2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election
The 2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe ran for re-election, and faced former State Senator Jim Keet, whom he defeated in a landslide to win a second and final term as governor, despite the year being a Republican midterm wave year and Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln being unseated by a 21-point margin on the same ballot. Beebe's vote percentage and margin of victory was the highest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the country that year.
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Beebe: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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To date, this alongside several concurrent elections are the last time that Democrats won a statewide election in Arkansas and the last time a candidate of either party carried every county in a contested election. This election is also the last time last time that a gubernatorial nominee and a lieutenant gubernatorial nominee of different political parties were elected in Arkansas.
Candidates
editDemocratic Party
edit- Mike Beebe, incumbent Governor
Republican Party
edit- Jim Keet, former State Senator
Green Party
edit- Jim Lendall, former State Representative and 2006 gubernatorial nominee
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[1] | Safe D | October 14, 2010 |
Rothenberg[2] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics[3] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Likely D | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics[5] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Mike Beebe (D) |
Jim Keet (R) |
---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 28, 2010 | 60% | 38% |
CNN/Time Magazine | October 15–19, 2010 | 62% | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2010 | 51% | 41% |
Mason-Dixon | September 12–14, 2010 | 54% | 33% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 18, 2010 | 53% | 33% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 20, 2010 | 50% | 40% |
Ipsos/Reuters | July 16–18, 2010 | 57% | 35% |
Talk Business | July 17, 2010 | 50% | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 15, 2010 | 57% | 33% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 19, 2010 | 53% | 38% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Beebe (incumbent) | 503,336 | 64.42% | +8.81% | |
Republican | Jim Keet | 262,784 | 33.63% | −7.03% | |
Green | Jim Lendall | 14,513 | 1.86% | +0.21% | |
Write-in | 700 | 0.09% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 781,333 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Benton (Largest city: Rogers)
- Boone (Largest city: Harrison)
- Carroll (Largest city: Berryville)
- Newton (Largest city: Jasper)
- Madison (Largest city: Huntsville)
- Marion (Largest city: Bull Shoals)
- Baxter (Largest city: Mountain Home)
- Searcy (Largest city: Marshall)
- Saline (Largest city: Benton)
- Lonoke (Largest city: Cabot)
- Polk (Largest city: Mena)
- Sebastian (Largest city: Fort Smith)
- Crawford (Largest city: Van Buren)
- Pope (Largest city: Russellville)
References
edit- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 27, 2014.
External links
edit- Elections at the Arkansas Secretary of State
- Arkansas Governor Candidates Archived September 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Arkansas Governor from Follow the Money
- "2010 Arkansas Governor General Election: Jim Keet (R) vs Mike Beebe (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com". Archived from the original on April 19, 2013. Retrieved August 29, 2010.
- Election 2010: Arkansas Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- Arkansas Governor - Keet vs. Beebe from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Arkansas Governor's Race[permanent dead link] from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign websites (archived)