2002 Iowa gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|none}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
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{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election |
| election_name = 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election |
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| next_year = 2006 |
| next_year = 2006 |
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| election_date = November 5, 2002 |
| election_date = November 5, 2002 |
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| image_size = x150px |
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| image1 = |
| image1 = File:Tom Vilsack, official USDA photo portrait.jpg |
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| nominee1 = '''[[Tom Vilsack]]''' |
| nominee1 = '''[[Tom Vilsack]]''' |
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| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote1 = '''540,449''' |
| popular_vote1 = '''540,449''' |
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| percentage1 = '''52.7%''' |
| percentage1 = '''52.7%''' |
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| image2 = |
| image2 = File:Doug Gross (cropped).jpg |
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| nominee2 = Doug Gross |
| nominee2 = Doug Gross |
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| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote2 = 456,612 |
| popular_vote2 = 456,612 |
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| percentage2 = 44.5% |
| percentage2 = 44.5% |
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| map_image = Iowa |
| map_image = 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election results map by county.svg |
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| map_size = |
| map_size = 240px |
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| map_caption = County results<br/>'''Vilsack:''' {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}}<br/>'''Gross:''' {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70-80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} |
| map_caption = County results<br />'''Vilsack:''' {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}}<br />'''Gross:''' {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70-80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} |
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| title = Governor |
| title = Governor |
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| before_election = [[Tom Vilsack]] |
| before_election = [[Tom Vilsack]] |
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{{ElectionsIA}} |
{{ElectionsIA}} |
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The '''Iowa gubernatorial election |
The '''2002 Iowa gubernatorial election''' took place November 5, 2002. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] [[Governor of Iowa]] [[Tom Vilsack]] sought re-election to a second term as governor. He won his party's nomination uncontested, while Doug Gross, an advisor to former and future Governor [[Terry Branstad]], narrowly won the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] primary in a crowded and competitive election. In the general election, Vilsack was able to improve slightly on his margin of victory four years earlier to win what would be his second and final term as governor. |
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==Democratic primary== |
==Democratic primary== |
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===Results=== |
===Results=== |
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{{Election box begin no change |
{{Election box begin no change |
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| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Primary election results"> |
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Primary election results">{{cite web |title=Canvass Summary - Election: 2002 Primary Election (6/4/2002) |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2002/results/PRI_Governor.pdf |publisher=State of Iowa Secretary of State}}</ref> |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
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| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| votes = 79,277 |
| votes = 79,277 |
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| percentage = 98. |
| percentage = 98.55 |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| votes = 1,166 |
| votes = 1,166 |
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| percentage = 1. |
| percentage = 1.45 |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box total no change |
{{Election box total no change |
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===Candidates=== |
===Candidates=== |
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*Doug Gross, advisor to former Governor [[Terry Branstad]] |
*Doug Gross, advisor to former Governor [[Terry Branstad]] |
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*[[Steven Sukup|Steve Sukup]], [[Iowa House of Representatives|Iowa State Representative]] (1995 |
*[[Steven Sukup|Steve Sukup]], [[Iowa House of Representatives|Iowa State Representative]] (1995–2003) |
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*[[Bob Vander Plaats]], family values activist |
*[[Bob Vander Plaats]], family values activist |
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| party = Republican Party (United States) |
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
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| votes = 71,478 |
| votes = 71,478 |
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| percentage = 35. |
| percentage = 35.88 |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| party = Republican Party (United States) |
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
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| votes = 64,490 |
| votes = 64,490 |
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| percentage = 32. |
| percentage = 32.37 |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| party = Republican Party (United States) |
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
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| votes = 63,077 |
| votes = 63,077 |
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| percentage = 31. |
| percentage = 31.66 |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| party = Republican Party (United States) |
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
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| votes = 189 |
| votes = 189 |
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| percentage = 0. |
