former South Texas judge announces run in special election for open congressional seat". KXAN-TV. April 6, 2022.
  6. ^ "NEW: Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, the Dem nominee in the 34th, tells me he will *not* run in this special election, even though he'll continue to run for Vela's open seat in the November election. (Gonzalez is running in the 34th after his current district, the 15th, was redistricted.)".
  7. ^ a b "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". March 24, 2022.
  8. ^ "Qualified Candidates Information". Texas Secretary of State.
  9. ^ Svitek, Patrick (March 24, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". Texas Tribune. Retrieved March 24, 2022.
  10. ^ Schultz, Marisa (March 8, 2022). "Elise Stefanik unveils new endorsements for 2022 midterm elections". Fox News. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  11. ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Announces New 2022 Endorsements". www.bolcpac.com. May 31, 2022. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  12. ^ Wasserman, Dave (April 8, 2022). "TX-34 Special Election Gives GOP an Early South Texas Gift". Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  13. ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 17, 2022.
  14. ^ Kondik, Kyle (March 30, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: March 30, 2022". Retrieved March 30, 2022.
  15. ^ RRH Elections (R)
  16. ^ Ragnar Research Partners (R)
  17. ^ "Texas District 34 2022 Special Election". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on October 7, 2022. Retrieved October 7, 2022.
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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