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{{Short description|
{{pp-semi-indef|small=yes}}
[[File:Demographic history of Jerusalem by religion.png|thumb|upright=1.5|Demographic history of Jerusalem by religion, based on available data {{According to whom|date=October 2023}} <br />{{legend|red|Christians}}{{legend|blue|Jews}}{{legend|green|Muslims}}]]
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==Overview==
{{Jerusalem large}}
Jerusalemites are of varied national, ethnic and religious denominations and include European, Asian and African [[Jews]], [[Palestinians|Arabs]] of [[Islam in Palestine|Sunni Shafi'i Muslim]], [[Greek Orthodox Church of Jerusalem|Melkite Orthodox]], [[Melkite Greek Catholic Church|Melkite Catholic]], [[Latin Patriarchate of Jerusalem|Latin Catholic]], and [[Protestantism|Protestant]] backgrounds, [[Armenians]] of the [[Armenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem|Armenian Orthodox]] and [[Armenian Catholic Patriarchal Exarchate of Jerusalem and Amman|Armenian Catholic]]
Jerusalem's long history of conquests by competing and different powers has resulted in different groups living in the city many of whom have never fully identified or assimilated with a particular power, despite the length of their rule. Though they may have been citizens of that particular kingdom and empire and involved with civic activities and duties, these groups often saw themselves as distinct national groups (see Armenians, for example).<ref name=Aghourian/> The Ottoman [[Millet (Ottoman Empire)|millet]] system, whereby minorities in the [[Ottoman Empire]] were given the authority to govern themselves within the framework of the broader system, allowed these groups to retain autonomy and remain separate from other religious and national groups. Some Palestinian residents of the city prefer to use the term ''Maqdisi'' or ''Qudsi'' as a Palestinian demonym.<ref>{{cite book | title= To Rule Jerusalem | page= 189 |first=Richard | last= Hecht | year=2000}}</ref>
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====Muslim "relative majority"====
Henry Light, who visited Jerusalem in 1814, reported that Muslims comprised the largest portion of the 12,000
[[File:Ymca boys jeru.jpg|thumb|Arab boys at Jerusalem [[YMCA]], 1938]]
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From the mid-1850s, following the [[Crimean War]], the [[Expansion of Jerusalem in the 19th century|expansion of Jerusalem outside of the Old City]] began, with institutions including the [[Russian Compound]], [[Kerem Avraham]], the [[Schneller Orphanage]], [[Jerusalem University College|Bishop Gobat school]] and the [[Mishkenot Sha'ananim]] marking the beginning of permanent settlement outside the Jerusalem Old City walls.<ref name="valero">Sephardi entrepreneurs in Jerusalem: the Valero family 1800–1948 By Joseph B. Glass, Ruth Kark. p.174</ref><ref name="KarkOren-Nordheim2001">{{cite book|last1=Kark|first1=Ruth|last2=Oren-Nordheim|first2=Michal|title=Jerusalem and Its Environs: Quarters, Neighborhoods, Villages, 1800–1948|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=KzOAxmHDzHUC&pg=PA74|year=2001|publisher=Wayne State University Press|isbn=0-8143-2909-8|pages=74; table on p.82–86|quote=The beginning of construction outside the Jerusalem Old City in the mid-19th century was linked to the changing relations between the Ottoman government and the European powers. After the Crimean War, various rights and privileges were extended to non-Muslims who now enjoyed greater tolerance and more security of life and property. All of this directly influenced the expansion of Jerusalem beyond the city walls. From the mid-1850s to the early 1860s, several new buildings rose outside the walls, among them the mission house of the English consul, [[James Finn]], in what came to be known as Abraham's Vineyard ([[Kerem Avraham]]), the [[Jerusalem University College|Protestant school built]] by Bishop [[Samuel Gobat]] on Mount Zion; the [[Russian Compound]]; the [[Mishkenot Sha'ananim]] houses: and the [[Schneller Orphanage complex]]. These complexes were all built by foreigners, with funds from abroad, as semi-autonomous compounds encompassed by walls and with gates that were closed at night. Their appearance was European, and they stood out against the Middle-Eastern-style buildings of Palestine.}}</ref>
Between 1856 and 1880, [[Aliyah|Jewish immigration]] to Palestine more than doubled, with the majority settling in Jerusalem.<ref name="Abramov">{{cite book|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Bn49KxgeStIC&q=population+of+jerusalem |title=Perpetual Dilemma: Jewish Religion in the Jewish State |author=S. Zalman Abramov |date=1918-05-13 |publisher=Fairleigh Dickinson Univ Press |isbn=9780838616871 |access-date=2015-10-23}}</ref> The majority of these immigrants were [[Ashkenazi Jews]] from [[Eastern Europe]], who subsisted on [[Halukka]].<ref name="Abramov"/>
{| class="wikitable"
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| 1849 || 2,084 || ? || ? || ? || Moses Montefiore census, showing number of Jewish families<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.montefiorecensuses.org |title=Montefiore Families |publisher=Montefiorecensuses.org |access-date=2022-10-20 }}</ref> ||
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 1850 || 13,860 || ? || ? || ? || Dr. Ascher, Anglo-Jewish Association{{Full citation needed|date=February 2024}} ||
