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{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name = Iowa gubernatorial election, 2002
| election_name = 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election
| country = Iowa
| country = Iowa
| flag_image = Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
| type = presidential
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = Iowa gubernatorial election, 1998
| previous_election = 1998 Iowa gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 1998
| previous_year = 1998
| next_election = Iowa gubernatorial election, 2006
| next_election = 2006 Iowa gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2006
| next_year = 2006
| election_date = November 5, 2002
| election_date = November 5, 2002
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = [[Image:Tom Vilsack, official USDA photo portrait.jpg|x160px]]
| image1 = File:Tom Vilsack, official USDA photo portrait.jpg
| nominee1 = '''[[Tom Vilsack]]'''
| nominee1 = '''[[Tom Vilsack]]'''
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = '''540,449'''
| popular_vote1 = '''540,449'''
| percentage1 = '''52.69%'''
| percentage1 = '''52.7%'''
| image2 = [[File:Doug Gross.jpg|x160px]]
| image2 = File:Doug Gross (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = Doug Gross
| nominee2 = Doug Gross
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 456,612
| popular_vote2 = 456,612
| percentage2 = 44.51%
| percentage2 = 44.5%
| map_image = 2002 Iowa Governor Election Results.png
| map_image = 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
| map_size = 200px
| map_size = 240px
| map_caption = County results<br />'''Vilsack:''' {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}}<br />'''Gross:''' {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70-80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}}
| map_caption = County Results
| title = Governor
| title = Governor
| before_election = [[Tom Vilsack]]
| before_election = [[Tom Vilsack]]
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{{ElectionsIA}}
{{ElectionsIA}}


The '''Iowa gubernatorial election of 2002''' took place November 5, 2002. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] [[Governor of Iowa]] [[Tom Vilsack]] sought re-election to a second term as governor. Governor Vilsack won his party's nomination uncontested, while Doug Gross, an advisor to former Governor [[Terry Branstad]], narrowly won the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]]'s primary in a crowded and competitive election. In the general election, Vilsack was able to improve ever so slightly on his margin of victory four years earlier to win what would be his second and final term as governor.
The '''2002 Iowa gubernatorial election''' took place November 5, 2002. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] [[Governor of Iowa]] [[Tom Vilsack]] sought re-election to a second term as governor. He won his party's nomination uncontested, while Doug Gross, an advisor to former and future Governor [[Terry Branstad]], narrowly won the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] primary in a crowded and competitive election. In the general election, Vilsack was able to improve slightly on his margin of victory four years earlier to win what would be his second and final term as governor.


==Democratic primary==
==Democratic primary==
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===Results===
===Results===
{{Election box begin no change
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Primary election results">http://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2002/results/PRI_Governor.pdf</ref>
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Primary election results">{{cite web |title=Canvass Summary - Election: 2002 Primary Election (6/4/2002) |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2002/results/PRI_Governor.pdf |publisher=State of Iowa Secretary of State}}</ref>
}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
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{{Election box total no change
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 80,443
| votes = 80,443
| percentage = 100.00
| percentage = 100
}}
}}
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box end}}
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===Candidates===
===Candidates===
*Doug Gross, advisor to former Governor [[Terry Branstad]]
*Doug Gross, advisor to former Governor [[Terry Branstad]]
*Steve Sukup, [[Iowa House of Representatives|Iowa State Representative]]
*[[Steven Sukup|Steve Sukup]], [[Iowa House of Representatives|Iowa State Representative]] (1995&ndash;2003)
*[[Bob Vander Plaats]], family values activist
*[[Bob Vander Plaats]], family values activist


===Results===
===Results===
[[File:2002 Iowa gubernatorial Republican primary county map.svg|thumb|150px|Primary results by county:
{{collapsible list
| title = Gross
|{{legend|#a70808|Gross—61-70%}}
|{{legend|#d60f0f|Gross—51-60%}}
|{{legend|#ff0000|Gross—41-50%}}
|{{legend|#f29b8a|Gross—31-40%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = Sukup
|{{legend|#353500|Sukup—81-90%}}
|{{legend|#909121|Sukup—71-80%}}
|{{legend|#ddde1f|Sukup—61-70%}}
|{{legend|#ffff00|Sukup—51-60%}}
|{{legend|#f2f26c|Sukup—41-50%}}
|{{legend|#f2f2a0|Sukup—31-40%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = Vander Plaats
|{{legend|#011e01|Vander Plaats—81-90%}}
|{{legend|#002400|Vander Plaats—71-80%}}
|{{legend|#003900|Vander Plaats—61-70%}}
|{{legend|#006400|Vander Plaats—51-60%}}
|{{legend|#59d622|Vander Plaats—41-50%}}
|{{legend|#90ee90|Vander Plaats—31-40%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results<ref name="Primary election
| title = Republican primary results<ref name="Primary election
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{{Election box total no change
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 199,234
| votes = 199,234
| percentage= 100.00
| percentage= 100
}}
}}
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box end}}