| percentage = 0.09 |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box total no change |
{{Election box total no change |
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==General election== |
==General election== |
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===Predictions=== |
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{| class="wikitable" |
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!Source |
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!Ranking |
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!As of |
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|- |
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|[[The Cook Political Report]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.cookpolitical.com:80/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20021208065752/http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225|archive-date=December 8, 2002|title=Governor Updated October 31, 2002 {{!}} The Cook Political Report|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|date=October 31, 2002|access-date=September 18, 2018|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
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|October 31, 2002 |
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|- |
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|[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org:80/crystalball/governor_all.htm|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20021212142349/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/governor_all.htm|archive-date=December 12, 2002|title=Governors Races|website=www.centerforpolitics.org|language=en-US|date=November 4, 2002|access-date=September 18, 2018|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
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| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} |
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|November 4, 2002 |
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|} |
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===Polling=== |
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{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%" |
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|- valign=bottom |
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! Poll source |
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! Date(s)<br />administered |
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! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key|Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear}} |
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! Margin<br />{{nowrap|of error}} |
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! style="width:100px;"| Tom<br />Vilsack (D) |
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! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Gross (R) |
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! Other /<br />Undecided |
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|- |
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| [https://www.surveyusa.com/2002Elec.html SurveyUSA] |
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| align=center| October 27–29, 2002 |
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| align=center| 614 (LV) |
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| align=center| ± 4.1% |
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| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%''' |
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| align=center| 42% |
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| align=center| 3% |
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|} |
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===Results=== |
===Results=== |
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{{Election box begin | title=Iowa gubernatorial election, 2002<ref> |
{{Election box begin | title=Iowa gubernatorial election, 2002<ref>{{cite web |title=Election: 2002 General Election (11/5/2002) |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2002/results/GovernorCanvass.pdf |website=State of Iowa Secretary of State}}</ref> |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box winning candidate with party link| |
{{Election box winning candidate with party link| |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box end}} |
{{Election box end}} |
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====Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic==== |
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* [[Adams County, Iowa|Adams]] (largest city: [[Corning, Iowa|Corning]]) |
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* [[Hardin County, Iowa|Hardin]] (largest city: [[Iowa Falls, Iowa|Iowa Falls]]) |
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* [[Winnebago County, Iowa|Winnebago]] (largest city: [[Forest City, Iowa|Forest City]]) |
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*[[Clarke County, Iowa|Clarke]] (largest city: [[Osceola, Iowa|Osceola]]) |
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*[[Louisa County, Iowa|Louisa]] (largest city: [[Wapello, Iowa|Wapello]]) |
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*[[Mitchell County, Iowa|Mitchell]] (largest city: [[Osage, Iowa|Osage]]) |
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*[[Union County, Iowa|Union]] (largest city: [[Creston, Iowa|Creston]]) |
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*[[Appanoose County, Iowa|Appanoose]] (Largest city: [[Centerville, Iowa|Centerville]]) |
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*[[Decatur County, Iowa|Decatur]] (Largest city: [[Lamoni, Iowa|Lamoni]]) |
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*[[Lucas County, Iowa|Lucas]] (Largest city: [[Chariton, Iowa|Chariton]]) |
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*[[Monona County, Iowa|Monona]] (Largest city: [[Onawa, Iowa|Onawa]]) |
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*[[Ringgold County, Iowa|Ringgold]] (Largest city: [[Mount Ayr, Iowa|Mount Ayr]]) |
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*[[Taylor County, Iowa|Taylor]] (Largest city: [[Bedford, Iowa|Bedford]]) |
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*[[Wayne County, Iowa|Wayne]] (Largest city: [[Corydon, Iowa|Corydon]]) |
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*[[Wright County, Iowa|Wright]] (Largest city: [[Eagle Grove, Iowa|Eagle Grove]]) |
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*[[Cherokee County, Iowa|Cherokee]] (Largest city: [[Cherokee, Iowa|Cherokee]]) |
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*[[Calhoun County, Iowa|Calhoun]] (Largest city: [[Rockwell City, Iowa|Rockwell City]]) |