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 1851 || 5,580 || '''12,286''' || 7,488 || 25,354 || Official census (only Ottoman citizens)<ref>Wolff, Press, "The Jewish Yishuv", pp 427-433, as quotes in Kark and Oren-Nordheim</ref> || Kark and Oren-Nordheim, 2001<ref name="Kark Oren-Nordheim"/>
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|493,500
|71.7%
|Jerusalem Municipality<ref name="JIPR">{{cite web |title=Statistical Yearbook of Jerusalem |url=https://jerusaleminstitute.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/shnaton_C0922.pdf |publisher=[[Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research]] |access-date=11 January 2024}}</ref>
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 1990 || 378,200 || 131,800 || 14,400 || 524,400 || 72.1% || Jerusalem Municipality
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 1995 || 417,100 || 182,700 || 14,100 || 617,000 || 67.6% || Jerusalem Municipality<ref name="JIPR" />
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 1996 || 421,200 || ? || ? || 602,100 || 70.0% || Jerusalem Municipality
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 2000 || 448,800 || ? || ? || 657,500 || 68.3% || Jerusalem Municipality<ref name="JIPR" />
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 2004 || 464,500 || ? || ? || 693,200 || 67.0% || Jerusalem Municipality<ref name="JIPR" />
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 2005 || 469,300 || ? || ? || 706,400 || 66.4% || Jerusalem Municipality
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| 2007 || 489,480 || ? || ? || 746,300 || 65.6% || Jerusalem Municipality
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 2011 || 497,000 || 281,000 || 14,000 || 801,000 || 62.0% || Israel Central Bureau of Statistics<ref name="JIPR" />
|- style="text-align:center;"
| 2015 || 524,700 || 307,300 || 12,400 || 857,800 || 61.2% || Israel Central Bureau of Statistics<ref name="JIPR" />
|- style="text-align:center;"
|2016
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|882,700
|60.8%
|Israel Central Bureau of Statistics<ref name="JIPR" />
|-
|2017
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|901,300
|60.6%{{Center|}}
|[[Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research]]<ref name="JIPR" />
|-
|2018
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|919,400
|60.5%
|Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research<ref name="JIPR" />
|-
|2019
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|936,400
|60.1%
|Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research<ref name="JIPR" />
|-
|2020
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|951,100
|59.9%
|Jerusalem Institute for Policy Research<ref name="JIPR" />
|}
These official Israeli statistics refer to the expanded Israel municipality of Jerusalem. This includes not only the area of the pre-1967 Israeli and Jordanian municipalities, but also outlying Palestinian villages and neighbourhoods east of the city, which were not part of Jordanian East Jerusalem prior to 1967. Demographic data from 1967 to 2012 showed continues growth of Arab population, both in relative and absolute numbers, and the declining of Jewish population share in the overall population of the city. In 1967, Jews were 73.4% of city population, while in 2010 the Jewish population shrank to 64%. In the same period the Arab population increased from 26,5% in 1967 to 36% in 2010.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.jiis.org/.upload/facts-2012-eng.pdf |title=Jerusalem : Facts and Trends 2012 |publisher=Jiis.gov |access-date=2015-10-23 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150505181355/http://www.jiis.org/.upload/facts-2012-eng.pdf |archive-date=2015-05-05 |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://jcpa.org/article/is-jerusalem-being-judaized/ |title=Is Jerusalem Being "Judaized"? | Jerusalem Center For Public Affairs |publisher=Jcpa.org |date=2003-03-01 |access-date=2015-10-23}}</ref> In 1999, the Jewish [[total fertility rate]] was 3.8 children per woman, while the Palestinian rate was 4.4. This led to concerns that Arabs would eventually become a majority of the city's population.
Between 1999 and 2010, the demographic trends reversed themselves, with the Jewish fertility rate increasing and the Arab rate decreasing. In addition, the number of Jewish immigrants from abroad choosing to settle in Jerusalem steadily increased. By 2010, there was a higher Jewish than Arab growth rate. That year, the city's birth rate was placed at 4.2 children for Jewish mothers, compared with 3.9 children for Arab mothers. In addition, 2,250 Jewish immigrants from abroad settled in Jerusalem. The Jewish fertility rate is believed to be still currently increasing, while the Arab fertility rate remains on the decline.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.jiis.org/.upload/pressrelease.pdf |title=Press release : Population : End of 2011 (provisional data) |publisher=Jiis.gov |access-date=2015-10-23 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304050346/http://www.jiis.org/.upload/pressrelease.pdf |archive-date=2016-03-04 |url-status=dead }}</ref>
== See also ==
*[[Demographics of Jerusalem by quarter]]
*[[Demographic history of Palestine (region)]]
*[[History of Jerusalem]]
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