==General election==
==General election==

===Predictions===
{| class="wikitable"
!Source
!Ranking
!As of
|-
|[[The Cook Political Report]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.cookpolitical.com:80/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20021208065752/http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225|archive-date=December 8, 2002|title=Governor Updated October 31, 2002 {{!}} The Cook Political Report|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|date=October 31, 2002|access-date=September 18, 2018|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}
|October 31, 2002
|-
|[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org:80/crystalball/governor_all.htm|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20021212142349/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/governor_all.htm|archive-date=December 12, 2002|title=Governors Races|website=www.centerforpolitics.org|language=en-US|date=November 4, 2002|access-date=September 18, 2018|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}</ref>
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}
|November 4, 2002
|}

===Polling===
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll source
! Date(s)<br />administered
! Sample<br />size{{efn|name=key|Key:<br />A – all adults<br />RV – registered voters<br />LV – likely voters<br />V – unclear}}
! Margin<br />{{nowrap|of error}}
! style="width:100px;"| Tom<br />Vilsack (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Doug<br />Gross (R)
! Other /<br />Undecided
|-
| [https://www.surveyusa.com/2002Elec.html SurveyUSA]
| align=center| October 27–29, 2002
| align=center| 614 (LV)
| align=center| ± 4.1%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| '''56%'''
| align=center| 42%
| align=center| 3%
|}


===Results===
===Results===
{{Election box begin | title=Iowa gubernatorial election, 2002<ref>http://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2002/results/GovernorCanvass.pdf</ref>
{{Election box begin | title=Iowa gubernatorial election, 2002<ref>{{cite web |title=Election: 2002 General Election (11/5/2002) |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2002/results/GovernorCanvass.pdf |website=State of Iowa Secretary of State}}</ref>
}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = [[Tom Vilsack]] ([[incumbent|inc.]])
|candidate = [[Tom Vilsack]] (incumbent)
|votes = 540,449
|votes = 540,449
|percentage = 52.69%
|percentage = 52.69%
|change = +0.38%
|change = +0.39%
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
{{Election box candidate with party link|
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|votes = 456,612
|votes = 456,612
|percentage = 44.51%
|percentage = 44.51%
|change = -1.99%
|change = -2.00%
}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
{{Election box candidate with party link|
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|votes = 83,837
|votes = 83,837
|percentage = 8.17%
|percentage = 8.17%
|change = +2.38%
|change = +2.37%
}}
}}
{{Election box turnout|
{{Election box turnout|
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}}
}}
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box end}}

====Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic====
* [[Adams County, Iowa|Adams]] (largest city: [[Corning, Iowa|Corning]])
* [[Hardin County, Iowa|Hardin]] (largest city: [[Iowa Falls, Iowa|Iowa Falls]])
* [[Winnebago County, Iowa|Winnebago]] (largest city: [[Forest City, Iowa|Forest City]])
*[[Clarke County, Iowa|Clarke]] (largest city: [[Osceola, Iowa|Osceola]])
*[[Louisa County, Iowa|Louisa]] (largest city: [[Wapello, Iowa|Wapello]])
*[[Mitchell County, Iowa|Mitchell]] (largest city: [[Osage, Iowa|Osage]])
*[[Union County, Iowa|Union]] (largest city: [[Creston, Iowa|Creston]])
*[[Appanoose County, Iowa|Appanoose]] (Largest city: [[Centerville, Iowa|Centerville]])
*[[Decatur County, Iowa|Decatur]] (Largest city: [[Lamoni, Iowa|Lamoni]])
*[[Lucas County, Iowa|Lucas]] (Largest city: [[Chariton, Iowa|Chariton]])
*[[Monona County, Iowa|Monona]] (Largest city: [[Onawa, Iowa|Onawa]])
*[[Ringgold County, Iowa|Ringgold]] (Largest city: [[Mount Ayr, Iowa|Mount Ayr]])
*[[Taylor County, Iowa|Taylor]] (Largest city: [[Bedford, Iowa|Bedford]])
*[[Wayne County, Iowa|Wayne]] (Largest city: [[Corydon, Iowa|Corydon]])
*[[Wright County, Iowa|Wright]] (Largest city: [[Eagle Grove, Iowa|Eagle Grove]])
*[[Cherokee County, Iowa|Cherokee]] (Largest city: [[Cherokee, Iowa|Cherokee]])
*[[Calhoun County, Iowa|Calhoun]] (Largest city: [[Rockwell City, Iowa|Rockwell City]])
*[[Carroll County, Iowa|Carroll]] (Largest city: [[Carroll, Iowa|Carroll]])
*[[Keokuk County, Iowa|Keokuk]] (Largest city: [[Sigourney, Iowa|Sigourney]])
*[[Woodbury County, Iowa|Woodbury]] (Largest city: [[Sioux City, Iowa|Sioux City]])
*[[Washington County, Iowa|Washington]] (Largest city: [[Washington, Iowa|Washington]])
*[[Pocahontas County, Iowa|Pocahontas]] (Largest city: [[Pocahontas, Iowa|Pocahontas]])
*[[Franklin County, Iowa|Franklin]] (Largest city: [[Hampton, Iowa|Hampton]])
*[[Delaware County, Iowa|Delaware]] (Largest city: [[Manchester, Iowa|Manchester]])
*[[Humboldt County, Iowa|Humboldt]] (largest city: [[Humboldt, Iowa|Humboldt]])
*[[Adair County, Iowa|Adair]] (Largest city: [[Greenfield, Iowa|Greenfield]])
* [[Scott County, Iowa|Scott]] (largest city: [[Davenport, Iowa|Davenport]])