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*[[Carroll County, Iowa|Carroll]] (Largest city: [[Carroll, Iowa|Carroll]]) |
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*[[Keokuk County, Iowa|Keokuk]] (Largest city: [[Sigourney, Iowa|Sigourney]]) |
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*[[Woodbury County, Iowa|Woodbury]] (Largest city: [[Sioux City, Iowa|Sioux City]]) |
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*[[Washington County, Iowa|Washington]] (Largest city: [[Washington, Iowa|Washington]]) |
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*[[Pocahontas County, Iowa|Pocahontas]] (Largest city: [[Pocahontas, Iowa|Pocahontas]]) |
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*[[Franklin County, Iowa|Franklin]] (Largest city: [[Hampton, Iowa|Hampton]]) |
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*[[Delaware County, Iowa|Delaware]] (Largest city: [[Manchester, Iowa|Manchester]]) |
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*[[Humboldt County, Iowa|Humboldt]] (largest city: [[Humboldt, Iowa|Humboldt]]) |
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*[[Adair County, Iowa|Adair]] (Largest city: [[Greenfield, Iowa|Greenfield]]) |
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* [[Scott County, Iowa|Scott]] (largest city: [[Davenport, Iowa|Davenport]]) |
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====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==== |
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*[[Jefferson County, Iowa|Jefferson]] (Largest city: [[Fairfield, Iowa|Fairfield]]) |
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*[[Dickinson County, Iowa|Dickinson]] (Largest city: [[Spirit Lake, Iowa|Spirit Lake]]) |
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*[[Sac County, Iowa|Sac]] (largest city: [[Sac City, Iowa|Sac City]]) |
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*[[Winneshiek County, Iowa|Winneshiek]] (largest city: [[Decorah, Iowa|Decorah]]) |
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==See also== |
==See also== |
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*[[United States gubernatorial elections |
*[[2002 United States gubernatorial elections]] |
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*[[Iowa|State of Iowa]] |
*[[Iowa|State of Iowa]] |
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*[[List of |
*[[List of governors of Iowa|Governors of Iowa]] |
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== Notes == |
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{{notelist}} |
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==References== |
==References== |
Revision as of 09:44, 15 June 2024
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County results Vilsack: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Gross: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70-80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election took place November 5, 2002. Incumbent Democratic Governor of Iowa Tom Vilsack sought re-election to a second term as governor. He won his party's nomination uncontested, while Doug Gross, an advisor to former and future Governor Terry Branstad, narrowly won the Republican primary in a crowded and competitive election. In the general election, Vilsack was able to improve slightly on his margin of victory four years earlier to win what would be his second and final term as governor.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Tom Vilsack, incumbent Governor of Iowa
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Vilsack (incumbent) | 79,277 | 98.55 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 1,166 | 1.45 | |
Total votes | 80,443 | 100 |
Republican primary
Candidates
- Doug Gross, advisor to former Governor Terry Branstad
- Steve Sukup, Iowa State Representative (1995–2003)
- Bob Vander Plaats, family values activist
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Doug Gross | 71,478 | 35.88 | |
Republican | Steve Sukup | 64,490 | 32.37 | |
Republican | Bob Vander Plaats | 63,077 | 31.66 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 189 | 0.09 | |
Total votes | 199,234 | 100 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[2] | Tossup | October 31, 2002 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] | Lean D | November 4, 2002 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tom Vilsack (D) |
Doug Gross (R) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 27–29, 2002 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 42% | 3% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Vilsack (incumbent) | 540,449 | 52.69% | +0.39% | |
Republican | Doug Gross | 456,612 | 44.51% | −2.00% | |
Green | Jay Robinson | 14,628 | 1.43% | ||
Libertarian | Clyde Cleveland | 13,098 | 1.28% | ||
Write-ins | 1,025 | 0.10% | |||
Majority | 83,837 | 8.17% | +2.37% | ||
Turnout | 1,025,802 | ||||
Democratic hold | Swing |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Adams (largest city: Corning)
- Hardin (largest city: Iowa Falls)
- Winnebago (largest city: Forest City)
- Clarke (largest city: Osceola)
- Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
- Mitchell (largest city: Osage)
- Union (largest city: Creston)
- Appanoose (Largest city: Centerville)
- Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
- Lucas (Largest city: Chariton)
- Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
- Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
- Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
- Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
- Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)
- Cherokee (Largest city: Cherokee)
- Calhoun (Largest city: Rockwell City)
- Carroll (Largest city: Carroll)
- Keokuk (Largest city: Sigourney)
- Woodbury (Largest city: Sioux City)
- Washington (Largest city: Washington)
- Pocahontas (Largest city: Pocahontas)
- Franklin (Largest city: Hampton)
- Delaware (Largest city: Manchester)
- Humboldt (largest city: Humboldt)
- Adair (Largest city: Greenfield)
- Scott (largest city: Davenport)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Jefferson (Largest city: Fairfield)
- Dickinson (Largest city: Spirit Lake)
- Sac (largest city: Sac City)
- Winneshiek (largest city: Decorah)
See also
Notes
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- ^ a b "Canvass Summary - Election: 2002 Primary Election (6/4/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.
- ^ "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
- ^ "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
- ^ "Election: 2002 General Election (11/5/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.