====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican====
*[[Jefferson County, Iowa|Jefferson]] (Largest city: [[Fairfield, Iowa|Fairfield]])
*[[Dickinson County, Iowa|Dickinson]] (Largest city: [[Spirit Lake, Iowa|Spirit Lake]])
*[[Sac County, Iowa|Sac]] (largest city: [[Sac City, Iowa|Sac City]])
*[[Winneshiek County, Iowa|Winneshiek]] (largest city: [[Decorah, Iowa|Decorah]])


==See also==
==See also==
*[[United States gubernatorial elections, 2002]]
*[[2002 United States gubernatorial elections]]
*[[Iowa|State of Iowa]]
*[[Iowa|State of Iowa]]
*[[List of Governors of Iowa|Governors of Iowa]]
*[[List of governors of Iowa|Governors of Iowa]]

== Notes ==
{{notelist}}


==References==
==References==
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{{DEFAULTSORT:Iowa Gubernatorial Election, 2002}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:Iowa Gubernatorial Election, 2002}}
[[Category:United States gubernatorial elections, 2002]]
[[Category:2002 United States gubernatorial elections]]
[[Category:Iowa gubernatorial elections|2002]]
[[Category:Iowa gubernatorial elections|2002]]
[[Category:Iowa elections, 2002|Gubernatorial]]
[[Category:2002 Iowa elections|Gubernatorial]]

Revision as of 09:44, 15 June 2024

2002 Iowa gubernatorial election

← 1998 November 5, 2002 2006 →
 
Nominee Tom Vilsack Doug Gross
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 540,449 456,612
Percentage 52.7% 44.5%

County results
Vilsack:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Gross:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70-80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Tom Vilsack
Democratic

Elected Governor

Tom Vilsack
Democratic

The 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election took place November 5, 2002. Incumbent Democratic Governor of Iowa Tom Vilsack sought re-election to a second term as governor. He won his party's nomination uncontested, while Doug Gross, an advisor to former and future Governor Terry Branstad, narrowly won the Republican primary in a crowded and competitive election. In the general election, Vilsack was able to improve slightly on his margin of victory four years earlier to win what would be his second and final term as governor.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Vilsack (incumbent) 79,277 98.55
Democratic Write-ins 1,166 1.45
Total votes 80,443 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Primary results by county:
Gross
  •   Gross—61-70%
  •   Gross—51-60%
  •   Gross—41-50%
  •   Gross—31-40%
Sukup
  •   Sukup—81-90%
  •   Sukup—71-80%
  •   Sukup—61-70%
  •   Sukup—51-60%
  •   Sukup—41-50%
  •   Sukup—31-40%
Vander Plaats
  •   Vander Plaats—81-90%
  •   Vander Plaats—71-80%
  •   Vander Plaats—61-70%
  •   Vander Plaats—51-60%
  •   Vander Plaats—41-50%
  •   Vander Plaats—31-40%
Republican primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Doug Gross 71,478 35.88
Republican Steve Sukup 64,490 32.37
Republican Bob Vander Plaats 63,077 31.66
Republican Write-ins 189 0.09
Total votes 199,234 100

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[2] Tossup October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] Lean D November 4, 2002

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tom
Vilsack (D)
Doug
Gross (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA October 27–29, 2002 614 (LV) ± 4.1% 56% 42% 3%

Results

Iowa gubernatorial election, 2002[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tom Vilsack (incumbent) 540,449 52.69% +0.39%
Republican Doug Gross 456,612 44.51% −2.00%
Green Jay Robinson 14,628 1.43%
Libertarian Clyde Cleveland 13,098 1.28%
Write-ins 1,025 0.10%
Majority 83,837 8.17% +2.37%
Turnout 1,025,802
Democratic hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ a b "Canvass Summary - Election: 2002 Primary Election (6/4/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.
  2. ^ "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  3. ^ "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  4. ^ "Election: 2002 General Election (11/5/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.